Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a positive outlook on the recovery of lithium battery material prices and anticipates accelerated development in the sodium battery industry [3] - The electric power equipment sector has shown strong performance, with a 42.8% increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [4] - The report emphasizes the ongoing high demand for energy storage, with significant project signings and a robust pipeline for future installations [7] Summary by Sections Wind Power - Domestic land wind turbine bidding reached 9.64GW as of December 20, 2025, with major companies initiating large-scale procurement [5] - The report expects continued growth in installed capacity for 2026, driven by high demand and favorable bidding conditions [5] Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic industry chain has seen widespread price increases, with N-type polysilicon prices rising by 1.2% and N-type TOPCon battery prices increasing by 13.3% [6] - The report suggests that supply-side reforms are enhancing industry sentiment, with a positive outlook for profitability in 2026 [6] Energy Storage - China Power Construction Corporation signed contracts for energy storage projects totaling 50 billion yuan, with a significant number of projects in the pipeline [7] - The report anticipates strong growth in overseas energy storage demand, particularly in Europe and emerging markets [7] Lithium Batteries - Several leading lithium iron phosphate manufacturers are undergoing simultaneous production halts for maintenance, coinciding with a price increase trend in the industry [7] - The report indicates that improved supply-demand dynamics may lead to a recovery in prices and profitability for lithium iron phosphate manufacturers [7] Sodium Batteries - The sodium battery industry is entering a phase of deep development, with advancements in technology and market penetration [7] - The report highlights the growing demand for sodium batteries in various applications, including energy storage and commercial vehicles [7] AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) - ByteDance plans to invest $23 billion in artificial intelligence, which is expected to drive demand for AIDC infrastructure [8] - The report notes that the shift towards energy-intensive operations by tech giants is likely to increase the demand for power equipment [8] Electric Grid - Alphabet's acquisition of an energy developer marks a trend of tech companies investing in power infrastructure [8] - The report suggests that the growing demand for data centers will continue to drive the need for electric power equipment [8]

近日，在格隆汇举办的 "科技赋能·资本破局"分享会上，华金证券研究所副所长、电力设备新能源行业首席分析师贺朝晖围绕"反内卷与科 技"双轮驱动，聚焦"核聚变、AIDC供电架构、固态电池"三大科技领域展开分析。 贺朝晖认为， 反内卷 与 科技两个词 ， 说明了 电新 行业现在整体周期的驱动力，以及未来发展的驱动力。 从多项关键指标看，电新行业 或已 进入周期触底、景气回升的新阶段。 随着价格反弹、盈利能力提升，电新行业具有极大的基金持仓配置提升空间。 2026年 比较看好细分的 beta 的周期复苏方向 以及 科技 alpha 的成长方向 。 1 反内卷加速行业触底反弹 回顾 2025年，电新行业 迎来触底反弹， 全年 指数 涨幅达 39%，在市场中名列前茅。 从长周期看， 光伏、锂电、风电指数 呈现出典型的 "三年涨、三年跌"规律，波动与宏观政策及产业变迁紧密相连。 2011-2012年， 因欧美启动双反，行业表现不佳。 2013-2015年，因高额补贴与抢装， 行业迎来突飞猛进的发展 。 2016-2018年，因政策调整（ 国内 531新政 、 风电预警机监测机制的执行 ） 行业受 挫。 从基本面指标分析，电 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Artificial Intelligence Data Center (AIDC) industry is becoming a core growth engine for the machinery sector, benefiting from the strong momentum of global AI development and computing power expansion [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The gas turbine sector is experiencing significant growth due to increased orders and energy bottlenecks in North America, with both quantity and prices showing a clear upward trend [1] - Market confidence in diesel engines, liquid cooling, and gas turbines has strengthened since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The company maintains an "overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting a focus on gas turbines, diesel generators, and cooling equipment sectors amid simultaneous growth in sales and prices [1]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the electric power equipment and new energy industry narrative is based on the dual themes of "new power system construction + digital infrastructure construction" under the ongoing "dual carbon" strategy and rapid development of the digital economy [3][12][25] - The electric new energy sector has shown significant performance, with an overall increase of approximately 38.4% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 15.7% [16][18] - The report categorizes investment opportunities into two main lines: "new growth" and "high-quality development," analyzing various segments of the electric new energy industry [3][25] Group 2 - In the "new growth" category, key areas include AIDC, solid-state batteries, and humanoid robots, driven by global energy transition, technological advancements, and increasing demand [3][25][13] - The "high-quality development" category highlights storage, wind power, and photovoltaic sectors, with improvements in economic viability and market conditions leading to increased demand and profitability [4][26][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of solid-state batteries, which offer high energy density and safety, and are expected to see accelerated industrialization supported by favorable policies [30][32][41] Group 3 - The report provides earnings forecasts and valuations for key companies in the electric new energy sector, indicating a positive outlook for companies like CATL, Xiamen Tungsten, and others, with recommended ratings [5][27][28] - The analysis includes specific EPS and PE ratios for various companies, suggesting strong growth potential in the coming years [5][27][28] - The report also discusses the competitive landscape and technological advancements in the solid-state battery market, highlighting the importance of material innovations and safety improvements [30][41][45]

