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2026年03月2日申万期货品种策略日报-铂、钯:申万期货品种策略日报-铂、钯-20260302
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains a bullish outlook on platinum and palladium [4] 2. Core View of the Report - The long - term core logic for platinum and palladium remains unchanged, but short - term fluctuations are intensified due to technical corrections and Fed personnel changes. Although the prices of NYMEX platinum and palladium have rebounded from the lows in late January, they have not fully recovered the previous declines. The nomination of Kevin Warsh by Trump has affected the prices, but long - term factors such as the weakening of the US dollar's credit, the continuation of the global central bank's gold - buying wave, and supply - demand imbalances in the industry still support the prices [4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - **Price and Volume Information**: For platinum futures (pt2606, pt2608, pt2610), the current prices are 623.75, 616.80, and 610.65 respectively, with price increases of 31.60, 29.85, and 30.25 and increases of 5.34%, 5.09%, and 5.21% respectively. The trading volumes are 16904, 384, and 138 respectively. For palladium futures (pd2606, pd2608, pd2610), the current prices are 464.85, 458.50, and 458.00 respectively, with price increases of 12.55, 10.20, and 10.70 and increases of 2.77%, 2.28%, and 2.39% respectively. The trading volumes are 4636, 84, and 27 respectively [1] - **Position Information**: The positions of platinum and palladium futures are all 12639 and 4428 respectively [1] - **Spot Premium Information**: The spot premiums of platinum futures (pt2606, pt2608, pt2610) are - 13.76, - 6.81, and - 0.66 respectively. The spot premiums of palladium futures (pd2606, pd2608, pd2610) are - 16.85, - 10.5, and - 10 respectively [1] 3.2 Spot Market - **Price and Change Information**: The previous closing prices of Shanghai platinum, London platinum, Chow Tai Fook platinum, and Lao Feng Xiang platinum are 609.99 yuan/g, 2366.00 dollars/ounce, 893.00 yuan/g, and 960.00 yuan/g respectively. The price changes are 18.39, 111.00, - 12.00, and 0.00 respectively, with price increase rates of 0.031%, 0.049%, - 0.013%, and 0.000% respectively. The previous closing prices of Chinese palladium and Russian palladium are 448.00 yuan/g and 4394.91 rubles/g respectively, with price changes of 2.00 and - 147.57 respectively, and price increase rates of 0.004% and - 0.032% respectively [1] - **Ratio Information**: The current values of platinum/palladium, Shanghai platinum/London platinum, pt2608 - pt2606, pt2610 - pt2606, Chinese palladium/Russian palladium, and pd2608 - pd2606 are 1.36, 1.11, - 6.95, - 13.10, 1.11, and - 6.35 respectively, while the previous values are 9.19, 0.72, - 6.50, - 10.60, - 0.15, and - 0.55 respectively [1] 3.3 Inventory - **Platinum Inventory**: The current NYMEX platinum inventory is 577,735.59 ounces, a decrease of 459.6 ounces compared to the previous value. The NYMEX registered platinum warehouse receipts remain unchanged at 313,567.94 ounces. The trading volume of platinum on the gold exchange is 3,696.15 ten - thousand yuan, an increase of 1685.6 ten - thousand yuan compared to the previous value, and the trading volume is 62.00 kilograms, an increase of 28.00 kilograms compared to the previous value [1] - **Palladium Inventory**: The NYMEX palladium inventory and registered warehouse receipts remain unchanged at 186,268.54 ounces and 148,317.64 ounces respectively [1] 3.4 Related Derivatives - **Related Indexes**: The current values of the US dollar index, S&P index, US Treasury bond yield, Nasdaq index, Dow Jones index, and US dollar - RMB exchange rate are 97.64, 6,878.88, 3.97, 22,668.21, 48,977.92, and 6.92 respectively, with changes of - 0.14, - 29.98, - 0.05, - 210.17, - 521.28, and 0.00 respectively compared to the previous values [1] - **Gold and Silver Futures**: The current values of Shanghai gold futures (2604, 2606, 2608) are 1147.90, 1151.34, and 1154.28 respectively, with increases of 1.42, 1.24, and 1.28 respectively compared to the previous closing prices. The current values of Shanghai silver futures (2604, 2606, 2608) are 23019.00, 22775.00, and 22736.00 respectively, with increases of 447, 489, and 558 respectively compared to the previous closing prices [1] 3.5 Macroeconomic News - **Geopolitical Events**: The military strikes by the US and Israel against Iran have led to