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方正富邦汤戈: 固态电池打开行业第二增长曲线 需警惕三大风险
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-14 22:27
经过多年探索,固态电池的发展路径与材料体系的脉络已经基本确定,作为过渡产品,当前准固态、半 固态的实际装车能力已得到产业认证,并为投资价值提供了现实支撑。"今年新能源行业整体见底回 升,锂电池行业中固态电池相当于第二增长曲线,从现在时点看具有持续性,也符合我们均值回归的投 资策略。"方正富邦基金基金经理汤戈对证券时报记者表示。 "从0到1"关键期 近期,创业板行情由芯片半导体和锂电池两大主力"承包",宁德时代(300750)更是股价创下近四年来 新高,固态电池频出的产业利好是促使锂电池板块"老树发新芽"的重要原因,数据显示,固态电池指数 8月以来已经上涨23.31%,今年累计涨幅已超过50%。 近期,固态电池行情加速上行,大有"接班"创新药、芯片半导体成为新一轮行情主线之势。从业内消息 来看,这一轮行情上涨并非单纯的资金炒作,当前固态电池技术已跨越实验室概念验证阶段,进入"从0 到1"的工程化关键期。 "这一轮行情的核心特征,在于科学原理与基础材料体系已基本确定,而工程化路径正从实验室手工制 备向小规模量产转型,具体表现为兆瓦时级生产线的初步建成与调试,标志着技术落地从理论可行向工 程实现的跨越。"汤戈表示。 ...
方正富邦汤戈: 固态电池打开行业第二增长曲线需警惕三大风险
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-14 17:59
近期,创业板行情由芯片半导体和锂电池两大主力"承包",宁德时代更是股价创下近四年来新高,固态 电池频出的产业利好是促使锂电池板块"老树发新芽"的重要原因,Wind数据显示,固态电池指数8月以 来已经上涨23.31%,今年累计涨幅已超过50%。 经过多年探索,固态电池的发展路径与材料体系的脉络已经基本确定,作为过渡产品,当前准固态、半 固态的实际装车能力已得到产业认证,并为投资价值提供了现实支撑。"今年新能源行业整体见底回 升,锂电池行业中固态电池相当于第二增长曲线,从现在时点看具有持续性,也符合我们均值回归的投 资策略。"方正富邦基金基金经理汤戈对证券时报记者表示。 "从0到1"关键期 近期,固态电池行情加速上行,大有"接班"创新药、芯片半导体成为新一轮行情主线之势。从业内消息 来看,这一轮行情上涨并非单纯的资金炒作,当前固态电池技术已跨越实验室概念验证阶段,进入"从0 到1"的工程化关键期。 "这一轮行情的核心特征,在于科学原理与基础材料体系已基本确定,而工程化路径正从实验室手工制 备向小规模量产转型,具体表现为兆瓦时级生产线的初步建成与调试,标志着技术落地从理论可行向工 程实现的跨越。"汤戈表示。 工程化 ...
利好频传,这类基金“亮了”
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-09-14 12:15
Core Insights - The solid-state battery concept is gaining traction, with related indices reaching a two-year high, and battery-themed funds showing impressive performance, with several products nearing a 50% return this year [1][3] Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 12, lithium battery-related indices have seen significant increases: lithium electrolyte index up 56.2%, energy storage index up 51.76%, solid-state battery index up 51.69%, lithium battery index up 49.95%, and power battery index up 49.82%, all reaching two-year highs [3] - Major battery-themed ETFs, including those from Huatai-PineBridge, Fuguo, and others, have reported unit net value growth rates close to 50% this year, with some exceeding 44% [3] Group 2: Factors Driving Growth - Three main factors are driving the strong performance of the lithium battery sector: unexpected growth in energy storage demand, accelerated industrialization of solid-state batteries, and overall improvement in industry profitability due to strong downstream demand [3][4] - The demand for energy storage is being driven by clearer domestic business models and increasing demand in Europe and emerging markets [4] Group 3: Long-term Investment Value - The lithium battery sector is seen as having long-term investment value due to improved fundamentals, new technology catalysts, and relatively reasonable valuations [6][7] - The industry is experiencing a "reshuffling," with leading companies gaining clearer positions, and the global demand for lithium batteries is expected to grow significantly, particularly in commercial vehicles and energy storage [4][7]
邀请函:2025第十一届起点锂电行业年会暨起点锂电十周年庆典(2025年12月17-19日·深圳)
起点锂电· 2025-09-14 10:24
2025起点 用户侧储能 电池技术论坛 (同期 2025第十一届 锂电 金鼎奖颁奖典礼) 时间: 2025年12月17-19日 地点:深圳 活动背景及意义 一 2025第十一届起点锂电行业年会暨起点锂电十周年庆典 电池方面: 1)2025年初,宝马宣布大圆柱电池2026年即将装车,引发行业加速布局46系大圆柱电池热潮;2)2025年3月,工信部发布《电动 汽车用动力蓄电池安全要求》(GB38031—2025)(新国标),引发行业对动力电池性能广发讨论;3)多家企业2025年全极耳圆柱电池已开始 量产,全极耳的高倍率、长寿命优势未来有望广泛应用在新能源汽车、电动工具、电动两轮车、智能家居等领域;4)固态电池其高安全性、高能 量密度优势,被誉为下一代新型电池,2025年热度持续维持在高位; 储能方面: 1)2025国家取消强制配储政策,引发业内对储能电池未来需求的担忧;2)314Ah逐步替代280Ah成为主流电芯,同时宁德时代、 亿纬锂能、海辰储能等企业发布500Ah以上容量电芯,储能电芯逐步往大容量趋势发展;3)2025年美国加征关税政策,对全球储能行业造成一 定冲击; 低空经济、人形机器人等新兴应用场景: 2 ...
宁德时代欧洲工厂将投产;枧下窝锂矿复产;弗迪电池将供货小米;比克电池发布新品;储能电池标准混战持续;宝马iX3搭载亿纬锂能大圆柱
起点锂电· 2025-09-14 10:24
Group 1 - Bick Battery has launched the PRO-MAX 46137 battery, defining a new standard for electric two-wheeled vehicles with safety, economy, and high performance [3][5] - The PRO-MAX 46137 battery features a high energy density of 190Wh/kg and a volume energy density of 490Wh/L, with a single cell capacity of 30Ah, setting a new benchmark for two-wheeled vehicle batteries [5] - The battery's design includes a steel shell structure and controlled pressure relief, significantly enhancing safety and performance stability [5][6] Group 2 - CATL has introduced the NP3.0 technology platform, which includes innovations in chemical systems, structure, system design, and control strategies, enhancing battery safety and performance [7] - The Shining Pro battery, equipped with NP3.0 technology, offers a lifespan of 12 years or 1 million cycles, with a maximum range of 758 