❤①新年好，本篇内容较多，照旧我们把重要结论放在前面：看好贵金属>能源金属>战略金属=工业金属。以今 日港股为例，市场主要还是对地缘和关税反应，2.23日港股有色板块全线大涨：香港有色金属指数+4.51%，居港 股行业涨幅前列。个股普涨、放量上行，资金流入明显，呈现贵金属领涨、基本金属/新能源金属共振格局。 其中： 1. 黄金/贵金属（最强） 潼关黄金+12%、赤峰黄金+7%+、紫金黄金国际 中国黄金国际+6%+、紫金矿业 万国黄金 招金矿业+5%+ -核心：地缘避险+金价修复+央行购金+降息预期 2. 锂/新能源金属（次强） 赣锋锂业+8%+、天齐锂业+3%+ -核心：节前持续去库+需求预期较好+板块估值修复+大盘反弹 3. 铜铝/基本金属（跟涨） 五矿资源+6%+、江西铜业+4%+、中国宏桥、洛阳钼业+2%–3% -核心：关税扰动暂缓+油价上行+经济复苏预期+美元走弱 标的选择上，经历了春节前的调整，很多标的又出现较好买点，估值差异并不是非常大 1贵金属：1）黄金 紫金黄金国际、山东黄金、招金矿业、万国黄金集团、中国黄金国际、山金国际等2）白银 盛达资源、兴业银锡等 2能源金属：1）核心弹性标的：国城矿业 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a strong performance in gold-related stocks, with notable increases such as Xiaocheng Technology rising over 12% and Hebang Bio hitting the daily limit of 10% [1] - Recent news indicates that gold and silver prices have strengthened, with spot gold reaching a high of $5249.97, the highest since January 30, and spot silver surpassing $90, a peak since February 5 [1] - UBS maintains a positive outlook on gold, projecting that the international spot gold price could reach $6200 per ounce in the coming months, driven by geopolitical risks and continued monetary easing by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2 - Analysts predict that global gold demand will exceed 5000 tons by 2025, supported by stronger investment flows and ongoing purchases by central banks [1] - Supply growth appears limited, with Wood Mackenzie estimating that around 80 mines will exhaust their current production plans by 2028, indicating constrained supply elasticity in the short term [1] - The following companies experienced significant stock price increases: Xiaocheng Technology (12.91%), Hebang Bio (10.08%), and Hunan Silver (9.65%), among others, reflecting the bullish sentiment in the gold sector [2]

春节期间，现货黄金重返5200美元/盎司。国际金价周一突破每盎司5200美元整数关口，为三周来最高 水平。消息面上，美国贸易政策和经济前景不明朗引发投资者担忧，美元指数周一下跌，叠加美伊谈 判、俄乌和谈仍存变数，推升黄金、白银等避险资产需求。 "末日博士"彼得·希夫预言金价将冲7000美元，取代美元成新锚定资产，背后驱动力是各国央行增持黄 金、美国财政赤字膨胀等。他认为，金价飙升预示着美国将面临远超2008年的复合型危机，源于主权信 用、美债和美元危机共振。此外，他还称新任美联储主席或沦为特朗普傀儡，建议投资者持续增持黄金 白银。 展望后市，有色金属还能再涨吗？中金公司认为，随着短期情绪释放与交易拥挤度明显下降，相关资源 股行情并未结束，历经短期调整后中期有望重拾升势。华泰证券指出，长期来看，有色金属的宏观逻辑 仍然完整，继续作为战略性品种，坚定看好有色金属板块后市表现。 【有色风口已至，"超级周期"势不可挡】 有色ETF华宝（159876）及其联接基金（A类：017140，C类：017141）标的指数全面覆盖铜、铝、黄 金、稀土、锂等行业，涵盖贵金属（避险）、战略金属（成长）、工业金属（复苏）等不同景气周期 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector has experienced a significant surge, driven by geopolitical risks and favorable macroeconomic conditions, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Precious metals stocks saw substantial gains, with notable increases such as Xiaocheng Technology rising over 13%, Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit, and Sichuan Gold increasing by over 9% [1]. - Spot gold prices broke above $5200 per ounce for the first time since January 30, marking a nearly 2% increase within the day [1]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's main silver contract rose by 13%, reaching 22,366 yuan per kilogram [1]. Group 2: Price Forecasts - UBS has raised its gold price target to $6200 per ounce, citing ongoing geopolitical risks and a favorable macro environment as key drivers for rising gold prices [2]. - Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish mid-term outlook on gold, predicting prices will gradually rise to $5400 per ounce by the end of 2026, despite a temporary slowdown in central bank gold purchases [2]. Group 3: Economic and Geopolitical Factors - U.S. economic and employment data have shown positive performance, but concerns about inflation have delayed interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3]. - Geopolitical tensions, including military threats against Iran and ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, have heightened demand for safe-haven assets [3]. - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies, particularly following a Supreme Court ruling against certain tariffs, has contributed to market volatility and increased interest in precious metals [3]. Group 4: Market Trends During Holidays - During the Spring Festival, the precious metals market experienced two phases: initial declines due to expectations of delayed interest rate cuts, followed by a recovery driven by geopolitical tensions [4]. - The U.S. military's deployment in the Middle East and disappointing economic data have combined to create a renewed demand for gold and silver, pushing prices higher towards the end of the holiday period [4].

