Group 1 - The article highlights the role of local industries in driving rural revitalization and increasing income for residents [1] - In Lu's County, Henan, a company focused on exporting mushroom extracts received a new export order worth 20 million yuan, showcasing the growth potential of local agricultural products [4] - The county's standardized production and deep processing of mushrooms led to an export value of 790 million yuan in the first half of the year, a sixfold increase year-on-year [4] Group 2 - In Chunhua County, Shaanxi, the annual buckwheat noodle cultural tourism event promotes local cuisine and attracts tourists, enhancing cultural heritage [5] - The buckwheat planting area in Chunhua has exceeded 40,000 acres, with the industry generating over 1 billion yuan in output value and creating employment for more than 5,500 people [7]

大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 花生日报 2025 年 7 月 1 日 | 研究员：刘大勇 | | --- | 河南花生价格稳定，东北花生价格稳定。目前东北吉林扶余 308 通货 4.7 元/斤，较 昨日价格稳定，辽宁昌图 4.7 元/斤，较昨日价格稳定。河南产区白沙通货米报价 4.6-4.75 元/斤，较昨日价格稳定，山东莒南 4.15 元/斤，较昨日价格稳定。进口苏丹精米报价 8300 元/吨，较昨日价格稳定。预计花生现货短期相对偏弱。 今日花生油厂采购价格稳定，主流成交价格维持在 7500-7650 元/吨，油厂理论保本 价 8140 元/吨。今日豆油价格稳定，花生油价格稳定，国内一级普通花生油报价稳定在 15000 元/吨，价格较昨日稳定，小榨浓香型花生油市场报价为 17000 元/吨，价格较昨日 稳定。 1 / 4 期货从业证号： F03107370 投资咨询证号： Z0018389 联系方式： :liudayong_qh@chinastck .c om.cn | 第一部分 | | | | 数据 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Core Insights - Anqiu, a county-level city in Shandong, has developed over 400 agricultural processing and export enterprises, achieving an annual vegetable export volume of 600,000 tons, which accounts for 1/7 of Shandong's total agricultural exports, and has led the nation in vegetable exports for 16 consecutive years [1] - The city aims to transition its high-quality agricultural products from international markets to domestic high-end consumption, establishing a strategy for comprehensive ecological agriculture to become "China's First Ecological Agriculture County" [1][3] - Anqiu's agricultural development is characterized by a rigorous quality control system, innovative ecological technology applications, and precise supportive policies, creating a new path for high-quality agricultural development [1][4] Agricultural Quality and Standards - Anqiu is located in a prime agricultural zone with unique volcanic and sandy soil, contributing to the superior quality of its agricultural products, such as Huiqu millet and Zheshan sweet potatoes [2] - Since 2007, Anqiu has implemented a comprehensive quality safety management system for export agricultural products, establishing a dedicated team for agricultural safety and conducting 100,000 sampling tests annually [2] - The city has developed a digital management platform for agricultural quality safety, covering over 600,000 farmland plots and various agricultural entities, ensuring precise management [2] Technological Innovation and Brand Development - Anqiu is leveraging digital technology to modernize agriculture, integrating IoT and big data into the entire agricultural supply chain [6] - The introduction of biomass carbon soil improvement technology has significantly reduced chemical fertilizer usage by 70% and increased yields by 30% for ginger cultivation [6] - The establishment of a three-tier brand matrix, including regional public brands and enterprise brands, has enhanced the market value of Anqiu's agricultural products, achieving an average price premium of 25% [6][7] Policy Support and Economic Integration - Anqiu has introduced targeted support policies to reduce costs and encourage investment in ecological agriculture, including subsidies and loan incentives [8][9] - The city has achieved high utilization rates of agricultural waste, significantly reducing the use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides [8] - The integration of agriculture with secondary and tertiary industries has created a diversified platform for farmers to share in the value-added benefits of the agricultural supply chain [10]

Core Insights - Indonesia's palm oil exports surged in May, indicating a strong demand and potential market recovery [1] - The reference price for crude palm oil exports in July has been raised, suggesting optimism in the market [1] Group 1: Export Performance - Indonesia's palm oil exports experienced a significant increase in May, reflecting robust demand [1] - The rise in exports may signal a recovery phase for the palm oil market [1] Group 2: Price Adjustments - The reference price for July crude palm oil exports has been adjusted upwards, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - This price adjustment could influence future trading strategies and market dynamics [1]

