美联储独立性风险
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无惧黄金白银价格震荡 加工设备生意火爆 有商家部分设备已经被预约满 购买需等到年后
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-09 14:39
近期,国际贵金属价格上演极端"过山车"行情。 其中,白银现货价格(伦敦银现,下同)从2026年初的72.493美元/盎司,涨至1月29日盘中最高121.647美元/盎司,上涨幅度超50%,随后又快速下跌。截至 北京时间2月9日18时,白银现货价格为81.063美元/盎司。 黄金现货价格(伦敦金现)于1月29日达到历史高峰,涨至5598.75美元/盎司,但随后立即迎来历史性回调时刻,次日单日暴跌9.25%。截至北京时间2月9日 18时,价格回落至5005美元/盎司左右。 大涨大跌间,黄金白银上下游商家也深受影响。 《每日经济新闻》记者走访深圳一家黄金、白银板料加工设备生产商。现场机械轰鸣,工人在忙着调试、包装机器。 "去年扩招了大约70人,现在我们厂子有200人了。"一位工作人员还对记者表示,"这两天放假过年,人都少了很多,铸锭机已经被预约完了。" 设备厂家:铸锭机年前已被预约满 在经历此前暴跌后,国际金价近日开始企稳。截至北京时间2月9日18时,伦敦金现当日上涨超0.5%,价格约为5005美元/盎司。 伦敦金现2月9日走势(截至北京时间2月9日18时) 记者以商家调研身份走访深圳一家贵金属设备生产公司。 一进 ...
【UNFX财经事件】财政博弈暂歇提振美元 黄金高位回调中制度风险仍在定价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 09:16
在外部环境方面,特朗普的贸易与外交表态仍然反复。周四,他一方面表示希望避免对伊朗使用武力, 缓解部分紧张情绪;另一方面威胁对加拿大制造飞机征收50%关税,并签署行政命令,对向古巴提供石 油的国家加征关税。同时,美国在中东持续部署军舰与战斗机,相关官员强调已做好多种军事行动准 备。俄乌冲突方面,尽管俄罗斯重申谈判意愿,但核心条件分歧仍大,短期难以取得突破。多重地缘政 治变量未消散,市场风险偏好虽有所修复,但尚未完全反转,这为黄金在回调过程中的结构性支撑提供 基础。 交易员将重点关注北美时段公布的美国生产者价格指数(PPI)及美联储官员进一步表态。新任美联储 主席的提名及政策倾向,将成为影响美元需求及黄金中期定价的重要变量。在利率前景、制度独立性及 地缘政治风险交织的环境下,美元反弹空间可能受限,而黄金的下行节奏更倾向于"回吐而非反转"。 整体来看,黄金本轮回调主要反映短期政治风险缓解及获利盘集中释放,而非核心逻辑变化。美联储独 立性风险、贸易摩擦与地缘政治不稳仍为中期支撑。在确认金价趋势性见顶之前,市场更可能将当前波 动视作高位整固中的阶段性修正。 市场情绪改善主要源于美国财政层面的最新进展。多家媒体报道,美国 ...
黄金回收价一夜跌70元,消费者:说话间价格就变了
21世纪经济报道· 2026-01-30 06:16
记者丨郭聪聪 编辑丨周炎炎 视频丨许婷婷 国际黄金市场经历"过山车"式震荡。1月29日深夜,现货黄金价格在逼近每盎司5600美元高位 后突发跳水,30日午间再度大跌近5%,一度失守5200美元。 剧烈波动迅速传导至国内终端市场,1月30日,21世纪经济报道记者实探北京多家金店, 仅仅 一夜之间,黄金回收报价每克下调近70元, 前一日人气高涨的回收窗口虽热度不减,但咨询 多成交少。 图源:21世纪经济报道 有市民一早来出手旧金,"说话之间价格就变了" 1月30日上午10点30左右,21世纪经济报道记者在探访刚刚开门的北京某商场金店时,看到已 有不少市民前来咨询黄金买卖及回收业务。 "刚进店时报价还是1159元(每克,下同),说话间价格就更新成了1123元。" 一位前来卖金 的大爷经历了这一幕。他告诉本报记者,自己带了近30克的黄金准备出手,但因金价瞬间下 调,总价差可能达到近800元。 由于价格与心理预期差距较大,他最终决定"再等等看"。 金饰零售价应声而落 金饰零售市场同样经历了"先扬后抑"。 1月30日,周大福、老凤祥等品牌挂牌价已从29日的高点普遍回落至1700元以下,日降幅在1 —2%区间。 另两位陆续 ...
