Core Viewpoint - President Trump announced a 50% tariff on imported copper products, excluding refined copper, which led to a significant drop in copper prices in the U.S. market [1][3][5] Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Market Reaction - The U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on various imported copper products starting August 1, including semi-finished copper products like pipes, wires, and rods, but refined copper is exempt [5][6] - Following the announcement, New York copper prices fell approximately 20% within minutes, marking the largest single-day drop in history for Comex copper futures [3][4] - Prior to the announcement, U.S. copper prices were about 28% higher than the benchmark copper futures on the London Metal Exchange (LME) [3] Group 2: Impact on Companies - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. saw its stock price drop by about 10%, while Southern Copper's stock fell over 6%, indicating a negative market reaction to the tariff news [4] - In contrast, Codelco, the Chilean state-owned copper company, views the tariff as a positive development, benefiting from the exclusion of refined copper from the tariff list [4] Group 3: Broader Economic Implications - The tariffs are part of a broader strategy by the Trump administration to boost domestic industries and address trade imbalances, following previous tariffs on steel and aluminum [7][8] - The White House clarified that these copper tariffs will not be combined with additional tariffs on automobile imports, which could further complicate trade dynamics [8] - Analysts suggest that the exclusion of refined copper from tariffs may disrupt global copper trade flows, as the U.S. currently relies heavily on imports for its copper supply [10][12]

Core Viewpoint - The copper industry stocks have experienced a significant decline following the announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper products by U.S. President Trump, leading to a sharp drop in copper prices [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) fell by 4.48%, trading at HKD 21.3 [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358) decreased by 4.09%, trading at HKD 15.94 [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) dropped by 3.48%, trading at HKD 9.15 [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208) declined by 2.75%, trading at HKD 3.89 [1] Group 2: Tariff Announcement - President Trump announced a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivatives starting August 1 [1] - Copper input materials and scrap copper are exempt from the "Section 232" tariffs [1] Group 3: Market Reaction - Following the tariff announcement, copper prices in New York plummeted approximately 20% within minutes, marking the largest single-day drop in history [1] - Earlier this year, Trump's initial hints at potential copper tariffs led to a surge in U.S. copper prices relative to the global market, resulting in a rush of copper imports into the U.S. [1] - The recent announcement of a 50% tariff was double the expectations of most market participants, causing U.S. copper prices to reach historical highs [1] - The large quantities of copper recently shipped to the U.S. may be subject to re-export due to the new tariff policy [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.07%, down 270 points, closing at 24,906 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.34% [1] - AI concept stocks showed strong performance, with multiple catalysts for AI applications in the second half of the year, indicating significant investment opportunities [1] - Notable gainers in AI stocks included Meitu Inc. (up 15.26%), Kingdee International (up 11.70%), and Kuaishou-W (up 8.98%) [1] Group 2 - Three-Six Pharmaceutical saw a rise of over 5% due to the overseas potential of SSGJ-707 being linked with Pfizer [2] - Huajian Medical surged over 10% after partnering with BGI to establish an innovative drug intellectual property tokenization fund [2] - Copper stocks declined across the board following Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper, with Zijin Mining falling by 4.93% [2]

港股市场铜概念股集体下跌，其中，中国大冶有色金属跌超6%，江西铜业股份跌超3%，兴业合金、中 国黄金国际、中国金属利用跌超2%，五矿资源跌近2%。消息面上，美国总统特朗普意外宣布，对铜加 征新关税中，美国期铜大泻两成，创史上最大单日跌幅。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ^ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00661 | 中国大冶有色金属 | -6.45% | 0.058 | 10.38亿 | | 00358 | 江西铜业股份 | -3.85% | 15.980 | 553.34亿 | | 00505 | 兴业合会 | -2.94% | 0.990 | 8.91亿 | | 01258 | 中国有色矿业 | -2.65% | 7.720 | 301.24亿 | | 02099 | 中国黄金国际 | -2.51% | 67.900 | 269.16亿 | | 01636 | 中国金属利用 | -2.20% | 0.890 | 3.99亿 | | 01208 | 五矿资源 | -1.75% | 3.930 | 477.12亿 | 责任编辑：栎树 特朗普 ...

特朗普曾在7月初暗示，关税将适用于各类铜产品，由矿场与冶炼厂生产的电解铜，到电线及其他制成 品。但白宫发布最新公告中，表示该关税将自本周五起仅适用于铜管、铜管件及其他半成品铜制品，以 及大量使用铜来制造产品，包括电缆与电气元件。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 ^ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00661 | 中国大冶有色金属 | -6.45% | 0.058 | 10.38亿 | | 00358 | 江西铜业股份 | -3.85% | 15.980 | 553.34 Z | | 00505 | 兴业合金 | -2.94% | 0.990 | 8.91亿 | | 01258 | 中国有色矿业 | -2.65% | 7.720 | 301.24亿 | | 02099 | 中国黄金国际 | -2.51% | 67.900 | 269.16亿 | | 01636 | 中国金属利用 | -2.20% | 0.890 | 2666.8 | | 01208 | 五矿资源 | -1.75% | 3.930 | 477.12亿 | 港股市场铜概念股集体下跌，其 ...