Group 1: Oil and Fat Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View - Palm oil: With concerns about month - end inventory growth, the Malaysian crude palm oil futures may face downward pressure to seek support around 3,800 ringgit. In China, Dalian palm oil futures may seek support at the annual line of 8,200 yuan [2]. - Soybean oil: Weak crude oil reduces the attractiveness of soybean oil as a biodiesel raw material. Abundant rainfall in US soybean - growing areas and high - yield expectations put pressure on CBOT soybeans and soy oil. In China, downstream demand is weak, and soybean oil inventory is expected to increase [2]. Summary by Directory - **Price Changes**: From June 27 to June 30, the spot price of Jiangsu first - grade soybean oil decreased by 50 yuan to 8,240 yuan, a decline of 0.60%; the futures price of Y2509 decreased by 18 yuan to 7,984 yuan, a decline of 0.22%. The spot price of Guangdong 24 - degree palm oil decreased by 100 yuan to 8,400 yuan, a decline of 1.18%; the futures price of P2509 decreased by 46 yuan to 8,330 yuan, a decline of 0.55%. The spot price of Jiangsu fourth - grade rapeseed oil decreased by 70 yuan, a decline of 0.73%; the futures price of 01509 decreased by 51 yuan to 9,415 yuan, a decline of 0.54% [2]. - **Basis and Spread**: The basis of Y2509 decreased by 32 yuan to 256 yuan, a decline of 11.11%; the basis of P2509 decreased by 54 yuan to 70 yuan, a decline of 43.55%; the basis of 01509 decreased by 19 yuan, a decline of 10.33%. The soybean - palm oil spot spread increased by 50 yuan to - 160 yuan, an increase of 23.81%; the 2509 spread increased by 28 yuan to - 346 yuan, an increase of 7.49% [2]. Group 2: Sugar Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View - The increase in the ethanol blending ratio in Brazilian gasoline supports a slight rebound in raw sugar prices, but the global supply surplus limits the rebound height, and raw sugar is expected to remain in a bottom - oscillating pattern. In China, the market sentiment has improved, and the bullish sentiment may last for some time. Considering the expected increase in imports, the domestic supply - demand situation will gradually ease, and a bearish view is maintained after the rebound [5]. Summary by Directory - **Price Changes**: From the previous value, the futures price of sugar 2601 increased by 28 yuan to 5,628 yuan, an increase of 0.50%; the futures price of sugar 2509 increased by 15 yuan to 5,807 yuan, an increase of 0.26%. The price of ICE raw sugar decreased by 0.50 cents to 16.19 cents per pound, a decline of 3.00% [5]. - **Industry Situation**: The cumulative national sugar production reached 1,116.21 tons, an increase of 119.89 tons or 12.03% year - on - year; the cumulative national sugar sales reached 811.38 tons, an increase of 152.10 tons or 23.07% year - on - year. The national industrial sugar inventory decreased by 32.21 tons to 304.83 tons, a decline of 9.56% [5]. Group 3: Cotton Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The contradiction of tight old - crop cotton inventory in the upstream supply cannot be resolved in the short term, but the long - term supply is expected to be sufficient. The downstream industry continues to weaken, with increasing finished - product inventory. The driving force for cotton price increases is insufficient, and the cotton price is expected to remain in a range - bound pattern [6]. Summary by Directory - **Price Changes**: From the previous value, the futures price of cotton 2509 decreased by 20 yuan to 13,740 yuan, a decline of 0.15%; the futures price of cotton 2601 decreased by 5 yuan to 13,760 yuan, a decline of 0.04%. The price of ICE US cotton decreased by 1.28 cents to 68.04 cents per pound, a decline of 1.85% [6]. - **Industry Situation**: The industrial cotton inventory decreased by 1.10 tons to 93.01 tons, a decline of 1.2%; the cotton import volume decreased by 2.00 tons to 4.00 tons, a decline of 33.3%. The yarn inventory days increased by 1.52 days to 23.86 days, an increase of 6.8%; the grey - fabric inventory days increased by 2.57 days to 35.46 days, an increase of 7.8% [6]. Group 