kilometers [8] - The Shining Pro battery can achieve a rapid charge of 478 kilometers in just 10 minutes, addressing the needs of cold climates [8] Group 3 - Chuangneng New Energy has signed an investment agreement for an 80GWh lithium battery production project in Yichang, with a planned area of approximately 1730 acres [9][10] - The first phase of the project has already been completed and is operational, with a capacity of 65GWh [11][12] Group 4 - A joint venture between Hyundai Motor Group and LG Energy Solutions is under investigation by U.S. authorities, leading to the detention of 475 workers at their $4.3 billion battery manufacturing site [13] - The project is currently halted, and production timelines may be delayed until mid-next year [13] Group 5 - CATL's new factory in Hungary is expected to begin production by early next year, with an annual capacity of 100GWh, aiming to meet the demand from major automakers [14][15] - The factory will employ 9,000 workers and will be the largest battery production facility in Europe upon completion [15] Group 6 - Three lithium battery projects have been signed in Huzhou, with a total investment of nearly 700 million yuan, focusing on battery components and systems [16] - The projects aim to produce millions of battery components annually, significantly contributing to the local economy [16] Group 7 - Ganfeng Lithium has established multiple new companies in Shenzhen, indicating a strategic expansion in the lithium battery sector [21] - The new companies are focused on various aspects of lithium battery production and technology development [21] Group 8 - The recovery of the Jiangxi Jinxia lithium mine by CATL is progressing faster than expected, with mining rights applications moving smoothly [23][24] - The mine is significant for its large capacity and is crucial for CATL's supply chain [24] Group 9 - LeydenJar, a Dutch silicon anode company, has secured €13 million in funding to support the production of its breakthrough technology [25] - The funding will help complete the construction of its PlantOne facility, set to begin operations in 2027 [25] Group 10 - A new project for recycling retired lithium batteries has been approved in Shaanxi, with an annual processing capacity of 21,000 units [40] - The project aims to enhance the recycling and reuse of lithium battery materials, contributing to sustainability efforts [40]
致同会计师事务所首席合伙人李惠琦:并购活跃、政策加持 中国企业出海迈入新阶段
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the acceleration of Chinese enterprises' globalization across various sectors, including new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and cultural industries, with a significant increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) [1] - In 2024, China's FDI flow reached $192.2 billion, marking an 8.4% increase from the previous year and accounting for 11.9% of the global share, maintaining a position among the top three globally for 13 consecutive years [1] - By the end of 2024, China's FDI stock is projected to reach $3.14 trillion, continuing its trend of being among the top three globally for eight years [1] Group 2 - The "going out" strategy of Chinese enterprises has evolved into a "technology + brand + ecosystem" collaborative output model, characterized by high-end, diversified, and ecological features [2] - The "new three samples" (new energy vehicles, photovoltaic, and lithium batteries) are leading high-tech exports, transitioning from product trade to full industrial chain output [2] - Cross-border e-commerce continues to drive consumer exports, with Chinese brands dominating sectors such as clothing, electronics, and home goods [2] Group 3 - Professional services such as auditing, consulting, and legal services are increasingly accompanying enterprises abroad, creating an ecosystem synergy effect [3] - Companies are adopting a systematic decision-making framework for selecting overseas destinations, focusing on supply chain layout and customer demographics [4] - The "China +1" strategy is being employed to avoid trade barriers, with investments in regions like Southeast Asia and Mexico to mitigate high tariffs [4] Group 4 - Chinese enterprises are experiencing a significant increase in overseas mergers and acquisitions (M&A), with a notable rise in large transactions despite a slight decrease in the number of deals [5][6] - Emerging markets are becoming more active in cross-border M&A, with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative seeing increased investment [5] - The valuation expectations between buyers and sellers are narrowing, with quality targets being pushed to the market [5] Group 5 - The Chinese government is implementing a multi-layered policy system to support enterprises going abroad, including financial credit support and cross-border investment facilitation [7] - Various policy financial products have been introduced to address the financing challenges faced by small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises [7] - Initiatives such as simplifying the ODI (Overseas Direct Investment) filing process and encouraging enterprises to participate in international exhibitions are part of the support measures [7]
