过去几年，美国股市持续领先，一直是全球资本的焦点。然而2025年全球市场呈现出新的发展态势：欧洲市场的强劲表现和亚洲市场的亮眼数据，促使投 资者开始重新审视传统以美国为中心的投资布局。展望2026年，哪些区域市场更具潜力？哪些投资主题更值得深耕？又有哪些策略可以在波动中把握机 会、增强收益？ 本期财富交想"汇"，我们有幸邀请到 廖卓慧 摩根资产管理董事总经理 国际股票投资专家团队主管 匡正 汇丰私人银行及财富管理 中国首席投资总监 就2026年全球股市投资策略进行专业解读。 欧洲在绿色能源、可持续发展等前沿领域布局深厚，同时拥有一批世界级精品消费品牌，构成独特的投资吸引力。 未来一年，预计全球投资者会继续增加对环球市场的配置，以实现更好的风险分散。 估值优势显著： 即便在2025年经历不俗上涨后，欧股相比估值偏高的美股，仍然具备较好的性价比。 财政政策支持： 欧盟层面的财政政策有望持续为经济和就业提供支撑，有助于稳定市场，提振投资者信心。 独特板块机会： 欧盟在数据隐私和合规方面的严格法规，促使企业在AI应用中更加注重隐私安全，这有助于建立长期可持续的商业模式。同时，欧洲科技企业的估值也 相对更为合理。 AI ...

Group 1: Sodium Battery - The China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association has approved the release of the group standard for sodium-ion batteries for energy storage, marking a new phase of standardization in this field [1] - Sodium-ion batteries are expected to accelerate from laboratory testing to large-scale applications due to their abundant resources, low cost, and high safety [1] - The global shipment of sodium-ion batteries is projected to exceed 347 GWh by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 58.1% [1] Group 2: Commercial Aerospace - Arrow Yuan Technology has begun construction on China's first offshore reusable rocket production base with a total investment of 5.2 billion yuan [2] - The reusable rocket market is anticipated to experience explosive growth, with 2026 expected to be the "Year of Rocket Reusability," significantly reducing launch costs [2] - If recovery technology breakthroughs occur by 2026, China could establish a satellite constellation by 2030, unlocking trillion-dollar markets in space internet and remote sensing [2] Group 3: Medical Research - A team from Peking University has developed a protein-targeted degradation technology that can expose tumor cells that evade the immune system, transforming them from "invisible enemies" to "intelligence messengers" [3] Group 4: Water Resources - The Chinese government is accelerating the construction of the national water network, with significant investment opportunities in the water resources engineering sector [3] - The water resources engineering construction industry is expected to maintain a compound annual growth rate of 8.5% from 2025 to 2030, reaching a market size of over 2.2 trillion yuan by 2030 [3] Group 5: Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The new Atomic Energy Law of the People's Republic of China will take effect on January 15, 2026, encouraging and supporting controlled nuclear fusion research [4] - The global fusion market is expected to exceed 100 billion USD by 2030, driven by significant domestic and international developments in the sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shifting focus of global investors from the US stock market to European and Asian markets, highlighting potential investment opportunities and strategies for 2026 [1]. Group 1: Market Trends - Global investors are expected to continue increasing their allocation to global markets for better risk diversification [6]. - European stocks, despite a strong performance in 2025, still offer good value compared to the higher valuations of US stocks [7]. - EU fiscal policies are likely to continue supporting the economy and employment, which will help stabilize markets and boost investor confidence [8]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Europe has a strong foundation in green energy and sustainable development, along with a range of world-class consumer brands, making it an attractive investment destination [9]. - The demand for AI is robust, and while it has not reached speculative bubble levels, it requires higher stock-picking skills from investors, with a recommendation to focus on European AI opportunities [11]. - The AI ecosystem presents investment opportunities beyond just technology applications, encompassing energy manufacturing, chips, sensors, data storage, algorithm development, and system integration [15]. - The healthcare sector, despite a relatively flat performance in the past two years, is worth focusing on due to medical innovation and aging population demands [17]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Active management is crucial as the tech sector enters a new phase characterized by increased vendor financing and rising corporate leverage, leading to concentration risks [12]. - A strategy involving selling index call options on a classic high-yield stock portfolio can generate stable option income while participating in market upswings [21]. - Backtesting shows that such strategies can achieve an annualized dividend yield of 7-9%, while controlling volatility at levels similar to the market, thus balancing returns and risks [22]. Group 4: Technological Empowerment - The company emphasizes the use of technology to enhance investment processes [23]. - A self-developed platform integrates global research, portfolio management, and risk analysis for efficient information sharing and investment decision-making [24]. - Data-driven research utilizes 40 years of internal data, employing machine learning and natural language processing to analyze vast amounts of unstructured information for investment insights [25]. - Real-time analysis of over 150 risk data points aims to accurately identify potential risks, striving for a flexible balance between macro and individual stock risks [26].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with seven other departments, has issued the "Implementation Opinions on the 'Artificial Intelligence + Manufacturing' Special Action," aiming for significant advancements in AI technology and its application in manufacturing by 2027 [1][5]. Group 1: Key Objectives - By 2027, China aims to achieve a safe and reliable supply of key AI technologies, maintaining a leading position in industry scale and empowerment levels [5]. - The document outlines seven key tasks focused on innovation foundation, intelligence upgrading, product breakthroughs, and entity cultivation to promote mutual empowerment between AI technology and manufacturing applications [5]. Group 2: Focus Areas in AI and Manufacturing - The "Guidelines for AI Empowering Key Industries in Manufacturing" specifically highlights AI applications in healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and biomanufacturing [3][5]. - In the pharmaceutical sector, the focus includes enhancing intelligent research and supply management, building AI-driven platforms for drug discovery, and optimizing drug synthesis processes to reduce development time and costs [3][6]. - The biomanufacturing sector aims for comprehensive innovation, utilizing AI to discover high-performance biological components and optimize fermentation processes for industrial strains [7][8][10]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The initiative emphasizes the development of surgical robots and intelligent diagnostic systems to accelerate innovation in smart medical equipment and its clinical application [4][10]. - It also encourages the development of intelligent systems across various sectors, including healthcare, education, finance, and law, while focusing on the commercialization of AR/VR devices and brain-computer interfaces for industrial inspection and remote healthcare [4][10].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continued its downward trend on January 8, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index both falling over 1% [1][9] - Major tech stocks such as Meituan, Alibaba, and Tencent experienced declines, while Bilibili saw a rise of over 2% [1][9] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) closed down 0.93%, indicating a persistent premium and a positive attitude from buyers, with over 500 million yuan net inflow in the last three days [1][9] Alibaba Developments - Alibaba announced significant progress in its Taobao Flash Sales in the latest quarter and plans to increase investments to achieve market leadership [3][11] - Forecasts suggest that the market share of Taobao Flash Sales will continue to grow strongly by Q4 2025, with a faster reduction in losses compared to competitors [3][11] - The Ministry of Commerce predicts that China's instant retail market will exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026 and reach 2 trillion yuan by 2030 [3][11] AI Advancements - Alibaba's Amap has upgraded its "Street Scanning List" with new features, leveraging self-developed world model technology to introduce a "Flying Street View" function [3][11] - Industry experts believe Amap is building a continuously evolving "true" digital asset pool, positioning itself as a super hub in the AI era [3][11] - The profitability cycle of the AI industry is expected to drive growth for major internet companies like Alibaba and Tencent, with a projected 34% EPS growth for the Hang Seng Tech Index by 2026 [3][11] Capital Inflows - Since the beginning of the year, southbound funds have significantly purchased Hong Kong stocks, with a net inflow of 30.78 billion HKD in the first three trading days of 2026 [4][12] - Major beneficiaries include Xiaomi, which received a net inflow of 3.148 billion HKD, and Alibaba, which saw over 2 billion HKD in net purchases [4][12] - Goldman Sachs forecasts that southbound fund inflows will reach a new high of 200 billion USD in 2026, driven by the current 37% premium of AH shares, highlighting the valuation advantages of Hong Kong stocks [4][12] Market Outlook - According to Guangfa Securities, the rise in Hong Kong assets is supported by fundamentals, with signs of structural recovery in profitability starting from the second half of 2024 [4][12] - The shift from liquidity-driven growth to a combination of profitability and liquidity is anticipated, especially with the decline of food delivery subsidies and the emergence of AI-driven advertising and cloud services as new growth points [4][12] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF and its linked funds track the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index, with major holdings in Alibaba, Tencent, and Xiaomi, accounting for over 78% of the top ten weighted stocks [4][12] Top Holdings in Hong Kong Internet ETF - Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) - 15.42% [5][13] - Alibaba (0988.HK) - 14.50% [5][13] - Xiaomi Group (1810.HK) - 13.11% [5][13] - Meituan (3690.HK) - 12.03% [5][13] - Kuaishou (1024.HK) - 4.24% [5][13]

盘面上，商业航天概念持续大涨，航天宏图、天箭科技、航天科技、神剑股份、通宇通讯、航天南湖、 九鼎新材、巨力索具、航天信息、银河电子、金风科技、中衡设计等超20股涨停；脑机接口概念反复活 跃，创新医疗、爱朋医疗、港通医疗、塞力医疗、鹭燕医药、南京熊猫等涨停；可控核聚变概念再次走 高，融发核电、中国核建、中国一重、内蒙一机、国机重装、弘讯科技等涨停；人工智能概念震荡走 高，宝信软件、国际实业、华东数控、派斯林、直真科技、南兴股份、久其软件等涨停；量子科技异动 拉升，志特新材、航天电子涨停；下跌方面，有色金属概念走弱。 1月8日，A股三大指数集体调整，截至收盘，沪指跌0.07%，深成指跌0.51%，创业板指跌0.82%，北证 50指数涨0.81%，沪深京三市成交额28262亿元，较上日缩量553亿元，三市超3700只个股飘红。 ...

