根据最新经济模型预测，2025年中国北方地区GDP十强城市格局将呈现稳中有进、竞争加剧的态势。北京作为国家经济与政治中心，其龙头地位无可撼动， 预计GDP将突破5.26万亿元大关，增量接近2800亿元，名义增速达5.59%，继续以绝对优势领跑北方。 天津凭借雄厚的产业基础和港口优势，预计2025年GDP将超越1.85万亿元，达到约1.86万亿元，维持北方第二的位置。然而其3.20%的名义增速在十强中相 对平缓，与第三名青岛的差距或将进一步缩小。青岛展现出强劲增长动能，预测GDP将达1.79万亿元，增量高达1170亿元，名义增速7.0%领跑十强，其海洋 经济、智能制造等新兴产业的蓬勃发展是核心驱动力。 郑州作为国家中心城市，预计2025年GDP将达1.54万亿元，保持北方第四。济南则表现更为活跃，预测GDP为1.43万亿元，增量803亿元，名义增速5.94%高 于郑州的5.84%，稳固其第五名的地位。两市共同构成北方经济版图的重要支撑点。 北京一超地位稳固，引领作用显著。 万亿级城市数量增加，烟台、唐山、大连均迈入或站稳万亿俱乐部。 西安作为西北核心，预测GDP约1.40万亿元，维持北方第六。烟台、唐山、大连三 ...

再来看那些稳健前行的核心城市。上海和北京，作为中国经济的"双核"，地位依然无可撼动。预计2025年，上海GDP将突破5.7万亿元，北京也将超过5.2万 亿元，增量双双超过3000亿元，增速保持在6%以上。深圳紧随其后，预计以近3.9万亿元的经济总量稳居第三，其6.25%的增速在超一线城市中显得尤为亮 眼。成都、杭州、青岛、合肥、西安等城市，也在庞大的经济体量下，保持着6?.5%的强劲增长动力。 长江三角洲城市群的经济韧性和活力令人瞩目。江苏省的龙头城市苏州，预计2025年GDP将历史性地突破2.8万亿元大关，进一步巩固其"最强地级市"的地 位。南京、无锡、南通、常州、徐州五城携手入围，使得江苏一省独占六席，充分彰显了其雄厚的综合实力。浙江省的杭州和宁波同样表现抢眼，杭州预计 超过2.3万亿元，而宁波则以18840.69亿元的成绩，将与郑州的差距扩大至近3500亿元，其世界级港口与先进制造业集群的协同效应功不可没。值得一提的 是，温州也成功跻身30强。 中西部核心城市也在加速崛起。成都预计将成为继重庆之后，第二个跨过2.5万亿门槛的中西部城市，其增速高达6.47%。武汉和长沙，作为中部崛起的重要 支点，GDP预 ...

展望2025年，中国城市经济版图跃然纸上，一份预测榜单揭示了令人瞩目的发展蓝图。上海以56,880亿元的傲人经济总量稳坐头把交椅，尽显龙头风范；紧 随其后的北京亦不甘示弱，预计将达到52,630亿元。而深圳，这座充满活力的创新之都，正以38,910亿元的GDP逼近四万亿大关，位列第三。 榜单中，新一线城市如成都、杭州等展现出令人欣喜的增长速度，为中国经济注入新鲜血液。更值得关注的是，温州首次突破万亿GDP，达到10,307亿元， 标志着区域经济发展迎来了新的里程碑，也预示着中国经济发展更加均衡。此外，福州正奋力追赶郑州，二者差距不断缩小，也暗示着东部沿海城市群的崛 起。 | | 2025年全国GDP30强城市预测 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 城市 排名 | | 2025年GDP（亿元） 2024年GDP(亿元) 增量(亿元) | | 名义增速 | | 1上海 | 56,880.12 | 53,926.71 | 2,953.41 | 5.48% | | 2北京 | 52,630.15 | 49,843.10 | 2,787.05 | 5.59% | | 3 ...

1、纳指大涨2.69%，特斯拉、谷歌涨超6%，中国指数涨2.82%； 2、特朗普：已接受邀请明年4月访华； 3、WTI 1月原油期货收涨1.34%，现货黄金涨1.8%； 4、美联储12月降息25个基点的概率升至八成； 5、美联储沃勒：我主张在12月降息； 6、美联储戴利：就业市场可能突然恶化 支持在12月降息； 7、高盛首席经济学家：预计美联储将于12月降息； 8、德银：明年标普500指数目标位上看8000点； 9、美国银行：黄金价格2026年或将达到5000美元 10、美国9月PCE报告将改期至12月5日晚上10点发布； 11、特朗普下令启动"创世使命" 计划 大力推动AI科研革命； 12、亚马逊豪掷500亿美元，扩建美国政府AI算力； 13、德国总理：本周乌克兰谈判不会取得突破； 11、公告精选︱广电计量：拟投资建设广电计量西南(成都)检测基地；工业富联：未向市场下调第四季 度利润目标； 12、A股投资避雷针︱东方海洋：股东国元基金拟减持不超过3%股份；东江环保：子公司收到税务行 政处罚决定书。 格隆汇11月25日｜国际要闻： 大中华区要闻： 1、央行：11月25日开展10000亿元MLF操作； 2、标普 ...

