（来源：经济参考报） 联博基金日前发布中国资本市场观点表示，展望2026年权益市场，可关注中国经济转型升级契机下的资 本市场表现。"反内卷"、企业出海与AI等因素有望支持企业盈利改善。2026年随着经济转型推进，A股 企业有望迎来更强的盈余增长动能。从行业来看，新消费、创新药与科技AI等领域不容忽视。债券市 场方面，明确的趋势性行情或较难出现，区间震荡或更趋常态化。 联博基金副总经理、投资总监朱良表示，具体来看，经济结构转型包括消费形态的转型、竞争模式转型 （"反内卷"）与经营模式转型。中国政府推动提高经济质量的政策对资本市场构成支持。 在消费领域，朱良表示，消费在GDP中的比重逐步上升，相关拉动举措可能使新消费成为重要投资方 向。消费形态方面也在经历转型，年轻群体更注重消费体验与情绪价值，追求即时满足与高反馈。这 种"小确幸"式消费偏好有利于细分市场需求的形成，而民营企业在满足这些细分需求上较为灵活，因而 中小盘民营企业在新消费领域可能带来值得关注的机会。 朱良表示，就政策影响而言，上市公司盈利对市场表现的影响或将大于经济政策的影响。"反内卷"等措 施有望推动盈利改善。此外，上市公司海外营收占比若持续扩大， ...

中国工商银行股份有限公公司 客服电话：95588 为更好地满足投资者的理财需求，进一步提升客户体验，根据农银汇理基金管理有限公司（以下简 称"本公司"或"农银汇理"）与中国工商银行股份有限公司（以下简称"工商银行"）签署的代理销售协议 及补充协议，自2026年2月2日起，工商银行新增办理本公司旗下的部分基金代销业务。投资者可通过工 商银行办理部分基金的申购、赎回及定投等相关业务，申购及定投费率折扣以代销机构活动为准。现将 有关事项公告如下： 一、适用的基金列表： ■ 二、投资者可通过以下途径咨询相关详情： 本公司承诺以诚实信用、勤勉尽责的原则管理和运用基金资产，但不保证基金一定盈利，也不保证最低 收益。基金的过往业绩不预示其未来业绩表现，基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩也不构成对基金业绩 表现的保证。销售机构根据法规要求对投资者类别、风险承受能力和基金的风险等级进行划分，并提出 适当性匹配意见。基金管理人提醒投资人注意基金投资的"买者自负"原则，在做出投资决策后，基金运 营状况与基金净值变化引致的投资风险，由投资人自行负担。敬请投资者于投资前认真阅读基金的《基 金合同》、《招募说明书（更新）》、《基金产品资料概 ...

Group 1 - The company has signed a sales agency agreement with multiple securities firms, including Guosen Securities, Galaxy Securities, Dongwu Securities, Northeast Securities, Nanjing Securities, Shanghai Securities, Guodu Securities, First Capital Securities, Huafu Securities, Caitong Securities, Wanhe Securities, and Kaiyuan Securities, to act as sales agents for the Huabao CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Comprehensive Index ETF Initiated Fund (Huabao CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology ETF Initiated Link: 026755) starting from February 2, 2026 [1] - Investors can open accounts, subscribe, redeem, and conduct other business related to the Huabao CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Comprehensive Index ETF Initiated Fund through the aforementioned sales agents [1] Group 2 - The company has also signed a sales agency agreement with Southwest Securities, which will act as a sales agent for applicable funds starting from February 2, 2026 [5] - Investors can perform account opening, subscription, redemption, and other business related to the funds at Southwest Securities [7] Group 3 - The company announced the income distribution for the Huabao Cash Treasure Money Market Fund, stating that income is distributed daily and automatically converted into fund shares at a face value of 1 yuan on the last working day of each month [9] - The cumulative income calculation period is from the last income distribution date to the day before the current income distribution date, with special circumstances to be announced separately [9] - Fund holders are advised to regularly check their account balances, as low balances may result in no income distribution, and they can choose to add fund shares or redeem to avoid asset loss [9]

Core Insights - The public fund industry is actively launching new products, with technology themes becoming a popular investment focus due to improving macroeconomic conditions and ongoing technological advancements, leading to a positive outlook for the A-share market through 2026 [1][2] Group 1: Market Trends - Multiple public funds have recently launched technology-themed products, with significant fundraising success, such as the Morgan Stanley Hong Kong-Shanghai Technology Mixed Fund raising 4.424 billion yuan [1] - The overall market sentiment is expected to remain positive, with sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals, artificial intelligence, and robotics showing strong performance [1][2] Group 2: Economic Outlook - The gradual recovery of the economy, driven by the "anti-involution" policy and strong demand in various sectors, is anticipated to lead to a stable economic environment through 2026 [2] - The new wave of technological revolution is expected to reshape the global economic landscape, providing strong momentum for China's economic development [2] Group 3: Investment Directions - Five key investment areas are highlighted: 1. Domestic semiconductor industry growth driven by increased production and technological upgrades [3] 2. Non-ferrous metals benefiting from global resource adjustments and domestic policy, with structural demand from AI and new energy sectors [3] 3. Power equipment sector gaining opportunities from global AI infrastructure development [3][4] 4. AI computing power infrastructure growth supported by increased capital expenditure from major internet companies [4] 5. Humanoid robots entering the industrialization phase, showcasing significant market potential [5]

