近日，七根金条被拍卖一事引发关注。 不过，黄金变现还需要参考其回收价。上海黄金交易所的行情显示，截至收盘，沪金主力合约报788.42 元/克。 记者还以消费者身份致电老庙黄金一家上海门店，接听人员表示，目前回收金条的价格为781.6元/克， 存在上下浮动。此外，该门店不从事回收业务，需要到总店办理。若以回收价格和拍卖现价相比，则溢 价约48元/克。 阿里资产·司法平台显示，此次拍卖的金条共有七根，品牌为"老庙黄金"。其中，三根金条重200克，四 根金条重100克，一共1000克。 这些金条评估价为73.50万元，但起拍价仅为51.45万元，以此计算，平均每克黄金的起拍价约为514.47 元，相较评估价折价7成。 山东省计量科学研究院出具的《检验报告》显示，这些金条金含量均为999.9%，纯度为足金。 保真且存在明显价差的黄金自然吸引了用户参与，截至5月9日14时39分，共有139人报名，3.24万次围 观，经过50次出价，拍卖价达到82.95万元。据此计算，平均每克黄金价格为829.47元。 老庙黄金的今日金价显示，其工艺金条为975元/克，若参与者以每克830元买入则还便宜145元。 ◎ 阿里资产 ◎司法拍 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform the Market" for the industry [3]. Core Insights - The industry fundamentals are expected to remain under pressure in 2024, with most sectors and companies still significantly affected by macroeconomic factors. However, a number of companies are emerging that are successfully navigating the challenges of consumer downgrade by upgrading from categories to quality and then to brand [1][2]. - The report highlights that companies with strong brand attributes are likely to continue outperforming as the market transitions from price-performance to quality-price comparisons [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Duty-Free Sector - The duty-free sales in Hainan are gradually stabilizing, with the implementation of the Hainan closure policy expected to benefit the duty-free sector. The market is seeing improvements in channel and supply chain capabilities, leading to a stable outlook for profitability [2][49]. - Key companies to watch include China Duty Free Group and Wangfujing [2]. 2. Tourism and Gaming - The tourism sector shows strong resilience in demand, becoming a crucial driver for domestic consumption. The recovery in inbound and outbound travel is significant, with a focus on new consumption scenarios and the silver-haired tourism market [2][3]. - Recommended companies include Jiuhua Tourism, Lingnan Holdings, and Sands China [2]. 3. Hotel Industry - The hotel sector is experiencing weak business travel demand, leading to pressure on RevPAR. However, leisure demand remains resilient, and leading companies are enhancing profitability through brand matrix validation and supply chain optimization [3][72]. - Companies to focus on include Huazhu Group, Atour, and Jinjiang Hotels [3]. 4. Restaurant Sector - Leading restaurant companies are demonstrating strong supply chain negotiation and profitability advantages. The overall supply in the restaurant industry is optimizing, with a competitive trend in price-performance [3][7]. - Notable companies include Mixue Ice City, KFC, and Haidilao [3][7]. 5. Cosmetics and Medical Aesthetics - The cosmetics sector is seeing a shift in focus towards profitability, with companies restructuring their product and channel strategies. High-growth companies are expected to achieve both revenue and profit increases [7][23]. - Key players include Juzhibio, Shumei, and Marubi [7][23]. 6. General Retail - The retail sector is undergoing digital upgrades and operational adjustments, with a focus on essential demand and cash flow stability. Companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Multi-Point Intelligence are recommended [8][30]. - The report also highlights the ongoing challenges in the jewelry sector due to rising gold prices [8][30]. 7. Overall Market Performance - The consumer services sector is expected to face challenges, with a projected performance of -8.70% in 2024. However, the beauty and personal care sector is anticipated to recover with a growth of +8.15% in 2025 [11][19].

