行 业 及 产 业 国防军工 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 韩强 A0230518060003 hanqiang@swsresearch.com 武雨桐 A0230520090001 wuyt@swsresearch.com 穆少阳 A0230524070009 musy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 联系人 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 2026 年 01 月 13 日 商业航天催化持续，继续加大军工 行业关注度 看好 ——国防军工行业周报（2026 年第 2 周） 本期投资提示： ⚫ 上周申万国防军工指数上涨 13.63%，中证军工龙头指数上涨 15.29%，同期上证综指 上涨 3.82%，沪深 300 上涨 2.79%，创业板指上涨 3.89%，申万国防军工指数跑赢创 业板指、跑赢沪深 300、跑赢上证综指、跑输军工龙头指数。1、从细分板块来看，上 周国防军工板块 13.63%的涨幅在 31 个申万一级行业涨跌幅排名第 2 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.04% as of 10:28 AM, with a trading volume of 995.73 million shares and a transaction value of 1,824.82 billion yuan, representing a 1.67% increase compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The pharmaceutical and biological sector led the gains with a rise of 2.60%, followed by media at 2.07%, and oil and petrochemicals at 1.50% [1] - The defense and military industry experienced the largest decline at 5.76%, followed by electronics at 1.95%, and electric power equipment at 1.37% [2] Top Performing Stocks - In the pharmaceutical sector, Xinjianjiang surged by 30.00%, while in media, Liujin Technology rose by 25.66% [1] - The top performer in the oil and petrochemical sector was Bohai Chemical, which increased by 10.14% [1] - In the non-banking financial sector, Hualin Securities saw a rise of 10.02% [1] Declining Stocks - The largest decline in the defense and military sector was seen in Guolian Aviation, which fell by 14.12% [2] - In the electronics sector, Jiuzhiyang dropped by 13.00% [2] - The electric power equipment sector's top loser was Tongguang Cable, which decreased by 11.66% [2]

Stock Market Overview - In December, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut was implemented as expected, leading to fluctuations in future rate cut expectations, while the Nasdaq index experienced volatility [1] - The A-share market showed overall fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving 11 consecutive gains by the end of the month, driven by a positive tone from the Central Economic Work Conference and a declining US dollar index [1] - The Wind All A index recorded a +3.3% increase for the month, with 60% of the Shenwan first-level industries rising, particularly strong performances in defense and military (+17.22%) and non-ferrous metals (+13.68%) [1] Bond Market Overview - The bond market continued to experience wide fluctuations in December, with increased yield volatility and a steeper curve [2] - Despite relatively ample liquidity and the central bank's resumption of bond purchases providing some support, concerns over long-term bond supply and other factors kept the market in a weak oscillation pattern [2] - The 10-year government bond yield ended the month at 1.85%, reflecting an N-shaped trend throughout December [2] Commodity Market Overview - The commodity market showed a bullish atmosphere in December, with precious metals and non-ferrous sectors being the strongest performers [3] - Gold prices fluctuated, with London gold closing at $4318.25 per ounce, up 2.36% from the previous month, while copper prices also saw significant increases [3] - The oil market experienced a downward trend, with Brent crude oil closing at $60.91 per barrel, down 2.26% for the month [3] Macroeconomic Performance - In November, China's exports demonstrated strong resilience, growing by 5.9% year-on-year, driven by a significant increase in machinery and high-tech product exports [5] - However, domestic consumption remained weak, with retail sales growth slowing to 0.3% year-on-year, indicating structural constraints on internal demand [5] - Fixed asset investment continued to decline, with real estate investment adjustments dragging down overall figures, highlighting the challenges in achieving self-sustaining growth [5] Policy Outlook - The Central Economic Work Conference set the tone for macroeconomic policy in 2026, focusing on addressing the structural imbalance of "strong supply and weak demand" [9] - The strategic shift will prioritize investment in human capital and social welfare, aiming to enhance income levels and consumer demand [9] - Fiscal policy is expected to maintain a more active stance, with a nominal deficit rate targeted around 4.0%, while monetary policy will shift focus from total volume to price stability [10][11] Asset Allocation Analysis - In December, net buying in the stock market rebounded to over 2.5 trillion yuan, with significant inflows into equity ETFs [14] - The manufacturing PMI showed a seasonal rebound, indicating improved trade conditions and proactive inventory preparations by companies [15] - Looking ahead to 2026, the market is expected to experience structural trends, with a focus on sectors that demonstrate sustainable performance and profitability [16]