4: Egg Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The national egg supply is sufficient, the demand is average, and downstream purchasers are cautious. Egg prices are expected to remain stable first, decline slightly in the short term, and then stabilize [8]. Summary by Directory - **Price Changes**: The futures price of the egg 09 contract increased by 16 yuan to 3,689 yuan per 500 kg, an increase of 0.44%; the futures price of the egg 07 contract increased by 18 yuan to 2,821 yuan per 500 kg, an increase of 0.64%. The egg - producing area price decreased by 0.14 yuan to 2.78 yuan per catty, a decline of 4.90% [7]. - **Related Indicators**: The price of egg - laying chicken chicks remained at 4.00 yuan per chick; the price of culled chickens increased by 0.18 yuan to 4.62 yuan per catty, an increase of 4.05%. The egg - feed ratio decreased by 0.09 to 2.24, a decline of 3.86% [7]. Group 5: Meal Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The US soybean planting area report had a neutral impact. The technical support for US soybeans has strengthened, and the Brazilian soybean market is boosted by the rising basis of August and September shipments. In China, the inventory of soybeans and soybean meal is rising, the basis is stable, and the supply is expected to be high. The soybean meal trend is not yet clear, and there may be opportunities to go long at low prices [11]. Summary by Directory - **Price Changes**: The spot price of Jiangsu soybean meal increased by 20 yuan to 2,840 yuan, an increase of 0.71%; the futures price of M2509 increased by 15 yuan to 2,961 yuan, an increase of 0.51%. The spot price of Jiangsu rapeseed meal increased by 40 yuan to 2,470 yuan, an increase of 1.65%; the futures price of RM2509 increased by 13 yuan to 2,572 yuan, an increase of 0.51% [11]. - **Spread and Ratio**: The soybean meal 09 - 01 spread increased by 3 yuan to - 38 yuan, an increase of 7.32%; the rapeseed meal 09 - 01 spread increased by 2 yuan to 271 yuan, an increase of 0.74%. The oil - meal ratio of the spot decreased by 0.038 to 2.90, a decline of 1.30%; the oil - meal ratio of the main contract decreased by 0.020 to 2.70, a decline of 0.73% [11]. Group 6: Corn and Corn Starch Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The corn supply is tight, and the spot price is rising steadily. In the Northeast, the remaining grain is scarce, and traders are reluctant to sell. In North China, the corn arrival volume is low, and deep - processing enterprises are raising prices to purchase. Downstream demand is weak, but the wheat - corn price difference is shrinking, which limits the increase in corn prices. In the long term, the tight supply and increasing consumption support the upward movement of corn prices. A large - scale increase in imports is expected. The corn auction starts on July 1, and the overall trend is bullish [13][15]. Summary by Directory - **Price Changes**: The futures price of corn 2509 decreased by 6 yuan to 2,378 yuan, a decline of 0.25%; the futures price of corn starch 2509 decreased by 10 yuan to 2,733 yuan, a decline of 0.36% [13]. - **Industry Situation**: The number of vehicles remaining in the morning at Shandong deep - processing enterprises increased by 65 to 216, an increase of 43.05%. The corn starch inventory increased by 948 to 23,822, an increase of 4.14% [13]. Group 7: Pig Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The spot price of pigs is still in a volatile structure. The enthusiasm of secondary fattening has declined, and the slaughter procurement difficulty has slightly increased. The current breeding profit is declining, and the market capacity expansion is cautious. The market expects a potential upward trend in July and August, but there may be a risk of price decline for the 09 contract near the delivery date if the inventory is postponed [16][17]. Summary by Directory - **Price Changes**: The futures price of live pigs 2507 increased by 225 yuan to 13,850 yuan, an increase of 1.65%; the futures price of live pigs 2509 decreased by 135 yuan to 13,870 yuan, a decline of 0.96% [16]. - **Industry Situation**: The daily slaughter volume of sample points decreased by 376 to 140,739, a decline of 0.27%. The self - breeding profit per head increased by 30.9 yuan to 50 yuan, an increase of 159.02%; the profit of purchasing piglets for breeding increased by 55.1 yuan to - 132 yuan, an increase of 29.49% [16].

