广发证券首席金工分析师 安宁宁 SAC: S0260512020003 anningning@gf.com.cn 广发证券联席首席金工分析师 陈原文 SAC: S0260517080003 chenyuanwen@gf.com.cn 联系人：广发证券金工高级研究员 林涛 SAC: S0260124060060 gflintao@gf.com.cn 广发金工安宁宁陈原文团队 摘要 （如无特别说明，本文数据均来源于wind，数据截至2026/01/23） 2025年业绩预告整体统计： 截至目前最新的统计结果显示，2025年年报业绩预告累计披露率约为13.1%，累计业绩积极率（业绩预告类型预增、略增、续盈、 扭亏为积极，下同）约为40.3%。在已披露业绩预告的717家公司中，业绩预增公司共有180家，占比25.1%；业绩略增公司共45家，占比6.3%；业绩扭亏公司 共58家，占比8.1%；业绩续盈公司共6家，占比0.8%；业绩预减、首亏、续亏、略减和不确定的公司共428家，占比59.7%。 | 业绩预告类型 | 公司数量 | 卡比 | | --- | --- | --- | | 不确定 | 5 | 0.7% | | ...

作者 丨易妍君 截至2026年1月22日，公募基金2025年第4季度报告基本披露完毕，主动权益基金前十大重仓 股名单随之更新。 从持股绝对市值来看，据国信证券经济研究所金融工程组统计， 截至2025年4季度末，主动权 益基金持有市值排名前十的个股依次是：中际旭创、新易盛、宁德时代、腾讯控股、紫金矿 业、阿里巴巴-W、寒武纪-U、立讯精密、贵州茅台、东山精密。 编辑丨张星 公募主动权益基金第一大重仓股有了"新面孔"。 机构最新统计数据显示，截至2025年4季度末， 中际旭创代替宁德时代成为主动权益基金（包 括主动股票基金、偏股混合基金、灵活配置基金）第一大重仓股。 截至1月23日收盘，中际旭创 股价 报585 元，总市值6500亿元。 同时，主动权益基金第二大至第十大重仓股排序均较上一季度发生变化，如新易盛取代腾讯控 股成为基金第二大重仓股，紫金矿业从第八大重仓股晋级为第五大重仓股，寒武纪-U升为第七 大重仓股；而宁德时代、腾讯控股分别退为第三、第四大重仓股，中芯国际退出了前十大重仓 股队列。 另外，主动权益基金在行业配置层面也有调整。据机构统计，2025年4季度，主动权益基金增 配较多的行业包括有色金属、通信 ...

本周，A股稳步上扬，中证500、中证1000均创出多年新高，科创50创年内新高，上证指数、深证成指 等也小幅上涨，大盘蓝筹股走势较弱，上证50近期连续9日下跌，沪深300也连续2周调整。本周总成交 14万亿元，环比略有萎缩。 两融方面，受监管层提高融资保证金比例影响，前半周出现一定融资资金的撤出，但后半周融资资金再 度增加，全周总体小幅净卖出68.9亿元，融资余额仍维持在2.7万亿元以上的高位。有色金属行业获得逾 24亿元融资净买入，非银金融、食品饮料均获得超10亿元净买入，银行、建筑装饰、基础化工等也获得 超亿元净流入。计算机遭融资净卖出逾33亿元，电子、传媒等净卖出超20亿元，机械设备、医药生物等 也净卖出超10亿元。 另据Wind数据统计，电力设备行业全周获得逾523亿元主力资金净流入，有色金属、基础化工均获得超 300亿元净流入，机械设备获得逾270亿元净流入，汽车、国防军工、电子也都获得超百亿元净流入。通 信则遭逾200亿元主力资金净流出，非银金融、食品饮料均净流出超百亿元。 展望后市，英大证券认为，市场在经历连续两年的上涨后，2026年A股市场仍然有上涨空间，未来市场 或将体现为指数中枢抬升（大概 ...

[Table_Page] 金融工程|量化投资专题 2026 年 1 月 23 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 业绩预告与行业表现呈现分化 量化基本面系列之三 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： （如无特别说明，本文数据均来源于 wind，数据截至 2026/01/23） 2025 年业绩预告披露类型 | 业绩预告类型 | 公司数量 | 占比 | | --- | --- | --- | | 不确定 | 5 | 0.7% | | 扭亏 | 58 | 8.1% | | 略减 | 17 | 2.4% | | 略增 | 45 | 6.3% | | 续亏 | 247 | 34.4% | | 续盈 | 6 | 0.8% | | 预减 | 64 | 8.9% | | 预增 | 180 | 25.1% | | 首亏 | 95 | 13.2% | | 积极 | 289 | 40.3% | 数据来源：Wind，广发证券发展研究中心 2025 年业绩预告/快报/正式财报 | | 业绩预告/快报/ | 业绩预告/快报/ | 归母净利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 申万一级行业 | ...

A股三大指数今日（1月23日）集体收涨，收盘上涨个股超3900只，其中收盘股价涨停的有121只。 从一周表现来看，沪指本周累计涨幅0.83%，深证成指累计涨幅1.11%，创业板指累计跌幅0.34%。 本周累计下跌的个股中，46股跌幅均在10%以上，科马材料累计跌超30%，思林杰、博菲电气跌幅均在 24%以上。 | | | 間態設榜 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 简称 | 最新收盘价 | 本周涨幅 | 行业 | | | | (元) | (%) | | | 920086 | 科马材料 | 38.45 | -30.03 | 汽车 | | 688115 | 思林杰 | 50.00 | -29.68 | 机械设备 | | 001255 | 博菲电气 | 41.87 | -24.16 | 其础化工 | | 000638 | *ST万方 | 3.17 | -23.06 | 国防车工 | | 002231 | *ST奥维 | 0.73 | -22.34 | 国防军工 | | 605028 | 世茂龍源 | 27.44 | -21.49 | 公用事业 | | 0021 ...

Group 1 - The average stock price of A-shares is 14.84 yuan, with 29 stocks priced below 2 yuan, the lowest being *ST Aowei at 0.73 yuan [1] - Among the low-priced stocks, 8 are ST stocks, accounting for 27.59% of the total [1] - In terms of market performance, 26 of the low-priced stocks increased in price, with *ST Changyao, *ST Lifang, and Yabo shares leading the gains at 19.48%, 13.91%, and 10.06% respectively [1] Group 2 - The stock price rankings of low-priced stocks show *ST Aowei at 0.73 yuan with a daily decline of 5.19%, while *ST Changyao and *ST Lifang have daily increases of 19.48% and 13.91% respectively [1] - The trading volume for *ST Changyao is notable with a turnover rate of 19.92%, while *ST Lifang has a turnover rate of 26.78% [1] - Other low-priced stocks include *ST Jinke at 1.49 yuan and Chongqing Steel at 1.54 yuan, with respective daily changes of 0.68% and 2.67% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund holdings in 2025 show a significant shift towards technology growth sectors, moving away from traditional consumer and financial sectors [9][10]. Group 1: Changes in Top Holdings - Ningde Times consistently ranked as the top holding throughout 2025, with a market value of 146.8 billion in Q1, 142.7 billion in Q2, 207.1 billion in Q3, and 181.9 billion in Q4 [3]. - Guizhou Moutai, a traditional consumer staple, saw a decline in its ranking and market value, dropping from second place at the beginning of the year to fifth by Q4 [10]. - Tencent Holdings maintained a relatively stable position, fluctuating between second and fourth place [10]. - Notable rises in rankings were observed for Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng, both of which entered the top ten in Q3 and continued to rise in Q4, indicating a strong interest in AI-related stocks [10]. Group 2: Changes in Industry Holdings - The electronics sector remained the top industry for public fund holdings across all four quarters of 2025, with investment values increasing from 518.9 billion in Q1 to 774.5 billion in Q4 [6]. - The food and beverage sector declined from second place in Q1 to seventh place by Q4, reflecting a shift in investor preference [12]. - The medical and biological sector, which ranked high in the first three quarters, was overtaken by the electric equipment and communication sectors in Q4 [12]. - The electric equipment sector improved its ranking from fourth to second place by Q4, while the communication sector rose from outside the top ten to third place [12]. - Non-bank financial and banking sectors experienced an overall decline in rankings, while the non-ferrous metals sector entered the top six in Q4 [13].

