Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Viewpoints - The deep-sea industry is recognized for its vast resource potential and strategic importance, with significant government support anticipated for deep-sea technology development [3][16] - Deep-sea resources, particularly energy and mineral resources, are abundant, with deep-sea areas becoming major contributors to global oil and gas reserves [18][22] - The development of underwater technology and equipment has made significant progress, laying the foundation for deep-sea resource exploitation [35][50] Summary by Sections Section 1: Deep Sea as a Resource and Strategic Area - The deep sea, defined as waters below 200 meters, constitutes about two-thirds of the ocean floor and is rich in biological and mineral diversity [3][10] - China's total marine area is approximately 4.73 million square kilometers, with significant deep-sea regions in the South China Sea and East China Sea [12][16] - The government has prioritized deep-sea technology in its 2025 work report, indicating future policy support for this sector [16][18] Section 2: Civilian Sector - Breakthroughs in Underwater Technology and Resource Development - Underwater technology encompasses exploration, construction, oil and gas extraction, and mineral development, with recent advancements in various equipment [35][50] - The core sensor for deep-sea exploration is sonar, which is essential for environmental monitoring and resource assessment [37][39] - The development of underwater mining technology is progressing, with successful trials and increasing industrialization potential for oil, gas, and mineral resources [59][70] Section 3: Deep-Sea Warfare - Underwater Defense Capabilities - The deep sea offers a large, concealed operational space, making it strategically significant for military operations [74] - The underwater defense system includes both infrastructure and equipment, with a focus on unmanned systems for various military tasks [74][75] - There is an urgent need for China to enhance its underwater defense capabilities, with new technologies and equipment being introduced [74][75]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [3] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in production and has committed to a higher dividend payout ratio [2] - For the fiscal year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 420.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.94 billion yuan, up 11.38% year-on-year [7] - The company has maintained a strong operational performance despite challenges such as asset impairment affecting profits [8] - The company has a leading position in the industry regarding reserve and production growth rates, with a capital expenditure of 132.7 billion yuan in 2024, the highest in its history [9] - The company is focused on shareholder returns, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio, with a total dividend of 1.40 Hong Kong dollars per share for 2024, a 12% increase year-on-year [12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 140.37 billion yuan, 146.32 billion yuan, and 154.52 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.79, 8.44, and 7.99 [13] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company reported total revenue of 420.51 billion yuan, with a net profit of 137.94 billion yuan, and a basic earnings per share of 2.90 yuan [7][14] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 53.6% for 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) of 18.5% [14] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 1,056.28 billion yuan by 2024, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 29.0% [16]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [3] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in production and has committed to a higher dividend payout ratio [2] - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 420.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.94 billion yuan, up 11.38% year-on-year [7] - The company has maintained a strong operational performance despite challenges such as asset impairment affecting profits [8] - The company has a leading position in the industry regarding reserve and production growth rates, with a net production of 726.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.2% [9][10] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend strategy, with a total dividend of 1.40 HKD per share for 2024, a 12% increase year-on-year, and a payout ratio of 44.7% [12] - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is 140.37 billion, 146.32 billion, and 154.52 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.79, 8.44, and 7.99 [13] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 53.6% and a return on equity (ROE) of 18.5% [14] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 1,056.28 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,254.65 billion yuan in 2027 [16] - The company’s operating income for 2024 is 420.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.9% [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved record oil and gas production, with a focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, effectively mitigating risks amid geopolitical tensions and economic challenges [7] - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 420.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.94 billion yuan, up 11.38% year-on-year [5][7] - The average Brent crude oil price in 2024 was $79.90 per barrel, a decrease of approximately 2.9% compared to the previous year [7] Financial Performance - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 94.48 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.94%, and a net profit of 21.28 billion yuan, down 18.78% year-on-year [6][11] - The company maintained a gross profit margin of 50.79% in Q4 2024, with a net profit margin of 22.54% [6][11] - The company’s total assets reached 1,056.28 billion yuan, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 29% [44] Production and Sales - In 2024, the company sold 562.9 million barrels of oil, a 9.4% increase year-on-year, with an average realized oil price of $76.75 per barrel [8] - Natural gas sales reached 870.3 billion cubic feet, up 7.8% year-on-year, with an average realized price of $7.72 per thousand cubic feet [8] Future Outlook - The company expects revenues of 414.71 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits projected at 138.32 billion yuan, reflecting a stable growth outlook [15][40] - The report highlights the company's commitment to maintaining a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027 [14]

