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段永平持仓来了!二季度加仓苹果、拼多多、谷歌C和英伟达
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-15 05:28
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Duan Yongping, known as the "Chinese Buffett," has made significant adjustments to his investment portfolio, increasing his holdings in Apple, Pinduoduo, Google C, and Nvidia while reducing positions in Occidental Petroleum, Alibaba, Microsoft, and TSMC [1] - As of the end of Q2 2025, Duan's investment account, H&H, holds a total of 10 U.S. stocks with a market value of $11.5 billion, approximately 82.5 billion RMB [1] - Apple's stock remains the largest holding in Duan's portfolio, valued at $7.205 billion, accounting for 62.47% of the total holdings, with an increase of 894,400 shares compared to the previous quarter [1] Group 2 - Duan Yongping's investment philosophy emphasizes long-termism and value investing, focusing on companies with strong business models [2][3] - He advocates for investing only in companies within one's understanding and avoiding leverage and speculation [2][5] - Key considerations for investing in a company include its ability to generate long-term profits and how those profits are distributed to shareholders [3][4] Group 3 - Duan learned the importance of business models from Warren Buffett, emphasizing the significance of monopolies and competitive advantages [4] - A good business model is characterized by consistent profits and cash flow, making it difficult for competitors to enter the market [4][5] - Duan believes that exceptional business models are rare, and the better the business model, the higher the investment certainty and lower the risk [5][6]
茅台现在便宜吗?
雪球· 2025-07-21 04:15
Group 1: Company Valuation - The core value of a company lies in the future cash flows it can generate, which should be the primary consideration when evaluating its worth [2][3] - Understanding a company's future cash flow is essential, especially in competitive industries where the company's stability and competitive advantages are crucial for long-term success [2][4] - Investors must have a strong conviction about a company's bottom line to justify significant investments, as uncertainty about future performance can deter investment [3][4] Group 2: Market Interest Rates - Market interest rates play a critical role in determining the attractiveness of investments, as they represent the opportunity cost of capital [5][6] - The discount rate used for cash flow valuation is influenced by the risk-free rate, which can fluctuate significantly over time, affecting investment decisions [5][6] - A higher risk-free rate diminishes the appeal of lower-return investments, while a lower rate enhances the attractiveness of modest returns [6][7] Group 3: Personal Opportunity Cost - The perceived value of an investment is relative to the investor's available opportunities; higher potential returns elsewhere can render a seemingly attractive investment less appealing [9][10] - Investors with access to high-growth opportunities may find established companies like Moutai less attractive compared to their own ventures [9][10] - The evaluation of whether an investment is cheap or expensive should consider both market conditions and individual investment opportunities [10]
投资中最大的捷径:读一下《证券分析》升级版
点拾投资· 2025-06-27 13:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of reading "Security Analysis" by Benjamin Graham, highlighting it as a must-read for every investor, especially those interested in value investing [2][6]. Summary by Sections Importance of "Security Analysis" - "Security Analysis" is regarded as a "bible" of value investing, essential for anyone wishing to pursue this investment strategy [6]. - The book provides a clear direction for investors, emphasizing that effort alone does not guarantee success in investing; the right approach is crucial [6][7]. Investment vs. Speculation - The first chapter of "Security Analysis" distinguishes between investment and speculation, stating that investors focus on risk and return, while speculators are influenced by market and price factors [8][9]. - Investors should concentrate on the intrinsic value of a company, rather than external factors like management actions or market liquidity [10]. Key Concepts Introduced by Graham - Graham introduced the concept of "margin of safety," which is defined as buying an asset for less than its intrinsic value, ensuring a buffer against uncertainties [10]. - The book also discusses cash flow as a critical measure for determining an asset's profitability, advocating for a cautious approach to estimating intrinsic value [10]. Updates in the New Edition - The new edition of "Security Analysis" has been expanded by approximately 150,000 words, bringing the total to 1.1 million words, and includes contributions from several prominent value investors [13][16]. - The updated version incorporates modern insights, including behavioral finance concepts like "anchoring effect," which explains why many struggle with value investing despite its apparent simplicity [14]. Broader Applicability - The book's new content demonstrates that value investing principles are applicable not only in the U.S. but may also be more effective in the Chinese market [15]. - The enduring relevance of "Security Analysis" is highlighted, as it continues to provide foundational knowledge for successful investing nearly 90 years after its original publication [16].