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced a steady rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4165.29 points, up 1.09%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 14366.91 points, up 1.75% [1][4][6] - The total trading volume of the A-share market reached 36,446 billion, showing an increase compared to the previous day [1][4][6] - Among the 30 sectors tracked, 26 saw gains, with media, computer, and defense industries leading the increase, while only oil, coal, real estate, and agriculture sectors experienced slight declines [1][4][6] Overseas Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices saw slight increases, with the Dow Jones up 0.17%, S&P 500 up 0.16%, and Nasdaq up 0.26% [2][4] - Chinese concept stocks surged, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising over 4%, and notable gains from companies like Kingsoft Cloud, which rose over 21%, and Alibaba, which increased by more than 10% [2][4] News Highlights - The Chinese government has issued its first systematic guidelines for the investment direction and layout of government investment funds, emphasizing alignment with national strategic planning and encouraging investment in key industries [8][9] - The successful maiden flight of the Lihong No. 1 spacecraft was reported, marking a significant achievement in space technology [11] - Ongoing discussions between China and the EU regarding electric vehicle trade have progressed, with both parties agreeing on the need for common guidelines for price commitments [12] Driving Factors - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced initiatives to rejuvenate traditional industries and promote emerging sectors, focusing on breakthroughs in quantum technology, human-robot interfaces, and 6G technology [7] - A total of 4,144 stocks in the A-share market rose, with 863 stocks increasing by over 5%, indicating strong market enthusiasm [7]

两融数据显示，该股最新（1月12日）两融余额为24.33亿元，其中，融资余额为24.03亿元，近10日增加 4.68亿元，环比增长24.21%。 公司发布的三季报数据显示，前三季度公司共实现营业收入31.58亿元，同比下降16.17%，实现净利 润-1.75亿元，同比下降194.73%，基本每股收益为-0.0706元。（数据宝） 海格通信股价创出历史新高，截至9:35，该股上涨5.82%，股价报23.28元，成交量1.63亿股，成交金额 38.92亿元，换手率6.58%，该股最新A股总市值达577.77亿元，该股A股流通市值576.85亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，海格通信所属的国防军工行业，目前整体跌幅为5.50%，行业内，目前股价 上涨的有1只，涨幅居前的有海格通信等，涨幅分别为5.82%。股价下跌的有139只，跌停的有北方导 航、中国卫通等8只。 （文章来源：证券时报网） ...

Group 1 - Small-cap stocks exhibit higher volatility and activity compared to large-cap stocks, making them more likely to become market leaders [1] - As of January 12, there are 847 stocks with a circulating market value below 3 billion yuan, and 326 of these have a circulating market value below 2 billion yuan [1] - A total of 1,498 stocks have a total market value below 5 billion yuan, with 482 stocks having a total market value below 3 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The three stocks with the smallest circulating market values are *ST Changyao at 284 million yuan, *ST Aowei at 354 million yuan, and Kuntai Co. at 636 million yuan [1] - The three stocks with the smallest total market values are *ST Changyao at 284 million yuan, *ST Aowei at 399 million yuan, and *ST Lifang at 648 million yuan [1] - A detailed list of stocks with circulating market values below 2 billion yuan includes various sectors such as pharmaceuticals, defense, automotive, and more, highlighting the diversity within small-cap stocks [1][2]