Group 1 - The Chinese space station has initiated an in-orbit experiment on lithium-ion batteries, with astronauts from the Shenzhou 21 mission participating in the project [2] - MicroPort Robotics has successfully completed the world's first animal experiment of a "large model autonomous surgery," marking a significant advancement in AI applications in the medical field [2] - Japan is working on creating a domestic version of the "Starlink" system to establish a low-orbit satellite constellation for independent communication services [2] Group 2 - Starry Sky Power has announced a patent for a method and device for assembling multiple satellites with a single rocket, aimed at improving assembly efficiency and reducing launch time [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent investment by Jindalai (688057.SH) in stem cell company Jici Medical has raised questions from the stock exchange regarding the reasonableness of Jici Medical's immediate revenue generation and the significant increase in transaction valuation [1] Group 1: Revenue Generation - Jici Medical, established in August 2025, reported revenues of 8.6911 million yuan and 11.2273 million yuan for 2024 and the first three quarters of 2025, respectively, primarily from patent licensing and technical services [1] - The revenue sustainability and customer concentration risk have been highlighted, with the largest customer, an affiliate named Zhendijici, contributing 89.75% of revenue in 2024 and 99.02% in the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - The company plans to reduce dependency on this major client by expanding its partnerships with other institutions in the future [1] Group 2: Valuation Concerns - The transaction valuation for Jici Medical is set at 543.5961 million yuan, significantly higher than its book net assets, primarily due to the valuation of 30 unaccounted patents using the income approach [1] - The assessment assumes that revenue from the rFib cell storage business will grow from 250 million yuan in 2026 to 5 billion yuan by 2036, with a royalty rate for the patented technology set at 17.13% [1] - The company emphasized that this valuation is lower than comparable industry cases, such as Betta Pharmaceuticals' acquisition of RepuMed, which had a static price-to-sales ratio of 989 times, while this transaction is at 62.54 times [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a short-term pullback, particularly affecting leading tech stocks, with the Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) declining by 2.54% while seeing a net inflow of 272 million yuan during the dip. The fund's size reached a historical high of 13.305 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 1: ETF Performance and Composition - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) and its linked funds passively track the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index, with major holdings including Alibaba-W, Tencent Holdings, and Xiaomi Group, which collectively account for over 78% of the top ten weighted stocks [3][4]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF include Tencent Holdings (15.42%), Alibaba-W (14.50%), and Xiaomi Group (13.11%), indicating a strong concentration in leading tech companies [4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Institutional Insights - Southbound capital showed a net inflow of 9.178 billion yuan, with Tencent Holdings and Xiaomi Group receiving significant increases in investment, amounting to 1.955 billion and 1.633 billion HKD respectively [4]. - Recent reports highlight the surge in revenue for Kuaishou's AI mobile platform, with daily income increasing by 102% compared to December 2025, positioning Kuaishou as a leader in generative AI [5]. - Citigroup and JPMorgan have identified Tencent Holdings and Alibaba-W as core AI concept stocks, with positive outlooks on their AI development and cloud revenue growth [5]. - Industry analysts suggest that leading internet companies in China are poised for a resurgence, driven by the deepening of AI applications and potential upward revisions in profit expectations and valuations [5][7].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a short-term pullback, with leading tech stocks declining, while the Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) saw a price drop of 2.54% but recorded a net inflow of 272 million yuan during the dip, reaching a historical high of 13.305 billion yuan in fund size [1][3] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) passively tracks the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index, with major holdings including Alibaba-W, Tencent Holdings, and Xiaomi Group-W, where the top ten weighted stocks account for over 78% of the total [3][4] - Notably, southbound funds showed a contrary net inflow of 9.178 billion yuan, with Tencent Holdings and Xiaomi Group-W receiving significant increases in positions of 1.955 billion and 1.633 billion HKD, respectively [4] Group 2 - The AI video featuring dancing pets has gained significant traction in overseas markets, leading to a 102% increase in daily revenue for Kuaishou's AI mobile platform compared to December 2025. JPMorgan highlighted Kuaishou's leading position in generative AI, labeling it as "one of the cheapest AI stocks globally" [5] - Citigroup's report favored Tencent Holdings and Alibaba-W as core AI concept stocks, optimistic about Tencent's AI development prospects in enterprise and user applications, and Alibaba's growth in cloud revenue and efficiency [5] - Industrial Securities indicated that internet leaders are poised to be the frontrunners in China's AI sector, expecting a resonance of buying from both domestic and foreign investors, which could lead to an upward adjustment in long-term profit growth expectations and valuation improvements [5]