黄金股巨震领跌A股,多支黄金股ETF跌停
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-30 05:37
21世纪经济报道记者 冯紫彤 1月30日,A股市场贵金属板块遭遇重挫,多支追踪黄金产业链股票的ETF开盘即大幅走低,并于盘中跌停。 据21世纪经济报道记者不完全统计,截至午间收盘,黄金股票ETF(517400)、黄金股ETF(159562)、黄金股票ETF(159321)、黄金股ETF(517520)均封 于跌停板。 与此同时,黄金ETF(518880)与上海金ETF(518600)的跌幅也超过了6%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | | | 涨幅% ↑ | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 517400 | 黄金股票ETF | | T | 2.229 | -10.01 | -0.248 | | 159562 | 黄金股ETF | + | Q | 3.069 | -10.00 | -0.341 | | 159321 | 黄金股票ETF | 北 | Q | 2.197 | -10.00 | -0.244 | | 517520 | 黄金股ETF | 1 | Q | 2.819 | -9.99 | -0.313 | | 512400 | 有色金属ETF ...
金价快速上涨,投资者要注意啥?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 11:20
最近一周,国际金价走出了一波猛烈上涨的行情。自1月26日,现货黄金价格突破每盎司5000美元的重 要整数关口后,国际金价在震荡中继续上涨,连续突破多个重要关口,至29日突破每盎司5500美元,并 一度逼近5600美元。自今年初以来,国际金价已累计上涨28%左右。 受国际金价带动,国内金价同样上涨迅猛,品牌金店的金饰克价连续上涨,目前已突破每克1700元。 期存在的结构性变量,形成持续的风险溢价。 当前造成金价上涨的因素比较复杂,多种因素共振容易引发市场情绪剧烈波动,进而加剧金价大幅震荡 态势。高价位下的多空博弈加剧,投机资金的获利了结,都可能引发金价的短期回调。 对于普通投资者而言,应理性看待近期黄金快速上涨的行情,警惕金价高位波动风险,避免盲目跟风, 尽量避免追涨杀跌、过度依赖短期投机,以及忽视黄金的长期保值属性而频繁交易。投资者应更多把握 金价变化的长期趋势,树立理性的投资心态,根据自身风险偏好、资产规模等合理配置黄金产品,在入 场时机上采取定投策略,分散市场高位波动风险,以套期保值为核心目标,规避因盲目追高而承担不必 要的风险。 金价为何如此大幅上涨?从直接原因来看,本周国际金价飙升源于近期地缘政治风险 ...
中国期货每日简报-20260127
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2026-01-27 01:06
Investment consulting business qualification:CSRC License [2012] No. 669 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669 号 中国期货每日简报 桂晨曦 Gui Chenxi 从业资格号 Qualification No:F3023159 投资咨询号 Consulting No.:Z0013632 CITIC Futures International Service Platform:https://internationalservice.citicsf.com 摘要 Abstract Macro News: The MFAresponded to reports that British Prime Minister will visit China this week. Futures Prices: On Jan 26, equity index futures and CGB futures were mixed. Most Commodities rose, with Precious Metals leading the ri ...
金价、银价飙升,有上市公司“炒银”大赚数亿元
证券时报· 2026-01-14 14:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent surge in gold and silver prices, leading to increased activity among listed companies in the precious metals sector, with some companies opting to cash in on their silver holdings while others pursue acquisitions in the mining space [1][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since the beginning of 2026, gold and silver prices have continued to rise sharply, with gold reaching a record high of $4641.853 per ounce and silver exceeding $92 per ounce [1][10]. - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's Au99.99 contract price has increased by over 6% since the start of 2026, while the annual increase for 2025 was nearly 60% [8]. - Silver prices have seen a cumulative increase of over 27% in less than ten trading days of 2026 [10]. Group 2: Company Activities - Guangzhou-based property management company Qifu Life Service announced the sale of 280,000 ounces of unallocated silver bars, generating approximately 162 million yuan, with total revenue from recent silver sales reaching 247 million yuan [3][5]. - Zhejiang Mining Co. plans to acquire 100% of Alaigyr Company, which holds a lead-silver mine in Kazakhstan, for approximately 3.5 billion tenge (about 4.88 million yuan) [6]. - Hunan Gold is planning to issue shares to acquire assets from Hunan Gold Tianyue Mining Co. and Hunan Zhongnan Gold Smelting Co. [6]. - Shengda Resources intends to purchase a 55% stake in Guangxi Laibin Jinshi Mining Co. for 269.5 million yuan, which holds mining rights for various minerals [6]. - CMOC Limited, a subsidiary of Luoyang Molybdenum, is set to acquire 100% of EQX's LatAm and LGC assets for $1.015 billion, which includes several gold mines [7].