Group 1 - On January 12, 29 out of 31 primary industries in the Shenwan index received net financing inflows, with the computer industry leading at a net inflow of 5.593 billion yuan [1] - Other industries with significant net financing inflows included electronics, defense and military, non-ferrous metals, media, electric equipment, non-bank financials, telecommunications, and machinery [1] Group 2 - A total of 2,310 stocks received net financing inflows on January 12, with 142 stocks having net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - Among these, 22 stocks had net inflows over 300 million yuan, with BlueFocus leading at a net inflow of 1.311 billion yuan [1] - Other notable stocks with high net financing inflows included China Ping An, Kunlun Wanwei, Goldwind Technology, Lens Technology, Northern Rare Earth, Haige Communications, Runze Technology, and CATL [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown strong performance with the Shanghai Composite Index recording a 17-day consecutive rise, closing at 4165.29 points, up by 1.09% [1] - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached a historical high of 3.64 trillion yuan, marking a significant increase in market liquidity [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors include Media (up 7.80%), Computer (up 7.26%), and National Defense & Military Industry (up 5.66%) [1] - Conversely, the sectors with the poorest performance were Oil & Petrochemicals (down 1.00%), Coal (down 0.47%), and Real Estate (down 0.29%) [1] Concept Indices - The leading concept indices were Sora Concept (up 10.43%), MLOps Concept (up 9.88%), and AI Corpus (up 9.18%) [2] - The underperforming concept indices included Rental and Sale Rights (down 0.08%) and Animal Vaccines (down 0.04%) [2] Policy Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued guidelines to enhance the planning and investment direction of government investment funds, aiming for more precise management and improved efficiency in fund utilization [3] - The NDRC's new measures are expected to significantly impact the effectiveness of fiscal funds and guide social capital towards national strategic goals [3] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the strong market performance will continue, driven by factors such as the appreciation of the yuan, increased foreign capital inflow, and the demand for insurance funds [4] - It is suggested to focus on sectors like non-ferrous metals, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), machinery equipment, and coal for potential investment opportunities [4]

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show a strong upward trend, with daily trading volume reaching a historical high, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors [6][9] - The overall performance of small-cap stocks is leading, while large-cap stocks are lagging behind, with the North Star 50 Index rising by 5.35% [6][7] - The AI application sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by recent positive news and market interest, while traditional industries are not attracting as much capital [8][9] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) has agreed to sell its European petrochemical assets for a total value of $950 million, which is expected to enhance the company's performance and improve cash flow [25][26] - The Chinese television market is projected to see a decline in shipments, with an expected total of 32.895 million units in 2025, down 8.5% year-on-year, marking a significant low since 2010 [27][28] - Meta has signed agreements to acquire up to 6.6 GW of nuclear power by 2035, positioning itself as a major buyer in the nuclear energy sector [29][30] Group 3: Company Insights - WuXi AppTec (603259.SH) anticipates a revenue of 45.456 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 15.84%, driven by its integrated CRDMO business model [31][32] - The expected net profit for WuXi AppTec is around 19.151 billion yuan, representing a significant increase of about 102.65%, influenced by non-operating gains from asset sales [32]

Market Performance - On January 12, the A-share market saw a significant increase in both volume and price, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4165.29 points, up 1.09%, and reaching a peak of 4168.36 points during the day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index recorded a 17-day consecutive rise, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.75% and 1.82%, respectively [1] - Over 4100 stocks rose on that day, accounting for approximately three-quarters of all A-share stocks, with more than 200 stocks hitting the daily limit up, indicating a notable increase in market activity [1] Sector Performance - The media and computer sectors both experienced significant gains, with closing increases exceeding 7%, leading to a surge in related stocks [1] - Other sectors such as defense, social services, and telecommunications also performed well, contributing to the overall market strength [1] - Concept sectors related to artificial intelligence saw substantial gains, enhancing market sentiment, while commercial aerospace and controllable nuclear fusion concepts also showed active performance [1] Trading Volume - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached a historical high of 3.64 trillion yuan, marking the second consecutive day of exceeding 3 trillion yuan [1] - The number of stocks with trading volumes exceeding 10 billion yuan increased to 27, indicating a higher level of trading activity compared to recent periods [1] Investment Outlook - Zhongyuan Securities noted that the market's trading activity has become more vibrant since January, with an increase in margin financing balances and signs of new capital entering the market [2] - The continuous decline in domestic risk-free interest rates and the trend of residents moving deposits to equity markets have provided a favorable liquidity environment [2] - The firm anticipates that the current market rally may continue, suggesting a focus on both technological innovation and the recovery of traditional industries for investment opportunities [2]