| 代码 | 简称 | 上市日期 | 发行价 | 发行市盈率 | 首日开盘涨跌幅 | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | （元） | （倍） | （%） | | | 001233 | N海安 | 2025.11.25 | 48.00 | 13.94 | 81.38 | 汽车 | | 920091 | 大鹏工业 | 2025.11.21 | 9.00 | 14.52 | 289.89 | 机械设备 | | 920160 | 北矿检测 | 2025.11.18 | 6.70 | 14.99 | 360.90 | 社会服务 | | 688727 | 恒坤新材 | 2025.11.18 | 14.99 | 71.42 | 286.92 | 电子 | | 301638 | 南网数字 | 2025.11.18 | 5.69 | 32.22 | 261.51 | 计算机 | | 920003 | 中诚咨询 | 2025.11.07 | 14.27 | 9.69 | 194.32 | 建筑装饰 | | 603092 | 德力佳 | 2025.1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Tianfeng Securities indicates that the bottom of the A-share profit cycle may have been reached, with a significant probability of profit indicators rebounding by the third quarter of 2025, suggesting a gradual improvement in A-share profitability [1] Group 1: Profit Growth Projections - For the overall A-share market, the expected revenue growth rates for 2025 and 2026 are 4.78% and 10.98%, respectively [1] - The projected growth rates for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 are 10.70% and 17.94%, respectively [1] Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - It is anticipated that all sectors will likely see a significant rebound in revenue growth by 2026, with growth rates expected to expand compared to 2025 [1] - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and consumer sectors are expected to exhibit more resilience in growth rates, while the public utilities and transportation sectors are facing greater performance pressures [1] Group 3: Upstream Cycle Outlook - In the upstream cycle, the revenue growth for 2025 is expected to be driven solely by the non-ferrous metals and basic chemicals sectors [1] - However, it is projected that the net profit growth for 2026 will turn positive after being negative [1]

Core Insights - The number of A-share companies undergoing control changes has significantly increased in 2025, with 156 companies reported to have completed such changes by November 24, surpassing the 116 companies from the same period last year [3][4]. Group 1: Control Changes - *ST Lvkang announced a change in control, with Fujian Zongteng Network becoming the new controlling shareholder, holding 29.99% of the company's shares [3]. - The trend of control changes is accompanied by potential strategic shifts, board and executive adjustments, and possible asset restructuring or mergers [3][4]. Group 2: Company Performance - Among the 156 companies that changed control, 65 reported net losses in the first three quarters of 2025, accounting for over 40% of the total [9]. - Notable companies with significant losses include Xinda Real Estate, with a net loss of approximately 5.309 billion yuan, followed by Shen Kangjia A and Bangjie Co., with losses of about 982 million yuan and 905 million yuan, respectively [9]. Group 3: Market Capitalization - Salt Lake Industry has the highest market capitalization among the companies that changed control, valued at 134.3 billion yuan as of November 24, with a share price of 25.38 yuan [5][6]. - Other companies with market capitalizations between 50 billion and 100 billion yuan include Zhongtian Technology and Cangge Mining [6]. Group 4: Industry Trends - The majority of companies undergoing control changes belong to the machinery equipment sector, with 20 companies, followed by the basic chemical and pharmaceutical sectors, each with 15 companies [7]. - The concentration of control changes in struggling industries indicates a need for consolidation during low market periods [7]. Group 5: Risk Indicators - Among the 156 companies, 18 are under risk warnings, including 6 "ST" stocks and 12 "*ST" stocks, representing 11.54% of the total [10].

沪指11月24日上涨0.05%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有19个，涨幅居前的行业为国防军工、传媒， 涨幅分别为4.31%、3.49%。跌幅居前的行业为石油石化、煤炭，跌幅分别为1.21%、1.09%。基础化工 行业今日下跌0.01%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出101.92亿元，今日有11个行业主力资金净流入，国防军工行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨4.31%，全天净流入资金54.66亿元，其次是传媒行业，日涨幅 为3.49%，净流入资金为25.42亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有20个，电子行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金67.08亿元，其次 是电力设备行业，净流出资金为20.87亿元，净流出资金较多的还有基础化工、通信、有色金属等行 业。 基础化工行业今日下跌0.01%，全天主力资金净流出20.02亿元，该行业所属的个股共404只，今日上涨 的有273只，涨停的有3只；下跌的有123只，跌停的有2只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流 入的个股有156只，其中，净流入资金超3000万元的有11只，净流入资金居首的是康达新材，今日净流 入资金9639.15万元，紧随其后的是 ...

Strong Stocks - As of November 24, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05% to 3836.77 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.37% to 12585.08 points, and the ChiNext Index went up by 0.31% to 2929.04 points [1] - A total of 79 stocks in the A-share market hit the daily limit up, with the top three strong stocks being Guosheng Technology (603778), Aerospace Development (000547), and Guofeng New Materials (000859) [1] - The top 10 strong stocks showed significant trading activity, with Guosheng Technology achieving 11 consecutive trading days with 7 limit ups and a turnover rate of 19.73%, while Aerospace Development had 7 consecutive days with 6 limit ups and a turnover rate of 33.61% [1] Strong Concept Sectors - The top three concept sectors based on A-share performance were the China Shipbuilding System, Xiaohongshu Concept, and Military Information Technology, with respective increases of 6.63%, 4.76%, and 4.63% [2] - The China Shipbuilding System had 30% of its component stocks hitting the daily limit up, while 100% of its component stocks were in the rising category [2] - The Military Information Technology sector had 6.54% of its component stocks hitting the daily limit up, with 94.39% of its stocks showing an increase [2]

2025 年 11 月 24 日 一周市场回顾 证券研究报告-一周市场回顾 分析师：马遥识途 资格证书：S1330524050001 联系邮箱：mayst@hxzb.cn 联系电话：15201282186 相关研究 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.10 — 2025.11.14） 2025.11.19 一 周 市 场 回 顾 （ 2025.11.03 — 2025.11.07） 2025.11.14 一周市场回顾 （2025.11.17—2025.11.21） A 股市场： ◼ 本周 A 股上证指数下跌 3.90%，收于 3834.89 点，深证成指下跌 5.13%，收于 12538.07 点，创业板指下跌 6.15%，收于 2920.08 点。 一周市场回顾 （ 2025.10.27 — 2025.10.31） 2025.11.03 融资融券： 请务必阅读报告正文后各项声明 1 / 7 市 场 研 究 · 一 周 市 场 回 顾 · 证 券 研 究 报 告 价值风格类板块代表指数上证 50、中证 100、沪深 300 分别下跌 2.72%、下跌 3.88%、下跌 3.77%，成长风格类板块代表指 ...

Market Overview - The domestic equity market experienced a pullback due to multiple factors, with the technology sector seeing a larger decline compared to others. On November 21, significant single-day drops were noted, leading to investor divergence regarding future market trends. The Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, and SSE 50 fell by 3.9%, 3.8%, and 2.7% respectively, while the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech dropped by 5.1% and 7.2% respectively [1] External Factors - Following the surge of U.S. tech giants' market capitalization exceeding $5 trillion at the end of October, skepticism regarding an AI bubble has increased. Concerns focus on the substantial capital expenditures expected in AI infrastructure, which may not yield clear returns and face risks of rapid technological obsolescence. The inter-investment and high-value contracts among AI giants create a fragile business model that could collapse if any part fails. Despite positive third-quarter reports from U.S. tech giants, their stock prices showed volatility, raising investor concerns [2] Internal Factors - Recent macroeconomic data indicates that while the overall economy remains stable, there is a structural divergence with external demand outpacing internal demand. The real estate sector, which significantly impacts household assets, has been in a downward adjustment since Q4 2021, further affecting consumer confidence. Investors are questioning the sustainability of a market rally driven solely by liquidity without fundamental support. The financing balance, a key source of market growth, has fluctuated from CNY 1.8 trillion on June 20 to CNY 2.5 trillion by October 29, but has recently shown signs of decline [3] Investment Themes - The analysis suggests that AI and overseas expansion themes are central to the current market rally. AI encompasses both hardware and software dimensions, while overseas expansion includes both manufacturing and service sectors, reflecting the current macroeconomic trend of stronger external demand compared to internal demand [3] Bond Market - In the bond market, yields on government bonds showed mixed results while credit bond yields varied. Despite the central bank's net liquidity injection, the overall funding environment remains tight. Factors such as overseas influences suppressing interest rate cut expectations and domestic real estate stimulus rumors have pressured the bond market. The Shanghai Composite Index's 3.9% drop, particularly the largest since April 7, coincided with a decline in risk appetite, yet bond yields slightly increased due to limited positive factors and unclear monetary policy direction [4]