高股息投资的逻辑
雪球· 2025-06-07 03:48
风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者: 大地任我行 来源:雪球 六 、 拿到公司分红 , 就可以用于生活 , 也可以用于再投资 , 从而带来投资组合的成长 , 这样就能弥补企业盈利增长率低的缺点 。 七 、 注重股息的投资生活比纯粹追逐资本利得的投资方法更淡定 , 更平静 , 有更多的时间 做其他的事情 , 这样的生活才是我所追求的 。 在我19年的投资生活中 , 从来都是重仓持有 股票 , 没有空仓或减仓持有现金 , 收益率也挺满意的 。 当然 , 这些年运气不错 , 投资离 不开努力 , 更需要一点运气 。 买入高股息公司要注意的陷阱有 : 高分红能不能持续 ? 将来会不会大幅倒退 ? 是不是强周 期行业 ? 是不是出于炒作 , 然后高位套现 ? 一 、 高成长也意味高估值 , 或者成长早体现在股价上面了 , 所以买入这类公司潜在的收益 不一定高 , 只要成长预期不及 , 就有双杀的风险 。 二 、 投资要注重确定性 , " 一鸟在手 , 胜过两鸟在林 " , 走向成熟也意味确定性高许多 。 这个道理就像从创业者和现成的企业家中挑选未来的富翁 。 看看 ...
段永平最新持仓曝光!新进三家公司
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-05-16 08:57
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Duan Yongping's investment strategy reveals a shift in focus towards technology companies, with new positions in Microsoft, Nvidia, and TSMC, while reducing holdings in several other major companies like Apple and Alibaba [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Portfolio Changes - As of Q1 2025, Duan Yongping's H&H International Investment holds 11 US stocks with a total market value of $12 billion, approximately 86.3 billion RMB [1]. - New investments include Microsoft, Nvidia, and TSMC, while he increased his stakes in Pinduoduo and Occidental Petroleum [1][2]. - Significant reductions were made in holdings of Apple, Berkshire Hathaway B, Alibaba, Google C, Disney, and Moderna [1]. Group 2: Specific Stock Holdings - Apple remains the largest holding with a market value of $7.602 billion, accounting for 63.33% of the portfolio, despite a reduction of 6.640396 million shares [2]. - Berkshire Hathaway B is the second-largest holding at $1.801 billion, representing 15% of the portfolio, with a decrease of 239,800 shares [2]. - Pinduoduo is the third-largest holding, with a market value of $918 million and an increase of 525,200 shares [2]. Group 3: Insights on New Investments - Duan Yongping expressed interest in Nvidia, acknowledging the company's potential in AI, despite not fully understanding its business model [3][4]. - He views TSMC and Microsoft as strong B2B companies, indicating a late realization of their significance in the tech sector [4]. - Pinduoduo is seen as a company with future potential, although it has not yet generated significant profits [4].
基金经理请回答 | 对话王路遥:估值提升,是机会还是挑战?
中泰证券资管· 2025-03-28 08:00
Core Viewpoint - The fund's equity investment ratio decreased to below 80% at the end of Q4, indicating a cautious approach due to rising valuations and reduced potential returns from certain stocks [2][3][4] Group 1: Fund Positioning and Strategy - The fund manager emphasizes a bottom-up approach to stock selection, leading to a reduction in positions for certain high-flying stocks as their potential returns diminished [2][4] - The fund's investment strategy is not to fully allocate capital when there are insufficient attractive investment opportunities, reflecting a cautious market outlook for Q4 2024 [2][3] - The fund maintains a minimum stock allocation of 60%-70%, but may lower return expectations if market valuations rise significantly [5][6] Group 2: Market Valuation and Return Expectations - As market valuations increase, the potential return rates for selected stocks decrease, prompting the fund to adjust its positions accordingly [4][5] - The fund manager notes that the required return rates are influenced by the prevailing market conditions and risk-free rates, rather than arbitrary targets [6][8] - The manager acknowledges that achieving higher returns (10%-15%) may be challenging due to elevated valuations and market dynamics [7][8] Group 3: Risk Assessment and Cash Flow Analysis - The risk-reward ratio is assessed based on the probability of achieving expected cash flows, with a focus on potential downside risks [9][10] - The fund manager highlights the importance of understanding market space and competitive dynamics, which can significantly impact stock valuations and future cash flows [10][14] - Continuous monitoring of company performance and market conditions is essential to reassess investment decisions and manage risks effectively [13][15] Group 4: Industry Insights and Research Approach - The fund manager's research spans various sectors, including renewable energy, consumer goods, and chemicals, leveraging insights from a collaborative research team [19][20] - The manager emphasizes the importance of understanding the business model and cash flow generation rather than getting bogged down in technical details [20][21] - The approach to investment is based on identifying companies with strong fundamentals and potential for growth, while also considering market limitations [16][18]