铂钯期货双双涨停,近一周均拉升近30%,明日起交易所限仓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 10:29
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in platinum and palladium futures prices is primarily driven by supply constraints and strong market sentiment, with both metals reaching historical highs [1][5]. Group 1: Price Movements - Platinum futures (PT2606) have increased by 28.49% to 568.45 CNY/gram, while palladium futures (PD2606) have risen by 30.56% to 508.45 CNY/gram since their listing on November 27 [1]. - The main contracts for platinum and palladium futures saw a significant price increase of 7% on the same day, indicating strong market activity [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market sentiment has been influenced by the upcoming nomination of a new Federal Reserve chairman, which has heightened expectations for interest rate cuts due to weak U.S. non-farm payroll data [5][6]. - The unemployment rate in the U.S. rose to 4.6% in November, the highest since September 2021, contributing to the bullish outlook for precious metals [6]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Factors - The supply of platinum is tightening, particularly due to risks associated with electricity supply and extreme weather in South Africa, the main supplier of platinum group metals [6]. - Palladium supply is also under pressure due to geopolitical issues in Russia, where the U.S. Department of Commerce is investigating imports of unrefined palladium [6]. Group 4: Trading Volume and Regulations - Trading volumes for platinum and palladium futures reached new highs on December 19, with 149,400 and 106,800 contracts traded, respectively [7]. - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has implemented new regulations limiting the daily opening positions for non-futures company members in platinum and palladium contracts to 500 lots [7].
铂金价格暴涨背后:宏观预期与供需紧张共振
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 13:37
Core Viewpoint - The significant rise in platinum prices, exceeding 90% year-to-date, is driven by a combination of fundamental supply-demand gaps and macroeconomic liquidity easing, particularly influenced by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement and Drivers - On December 16, platinum prices reached a peak of $1834.94 per ounce, with domestic prices surpassing 400 yuan per gram [1][2]. - The price surge is attributed to two main factors: increased expectations of the Federal Reserve's reduced independence and expanded rate cut potential, alongside tightening supply in the spot market [2]. - The one-month leasing rate for platinum rose to 14.12% as of December 12, indicating a tight supply situation [1]. Group 2: Investment Insights - The World Platinum Investment Council suggests that new futures contracts offer efficient and flexible investment tools for experienced investors, while physical platinum or linked financial products are recommended for ordinary investors [1]. - Analysts maintain a long-term optimistic outlook for platinum prices, with expected trading ranges for NYMEX platinum between $1400 and $2400 per ounce, translating to approximately 370 to 630 yuan per gram domestically [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The ongoing supply shortage and liquidity easing are expected to support platinum prices in the medium to long term, despite potential short-term volatility influenced by other precious metals [3]. - The domestic platinum futures market is developing, which may enhance pricing power in China, as domestic prices have shown a premium over international prices [3].
资产配置日报:反弹与压力并存-20251127
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-27 15:24
Domestic Market Performance - The equity market experienced fluctuations on November 27, with the Wind All A Index declining by 0.01% and a total trading volume of 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 74 billion yuan from the previous day [2] - The ChiNext Index faced selling pressure after breaking through the 3100 point mark, confirming previous reports that it was nearing a peak and facing profit-taking pressure [2][3] - The overall market remains in a volatile state, with the Wind All A Index showing a pattern of rising and falling over three consecutive days, indicating insufficient confidence among investors [2] Index and Industry Recovery - The recovery of major indices since the significant drop on November 21 shows varied performance, with the CSI 2000 index down only 0.52%, while the Shanghai Composite and CSI 500 indices fell by 1.20% and 1.57%, respectively [3] - The technology sector has been the main focus of the rebound, with the STAR 200 index recovering its losses from November 21, showing an overall increase of 1.41% [3] - The media and communication sectors saw increases of 3.75% and 3.67%, driven by narratives surrounding AI applications and optical communications [3] Investment Opportunities - Potential rebound opportunities include the domestic electronic industry, which has not yet shown significant recovery, and the power equipment sector, which may attract funds as market sentiment shifts [3] - The automation equipment sector, particularly robotics, has only just begun to recover from previous declines and may present further investment opportunities [3] - If market sentiment weakens, the underperforming dividend sector could benefit from risk-averse behavior among investors [3] Hong Kong Market Insights - Southbound capital has shown a cautious attitude, with a shift from continuous net inflows to slight net outflows, indicating a wait-and-see approach among investors [4] - The consumer sector in Hong Kong has seen gains, potentially linked to upcoming policy discussions, while the A-share consumer policy debate has yet to gain momentum [4] Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market has returned to a weak oscillation pattern, with institutions remaining cautious and continuing to sell bonds [4] - The yields on 10-year and 30-year government bonds rose by 1.0 and 0.3 basis points, respectively, reflecting ongoing market pressures [4][6] - The overall cautious sentiment in the bond market is expected to persist in the short term, with investors awaiting new information to shift market expectations [6] Commodity Market Overview - The domestic commodity market has shown stable performance with notable structural highlights, particularly in precious metals like platinum and palladium, which saw significant price increases on their first trading day [7] - Precious metals have continued to attract investment, with silver outperforming gold, and industrial metals showing mild recovery [7][8] - The glass market has experienced a five-day rally, attributed to low valuations and supply contraction expectations [9] Fund Flows and Market Sentiment - The commodity market experienced a slight outflow of 0.5 billion yuan, but precious metals have seen consistent inflows, indicating strong investor interest [8] - The market is beginning to price in risks associated with the Federal Reserve's independence, supporting a mild increase in precious metal prices [8] - The silver inventory has dropped nearly 50% since mid-October, leading to a "short squeeze" scenario that has driven up silver prices [8]