行情回顾： 国际黄金周一（2月23日）大幅收涨，开盘价5109.38美元/盎司，最高价5204.99美元/盎司，最低价5099.20美元/ 盎司，收盘价5196.37美元/盎司。 消息面： 美国众议院议长约翰逊就1340亿美元关税退税问题表态称，在最高法院作出裁决后，将由白宫决定是否退还 1340亿美元关税，他称这种情况"史无前例"，没有先例可循。他指出，政府方面"有充分理由"，而众议院目前 尚未介入此事。目前民主党人正在推动立法，其中部分人建议直接发放退税支票。 美联储理事沃勒周一表示，如果即将公布的2月份就业数据显示，美国劳动力市场继2025年表现疲软后"转向更 为稳固的状态"，那么他对在美联储3月会议上维持利率不变持开放态度。1月份新增就业岗位意外强劲，达到 13万个，属于"超预期上行"，如果这一态势在2月份得以延续，"我对适宜货币政策的看法可能会倾向于在即将 召开的会议上暂停行动"。 "但如果1月份就业市场的利好消息被修正或在2月份消失，这将支持我在联邦公开 市场委员会（FOMC）上次会议上的立场，即政策利率下调25个基点是合适的，应该在3月份的会议上降 息，"沃勒表示，他认为当前通胀走高在很大程度上 ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices fell over 1% overnight, following a significant rise in the previous day [1] - Hong Kong's three major indices opened lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.62%, the China Enterprises Index down 0.73%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.02% [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks, including Baidu, Alibaba, and Xiaomi, all declined by over 1% [1] - Real estate, wind power, and shipping stocks also experienced declines [1] - In contrast, AI application companies "Zhipu" and "MINIMAX-WP" opened more than 2% higher [1] Investor Sentiment - Rising geopolitical tensions have led to increased risk-averse sentiment among investors, resulting in a majority of gold stocks rising [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is set to open after the Spring Festival, with investors keenly watching for a "good start" in trading, influenced by the positive performance of the Hong Kong stock market during the holiday period [2] Group 1: Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a strong performance during the Spring Festival, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index experiencing upward trends, while traditional sectors like dairy and media lagged [2][3] - Gold stocks surged due to rising international gold prices, with Zijin Mining up over 8% and Shandong Gold up 7.53% during the holiday [3] - The renewable energy sector also performed well, with companies like Ruipu Lanjun and Ganfeng Lithium seeing significant gains, driven by optimistic forecasts for lithium prices [3] Group 2: Technology Sector Insights - The technology sector, particularly AI infrastructure, saw notable gains, with Longi Green Energy rising over 15% as demand for optical fibers surged due to AI data center construction [4] - Companies in the AI and robotics space, such as MINIMAX and Yujian, experienced substantial increases, reflecting heightened market interest in AI technologies [5] Group 3: Market Outlook Post-Festival - Historical data indicates a 75% probability of the Shanghai Composite Index rising in the five days following the Spring Festival, suggesting a positive market sentiment [9] - Various brokerages have differing views on post-festival investment opportunities, with a focus on technology growth, small-cap stocks, and sectors benefiting from policy changes [10] - The upcoming Two Sessions are expected to catalyze market movements, with infrastructure projects likely to see seasonal opportunities [10][11]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market saw a strong