【周末热点事件，如何影响有色金属板块走势？】 1、美联储12月降息概率跌破50% 上一交易日（11月14日）揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色龙头ETF（159876）获资金净申购1.5亿份，即 单日吸金1.39亿元，反映资金提前进场，埋伏有色板块后市反弹行情！ | | 有色龙头ETF 159876 | 米 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 1 . . + | | 实时申购随回信息 | 申购 | 随回 | | 笔数 | 161 | 1 | | 全额 | 0 | 0 | | 份额 | 1.52亿 | 60万 | 【资金为何积极抢筹有色金属板块？】 1、业绩端，2025年三季报显示，有色龙头ETF60只成份股中，56家上市公司实现盈利，44家归母净利 同比正增长，其中，楚江新材归母净利同比暴增20倍，国城矿业等10家上市公司归母净利三位数大增， 业绩表现亮眼。 2、产业端，本轮有色资源品牛市被定义为"新质生产力牛市"，区别于2006年依赖地产基建的行情，本 轮需求核心驱动力是新能源、AI、军工航天等新兴领域，同时供给侧受扰动，供需矛盾加剧，推升有 色金属价格，稀缺性和战略价值进一步凸显。 3、政策端 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector has seen a significant influx of over 17.7 billion in main capital, ranking second among 31 primary industries in the Shenwan classification, with leading companies like Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium attracting substantial net inflows [1][3] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector has outperformed other industries, with a year-to-date increase of 75.9%, surpassing telecommunications (61.88%), electronics (48.1%), and power equipment (45.12%) [4][5] - Among the 60 constituent stocks of the Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF, 41 stocks rose over 2%, with five stocks hitting the daily limit up, and significant gains observed in Tianqi Lithium and Zhongmin Resources [3][5] Group 2: Investment Drivers - The strong performance is attributed to several factors: 1. Financial results show that 56 out of 60 companies in the Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF reported profits, with 44 companies experiencing year-on-year growth in net profit [5] 2. The current bull market is driven by demand from emerging sectors such as new energy, AI, and aerospace, alongside supply-side disruptions that highlight the scarcity and strategic value of metals [5] 3. Policy support from the government, including a joint plan to stabilize growth in the non-ferrous metal industry, is expected to enhance the sector's performance [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the non-ferrous metal sector will continue to thrive, with expectations of a new cycle driven by supply-demand balance and global monetary easing [6][5] - The investment interest in commodities is likely to persist, with anticipated price increases for copper and cobalt due to supply constraints and rising demand for lithium driven by energy storage needs [6]

今日（11月13日）有色金属板块掀涨停潮，兴业银锡、雅化集团、国城矿业、华锡有色、永兴材料、中 矿资源、盛新锂能7股涨停，揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色龙头ETF（159876）场内涨幅盘中上探 4.79%，现涨4.46%，站稳全部均线，实时成交额超6500万元，交投火热！ 从长期收益来看，截至10月底，有色金属板块年内累计上涨75.9%，板块涨幅高居31个申万一级行业断 层第一，大幅跑赢通信（61.88%）、电子（48.1%）、电力设备（45.12%）等行业。 | 涨幅排序 申万一级行业 | 区间涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | | TE 有色金属(申万) | 75.90% | | 2 通信(申万) | 61.88% | | 3 电子(申万) | 48.10% | | 数据统计区间:2025.1.1-2025.10.31. | ... | 【有色金属板块为什么这么强？】 1、业绩端，2025年三季报显示，有色龙头ETF60只成份股中，56家上市公司实现盈利，44家归母净利 同比正增长，其中，楚江新材归母净利同比暴增20倍，国城矿业等10家上市公司实现归母净利三位数大 增，紫金矿业归母净利同比增长55%，业 ...

Core Insights - The recycling non-ferrous metal industry in China is expected to continue its rapid growth, with production projected to exceed 20 million tons by the end of 2025 [1][3] Group 1: Industry Development - China's recycling non-ferrous metal production increased from 14.5 million tons at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan to an estimated 19.15 million tons by the end of 2024, with an average annual growth rate of 7.2% [3] - From 2021 to 2024, the cumulative production of recycled non-ferrous metals reached 69.3 million tons, accounting for one-quarter of the total production of ten commonly used non-ferrous metals in China and one-third of the global recycled non-ferrous metal output [3] - The industry has saved 3.6 billion tons of mineral resources and reduced carbon dioxide emissions by 560 million tons over the past four years [3] - The market outlook for non-ferrous metals is optimistic, with a bullish trend expected to continue into 2026, driven by strong demand and supply constraints [3] Group 2: Company Performance - A company named Upwind New Materials experienced a significant stock price increase of 1573.52% from July 9, 2025, to November 11, 2025, with a recent trading halt due to abnormal price fluctuations [2] - Upwind New Materials announced that its intelligent robotics business has not yet generated revenue or profit, and it is not expected to positively impact the company's performance in 2025 [2] - The company is independently developing its intelligent robotics business to avoid significant adverse impacts from competition with related parties [2] Group 3: Market Trends - In November, the average stock price of non-ferrous metal companies in A-shares increased by 0.48%, with several companies, including Shenzhen New Star and Guocheng Mining, seeing price increases exceeding 20% [4] - Nine stocks received significant financing support, with major investments in companies like China Aluminum and Tianqi Lithium, indicating high market interest in the non-ferrous metal sector [5][6] - Institutions predict that nine stocks with increased financing will see net profit growth rates exceeding 20% in 2025-2026 [6]