Core Viewpoint - Despite a decline in international oil prices, China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) reported an increase in net profit for the year, achieving a record high for three consecutive years [1][2]. Financial Performance - CNPC's revenue for 2024 was CNY 2.94 trillion, a decrease of 2.5% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 164.68 billion, an increase of 2% [1]. - The company generated free cash flow of CNY 104.35 billion, maintaining over CNY 100 billion for three consecutive years [1]. - The proposed dividend for 2024 is CNY 0.25 per share, with a total payout of approximately CNY 86.02 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [1]. Comparison with Peers - CNPC's net profit was the highest among China's "Big Three" oil companies, outperforming Sinopec and CNOOC [2]. - Sinopec reported a net profit of CNY 50.31 billion, a decline of 16.8%, while CNOOC's net profit was CNY 137.9 billion, an increase of 11.4% [2]. Business Segments - The oil and gas and new energy segment accounted for over 30% of CNPC's revenue, with profits in this area increasing by 7.1% to CNY 159.75 billion [5]. - The natural gas sales segment saw the largest profit increase, up 25.5% to CNY 54.01 billion, attributed to effective cost control and market expansion [5]. - Refining and chemical segments experienced a decline in profits, with refining profits down 49.7% to CNY 18.23 billion due to reduced margins and sales [7]. Exploration and Production - CNPC's crude oil production reached 942 million barrels, a 0.5% increase, while marketable natural gas production was 5.13 trillion cubic feet (approximately 145 billion cubic meters), up 4.1% [5]. - The company achieved significant exploration milestones, with a crude oil reserve replacement rate of 0.96 and a natural gas replacement rate of 1.04, marking the best performance in five years [6]. Future Outlook - CNPC aims to enhance its exploration capabilities and increase its natural gas reserves to support its strategic goal of "stable oil and increased gas" [6]. - The company plans to accelerate its transition to a comprehensive international energy and chemical company, focusing on both traditional oil and gas and emerging industries [12]. - By 2025, CNPC targets crude oil production of 936 million barrels and marketable natural gas production of 5.34 trillion cubic feet [12].

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 沈右荣 "三桶油"之首的中国石油（601857.SH）经营业绩逆势创新高。 根据最新披露的年报，2024年，中国石油实现营业收入2.94万亿元，同比下降2.48%；归属母公司股东 的净利润（以下简称"归母净利润"）1646.76亿元，创历史新高，同比增长2.02%。 2024年，由于原油、天然气、成品油等油气产品价格下降以及汽油、柴油销售数量减少，使得中国石油 的营业收入下降。不过，油气和新能源分部以及天然气销售分部效益突出，带动公司整体利润上升。 2024年，中国石油资本支出约2758亿元，有力保障了一批重点项目顺利推进。 中国石油的财务状况向好。截至2024年底，公司资产负债率为37.89%，较上年末下降2.87个百分点。当 年，公司财务费用125.52亿元，同比减少55.58亿元。 中国石油持续积极回报股东。2024年，公司将派发现金红利860亿元。2007年A股上市以来，公司累计 派发现金红利8350亿元。 非经常性损益减亏约174亿 逆势之下，中国石油顽强地实现了业绩增长。 中国石油称，2024年，国际原油市场供需总体宽松，全年平均油价较2023年同期小幅下跌。受此影响 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) reported a stable performance in 2024, with a slight increase in revenue and a significant rise in net profit, despite challenges in oil prices [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, CNOOC achieved total revenue of 420.506 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.936 billion yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year [1]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 94.482 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.9% year-on-year and 4.8% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 21.277 billion yuan, down 18.8% year-on-year and 42.4% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Oil Price Stability - The average Brent crude oil futures price in 2024 remained stable at 79.86 USD per barrel, a decrease of 2.81% year-on-year, while the realized price for CNOOC's crude oil was 76.75 USD per barrel, down 1.6% year-on-year [2]. Production Growth - CNOOC's total oil and gas production reached 727 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2024, an increase of 7.2% year-on-year [3]. - The company's capital expenditure for 2024 was 132.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.2% year-on-year increase, indicating a commitment to maintaining high levels of investment [3]. Dividend Policy - CNOOC maintained a strong dividend policy, with total cash dividends of 61.621 billion yuan in 2024, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of approximately 45% [4]. - The dividend yield for A-shares was 4.4% and for H-shares was 7.3%, with a commitment to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. Investment Outlook - CNOOC is expected to continue benefiting from new project launches, with projected net profits of 132.3 billion yuan, 136 billion yuan, and 140.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 2.78 yuan, 2.86 yuan, and 2.95 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.3X, 9.0X, and 8.8X [5].