performance, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,081.91 points, up 2.53% or 668.56 points, and a total trading volume of 172.96 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 3.34%, indicating a positive trend in technology stocks [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) experienced a notable increase of 5.35%, closing at 44.95 HKD, contributing 22.03 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other blue-chip stocks like Meituan-W (03690) and SMIC (00981) also saw significant gains, with increases of 5.26% and 5.02% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Large technology stocks rebounded, with Meituan-W rising over 5% and other major players like JD, Alibaba, Xiaomi, and Baidu increasing by more than 3% [3] - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and copper, showed strong performance due to geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainties [5] - The lithium sector also saw gains, with companies like Ruipu Lanjun (00666) increasing by 15.42% [6][8] AI and Technology Developments - Alibaba Cloud launched a new open-source model, Qwen3.5-Plus, with competitive pricing, indicating a strong push in AI applications [4] - The AI sector is expected to see significant growth, with predictions of a shift in the competitive landscape by 2026 as domestic models gain traction against international counterparts [4] Geopolitical and Economic Factors - Rising geopolitical risks, particularly in the Middle East, are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, with spot gold prices reaching 5,170 USD per ounce [5] - The market is entering a phase characterized by a focus on profitability and inflation-driven narratives, which may benefit the commodities sector, particularly in metals [6] Notable Stock Movements - Xunce Technology (03317) saw a significant rise of 12.78%, reaching a closing price of 90 HKD, following its inclusion in the Hang Seng Composite Index [9] - China Duty Free Group (01880) experienced a decline of 8.88%, closing at 91.85 HKD, amid changing U.S. tariff policies [9]

男生普通话版 下载mp3 女声普通话版 下载mp3 粤语版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 美媒：特朗普政府考虑对六大行业征收新的国家安全关税 美媒：美军将领警告对伊朗动武风险极高，易陷长期冲突 欧洲议会暂停批准欧美贸易协议 特朗普：任何想"耍花招"的国家将面临更高的关税 外交部：德国总理默茨将于2月25日至26日对中国进行正式访问 国投白银LOF估值调整预计对公司2026年度归母净利润产生一定负面影响 市场盘点 周一，在美最高法院推翻特朗普的关税政策后，交易员重新评估美国关税政策，美元指数横盘整理，最终收跌0.02%，报97.73。基准的10年期美债收益率收 报4.0330%，对美联储政策利率敏感的2年期美债收益率收报3.4440%。 特朗普关税计划不确定性带动避险需求，现货黄金重回5200美元之上，触及三周最高水平，最终收涨2.46%，报5229.93美元/盎司；现货白银上触89美元， 最终收涨4.24%，报88.18美元/盎司。 今日优选 特朗普释放美伊局势缓和信号：更倾向协议而非战争 在美国与伊朗即将举行第三轮核谈判之际，国际油价小幅回落，但仍维持在六个 ...

[ 春节假期前沪金期货收于1100元/克，由于春节国内休市期间，外盘金价大涨，内外盘金价形成了约 45~50元/克的价差，为节后开盘提供补涨空间。 ] 2月23日港股黄金板块已率先反应大涨，潼关黄金（00340.HK）盘中涨超11%，中国黄金国际 （02099.HK）涨近7%，紫金黄金国际（02259.HK）涨逾7%。 A股市场于2月24日开盘，内外盘价差修复与地缘风险的持续发酵，或成为主导国内金价以及相关黄金 资产走势的核心变量。 地缘风险重燃，贵金属先抑后扬 [ 对于节后国内市场而言，机构普遍预测将呈现"跳空高开"的格局。 ] 假期期间，贵金属走势先抑后扬。 马年春节假期期间，全球贵金属市场上演"过山车"行情。 假期伊始，美伊地缘冲突发酵引发黄金、白银价格深度调整，而后半周避险情绪卷土重来，国际金价强 势反弹。2月23日，黄金、白银开盘直线拉升。现货黄金向上突破5170美元，日内涨超1%。现货白银涨 超3%，升破87美元。 全球最大黄金上市交易基金（ETF）SPDR Gold Trust截至2月20日（上周五）的黄金持仓量为1078.75 吨，当周累计增加1.72吨。 "从技术面观察，金银价格在关键支撑位 ...