disruptions in shipping in the Strait of Hormuz [2] - **US Fed Personnel Changes**: Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman, but the nomination faces opposition. The Fed has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 3.50% - 3.75%, and Fed Chairman candidate Waller supports a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut [2] - **China's Central Bank Policy**: The People's Bank of China has held a 2026 payment and settlement work conference, aiming to promote the high - quality development of the modern payment system, including accelerating the construction of the RMB cross - border payment system and strengthening regulatory measures [3]
3月1日主要金店黄金报价:周大福为1608元/克,菜百首饰为1558元/克
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-03-01 03:59
Group 1 - The international gold price is reported at $5,279.8 per ounce, while international palladium is at $1,782.0 per ounce, and international silver is at $93.75 per ounce [1] - The domestic gold price is reported at ¥1,180.0 per gram [1] - Major domestic gold retailers have varying prices, with Chow Tai Fook at ¥1,608 per gram being the highest, and China Gold at ¥1,558 per gram being the lowest [1] Group 2 - Other notable domestic gold prices include: - Chow Sang Sang at ¥1,602 per gram - Luk Fook at ¥1,608 per gram - Xie Ruilin at ¥1,608 per gram - King of Gold at ¥1,608 per gram - Chao Hong Ji at ¥1,608 per gram - Lao Miao at ¥1,608 per gram - Lao Feng Xiang at ¥1,575 per gram - Zhou Liu Fu at ¥1,603 per gram [1]
老铺黄金2026年首次调价,整体调价幅度在20%至30%
YOUNG财经 漾财经· 2026-02-28 10:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent price adjustment by Laopu Gold, which reflects a price increase of 20% to 30% due to rising international gold prices and the brand's enhanced market position [2][3]. Price Adjustment Details - Laopu Gold's first price adjustment of the year occurred on February 28, with a specific example showing a necklace's price rising from approximately 47,300 yuan to 60,100 yuan, marking a 27.6% increase [2]. - The international gold price has surged over 85% since 2025, currently standing at 5,279 USD per ounce, with Morgan Stanley predicting it could reach 6,300 USD per ounce within the year [2]. Brand Performance and Market Strategy - The price adjustments by Laopu Gold align with the increase in gold prices, and the brand has maintained high popularity despite these changes [3]. - On February 26, during a promotional event on Tmall, Laopu Gold's flagship store achieved over 300 million yuan in sales within seconds, indicating strong consumer demand [4]. - Laopu Gold's pricing strategy is characterized by a "fixed price" model, distinguishing it from other gold retailers that frequently adjust prices based on daily gold price fluctuations [4]. Financial Performance - For the six months ending June 30, 2025, Laopu Gold reported revenues of 12.354 billion yuan, a 251% increase year-on-year, and an adjusted net profit of 2.35 billion yuan, up 290.6% [5]. - The company's gross margin slightly decreased to approximately 38.1%, but the net profit margin improved from 17.1% to 19.0% due to significant revenue growth [5]. - HSBC has raised Laopu Gold's net profit forecast for 2026 by 7% and revenue forecast by 10%, citing enhanced brand equity and pricing power among high-end customers [5]. Industry Trends - Other brands, such as Chow Tai Fook, are also planning price increases for fixed-price gold products, with expected hikes ranging from 15% to 30% [6]. - Chow Tai Fook reported a retail value growth of 17.8% in the latest quarter, driven by strong sales in signature product lines and jade jewelry [7]. - Various brands are offering discounts on per gram gold, with reductions ranging from 40 to 180 yuan per gram, while fixed-price gold products remain priced higher than per gram offerings even with discounts [8].
周大福镶金发夹卖2080元,销售回应
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-28 09:15
另据梨视频报道,周大福多名销售人员表示,该款发夹新品发售目前全国仅30多个,限个别线下旗舰店有售。发夹上的"福"字部分金重0.42克,单卖2080 元一个。该款发夹使用了鎏彩工艺和不锈钢材质,颜色分为粉色、红色和黑色。 目前,黄金饰品销售火爆。上海黄金饰品行业协会的统计数据显示,春节期间,上海黄金珠宝市场销售额达7.2亿元,实现同比5%增长。 2月份以来,国际金价呈现高位震荡,截至智通财经发稿,伦敦金现报5278.33美元/盎司,上涨1.88%。国内黄金饰品价格也出现上涨。2月28日,老庙的 足金饰品价格为1608元/克,比前一日上涨42元/克,周生生的足金饰品价格为1602元/克,比前一日上涨32元/克。 该行2月全球投资策略报告显示,上调黄金预期的主要驱动因素包括:央行购金、宏观不确定性,以及散户参与度可能上升,"在宏观不确定性居高不下的 背景下,我们预计央行和投资者将继续增配黄金,借助其分散风险的属性,应对地缘政治、通胀及政策层面的各类风险"。 来源:某社交平台 图片来源:界面图库 随后,智通财经致电周大福一家线下门店,工作人员表示,公司是推出了一款镶金发夹,但是目前除了部分一线门店有货外,其他很多门店 ...