受金价周期性波动影响，黄金珠宝首饰消费在过去一段时间呈现出一定的疲软态势，行业内各品牌企业 竞争也日趋激烈。在挑战与机遇并存的背景下，黄金饰品上市公司积极推进各项经营策略落地，其中智 能化变革成为各大品牌提升竞争力的重要一环。 据梳理，老凤祥（600612）、周大生（002867）、周大福、潮宏基（002345）等上市公司在供应链管 理、仓储物流等领域正加速智能化布局。纵观业内上市公司在2024年年报中的相关表述，智能化转型已 成为行业破局同质化竞争、重塑价值链的必由之路。 "这一转型的背后，是消费需求的结构性变化，特别是年轻一代对文化自信的追捧、对情绪价值的重视 等都反映在实实在在的消费行为上，这也倒逼企业从规模扩张转向精细化运营。"周大福珠宝集团董事 总经理黄绍基在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示，"与此同时，在黄金价格高位震荡等挑战下，智能化 在企业风险管控、供应链响应和成本优化中的战略价值进一步凸显。未来，企业竞争力不仅在于产品， 更在于整体运营能力能否在行业中处于领先地位。" ● 本报记者乔翔 加快推动智能化发展 黄绍基的判断，正在成为行业共识。 在老凤祥2024年年报中，加快推进智能制造被其视为着力发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices has sparked intense discussions about future price movements, with predictions ranging from a rise of 2000 RMB per gram to a drop of 500 RMB per gram [1] Group 1: International Gold Market Trends - The long-term trend of international gold prices has been upward, driven by global economic uncertainties that make gold a preferred safe-haven asset [3] - Central banks have been significant players in the gold market, with record-high purchases aimed at enhancing financial stability and responding to global economic conditions [3][5] Group 2: Domestic Gold Price Predictions - Some analysts predict that by early 2026, gold prices could reach 4500 USD per ounce, translating to approximately 2500 RMB per gram in the domestic market [5][9] - Current domestic gold prices hover around 1000 RMB per gram, indicating a substantial gap from the predicted target of 2000 RMB per gram [5][11] Group 3: Market Sensitivity and Influencing Factors - Short-term fluctuations in gold prices are highly sensitive to market sentiment and policy changes, which can lead to significant price volatility [7] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertain U.S. economic policies continue to bolster gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [7][9] Group 4: Long-term Price Stability - Predictions suggest that by 2026, domestic gold prices will likely stabilize around 1500 RMB per gram, reflecting moderate adjustments in line with international gold prices [11] - The trend of de-dollarization and sustained central bank demand for gold are expected to support long-term price stability [9][11]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the emergence of "emotional consumption" as a significant trend in the retail industry, particularly benefiting brands that resonate with consumers' emotional needs [2][3][28] - The retail sector is experiencing a slow recovery, with varying performance across different segments, highlighting the resilience of brands linked to emotional value [3][10][39] Industry Review - In Q1 2025, social consumption showed a slow recovery, with retail businesses facing overall pressure. However, segments related to "emotional value" consumption, particularly leading brands, performed significantly better than the industry average [3][10][39] - The jewelry sector is under pressure due to high gold prices, while cross-border e-commerce remains stable but with profit pressures. The medical beauty and cosmetics sectors are facing intense competition, and offline retail is still exploring transformative models [3][6][39] Segment Analysis Jewelry - The jewelry industry is experiencing a shift in brand competition, with traditional brands facing challenges from differentiated product brands that are rapidly emerging and achieving high growth [6][39] - In Q1 2025, the jewelry sector's revenue was 431.6 billion yuan, down 25.9% year-on-year, with net profit also declining [39][64] Cosmetics - The cosmetics sector is benefiting from the rise of emotional consumption, with a focus on high-demand segments such as high-end beauty and differentiated personal care brands [5][39][64] - Brands like Mao Ge Ping and Proya are highlighted for their strong performance in this evolving market [5][39] Medical Beauty - The medical beauty sector is expected to recover as domestic demand increases, with a focus on differentiated product lines [5][39] - Companies like Ai Meike and Kedi-B are recommended for their unique offerings [5][39] Offline Retail - Offline retail is leveraging emotional consumption to regain market share, with companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi being recommended for their proactive transformation efforts [5][39] - The report notes that the shift towards a direct-to-consumer (DTC) model is crucial for offline retailers to enhance customer experience and emotional satisfaction [69] Investment Recommendations - For the jewelry sector, brands with differentiated product capabilities and deep consumer insights are recommended, including Lao Pu Gold and Chao Hong Ji [5][66] - In the cosmetics space, the report suggests focusing on high-demand segments and brands that can continuously innovate [5][66] - The medical beauty sector is advised to consider companies with unique product lines, such as Ai Meike and Kedi-B [5][66] - The report highlights the importance of emotional value in driving consumer preferences, suggesting that brands that can effectively tap into this trend will outperform their peers [5][66]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a rating of "Add" [6] Core Viewpoints - The textile and apparel industry is expected to recover in 2024, with a focus on quality brands in 2025. The apparel brands are projected to face profit pressure in 2024, with a slight improvement anticipated in Q1 2025 [1][4] - The textile manufacturing sector shows stable growth, with a significant profit increase driven by improved capacity utilization. The impact of recent tariff changes may accelerate industry optimization in the medium to long term [2][4] - The gold and jewelry sector exhibits performance divergence, with brands that focus on store expansion and product differentiation outperforming the industry average [3][4] Summary by Sections 1. Apparel Brands - In 2024, the revenue of key apparel companies (A-shares only) is expected to decline by 2.2%, with a net profit drop of 24.1%. The decline in profit is more significant than revenue due to negative operating leverage and increased expense ratios [1][21] - The gross margin for key apparel companies is projected to increase by 0.4 percentage points to 56.8% in 2024, with a further increase of 1.1 percentage points to 57.4% in Q1 2025 [1][33] - Cash flow for most brands in 2024 is expected to align with performance, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio [1][49] 2. Textile Manufacturing - The textile manufacturing sector is projected to see a revenue increase of 6.4% and a net profit growth of 26.9% in 2024, with leading companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group showing revenue growth rates of 15% and 19% respectively [2][4] - The revenue growth for key textile manufacturing companies is expected to slow down in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 due to high base effects, but overall performance remains stable [2][4] - The sector is expected to benefit from a more integrated and internationalized supply chain, particularly for leading companies [2][4] 3. Gold and Jewelry - The gold and jewelry sector is expected to see a revenue decline of 1.7% in 2024, with a net profit increase of 3.6%. Companies with strong product differentiation and store expansion strategies are likely to outperform [3][4] - The consumption of gold jewelry is projected to decrease by 25% in 2024, while the demand for gold bars and coins is expected to rise by 25% [3][4] 4. Investment Recommendations - For apparel brands, recommended stocks include Anta Sports, with a projected PE of 18 times for 2025, and other companies like Tabo, Weigao Medical, and Hailan Home, with varying PE ratios [4][9] - In textile manufacturing, recommended stocks include Shenzhou International and Huayi Group, with projected PE ratios of 11 and 15 times respectively for 2025 [4][9] - In the gold and jewelry sector, companies like Chow Tai Fook and Chaohongji are highlighted, with projected PE ratios of 16 and 18 times for 2025 [4][9]

