Domestic News - The Shanghai Futures Exchange and Dalian Commodity Exchange will expand the participation scope of qualified foreign institutional investors in commodity futures and options trading, effective from June 20, 2025 [1] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange issued a draft notice proposing to cancel the registration of reinvestment by foreign-invested enterprises in China and allow foreign direct investment profits to be reinvested domestically [1] International News - U.S. President Trump reiterated that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates [2] - The Israeli military reported that Iran has launched over 400 ballistic missiles at Israel; Israeli journalists claimed that Israel attacked Khamenei's underground headquarters in Tehran [3] - The International Atomic Energy Agency's Director General Grossi stated that there is no evidence showing Iran is manufacturing nuclear weapons [4] - Market news indicated that if the U.S. intervenes in the conflict between Israel and Iran, Russia threatens to intervene [4]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley has raised its GDP growth forecast for China for the year 2025 due to recent policy adjustments and increased consumer contributions to the economy [1] - The "old-for-new" policy has doubled in scale from 150 billion to 300 billion yuan, contributing positively to consumer spending [1] - Key highlights of the current economic development include confidence boosted by technological innovation, strong performance in new economic sectors, and excellent sales in related consumer goods driven by the "old-for-new" policy [1] Group 2 - The outlook for Chinese stocks remains positive for 2025, supported by three main factors: earnings growth of Chinese stock assets, a reduction in external disturbances, and policy support for the capital market [1] - The focus on innovation-driven sectors is emphasized, with a neutral rating on the information technology sector due to high valuations, while maintaining a positive outlook on the internet and healthcare sectors, particularly in innovative pharmaceuticals [2] - Thematic trading opportunities include financial market reforms and industry mergers and acquisitions [2]

在峰会召开前一天（5月21日），摩根大通举办媒体见面会，公布了摩根大通对于中国经济和股市的最新观 点。 摩根大通中国首席经济学家兼大中华区经济研究主管朱海斌表示，中美日内瓦经贸会谈之后，他上调了中国经 济增速预期。中国这两年出现了最深刻、最广泛的一轮政策调整，2024年9月至年底是上半场，而2025年以来 进入下半场。 摩根大通首席亚洲及中国股票策略师刘鸣镝认为，今年最看好的是港股，A股也将有不错表现。目前是逢低吸 纳的时机，市场可能在90天贸易谈判结束后区间出现突破。行业上，看好互联网和医疗卫生，建议低配电力和 能源。 摩根大通第21届全球中国峰会将于5月22日至23日在上海举行。据悉，本届峰会以"资本为桥 连通世 界"为主题，汇聚了来自全球33个国家和地区、1400多家企业的超过2800名参会者。 朱海斌指出，尽管国内消费有所稳定，但整体仍然相对偏弱。4月份的主要经济指标中，零售消费显著低于市 场预期。因此，他认为下一步政策的重点应该放在提振消费，以及增强居民的收入增长和就业信心上。 刘鸣镝：目前是逢低吸纳时机，看好互联网、医疗行业 朱海斌：中国进行了最深刻、广泛的一轮政策调整 朱海斌首先回顾了今年以来宏 ...

摩根大通第21届全球中国峰会将于5月22日至23日在上海举行。据悉，本届峰会以"资本为桥 连通世界"为主 题，汇聚了来自全球33个国家和地区、1400多家企业的超过2800名参会者。 在峰会召开前一天（5月21日），摩根大通举办媒体见面会，公布了摩根大通对于中国经济和股市的最新观 点。 摩根大通中国首席经济学家兼大中华区经济研究主管朱海斌表示，中美日内瓦经贸会谈之后，他上调了中国经 济增速预期。中国这两年出现了最深刻、最广泛的一轮政策调整，2024年9月至年底是上半场，而2025年以来 进入下半场。 摩根大通首席亚洲及中国股票策略师刘鸣镝认为，今年最看好的是港股，A股也将有不错表现。目前是逢低吸 纳的时机，市场可能在90天贸易谈判结束后区间出现突破。行业上，看好互联网和医疗卫生，建议低配电力和 能源。 朱海斌：中国进行了最深刻、广泛的一轮政策调整 朱海斌首先回顾了今年以来宏观政策的波动。他谈到，年初以来特朗普回归后美国的贸易政策反复，波动幅度 之大远超市场此前预期。从过程来看，最大波动产生在4月份美国对中国关税一度加到145%之后，摩根大通也 曾下调中国及全球2025年全年经济预测。在中美日内瓦经贸会谈之后， ...