周大福镶金发夹售价超2000元,销售人员:金重0.42克
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-28 08:45
Group 1 - Chow Tai Fook has launched a new gold hairpin, but it is only available in limited quantities at select flagship stores, with only about 30 locations nationwide having stock [2] - The hairpin weighs 0.42 grams of gold and is priced at 2080 yuan, which has led to criticism from consumers regarding its high premium compared to the current gold price of 1608 yuan per gram [2] - The company aims to attract younger consumers by combining lightweight gold with fashionable designs and limited releases, potentially increasing gold jewelry consumption [2] Group 2 - International gold prices have been fluctuating at high levels, with London gold currently priced at 5278.33 USD per ounce, reflecting a 1.88% increase [3] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also risen, with prices for gold jewelry from Lao Miao and Chow Sang Sang increasing by 42 yuan and 32 yuan per gram, respectively [3] - Morgan Stanley predicts that gold prices could rise to 6000-6300 USD per ounce by the end of the year, driven by central bank purchases, macroeconomic uncertainties, and increased retail participation [3]
国际银价大涨珠宝品牌拒收白银,周大福暂停黄金回收
Cai Jing Wang· 2026-02-28 08:45
Group 1 - The international silver price has been fluctuating at high levels, with COMEX silver futures rising over 4% on February 27 [1] - Many jewelry brands have stopped buying back silver, with some brands offering significantly lower prices for silver compared to their selling prices [1] - Chow Tai Fook has announced a suspension of its gold buyback business [1]
大行评级丨里昂:维持周大福创建“跑赢大市”评级,中期股息增长属意外惊喜
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-28 06:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Chow Tai Fook's operational performance for the first half of the fiscal year 2026 meets expectations, with adjusted recurring profits reaching HKD 1.47 billion, accounting for 52% of the bank's full-year forecast [1] - The profit growth of Chow Tai Fook Life Insurance is identified as the main driver across all operational segments [1] - The interim dividend per share is set at HKD 0.28, representing a 3% increase compared to the same period last year, which is considered an unexpected positive surprise [1] Group 2 - The report mentions that Chow Tai Fook is expected to be approved for inclusion in the southbound trading on March 9, which could act as a catalyst for valuation re-evaluation, particularly for yield-seeking investors [1] - The bank maintains a "outperform" rating for Chow Tai Fook, with a target price set at HKD 8.8 [1]
周大福回应镶金发夹卖2080元:金重0.42克
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-28 04:48
格隆汇2月28日|近日,周大福新发售的一款发夹,售价2080元一个,引发网友调侃,"居然不是赠 品""不如miumiu仿品"。 2月28日,周大福多名销售人员回复称,该款发夹新品发售目前全国仅30多 个,限个别线下旗舰店有售。发夹上的"福"字部分金重0.42克,单卖2080元一个。颜色分为粉色、红色 和黑色,目前有店铺粉色发夹已卖完。店员还表示,该款发夹使用了鎏彩工艺和不锈钢材质,也能看作 是miumiu的"高替"。 ...
金价上涨!今日金价及各大金店黄金价格(2026/02/28 11:30)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-28 04:15
Group 1 - The current gold price in various stores ranges from 1330 RMB to 1626 RMB per gram, indicating a competitive market for gold jewelry [1][2][4] - Platinum prices are reported between 785 RMB and 966 RMB per gram across different brands, showing a significant variation in pricing [2][3][4] - Silver prices are noted at 25 RMB per gram for investment bars, highlighting the lower cost compared to gold and platinum [4] Group 2 - Major brands such as Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang have gold prices around 1600 RMB per gram, suggesting a premium positioning in the market [2][3] - The price of investment-grade gold bars is set at 1182 RMB per gram, which is lower than retail prices for jewelry, indicating a potential investment opportunity [4] - The data reflects a stable demand for precious metals, with various brands maintaining competitive pricing strategies [1][2][3][4]
老铺黄金今起调价,涨价前夕线上1秒卖3亿,周大福下月跟涨
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-02-28 03:56
Core Viewpoint - The domestic gold and jewelry industry is experiencing a new wave of price increases, driven by rising international gold prices and increased labor costs, with major brands like Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook announcing price adjustments in early 2026 [2][10]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - Lao Pu Gold implemented a price adjustment on February 28, with increases ranging from 20% to 30%, exemplified by a 26% increase for a popular pendant and a 31% increase for another item [4]. - Chow Tai Fook plans to adjust prices in mid-March, focusing on fixed-price gold products, with expected increases of 15% to 30% [10]. - The price adjustments are part of a regular annual strategy, with both brands historically adjusting prices three times a year [4][10]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Following the announcement of price increases, there was a surge in consumer demand, with long queues at high-end stores and limits on purchases per customer [4]. - During a promotional event on February 26, Lao Pu Gold's online sales reached 1 billion yuan in a single day, with many high-priced items selling out quickly [5]. - The phenomenon of consumers rushing to buy before price hikes has been observed in previous years, indicating a strong consumer expectation of price increases [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Despite high gold prices, the market remains robust, supported by government subsidies and consumer demand for gold jewelry as gifts during the festive season [14]. - Lao Pu Gold has been recognized as a leading brand among high-net-worth individuals, competing effectively with Western luxury brands, which has enhanced its pricing power [15]. - Analysts have raised revenue and profit forecasts for Lao Pu Gold, reflecting its strong market position and brand value [15].