AI Computing Power - AI computing power is entering a new stage, with a focus on structural changes by 2026, including a shift in demand from training to inference computing [2] - Capital expenditure (Capex) investment structure shows stability among leading cloud providers, with second-tier cloud providers joining the market [2] - The architecture of computing networks is evolving, with scale-up and scale-across strategies contributing to increased network demand [2] - Continuous upgrades in GPU technology and the rise of ASIC chips are accelerating the growth of domestic computing power [2] Optical Interconnection - The industry is facing a supply-demand imbalance, particularly in optical modules, optical chips, and Faraday rotators [3] - Key technological trends include 1.6T, silicon photonics, OCS, and CPO, with a focus on resolving supply-demand conflicts and the impact of technological upgrades on supplier dynamics and profitability by 2026 [3] - Major beneficiaries of technological upgrades in the optical module sector include leading companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology [3] - Supply constraints are noted for optical chip suppliers such as Yuanjie Technology and Shijia Photonics [3] Liquid Cooling - The server liquid cooling market is at a historic turning point, with significant demand in North America, Southeast Asia, and China, particularly in the North American computing market [4] - Current suppliers of liquid cooling solutions are primarily from Taiwan and the United States, with potential for domestic manufacturers to achieve breakthroughs [4] - Key focus on Invec [4] AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) - The IDC industry is expected to maintain an expansion trend driven by AI development, with an increase in AIDC penetration rates by 2026 [5] - Core focus areas include the international expansion of third-party IDC companies and the optimization of industry competition dynamics [5] - New REITs are anticipated to be released, enhancing companies' financing capabilities [5] Supernode Integrated Equipment - The supernode network requires high standards for complete cabinets, circuit boards, and connection chips, with strong supply chain dependencies [6] - Focus on connection chip suppliers, including switching chips and interface chips, as well as Ethernet switch manufacturers [6] Commercial Aerospace - The low Earth orbit satellite sector is entering an accelerated growth phase, supported by national policies and a strong upward trend in the commercial aerospace industry [7] - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket marks the beginning of a new era for China's commercial aerospace sector, which is expected to experience rapid growth [7] - Key variables include the success rate of various rocket payloads and capacity planning, with attention to satellite constellation bidding orders once capacity stabilizes [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the European offshore wind catalysis continues to strengthen, and the supply-demand pattern of lithium batteries is improving [1] - The overall performance of the power equipment sector shows positive changes and potential catalysts, maintaining an overall "Recommended" rating for the sector [7] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The power equipment sector has shown a performance of -5.4% over the last month, 10.2% over the last three months, and 33.1% over the last year, compared to the CSI 300 index [3] Key Events and Insights - In the photovoltaic sector, there is a continued decline in prices for silicon wafers, batteries, and modules, with a significant reduction in domestic polysilicon production by 15.9% month-on-month in November [4] - In the wind power sector, domestic offshore wind turbine bidding has reached 10.3GW, a 9% increase from the previous year, with significant developments in emerging markets [5] - The energy storage sector is seeing growth, with Trina Solar's energy storage shipments expected to exceed 5GWh in Q4, and a focus on overseas markets [5] - The lithium battery industry is experiencing high prosperity, with production expected to remain at a historical high of around 220GWh in December [5] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the silicon material sector such as GCL-Poly and Tongwei, as well as battery technology firms like LONGi Green Energy and Aiko Solar [4] - For wind power, companies like Dongfang Cable and Goldwind Technology are recommended due to their involvement in significant projects [5] - In the energy storage space, leading integrators and cell manufacturers such as Sungrow Power and CATL are highlighted as key players [5] - The lithium battery sector is advised to focus on leading companies like CATL and Yiwei Lithium Energy, as the industry is moving towards a more rational growth phase [5]