Core Viewpoint - The copper industry stocks have experienced a significant decline following the announcement of a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivatives by U.S. President Trump, leading to a sharp drop in copper prices [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) fell by 4.48%, trading at HKD 21.3 [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358) decreased by 4.09%, trading at HKD 15.94 [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) dropped by 3.48%, trading at HKD 9.15 [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208) declined by 2.75%, trading at HKD 3.89 [1] Group 2: Tariff Announcement Impact - The U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products starting August 1 [1] - Copper input materials and scrap copper are exempt from the "Section 232" tariffs [1] - Following the tariff announcement, New York copper prices plummeted approximately 20%, marking the largest single-day drop in history [1] Group 3: Market Reactions - Earlier in the year, Trump's initial hints at potential copper tariffs led to a surge in U.S. copper prices relative to the global market, resulting in a rush of copper imports into the U.S. [1] - On July 9, Trump announced the 50% tariff, which was double the expectations of most market participants, causing U.S. copper prices to reach historical highs [1] - The recent tariff policy may lead to a re-export of the large quantities of copper that have been shipped to the U.S. in recent months [1]

Core Viewpoint - The copper industry stocks have experienced a significant decline following the announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper products by U.S. President Trump, leading to a historic drop in copper prices [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zijin Mining (601899) saw a drop of 4.48%, trading at 21.3 HKD [1] - Jiangxi Copper (600362) decreased by 4.09%, with a price of 15.94 HKD [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) fell by 3.48%, priced at 9.15 HKD [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208) declined by 2.75%, trading at 3.89 HKD [1] Group 2: Tariff Announcement Impact - President Trump announced a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivatives starting August 1 [1] - Following the tariff announcement, New York copper prices plummeted approximately 20% within minutes, marking the largest single-day drop in history [1] - The tariff is expected to affect the recent influx of copper into the U.S., which may lead to a re-export of large quantities of copper [1] Group 3: Historical Context - Earlier in the year, Trump's initial hints at potential copper tariffs caused U.S. copper prices to rise significantly compared to global markets, resulting in a surge of copper shipments to the U.S. [1] - On July 9, Trump announced the 50% tariff, which was double the expectations of most market participants, leading to a record high in U.S. copper prices [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents the market trends and outlooks for various commodities on July 31, 2025, including precious metals, base metals, energy, agricultural products, etc. Each commodity's trend is affected by factors such as macro - economic policies, geopolitical events, and supply - demand relationships [2][4]. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - **Gold**: FOMC's decline releases hawkish expectations, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][5][10] - **Silver**: Experiences a high - level decline, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][5][10] Base Metals - **Copper**: The implementation of US copper import tariffs puts pressure on prices, with a trend strength of 0 [2][12][14] - **Zinc**: Shows a narrow - range oscillation, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][15][17] - **Lead**: An increase in inventory puts pressure on prices, with a trend strength of 0 [2][18][19] - **Tin**: Ranges within an interval, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][21][25] - **Aluminum**: Experiences a slight oscillation; Alumina's price weakens; Cast aluminum alloy follows electrolytic aluminum. Aluminum's trend strength is 0, alumina's is - 1, and casting aluminum alloy's is 0 [2][27][29] - **Nickel**: Macroeconomic expectations determine the direction, and fundamentals limit the elasticity, with a trend strength of 0 [2][30][34] - **Stainless Steel**: Macroeconomic sentiment dominates the margin, and the real - world situation still needs to be repaired, with a trend strength of 0 [2][30][34] - **Carbonate Lithium**: Has a wide - range oscillation, and the mine - end disturbance has not materialized, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][35][37] - **Industrial Silicon**: Sentiment weakens, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][38][40] - **Polysilicon**: Attention should be paid to market sentiment changes, with a trend strength of - 1 [2][38][40] Energy - **Iron Ore**: Supported by macro - expectations, shows a relatively strong oscillation, with a trend strength of 0 [2][41] - **Coking Coal and Coke**: The sentiment is realized, with a wide - range oscillation. Both have a trend strength of 0 [2][52][55] - **Power Coal**: Daily consumption recovers, and the price stabilizes with an oscillation, with a trend strength of 0 [2][57][60] - **Fuel Oil**: The upward trend continues, and it remains strong in the short - term. Low - sulfur fuel oil's futures price shows a relatively strong oscillation, and the price difference between high - and low - sulfur in the overseas spot market continues to rise [2][4][52] Chemicals - **PTA**: Supported by cost, with a positive spread in monthly contracts [2] - **MEG**: The unilateral trend remains weak, with a reverse spread in monthly contracts [2] - **Rubber**: Oscillates [2][32] - **Synthetic Rubber**: Weak in the short - term, but the downside space narrows [2][34] - **Asphalt**: Follows the strong upward trend of crude oil with small - step increases [2][36] - **LLDPE**: The trend still faces pressure [2][38] - **PP**: The spot price oscillates with light trading volume [2][39] - **Caustic Soda**: Attention should be paid to delivery pressure [2][40] - **Paper Pulp**: Oscillates weakly [2][41] - **Glass**: The price of the original sheet remains stable [2][43] - **Methanol**: Oscillates under pressure [2][44] - **Urea**: The pressure gradually increases [2][46] - **Styrene**: Profits are compressed [2][48] - **Soda Ash**: There are few changes in the spot market [4][49] - **PVC**: Weakly oscillates in the short - term [4][50] Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: Supported in the short - term by the positive sentiment of crude oil and macro - economy [4][59] - **Soybean Oil**: Oscillates at a high level, and attention should be paid to Sino - US trade progress [4][59] - **Soybean Meal**: US soybeans close lower, limiting the rebound of domestic soybean meal [4][61] - **Soybean**: Oscillates weakly [4][61] - **Corn**: Attention should be paid to the spot market [4][63] - **Sugar**: Oscillates within an interval [4][65] - **Cotton**: The sentiment cools down, and Zhengzhou cotton futures decline [4][66] - **Eggs**: The spot price weakens [4][68] - **Hogs**: Attention should be paid to whether the early - month spot expectations can be realized [4][69] - **Peanuts**: The old crop has support at the bottom [4][70] Others - **Container Freight Index (European Line)**: Hold 10 short positions [4][53] - **Short - fiber and Bottle - chip**: Oscillate in the short - term [4][56] - **Offset Printing Paper**: Oscillates at a low level with limited upward momentum [4][57] - **Pure Benzene**: Oscillates relatively strongly [4][58] - **Log**: Oscillates repeatedly [2][61]