Volatility - A total of 13 stocks in the A-share market experienced a volatility exceeding 20% today, with Meideng Technology, Jianglong Shipbuilding, and Jiuzhiyang leading the list [1] Turnover Rate - There were 7 stocks in the A-share market with a turnover rate exceeding 40% today, with Rongji Software, Southern Road Machinery, and Jianglong Shipbuilding at the forefront [1] Main Capital Flow - Main capital today saw a net inflow into sectors such as defense and military, media, retail, construction decoration, public utilities, and banking, while there was a net outflow from electronics, computers, power equipment, basic chemicals, communications, and biomedicine [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflow included BlueFocus Communication Group, Shengguang Group, Aerospace Development, Dataport, and Midea Group, with net inflows of 1.344 billion, 738 million, 446 million, 397 million, and 347 million respectively [1] - The stocks with the highest net outflow included Xinyi Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, Industrial Fulian, Rongji Software, and Yidian Tianxia, with net outflows of 1.177 billion, 1.126 billion, 883 million, 878 million, and 835 million respectively [1]

Group 1 - The chemical sector continues to experience a downward trend, with the Chemical ETF (516020) showing a decline of 0.39% as of the latest update, after a drop of over 2% during the day [1] - Key stocks in the lithium battery and phosphate chemical sectors have seen significant declines, with Enjie Co. down over 4%, and Hongda Co. and Chuanfa Longmang both down over 3% [1] - The Chemical ETF has shown a year-to-date increase of 24.89%, outperforming major A-share indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index (14.41%) and the CSI 300 Index (13.18%) [1][3] Group 2 - The basic chemical industry is expected to benefit from supply-side reforms driven by "anti-involution" policies, leading to an improved supply-demand balance and increased market share for leading companies [4] - The phosphoric and potash sectors are experiencing high demand, with stable prices for phosphate rock and steady growth in potash demand [4] - The valuation of the Chemical ETF is relatively low, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.28, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [4] Group 3 - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracks the sub-sector chemical industry index, covering various segments of the chemical industry, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks [5] - Investors can also access the chemical sector through linked funds of the Chemical ETF, enhancing investment efficiency [5]

化工板块今日（11月24日）延续回调态势，反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）全天低位震 荡，盘中场内价格一度跌超2%，午后跌幅收窄，截至发稿，跌0.39%。 风险提示：化工ETF被动跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于 2012.4.11。指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中 提及个股仅为指数成份股客观展示列举，不作为任何个股推荐，不代表基金管理人和基金投资方向。任 何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只 作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅 读者任何形式的投资建议，亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。投资人应当认 真阅读《基金合同》、《招募说明书》、《基金产品资料概要》等基金法律文件，了解基金的风险收益 特征，选择与自身风险承受能力相适应的产品。基金的过往业绩并不预示其未来表现，基金管理人管理 的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证。根据基金管理人的评估，化工ETF风险等级为R3-中 风险， ...