Core Viewpoint - The recent pullback in the new energy sector is attributed to profit-taking after a short-term surge, while the fundamental outlook remains positive with sustained downstream demand [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The new energy sector experienced a notable correction on November 18, primarily due to profit realization by some investors after a recent rally, but the underlying fundamentals have not changed significantly [1] - Future focus areas include: 1. Continued prosperity in sectors like energy storage and lithium batteries, with attention on domestic battery manufacturers' production schedules and the upcoming Spring Festival holiday [1] 2. Recovery in struggling sectors such as photovoltaics and lithium materials, with a focus on price increases across various segments [1] 3. Future industries like AIDC and solid-state batteries, monitoring performance in the U.S. market and subsequent evaluations by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Investors interested in targeted exposure to lithium battery demand and breakthroughs in solid-state batteries may consider the New Energy Vehicle ETF (159806), which covers the entire lithium battery supply chain with approximately 65% solid-state battery content [2] - For those looking for comprehensive coverage of lithium batteries, energy storage, photovoltaics, and wind power, the 20cm ChiNext New Energy ETF (159387) and the Carbon Neutrality 50 ETF (159861) are recommended, with solid-state and energy storage content around 65% [2]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Industrials** sector, particularly automation, AIDC (Automatic Identification and Data Capture) equipment, and PCB (Printed Circuit Board) companies [1][2]. Core Insights - **Positive Growth Outlook for 2026**: Automation companies, including OPT and Yiheda, expressed confidence in growth for 2026, driven by robust demand from downstream customers, particularly in the 3C (computer, communication, consumer electronics) sector, including products from Apple [4][10]. - **Market Share Gains**: Chinese automation companies are expected to gain market share through strategies such as product standardization and customer expansion, with AI playing a crucial role in these efforts [4][5]. - **Strong AIDC Demand**: The demand for AIDC is resilient, benefiting companies across the supply chain. AI-related products are seen as key profit drivers, with companies like Dtech reporting a gross profit margin (GPM) of over 50% for AI-related PCB drills [5][10]. Company-Specific Insights Envicool (002837.SZ) - **Overseas Expansion**: Management is optimistic about mass production for overseas customers, particularly in sectors related to Nvidia and Google. They aim for a balanced domestic and overseas revenue mix of 50% each in the mid-term [11][12]. - **Technological Integration**: Envicool's competitive edge lies in its technology integration and customization capabilities, enhancing operational stability for clients [12]. Dtech (301377.SZ) - **Capacity Expansion**: Dtech is aggressively expanding its capacity, currently at 110 million units per month, with plans to reach 150 million by mid-2026. The company holds a ~30% global market share in PCB drills [13][14]. - **AI Revenue Growth**: AI-related revenue is projected to account for 20% of total revenue this year, with expectations for further growth in 2026 [14]. OPT (688686.SS) - **3C Demand Growth**: OPT reported a 28% year-on-year growth in its 3C business revenue for the first nine months of 2025, with a significant portion linked to Apple [16]. - **Battery Business Expansion**: The battery segment saw a 51% year-on-year revenue increase, with direct procurement from major players like BYD and CATL contributing significantly [17]. Yiheda (301029.SZ) - **3C Growth Expectations**: Yiheda anticipates growth in the 3C sector to exceed 20% year-on-year in 2026, driven by increased capital expenditure from clients like Luxshare [21]. - **Battery Segment Stability**: The battery segment is expected to maintain at least flat revenue year-on-year in 2026, supported by ongoing capex expansions from BYD [22]. Sinexcel (300693.SZ) - **ESS Demand Outlook**: Sinexcel expects its overseas ESS (Energy Storage System) business to contribute around 50% of total ESS revenue by 2026, with strong growth anticipated in charging pile demand [25][26]. - **HVDC Product Development**: The company is progressing with its HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) products, with demo samples expected to be sent to key customers in early 2026 [26]. Additional Insights - **AI as a Growth Driver**: The integration of AI technologies is seen as a critical factor for enhancing product standardization and expanding customer bases across the industry [4][5]. - **Investor Interest**: There is high investor interest in sectors such as liquid cooling, PCB, and power ESS, indicating a favorable outlook for companies involved in these areas [10]. Conclusion The conference call highlighted a positive outlook for the China Industrials sector, particularly in automation and AI-related technologies, with several companies expressing confidence in growth driven by robust demand and strategic expansions.

