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全球作物保护市场或迎转折
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-08-04 06:11
Group 1 - The global crop protection product inventory levels are showing signs of normalization after an unprecedented destocking in 2023, with manufacturers cautiously optimistic about the market in the second half of 2025 [2] - The global crop protection market is expected to decline by 6.0% year-on-year in 2024, reaching approximately $75.4 billion, due to macroeconomic factors and low agricultural prices affecting farmer incomes [2] - Crop protection companies have faced challenges over the past two years, with executives acknowledging the difficult period for the industry, but there are expectations for performance improvement in 2025 due to stabilized inventory and demand recovery [2] Group 2 - The U.S. crop protection market is projected to grow by 2.1% in 2025, reaching $77 billion, despite ongoing inflation and trade tensions impacting farmer incomes [3] - Tariff impacts on crop protection companies have been manageable, with estimates of tariff effects on Corteva's crop protection business reduced from $50 million to $25-30 million, aided by supply chain diversification [3] - U.S. farmers are proceeding with their planting plans, which is a positive sign for the crop protection market recovery [3] Group 3 - European crop protection companies face greater challenges, with Bayer anticipating increased price competition due to a surge in generic product capacity, particularly in glyphosate [4] - Bayer has announced a restructuring of its crop protection production and R&D in Germany to address the competitive pressures from Asian generic manufacturers [4]