2024年，中国石油、中国石化和中国海油这三大能源巨头交出了一份亮眼的成绩单。根据最新披露的年 度报告，三桶油合计实现净利润3529亿元，折合每日净赚近10亿元。这一数据不仅展现了三大公司在全 球能源市场中的强劲表现，也凸显了其在国家能源安全中的重要作用。 净利润合计3529亿元 日均赚近10亿 中国石油在2024年实现营业收入2.9万亿元，归属于母公司股东净利润1646.8亿元，同比增长2.0%。中 国石化实现归属于母公司股东的净利润503.13亿元，中国海油实现归属于母股东的净利润1379.36亿元。 三桶油合计净利润3529亿元，日均净赚近10亿元。这一业绩的取得，得益于三桶油在油气勘探开发、炼 化转型升级、市场营销等方面的持续努力。 大手笔分红回馈股东 在取得良好经营业绩的同时，三桶油均大手笔现金分红回馈投资者。中国石油董事会建议派发2024年末 期股息每股0.25元，全年股息每股0.47元，派息率52.2%，总派息额约860.2亿元，末期和全年每股股息 均创历史同期最高水平。中国石化预计2024年全年派发现金股利每股0.286元，与回购金额合并计算后 现金分红总金额368.78亿元，年度利润分派比例 ...

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) reported a revenue of 420.5 billion yuan for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.9 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of about 11% [1] Financial Performance - In Q4, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 94.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 14% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter; the net profit for the quarter was about 21.3 billion yuan, down 19% year-on-year and 42% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The total dividend payout for 2024 is proposed at 1.4 HKD per share (including tax), with a total dividend payout ratio of approximately 45% [1] Production and Reserves - As of the end of 2024, CNOOC's net oil and gas production reached approximately 727 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 7.2% year-on-year, exceeding the initial target of 700-720 million barrels [1] - The company's net proven reserves reached 7.271 billion barrels of oil equivalent, also up by about 7.2% year-on-year, with a reserve life stable at 10 years and a replacement ratio of approximately 167% [1] Capital Expenditure and Shareholder Returns - CNOOC's capital expenditure for the reporting period was 132.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 2%, with capital expenditure intensity growing nearly threefold since 2016, at a compound annual growth rate of over 13% [2] - Over the past two years (2022 and 2023), the total cash dividends paid by the company exceeded 163.4 billion yuan, ranking fourth in A-shares and first in the oil and petrochemical sector [2] - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% for the years 2025-2027, subject to shareholder approval [2] Cost Control and Growth - CNOOC has achieved a net production growth of approximately 77% from 2013 to the end of 2024, while the main cost per barrel of oil has decreased by about 37%, demonstrating strong cost control capabilities [2] - The company's oil and gas reserves have increased by over 64% from 2013 to the end of 2024, providing a solid foundation for sustained production growth [2] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to maintain a clear growth trajectory with high dividend payouts, with projected net profits attributable to shareholders of 137.6 billion, 134.2 billion, and 139.6 billion yuan for the years 2025-2027 [3]

2025 年 3 月 30 日 公司研究 24 年归母净利润大涨 11%，产储量再创历史新高 ——中国海油（600938.SH）2024 年报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：25.79 元 作者 分析师：赵乃迪 执业证书编号：S0930517050005 010-57378026 zhaond@ebscn.com 分析师：蔡嘉豪 执业证书编号：S0930523070003 021-52523800 caijiahao@ebscn.com 分析师：王礼沫 执业证书编号：S0930524040002 010-56513142 wanglimo@ebscn.com 市场数据 | 总股本(亿股) | 475.30 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(亿元)： | 12257.97 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 23.71/34.17 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 5.07% | 股价相对走势 -10% -1% 8% 17% 26% 03/24 06/24 09/24 12/24 03/25 中国海油 沪深300 | 收益表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | % | ...