Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong new consumption sector has experienced a significant decline in stock prices, with major companies like Pop Mart and others seeing their market values drop sharply from their highs earlier in the year [2][4][7]. Market Performance - As of October 23, 2023, Pop Mart's stock price fell by 9.36% to 232.4 HKD, with a total market capitalization of 312.1 billion HKD, marking a decline of over 32% from its peak of 339.8 HKD on August 26 [2][4][7]. - Other leading stocks such as Lao Pu Gold and Mixue Group have also seen significant declines, with Lao Pu Gold dropping over 34% from its high of 1,082 HKD and Mixue Group down more than 31% from 615 HKD [4][5][7]. Capital Flow - Despite continued inflows from southbound funds, local and international intermediary funds have shown signs of withdrawal, indicating a shift in market sentiment [3][8]. - The analysis of capital flow reveals a divergence among institutional investors, with southbound funds still being the main buyers, while other major institutions have been retreating [8][9]. Growth Concerns - There are growing concerns about the sustainability of growth in the new consumption sector, particularly for companies like Pop Mart, which has seen a significant increase in revenue but faces skepticism about future growth potential [10][11]. - The market is reassessing the business models of new consumption companies, with specific concerns about the alignment of their operational strategies and market positioning [10][11]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment is intensifying, with companies like Lao Pu Gold and Mixue Group facing challenges related to their production efficiency and market positioning [11][12]. - The overall inventory turnover rates in the sector have declined, suggesting a potential oversupply situation that could impact future profitability [12]. Long-term Outlook - Some analysts remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the new consumption sector, citing macroeconomic support and evolving consumer trends that may drive future growth [12].

Core Insights - The company reported a strong growth in Q3, with overall revenue increasing by 245% to 250% year-on-year, driven by significant gains in both domestic and international markets [7][8] - Despite impressive growth figures, the company's stock price experienced a notable decline, dropping 8.08% on the day of the announcement and further falling 9.36% shortly after [2][15] - The LABUBU IP has been a key driver of revenue, with its popularity leading to substantial price premiums in the secondary market, although there are concerns about sustaining this momentum [3][4][21] Revenue Performance - Domestic revenue grew by 185% to 190%, while overseas revenue surged by 365% to 370% [8] - In the domestic market, offline sales increased by 130% to 135%, and online sales skyrocketed by 300% to 305% [9] - The Americas saw the highest growth at 1265% to 1270%, followed by Europe at 735% to 740%, and the Asia-Pacific region (excluding China) at 170% to 175% [9][10] Market Position and Valuation - The company's market capitalization has decreased from over 400 billion HKD in late August to approximately 312.1 billion HKD by October 23 [3][13] - The founder, Wang Ning, has a net worth of 18.8 billion USD, ranking him 130th on the Forbes real-time billionaire list [5] Product and IP Strategy - The LABUBU IP has been crucial for the company's success, with its revenue contribution increasing significantly from 5.8% to 34.7% in just over a year [18][20] - Other IPs like MOLLY and SKULLPANDA have seen a decline in revenue contribution despite their own growth rates, indicating a heavy reliance on LABUBU for driving sales [20][21] - The company is focusing on innovation and expanding its product lines to meet diverse consumer demands [11][21] Stock Market Reaction - Following the Q3 report, the stock price has shown volatility, with a general downward trend observed from October 17 to 23, except for a brief recovery on October 22 [14][15] - The market's reaction reflects concerns over the sustainability of the company's growth and the potential for product price fluctuations [22][24] Future Outlook - The company aims to leverage its existing IPs while exploring new ones to maintain competitive advantage in the market [29] - The recent collaboration with high-profile figures, such as Apple's CEO Tim Cook, highlights the brand's strategy to enhance visibility and market presence [28][29]

Group 1: Gold and Silver Market - The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues to impact gold and silver prices, with a perception that a ceasefire is unlikely despite negotiations [1] - Historical context is provided by comparing the current situation to the Korean War, where intense battles occurred even during ceasefire negotiations [1] - Market sentiment suggests that while short-term gold prices may decline, the long-term outlook remains positive, as indicated by the performance of gold ETFs [1] Group 2: Pop Mart's Performance - Pop Mart's recent performance has raised questions about its business model, with significant market divergence in opinions [2] - Historical trends in collectible toys suggest that sales can drop significantly after initial peaks, which may indicate that Pop Mart's current valuation is too high [2] - The introduction of new products has led to a decline in the resale value of existing items, raising concerns about the sustainability of the blind box model [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent significant decline in the stock price of Pop Mart (09992.HK), which has dropped 30% over the past two months, despite a previous surge of nearly 15 times in the stock price over 17 months, driven by the popularity of its IP, LABUBU [3][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, Pop Mart reported a net profit of 9.2 billion yuan, which increased to 31.3 billion yuan for the entire year. In the first half of 2025, the net profit reached 45.7 billion yuan [3]. - The latest third-quarter operational data shows overall revenue growth of 245% to 250% year-on-year, with specific growth rates of 185% to 190% in China, 130% to 135% in offline channels, and 300% to 305% in online channels. Overseas revenue grew by 365% to 370% [6]. Market Trends and Consumer Sentiment - Despite the recent stock price correction, Pop Mart's performance continues to grow, particularly in overseas markets [5]. - There are emerging concerns regarding the sustainability of growth due to high base effects, with some institutions reassessing the company's future performance and valuation [6]. - Consumer sentiment indicates a potential fatigue with Pop Mart's product offerings, with calls for more diverse product forms beyond just variations of dolls [6]. IP and Product Strategy - The success of Pop Mart is significantly tied to its leading IP, LABUBU, which gained international traction and popularity, contributing to the company's market value [4]. - Industry analysts suggest that the value of blind boxes and related products is primarily driven by IP and the rarity of hidden items, rather than intrinsic value [7]. - There is a need for Pop Mart to enhance its IP storytelling and expand its product matrix to maintain growth momentum and avoid over-reliance on a single successful IP [7].

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in Pop Mart's stock price, which has dropped 30% over the past two months, contrasts sharply with its previous 15-fold increase over 17 months, highlighting volatility in the market and concerns about future growth sustainability [2][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On October 23, Pop Mart's stock fell by 9%, marking its largest single-day drop since April [2]. - The stock has experienced a continuous decline for five consecutive trading days [2]. - Despite the recent downturn, Pop Mart's stock had previously surged nearly 15 times from March 2024 to August 2025 [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, Pop Mart reported a net profit of 920 million yuan, with an expected total of 3.13 billion yuan for the entire year [2]. - For the first half of 2025, the company earned 4.57 billion yuan [2]. - Recent third-quarter operational data indicates a revenue increase of 245% to 250% year-on-year, with specific growth rates of 185% to 190% in China and 365% to 370% in overseas markets [4]. Group 3: Product and Market Dynamics - The surge in stock price is partly attributed to the popularity of Pop Mart's flagship IP, LABUBU, which gained significant traction in 2025 [3]. - LABUBU's appeal has expanded internationally, with products selling out domestically and long queues at overseas stores [3]. - There are concerns about consumer fatigue regarding Pop Mart's product offerings, with calls for more diverse product forms beyond just variations of existing toys [5]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Market skepticism is growing regarding the sustainability of Pop Mart's growth, with some analysts predicting a potential slowdown in revenue growth starting next year [4]. - Optimistic forecasts from some institutions, such as China Merchants Securities, suggest that Pop Mart's net profit could reach 7 billion yuan in 2025, exceeding market expectations by approximately 15% [4]. - Industry experts note that the current market dynamics may lead to a correction in valuation as the excitement around LABUBU wanes, emphasizing the need for Pop Mart to strengthen its internal capabilities and innovate [5].

果然财经 | 崩了？泡泡玛特股价，暴跌超10% 热门评论我要评论 微信扫码 移动端评论 泡泡玛特(09992.HK)在披露三季度经营业绩后，今日股价再度遭遇重挫。该股早盘的股价一度急泻至 228.60港元，刷新6月以来低点；截至发稿，仍跌超9%。值得注意的是，泡泡玛特自9月以来股价持续 回调，其累计跌幅接近30%。 果然财经 | 崩了？泡泡玛特股价，暴跌超10% 大众报业·齐鲁壹点25分钟前 暂无评论 鲁ICP备15022957号-13 鲁公网安备 37010202002220号 鲁新网备案号201000101 电信增值业务许可证： 鲁B2-20120085 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 版权所有(C) All Rights Reserved 联系电话：0531-82625462邮箱： 1790179766@qq.com ...