Core Viewpoint - Chemical-themed ETFs are becoming a significant direction for capital inflow, with over 26 billion yuan net inflow this year, leading to a total scale exceeding 50 billion yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Inflows and ETF Growth - As of January 29, 2026, the net inflow into chemical-themed ETFs reached 26.189 billion yuan, with notable contributions from Penghua Chemical ETF (14.42 billion yuan), Fortune Chemical 50 ETF (5.702 billion yuan), Huabao Chemical ETF (3.452 billion yuan), and Tianhong Chemical ETF (1.424 billion yuan) [2]. - The total scale of chemical-themed ETFs has increased over 20 times in the past year, growing from 2.159 billion yuan on January 1, 2025, to 53.957 billion yuan by January 29, 2026 [2]. - The number of listed chemical-themed ETFs has risen from 5 to 7 within the same period [2]. Group 2: Performance of Major ETFs - The largest chemical-themed ETF, Penghua Chemical ETF, saw its scale increase from 1.449 billion yuan at the beginning of last year to 33.967 billion yuan [2]. - Other ETFs also experienced significant growth, with Fortune Chemical 50 ETF rising from 0.174 billion yuan to 7.641 billion yuan, and Huabao Chemical ETF from 0.408 billion yuan to 7.815 billion yuan [2]. - Multiple chemical-themed ETFs have reached new highs in share volume, with Penghua Chemical ETF at 36.718 billion shares, Fortune Chemical 50 ETF at 7.604 billion shares, and Huabao Chemical ETF at 7.953 billion shares [2]. Group 3: Institutional Interest and Market Trends - Public funds have increased their allocation to the chemical sector, with the allocation ratio rising to 4.7% by the end of Q4 2025, reflecting a trend of bottom reversal [4]. - Key areas of focus include lithium battery materials, potassium fertilizers, polyurethane, and fluorochemical sectors, with significant stocks being Tianqi Lithium, Cangge Mining, and Yanhua Chemical [4]. - Analysts suggest that the chemical sector is expected to see improved profitability due to the end of the expansion cycle and favorable valuation and positioning [4]. Group 4: Fund Managers' Perspectives - Fund managers have expressed a positive outlook on the chemical sector, maintaining high allocations to cyclical chemical stocks, particularly in phosphorous and potassium fields [5]. - There is an emphasis on the potential for significant profit increases driven by sustained demand and supply-side disruptions [5]. - Future strategies include focusing on sectors with improving supply-demand dynamics and profitability recovery, particularly in refrigerants, coal chemicals, and potassium fertilizers [5].

Core Insights - The investment philosophy emphasizes understanding major trends and leveraging historical insights to identify investment opportunities [1][4] - A shift in investment strategy occurred in 2023, moving from a long-term buy-and-hold approach to a more flexible trading strategy that includes low-position entry, timely profit-taking, and sector rotation [2][3] Investment Strategy - The first phase of the investment career (2017-2022) focused on long-term value investing, with some stocks held for over a year, but faced challenges in timing profit-taking [2] - The second phase introduced a "low-position layout + trend-based profit-taking + high-low switching" strategy, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on market conditions [2][3] - The approach includes diversifying investments across low-correlated sectors to mitigate risks and adhering to strict profit-taking disciplines [5][7] Sector Focus - The chemical sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with expectations of a "profit + valuation double boost" trend from 2022 to 2025, driven by supply-side adjustments and stable demand growth [6] - Specific segments within the chemical industry, such as spandex and organic silicon, are noted for their potential due to improving supply dynamics and strong pricing power among leading companies [6] Research Methodology - The research approach includes attending industry conferences and engaging in one-on-one dialogues with companies to gain comprehensive insights into the entire supply chain [1][4] - The ability to identify investment opportunities is enhanced by recognizing market discrepancies and leveraging historical patterns [4] Performance and Goals - The investment products have shown strong performance over the past three years, reflecting the effectiveness of the new trading strategy [3] - The goal is to maintain a balanced approach between sharp performance and low volatility, avoiding the pitfalls of being a single-sector focused fund manager [7]

Core Viewpoint - The essence of investment lies in clarifying the source of profits and focusing on sustainable value creation, which is crucial for navigating market cycles and achieving long-term returns [1][2]. Investment Strategy - Investment should be based on a clear understanding of profit sources, whether from market fluctuations, industry beta, or individual stock alpha [2]. - A value-driven investment framework is emphasized, focusing on assessing asset values and constructing safety margins at reasonable prices [2]. - Identifying high-growth industries through systematic cross-industry comparisons is essential for uncovering investment opportunities [2][3]. Market Trends - The current market sentiment is optimistic, with limited downside risks and a notable trend of capital inflow into various sectors [4]. - The stock market is viewed as a voting machine in the short term but as a weighing machine in the long term, highlighting the importance of clear upward industry trends and performance realization [4]. Focus Areas - Key investment opportunities include AI and its derivatives, solid-state batteries, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals [5]. - The AI sector is expected to be a core area of focus for 2026, with significant potential for growth [4][5]. - The robotics industry is currently in the early investment stage, with attention on the mass production capabilities of T-chain robots [5]. - The innovative pharmaceuticals sector is anticipated to benefit from supportive policies, with potential for significant market growth and profitability [5].