致同会计师事务所首席合伙人李惠琦:并购活跃、政策加持,中国企业出海迈入新阶段
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the acceleration of Chinese enterprises' globalization across various sectors, including new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, and cultural industries, with a significant increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) [1] - In 2024, China's FDI flow reached $192.2 billion, marking an 8.4% increase from the previous year, and accounting for 11.9% of global FDI, maintaining a position among the top three globally for 13 consecutive years [1] - By the end of 2024, China's FDI stock is projected to reach $3.14 trillion, continuing its trend of being among the top three globally for eight years [1] Group 2 - The current era of Chinese enterprises going global is characterized as "Outward Investment 3.0," emphasizing a collaborative output of technology, brand, and ecosystem, with a notable shift towards high-end, diversified, and ecological features [2] - The "new three" sectors—new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, and lithium batteries—are leading the high-tech export, transitioning from product trade to full industrial chain output [2] - Cross-border e-commerce continues to drive consumer exports, with Chinese brands dominating in clothing, electronics, and home goods, leveraging e-commerce platforms to reach global consumers [2] Group 3 - Professional services such as auditing, consulting, and legal support are increasingly accompanying enterprises abroad, creating an ecosystem of collaborative effects [3] - Companies are adopting a systematic decision-making framework for selecting overseas destinations, focusing on supply chain layout and customer demographics [4] - Strategies include avoiding trade barriers through a "China +1" approach, investing in resource-rich countries, and pursuing cluster effects by embedding in mature industrial areas [4] Group 4 - Chinese enterprises are experiencing a significant increase in overseas mergers and acquisitions (M&A), with a focus on emerging markets and larger transactions, while the valuation expectations between buyers and sellers are narrowing [5][6] - The total value of Chinese overseas M&A in the first half of 2025 has risen sharply, indicating a more concentrated structure and clearer strategic intentions [6] Group 5 - The Chinese government supports enterprises going global through a multi-layered policy framework, including financial credit support and cross-border investment facilitation [8] - Various financial products have been introduced to address the financing challenges faced by small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises, along with services for cross-border M&A [8] - Initiatives to simplify the overseas direct investment (ODI) registration process and encourage participation in international exhibitions are also in place to enhance market access and service support for enterprises [8]
中国“新三样” 造福全世界
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-14 02:06
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is actively promoting new industrialization during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on the development of competitive industries such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaic products, and lithium batteries [1] Group 1: Industry Growth - During 2023, the export of China's "new three products" (new energy vehicles, photovoltaic products, and lithium batteries) exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the first time [1] - The export of these products is expected to maintain a positive trend in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2: Global Leadership - China has become the world's first country to achieve an annual production of over 10 million new energy vehicles, maintaining the top position in global production and sales for 10 consecutive years [1] - The international market share of China's lithium-ion batteries ranks first globally, with over 70% of the world's lithium batteries produced in China [1] - China has held the top position in photovoltaic module production for 16 consecutive years, supplying 70% of the global photovoltaic modules and 60% of wind power equipment [1]