泡泡玛特业绩高增与股价大跌，形成强烈反差。 三季度业绩亮眼 【导读】泡泡玛特业绩高增与股价大跌形成强烈反差，早盘一度跌至228.6港元，创6月以来低点 10月23日，泡泡玛特在披露三季度经营数据后股价大幅下挫，早盘一度跌至228.6港元，创6月以来低点。 截至午盘，泡泡玛特跌9.44%，报232.2港元/股。 值得关注的是，自9月以来泡泡玛特股价跌幅已达到28%。 股价罕见大跌 增长可持续性或是担忧点 在业绩数据亮眼情况下，多家资管巨头再次宣布增持评级，更有机构上调泡泡玛特目标价。 花旗将泡泡玛特目标价上调至415港元，重申买入评级。花旗发表报告表示，泡泡玛特第三季强劲增长动能主要归功于全球新产品热销及存货补充策略。 花旗预期，泡泡玛特在即将到来的旺季将延续良好趋势，节庆季表现或成短期催化剂，惟基数效应将导致增长动能趋缓。该行认为股价回调已创造更佳进 场时机。建议投资者聚焦销售趋势，因品牌自有渠道持续呈现快速售罄态势。 野村则维持目标价372港元及买入评级。近日，野村研究报告指出，泡泡玛特持续强劲的增长动能，主要受益于其稳健的IP开发与营运能力。除了最大收 入来源THE MONSTERS外，其他主要IP亦已形 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong new consumption sector has experienced a significant decline in stock prices, with major companies like Pop Mart and others seeing substantial market value evaporation despite reporting strong earnings growth [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The new consumption sector in Hong Kong has faced a collective downturn, with Pop Mart's stock price dropping nearly 11% on October 23, closing at 232.4 HKD per share, resulting in a market capitalization of 312.1 billion HKD [1][3]. - Major stocks in the sector, including Pop Mart, Lao Pu Gold, and Mi Xue Group, have seen declines exceeding 20% from their yearly highs, with a total market value loss of over 280 billion HKD [1][3][5]. - Pop Mart's stock has fallen over 32% from its historical high of 339.8 HKD on August 26, while Lao Pu Gold and Mi Xue Group have also experienced significant declines of over 34% and 31%, respectively [3][4]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Market Sentiment - Despite continued inflows from southbound funds, local and international intermediary funds have shown signs of withdrawal, indicating a shift in market sentiment [2][6]. - Concerns about growth sustainability, a reassessment of business models, and profit-taking pressures are identified as key factors driving the current market adjustment [2][8]. - There is a notable divergence among institutional investors regarding the future trajectory of the sector, with some viewing the downturn as a temporary correction while others see it as a potential end to the growth narrative [2][10]. Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Pop Mart reported a remarkable year-on-year revenue growth of 245%-250% for Q3, yet this did not bolster market confidence, leading to continued stock price declines [5][8]. - Concerns about the sustainability of growth are prevalent, with analysts suggesting that Pop Mart's revenue growth may peak this year, leading to potential slowdowns in the future [8][9]. - Lao Pu Gold faces scrutiny over its business model, with increasing reliance on outsourced production and a disconnect between its luxury positioning and actual product pricing [9][10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The new consumption sector is currently in a phase of "light assets, high turnover, and strong cash flow," but there are signs of deteriorating supply-demand dynamics, particularly due to intensified competition [10][11]. - Some analysts remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of the consumption sector, citing macroeconomic support and evolving consumer trends towards personalized and emotional consumption [11].

Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought Hong Kong stocks worth 5.345 billion HKD today [1] - The top net purchases included China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) at 979 million HKD, Pop Mart at 793 million HKD, and Meituan-W at 524 million HKD [1] - Southbound funds have net bought Pop Mart for three consecutive days, totaling 2.15428 billion HKD, and have also net bought SMIC for three consecutive days, totaling 1.19602 billion HKD [1] Group 2 - Alibaba-W saw a net purchase of 268 million HKD despite a 1.7% decline [3] - CNOOC experienced a 2.2% increase with a net purchase of 529 million HKD [3] - Tencent Holdings had a net purchase of 163 million HKD with a 1.5% increase [3]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 53.45 billion HKD from Northbound trading on October 23, with the Shanghai Stock Connect contributing 47.7 billion HKD and the Shenzhen Stock Connect contributing 5.75 billion HKD [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The most bought stocks included CNOOC (00883), Pop Mart (09992), and Meituan-W (03690) [1] - The most sold stocks included Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347), Innovent Biologics (01801), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Details - CNOOC (00883) received a net buy of 9.79 billion HKD, driven by rising international oil prices due to sanctions on Russian oil companies [5] - Pop Mart (09992) saw a net buy of 7.93 billion HKD, with a reported sales growth of 245% to 250% in Q3, significantly exceeding Morgan Stanley's forecast [5] - Meituan-W (03690) had a net buy of 5.24 billion HKD, with strategic leadership changes indicating a focus on international expansion [6] - Semiconductor stocks showed divergence, with SMIC (00981) receiving a net buy of 4.25 billion HKD, while Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) faced a net sell of 10.14 billion HKD due to concerns over its business sustainability [6] - Zai Lab (02367) received a net buy of 3.59 billion HKD following the approval of a new medical device [7] - Tencent (00700) and Alibaba-W (09988) had net buys of 2.65 billion HKD and 1.53 billion HKD, respectively, while Innovent Biologics (01801) and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) faced net sells of 1.4 billion HKD and 573 million HKD [7]