Core Viewpoint - India's GDP is projected to surpass Japan's by 2026, reaching approximately $4.5056 trillion, and is expected to rise to the third position globally by 2029 [1][6]. Group 1: GDP Projections - Japan's nominal GDP is estimated to be $4.4636 trillion in 2026, dropping from the fourth to the fifth position globally due to the depreciation of the yen and the shrinking GDP in dollar terms [1][3]. - In 2024, Japan's GDP is projected at $4.0193 trillion, ranking fourth after the US, China, and Germany, having fallen from third place in 2023 [3]. - By 2025, Japan's GDP is expected to reach $4.2798 trillion, with the reversal of positions between India and Japan occurring later than previously anticipated [3][6]. Group 2: Economic Growth Factors - India's significant population growth and the surge in the middle class are driving economic expansion [4][6]. - India's domestic automobile sales surpassed Japan's in 2022, making it the third largest market globally after China and the US [6]. - Projected growth rates indicate that India will achieve high growth of 6.6% in 2025 and 6.2% in 2026, while Japan's real wage growth is expected to support personal consumption at 1.1% in 2025, slowing to 0.6% in 2026 due to weak external demand [6]. Group 3: Future Outlook - By 2030, Japan's GDP is anticipated to rise to $5.1198 trillion but will be surpassed by the UK at $5.1997 trillion, resulting in Japan falling to sixth place globally [6].

Group 1 - The global economic landscape in 2025 will prominently feature the performances of the US, China, and Russia, with the US maintaining a GDP of approximately 216 trillion RMB, showcasing its strong economic power [3] - China's GDP is projected to reach around 141.75 trillion RMB, with a growth target of 5% for 2025, reflecting a robust economic stance [3][16] - Russia's GDP is expected to decline to 16 trillion RMB, with a growth forecast reduced from 2.5% to 1.5%, indicating significant economic challenges [5][13] Group 2 - The US economy, while appearing strong with a GDP of 216 trillion RMB, faces underlying issues such as persistent inflation and declining domestic purchasing power [7][9] - The US national debt has surpassed 37 trillion USD, leading to an average debt burden of 110,000 USD per citizen, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability [9] - In contrast, China is effectively managing its local debt and is close to completing a 2 trillion RMB debt swap, indicating a healthier fiscal position compared to the US [20] Group 3 - China's economic resilience is attributed to technological advancements and industrial upgrades, with significant growth in exports, particularly in automobiles and ships [18] - The shift in China's export structure and its non-hegemonic approach to international relations contribute to its stable economic growth [18][22] - Russia's economy, while showing some resilience through increased oil exports and new trade partnerships, remains heavily impacted by sanctions and military expenditures [15][22] Group 4 - The contrasting economic trajectories of the three nations highlight the importance of long-term sustainability over short-term gains, with the US facing "low growth, high consumption" challenges, Russia struggling under sanctions, and China demonstrating steady progress [20][24] - The future global economic order will depend on each country's ability to address internal challenges and seize development opportunities [24]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs reports that the July core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index met market expectations, but the unexpected widening of the goods trade deficit led to a downward revision of the U.S. third-quarter economic growth forecast [1] - The July core PCE price index increased by 0.27% month-on-month and rose to 2.88% year-on-year, aligning with Goldman Sachs' previous predictions and market expectations [1] - The overall PCE price index rose by 0.20% month-on-month and increased to 2.60% year-on-year, consistent with Goldman Sachs and market forecasts [1] Group 2 - In July, U.S. personal income grew by 0.4% month-on-month, driven by increases in employment compensation, owner income, rental income, and asset income [3] - Personal spending also showed strong performance, with a month-on-month increase of 0.5%, slightly above Goldman Sachs' forecast [3] - The savings rate in July remained at 4.4%, a slight decrease from the previously reported June figure of 4.5% [3] Group 3 - The U.S. goods trade deficit widened significantly in July, expanding by $18.7 billion to $103.6 billion, exceeding Goldman Sachs and market expectations [4] - The widening deficit was primarily due to a $18.6 billion increase in imports, while exports saw a slight decrease [4] - Goldman Sachs emphasized that the unexpected trade deficit is the main reason for the downward adjustment of the third-quarter GDP tracking estimate by 0.2 percentage points to 1.6% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Chilean government maintains its GDP growth forecast for 2025 at 2.5% [1] Economic Outlook - The GDP growth forecast reflects the government's assessment of economic conditions and potential recovery trends [1]

Group 1 - The Chilean government maintains its GDP growth forecast for 2025 at 2.5% [1]

Group 1 - Barclays no longer expects the US to enter a recession in the second half of 2025 and has raised its economic growth forecast [1] - The forecast for the Eurozone GDP in 2025 is now flat, previously expected to shrink by 0.2% [1]