反内卷与供给侧改革有何不同|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-09-13 10:07
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "anti-involution" as a new phase of supply-side reform, termed "Supply-Side Reform 2.0," highlighting the structural imbalance between supply and demand as the core contradiction driving economic challenges in China [5]. Group 1: Similarities between Anti-Involution and Supply-Side Reform - Both anti-involution and supply-side reform are characterized by structural imbalances in supply and demand, leading to decreased capacity utilization, falling prices, shrinking corporate profits, and increased economic downward pressure [7]. - Industrial capacity utilization has significantly declined, with a drop from 76.8% in Q4 2013 to 72.9% in 2016 during the supply-side reform, and from 77.4% in Q4 2021 to 74.0% by Q2 2025 in the anti-involution phase [7]. - Industrial prices have seen substantial declines, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) entering negative growth for 54 months during the supply-side reform and continuing negative growth for 34 months since October 2022 in the anti-involution phase [9]. - Corporate profits have decreased, with a 2.3% decline in industrial profits in 2015 during the supply-side reform, and a 1.8% decline in the first seven months of 2025 during the anti-involution phase [12]. - Economic downward pressure has intensified, with GDP growth slowing from 8.1% in Q4 2012 to 6.9% in Q4 2015 during the supply-side reform, and stabilizing around 5% during the anti-involution period [14]. Group 2: Differences between Anti-Involution and Supply-Side Reform - The macroeconomic environment differs, with anti-involution facing more severe demand shortages due to population decline and a downturn in the real estate market, while supply-side reform had resilient demand supported by post-crisis recovery [18][22]. - Industry characteristics vary, as supply-side reform focused on traditional industries like steel and coal, whereas anti-involution encompasses a broader range of sectors, including emerging industries and platform economies [25][27]. - The underlying causes differ, with supply-side reform driven by excess capacity from previous stimulus policies, while anti-involution is influenced by a range of macroeconomic and industry-specific factors, including real estate adjustments and technological shifts [36][37]. - Implementation paths diverge, with supply-side reform relying on administrative measures to cut excess capacity, while anti-involution emphasizes legal and market-based approaches to regulate competition and foster innovation [45][49].
天华新能拟12.54亿元收购天华时代75%股权 押注上游锂矿资源布局
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-13 04:53
Core Viewpoint - Tianhua New Energy's acquisition of 75% equity in Tianhua Times represents a strategic move to strengthen its control over upstream lithium resources amid increasing competition in the lithium market [1][3]. Company Summary - Tianhua New Energy plans to acquire 75% of Tianhua Times from Pei Zhenhua for 1.254 billion yuan, valuing 100% of Tianhua Times at 1.672 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025 [1][2]. - The transaction is classified as a related party transaction since Pei Zhenhua is the controlling shareholder and chairman of Tianhua New Energy [1][2]. - Post-transaction, Tianhua New Energy will hold 75% of Tianhua Times, while CATL retains its 25% stake, ensuring collaboration with a leading battery manufacturer [2]. Industry Summary - The acquisition is seen as a necessary response to the current supply-demand dynamics in the lithium resource market, driven by the rising penetration of electric vehicles and stable demand for power batteries [3]. - The challenges faced by overseas lithium mining projects, including geopolitical issues and environmental regulations, have prompted Tianhua New Energy to shorten the resource acquisition cycle by acquiring an existing investment platform [3]. - The success of this acquisition will depend on Tianhua New Energy's ability to manage post-acquisition operations and effectively implement lithium mining projects [3][4].