Group 1 - The U.S. copper market experienced its largest single-day drop due to President Trump's unexpected announcement to exempt refined copper imports from the planned tariffs, shocking traders [1] - Starting August 1, a 50% tariff will be imposed on semi-finished copper products from China, while refined metal imports will not be subject to such tariffs [1][4] - Following the announcement, copper futures prices on the New York Commodity Exchange plummeted by 20%, with U.S. copper prices previously being about 28% higher than the London Metal Exchange benchmark [1] Group 2 - The decision to exclude refined copper from tariffs is likely to disrupt global trade flows of this metal, which is crucial for the global economy due to its extensive use in wire manufacturing [4] - The significant increase in copper prices earlier this month was driven by the announcement of the 50% tariff, which was double what most market participants expected, leading to record-high copper prices [4] - The distinction in tariff policy between refined metals and semi-finished products was influenced by lobbying from the copper industry, as major companies believe the U.S. cannot immediately replace all imported copper [4] Group 3 - The U.S. Department of Commerce has suggested delaying the imposition of import tariffs on refined metals, with an initial rate of 15% starting in 2027, increasing to 30% by 2028 [5] - President Trump has instructed the Secretary of Commerce to submit a report on the U.S. copper market by June 2026 to determine the necessity of phased-in universal import tariffs on refined copper [5] Group 4 - The announced 50% import tariffs will apply to semi-finished products such as copper pipes, wires, bars, sheets, and tubes, as well as copper-based goods like fittings, cables, connectors, and electrical components [8] - Unprocessed goods, including copper input materials and scrap copper, will not be subject to these tariffs [8] - The tariffs will not be cumulative with the separate tariffs on automobile imports implemented earlier this year [8] Group 5 - The White House will require that 25% of high-quality copper scrap and various raw copper products produced domestically must be sold within the U.S. [9] - This export requirement is not expected to have a significant short-term impact, as approximately 40% of copper scrap and 75% of copper concentrate is already processed domestically [9] - U.S. copper producers, such as Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., saw significant stock price declines due to the policy undermining the U.S. copper price advantage, while major suppliers like Chile's state-owned Codelco may benefit from the decision [9]

Group 1 - The U.S. government announced a 50% tariff on imported semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivatives, effective from August 1 [1][2] - The new tariffs are part of a broader strategy to boost domestic industries and address trade imbalances, following previous tariffs on steel and aluminum [2] - The tariffs will not apply to copper raw materials and scrap, which are exempt from the "Section 232" provisions [1][2] Group 2 - Following the announcement, copper prices in New York plummeted over 18% within minutes [2] - The White House indicated that these copper tariffs will not be cumulative with additional tariffs on automobile imports [2] - There is a requirement for 25% of high-quality copper scrap and raw copper products to be sold domestically, although this is not expected to have immediate significant impact [2]