Core Viewpoint - The mechanical industry is expected to have significant investment opportunities in the technology innovation sector by 2026, with structural opportunities arising from both domestic demand recovery and high export demand [2][5]. Group 1: Technology Innovation and AI Infrastructure - The AI infrastructure is expected to benefit from high capital expenditure and rapid technological iterations, leading to new opportunities in the mechanical sector. Overseas capital expenditure for computing power is exceeding expectations, driving demand for PCB equipment and AIDC [2][5]. - The next generation of chips, such as Rubin, may increase processing requirements for PCB, cold plates, and quick connectors, while also promoting new technologies like micro-channel liquid cooling, enhancing the value of equipment and consumables [2][5]. Group 2: Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot industry is anticipated to accelerate by 2026, with a focus on leading companies expanding production. The period from 2022 to 2025 is seen as a transition from prototype to small-scale engineering, with 2026 potentially marking the year of mass production for Tesla [7]. - Attention should be given to the performance upgrades of domestic humanoid robots and the rapid development of application scenarios [7]. Group 3: Export Chain - The export chain should focus on sectors with global competitiveness, such as engineering machinery, hardware tools, motorcycles, and oil service equipment, which are expected to benefit from internationalization and reforms [3][12]. - The engineering machinery sector is seeing significant growth in exports, particularly in the U.S. due to the recent interest rate cuts, which are likely to boost demand [11]. Group 4: Specialized Equipment - Specialized equipment sectors are expected to experience turning points and technological changes, with a focus on areas like solid-state batteries and nuclear fusion, as well as segments like 3C equipment and coal machinery that are showing signs of recovery [3][15]. - The lithium battery equipment sector is projected to see a growth spurt, with domestic capital expenditure expected to maintain a growth rate of around 20% [16]. Group 5: General Cyclical Opportunities - The general cyclical sector is expected to see a bottoming out, with structural opportunities emerging in areas like machine tools, injection molding machines, and industrial gases, as demand recovers [13][14]. - The demand for industrial gases is expected to improve, although there may still be pressure on gas prices [14]. Group 6: 3C Automation Equipment - The 3C automation equipment sector is anticipated to enter a hardware innovation phase in 2026, driven by new product trends such as foldable screens and AI glasses [17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [1]. Core Views - The machinery sector continues to show resilience, with a focus on high-growth areas such as construction machinery, shipbuilding, robotics, and AIDC [1][5]. - The report highlights a market uptrend, with traditional sectors like mining and metallurgy machinery gaining attention due to favorable market sentiment [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Machinery Sector Performance - In October, the CITIC machinery sector declined by 0.32%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.94 percentage points, ranking 19th among 30 CITIC primary industries [4][10]. - Key sub-sectors such as mining and metallurgy machinery, nuclear power equipment, and shipbuilding saw significant gains, with increases of 8.2%, 6.05%, and 4.92% respectively [4][10]. 2. Engineering Machinery - In September, excavator sales reached 19,858 units, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%, while loader sales were 10,530 units, up 30.5% [22][31]. - The report suggests that the engineering machinery sector is in a recovery phase, with leading companies expected to see performance improvements [43]. 3. Robotics - Industrial robot production in September was 76,287 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.3% [44]. - The report emphasizes the upward cycle in the robotics industry, particularly in humanoid robots, which are gaining traction in the market [53]. 4. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a period of adjustment, with new orders declining by 23.5% year-on-year, while the completion volume increased by 6% [54]. - Despite the decline in new orders, the profitability of shipbuilding companies is expected to continue recovering [54].