华夏时报（www.chinatimes.net.cn）记者 李明会 北京报道 "金价又涨了，五一期间入手'三金'多好！"五一假期的节后第一天，"金价再爆发"又上热搜，正在备婚的钱女士对 《华夏时报》记者直言后悔到拍大腿，"还以为五一过后金价能便宜些，没想到又涨了。" 今年以来，金价高位狂飙，牵动多方神经。像钱女士一样，不少备婚新人都在纠结要不要在此时购买"三金"或"五 金"，生怕买在高位当了"冤大头"。不过，一位新人劝告记者，"要买赶紧买，不然可能越来越贵，我就是从（克 价）七百多拖到一千才买的。" 5月6日，国际金价延续此前一日上涨态势，盘中一度触及3386美元/盎司，截至记者发稿前，现货黄金站上3379美 元/盎司，日内涨1.36%，COMEX黄金期货亦持续上涨，一度突破3390美元/盎司，日内涨幅逼近2%。 受此影响，5月6日，国内多家品牌金店足金饰品价格再度涨破1000元/克，有品牌金饰单克金价甚至一夜反弹超30 元。 金价再爆发 此前4月22日，现货黄金一度涨超3500美元/盎司，刷新历史新高。此后现货黄金连续多日回调，但近日再度卷土 重来。 不过，5月5日，现货黄金大幅拉升，一举突破3300美元/ ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" with an expected relative increase of over 10% in the industry index compared to the market over the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The profits of large-scale industrial enterprises in China showed improvement in March 2025, with total profits reaching 15,093.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, and a month-on-month increase of 1.1 percentage points [1]. - In the consumer goods manufacturing sector, five out of thirteen major categories experienced profit growth, with agricultural and sideline food processing profits increasing by 40.3% year-on-year [2]. - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as food and beverage, cosmetics, gold and jewelry, and home appliances, highlighting the resilience of essential consumer goods [3]. Summary by Sections Industrial Profit Trends - In the first quarter of 2025, large-scale industrial enterprises achieved a total revenue of 321,395.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.4% [1]. - March 2025 saw a revenue increase of 4.2% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in industrial performance [1]. Consumer Goods Manufacturing - The report identifies a narrowing of profit declines in several consumer goods manufacturing sectors, with notable growth in agricultural and sideline food processing and textiles [2]. - The wearable smart device manufacturing, electric vehicle manufacturing, and kitchen appliance sectors saw significant profit increases of 78.8%, 65.8%, and 21.7% respectively due to supportive policies [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on resilient sectors such as food and beverage, cosmetics, gold and jewelry, and home appliances, with specific attention to leading companies in these areas [3].

受国际金价影响，国内多家品牌金店足金饰品金价再度突破千元。其中，周大福足金饰品价格上调至每克1026元。而在深圳水贝市场，金饰金价也再次回 到每克800元之上。 "五一"假期期间，品牌金店足金饰品金价普遍跌破每克1000元的关口，在促销优惠之下，部分品牌报价甚至重回"8字头"，而深圳水贝市场金价则普遍调 至每克780元左右。"价格回调到800元以下，生意还是好了许多。"五一假期期间，在深圳水贝黄金珠宝市场经营的商家告诉记者，假期的销量与此前金价 处在历史最高水平时相比增加近20%。 在经历短暂回调后，国际金价再次大涨。 5月6日，COMEX黄金期货价格一度突破3390美元/盎司，盘中涨幅接近2%；现货黄金在昨日涨近3%的基础上，今日早盘一度涨超1.6%，逼近3390美元/盎 司。A股早盘黄金表现活跃，A股黄金股ETF上涨超过3%。 | W | COMEX黄金 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | GC.CMX | | | | | | | 3368.9 | 3322.3 | 昨结 | | 总手 | | 6.04万 | | +46. ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing fluctuations, with recent promotional activities leading to a surge in gold purchases during the "May Day" holiday, as prices for some brands have dropped below 800 yuan per gram [1][2][3] - The international gold price saw a decline, reaching a low of 3220 USD per ounce on May 1, but rebounded to 3305.31 USD per ounce by May 5, reflecting a 2% increase [2][4] - Major jewelry brands are offering discounts, with prices for gold jewelry from brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang remaining stable around 998 yuan per gram, while Lao Miao Gold is priced at 991 yuan per gram [2][3] Group 2 - Analysts predict that gold prices will continue to experience volatility in the short term, influenced by factors such as trade tensions, a strong dollar, and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes [4][7] - The World Gold Council reported that global demand for gold bars and coins increased by 3% year-on-year to 325 tons in the first quarter, marking the second-highest quarterly demand on record [4][5] - Despite a decline in global gold jewelry consumption by 21%, the demand for gold bars and coins in China increased by 29.81% year-on-year, indicating a shift towards gold as a safe-haven asset [5][6] Group 3 - The average stock price of gold-related companies in the A-share market has risen by 28.67% this year, with the highest increase recorded at 68.29% for Chifeng Gold [6] - Analysts from Ping An Securities expect that as gold prices continue to rise, short-term volatility will increase, while the long-term outlook remains positive due to the weakening of the dollar's credit [7]