Core Viewpoint - The public fund holdings in 2025 show a significant shift towards technology growth sectors, moving away from traditional consumer and financial sectors, with Ningde Times consistently ranking as the top heavy stock throughout the year [9][10]. Group 1: Changes in Top Holdings - Ningde Times maintained its position as the top heavy stock across all quarters, with a market value of 146.8 billion in Q1, 142.7 billion in Q2, 207.1 billion in Q3, and 181.9 billion in Q4 [3]. - Guizhou Moutai, a traditional consumer staple, saw a decline in its ranking and market value, dropping from second place at the beginning of the year to fifth by Q4 [10]. - Tencent Holdings remained relatively stable, fluctuating between second and fourth positions throughout the year [10]. - Notable rises in rankings were observed for technology stocks such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng, which entered the top ten in Q3 and Q4, indicating a strong demand driven by AI computing needs [10]. Group 2: Changes in Industry Holdings - The electronics sector consistently ranked as the top industry for public fund holdings across all four quarters, with investment values increasing from 518.9 billion in Q1 to 774.5 billion in Q4 [6]. - The food and beverage sector declined from second place in Q1 to seventh place by Q4, reflecting a shift in investor preference [12]. - The medical and biological sector maintained a strong presence in the first three quarters but was surpassed by the electric equipment and communication sectors in Q4 [12]. - The electric equipment sector rose from fourth place at the beginning of the year to second place by Q4, while the communication sector made a notable leap from outside the top ten to third place [12]. - Non-bank financial and banking sectors experienced an overall decline in rankings, while the non-ferrous metals sector entered the top six in Q4 [13].

出品｜公司研究室 å文｜雪岩 据不完全统计，截至1月21日收盘时，A股共有587家上市公司披露了2025年度业绩预告。从净利润增幅上限来看，超五成上市公司业绩预喜（包括预增、略 增、续盈、扭亏）。 二级市场对个股业绩关注度升温，但 不少投资者不知道如何参与。目前，参与预喜机会的高效工具当属买进对应主题的投资基金。究竟哪些行业预喜公司 较为集中？哪些基金值得关注？应该如何买入？ 业绩预喜公司 主要集中在哪些行业？ 根据沪深两市业绩预告（尤其是2025年三季度及全年预告），A股预喜公司数量排名前五的行业是：电子、基础化工、汽车、医药生物、机械设备。这五大 行业的预喜公司合计数量，占目前已披露预喜公司总数的近56.6%。这主要反映了上述行业上市公司基数大、景气面广的特点。 从预喜率看，有色金属、钢铁、汽车、家用电器、基础化工这五大行业非常高。 此外，随着国家电网"十五五"期间投资4万亿更新设备的消息发布，电力设备&电网/核电相关公司成为市场热点。除了国家电网"十五五"投资预期升温，AI 数据中心高耗电推动核电采购（谷歌、微软、Meta布局），特高压、柔性直流输电项目落地也是重要原因。 业内人士分析，眼下正处于年报季 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the news is on the performance and characteristics of various ETFs tracking the STAR Market indices, highlighting their composition and sector allocations [2][3][4]. - The STAR 50 ETF consists of 50 large-cap stocks with a significant focus on "hard technology," particularly in the semiconductor sector, which accounts for over 65% of the index [2]. - The STAR 100 ETF is composed of 100 mid-cap stocks, with over 75% of its composition in the electronics, power equipment, and pharmaceutical sectors, indicating a strong emphasis on small and medium-sized innovative enterprises [3]. - The STAR 200 ETF includes 200 smaller-cap stocks, with nearly 70% of its composition in electronics, pharmaceuticals, and machinery sectors, showcasing a focus on growth potential in smaller companies [4]. Group 2 - The STAR 50 ETF has a rolling P/E ratio of 179.8 times, while the STAR 100 ETF has a rolling P/E ratio of 219.8 times, and the STAR 200 ETF has a rolling P/E ratio of 358.1 times, indicating varying valuations across these indices [2][3][4]. - The STAR 50 ETF experienced a slight decline of 0.4%, while the STAR 100 ETF increased by 1.8%, and the STAR 200 ETF rose by 1.4%, reflecting different market dynamics among these ETFs [2][3][4].