Core Insights - The FOF (Fund of Funds) market is experiencing significant growth due to a combination of low interest rates and market volatility, leading to increased demand for diversified investment strategies [2][3] - Yang Zhe, a prominent FOF fund manager, emphasizes the importance of multi-asset strategies in achieving stable returns and risk mitigation [3][4] Group 1: Market Trends - The FOF market has seen a rise in "small blockbuster" funds, with total scale reaching new highs, driven by both demand and supply factors [2] - Low interest rates are pushing investors to seek diversified income sources, as traditional low-risk assets yield diminishing returns [2] - The proportion of QDII funds, alternative investment funds, and REITs in FOF portfolios has been increasing, with QDII and alternative funds accounting for 4.4% and 3.9% of allocations respectively as of Q3 2025 [2] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Yang Zhe's managed fund, Guangfa Anteng Stable Six-Month Holding (FOF), has maintained a maximum drawdown of no more than 1.5% since its inception in May 2023, achieving annual returns of 4.24% and 3.18% for 2024 and 2025 respectively [1] - The Guangfa Anyu Stable One-Year Holding (FOF) has delivered a cumulative return of 13% since its launch in March 2022, with a maximum drawdown of 4.53%, outperforming the bond-mixed fund index [3] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The core of multi-asset strategies lies in combining assets with different risk-return profiles to achieve effective hedging and manage volatility [4] - The asset allocation team at Guangfa Fund is structured into research groups based on asset categories, ensuring comprehensive qualitative and quantitative analysis [5] - The upcoming Guangfa Yuefeng Multi-Dimensional Stable Three-Month Holding (FOF) aims to provide a diversified investment approach, including domestic equities, overseas markets, and commodities [5] Group 4: Market Outlook - Current valuations in the A-share and Hong Kong markets are considered attractive compared to historical highs in the US and other developed markets [7] - The A-share market has seen significant valuation recovery, supported by improving PMI data and potential corporate earnings growth [7] - The outlook for 2026 favors large-cap growth styles, particularly in technology and healthcare sectors, driven by innovation and demand in AI and semiconductor markets [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant surge in gold and silver prices since the beginning of 2026, driven by strong profit-making effects attracting substantial capital inflow into gold-related ETFs [1] - As of January 29, 2026, the domestic market saw a net inflow of 5.104 billion yuan into gold-related ETFs, with the total scale reaching 353.993 billion yuan [1] - Major gold ETFs in the domestic market have seen substantial growth, with Huashan Gold ETF at 135.475 billion yuan, Bosera Gold ETF at 57.656 billion yuan, E Fund Gold ETF at 50.473 billion yuan, and Guotai Gold ETF at 45.141 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The historical context of gold prices shows significant volatility, with past peaks and declines, indicating that the current high prices may be subject to substantial corrections [2] - The article emphasizes that the current market is characterized by strong speculative sentiment, and a shift in influencing factors could lead to a sharp price decline [2] - It is noted that true investment success comes from understanding and adhering to fundamental principles rather than blindly following market trends [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced significant outflows from equity ETFs, with nearly 800 billion yuan withdrawn in January, primarily attributed to Central Huijin's reduction in holdings [1][3]. Group 1: ETF Outflows - In January, equity ETFs saw a total net outflow of approximately 800 billion yuan, with 12 broad-based ETFs experiencing outflows exceeding 110 billion yuan, totaling 939.74 billion yuan [1][2]. - The largest outflows were observed in the Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which saw a net outflow of 190.84 billion yuan, followed by the E Fund CSI 300 ETF with 152.66 billion yuan, and the Huaxia CSI 300 ETF with 137.59 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Fund Size Changes - The affected ETFs have significantly decreased in size compared to the end of 2025, with the Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF shrinking from over 400 billion yuan to 229.5 billion yuan by the end of January [2]. - The E Fund CSI 300 ETF's size dropped from over 300 billion yuan to 148 billion yuan, while the Huaxia CSI 300 ETF fell from nearly 230 billion yuan to 95.3 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Central Huijin's Role - Central Huijin is identified as the primary holder in 11 of the 12 ETFs that faced large redemptions, indicating a potential significant reduction in their holdings [3][5]. - For instance, Central Huijin held 735.13 billion shares of the Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF at the end of 2025, which decreased to 486.88 billion shares by January 30 [4]. Group 4: Market Trends and Inflows - Despite the outflows from broad-based ETFs, sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and satellites have attracted substantial inflows, with new funds entering the market [1][6]. - In January, specific thematic ETFs like the Penghua Non-Ferrous Metals ETF and the Huaxia Non-Ferrous Metals ETF saw net inflows of 18.26 billion yuan and 14.84 billion yuan, respectively [6].