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Dongri, once a high-flying stock due to the "brain-computer interface" concept, saw its stock price plummet after clarifying that its main business is unrelated to this concept, leading to a significant market correction [1][2][4] Group 1: Stock Performance - From June 16 to June 27, Zhejiang Dongri's stock price surged for 10 consecutive trading days, with 6 days hitting the daily limit, resulting in a cumulative increase of 105.16% [2][3] - On June 30, the stock opened at 26.82 yuan, down 6.35%, and closed at the daily limit of 25.78 yuan, marking a decline of 9.99% [1] Group 2: Company Announcements - On June 27, Zhejiang Dongri issued a "Severe Abnormal Fluctuation Announcement," clarifying that its main business involves managing vegetable markets and selling tofu, with no connection to the "brain-computer interface" [1][2] - The company had previously issued multiple announcements, including a "Risk Warning Announcement," emphasizing that its daily operations do not involve the "brain-computer interface" business [3][4] Group 3: Market Manipulation Concerns - The stock's prior surge was characterized as speculative trading, with indications of potential market manipulation, especially given the company's clarifications about its business focus [2][3] - The misleading nature of the stock's rise based on the "brain-computer interface" concept has raised concerns about investor protection and the need for regulatory scrutiny [4]

Group 1 - The core idea of the articles revolves around the successful initiative of Qufu City to attract talents back to their hometowns, leveraging emotional ties and clear investment opportunities [2][3] - Qufu City has effectively connected over 120 talents who have returned, utilizing a targeted approach that includes "targeted discussions" and "hometown attraction" models [3] - The city has created a clear "one town, one industry" industrial map, allowing returning talents to see the vast opportunities and specific paths for development in their hometown [3] Group 2 - Qufu City has established a "Creative Loan Home" service platform to provide comprehensive support for returning entrepreneurs, including policy consultation, loan processing, training, and project guidance [4][5] - The "Doctor's Courtyard," a pioneering platform, has connected over 200 experts to assist 84 villages, providing free and accessible solutions to local industrial challenges [5] - Successful projects, such as the upgraded "Five-Spice Pancake" and the "Yile Farm" complex, have significantly boosted local economies, with the latter achieving a revenue of over 40 million yuan in 2024 and creating over 500 jobs [6][8] Group 3 - The "One Piece of Land" model has transformed previously underdeveloped areas by consolidating over 1,600 acres of land, leading to increased efficiency and reduced costs for local farmers [7] - Qufu City has seen a flourishing of various industries, with initiatives like the "Common Prosperity Workshop" generating over 200 million yuan in sales and significantly increasing villagers' incomes [8] - The integration of talents, funds, and industries under the leadership of local party organizations has effectively addressed issues such as talent shortages and resource fragmentation, paving the way for rural revitalization [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The nomination of Mr. Wu Jinghua as an independent director candidate for the ninth board of Jin Jian Rice Industry Co., Ltd. has been made, with the nominee meeting all necessary qualifications and independence criteria as per relevant regulations [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Nomination and Qualifications - Mr. Wu Jinghua has been nominated as an independent director candidate and has agreed to take on this role, having a solid understanding of the company's operations and relevant legal frameworks [1]. - The nominee possesses over five years of experience in legal, economic, accounting, financial, or management fields necessary for fulfilling independent director responsibilities [1]. Compliance with Regulations - The nominee's qualifications comply with various laws and regulations, including the Company Law of the People's Republic of China and the Management Measures for Independent Directors of Listed Companies by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [1]. - The nominee has completed training and obtained relevant certification recognized by the stock exchange [1]. Independence Criteria - The nominee does not have any relationships that could affect independence, such as being an employee or having significant shareholding in the company or its major shareholders [2][3]. - The nominee has no adverse records, including administrative or criminal penalties from the China Securities Regulatory Commission in the last 36 months [4]. Additional Conditions - The nominee has not been dismissed from previous independent director roles due to absence from board meetings [4]. - The nominee's concurrent roles as an independent director in domestic listed companies do not exceed three, ensuring compliance with regulatory limits [4].

Group 1 - The company announced a change in the use of part of the raised funds and a delay in investment projects, specifically reducing the investment amount for the "Konjac Deep Processing Intelligent Manufacturing Production Line Expansion and Renovation Project" from 101.05 million yuan to 91.36 million yuan, reallocating 26 million yuan for the construction of the Hydrophilic Colloid Industrial Park Renovation and Digital Transformation Project (Phase I) [2] - The "Konjac Deep Processing Intelligent Manufacturing Production Line Expansion and Renovation Project" was initially planned in 2022 based on market conditions and company circumstances, and the company has adhered to regulations regarding the use of raised funds while ensuring the project's smooth implementation [2] - As of May 31, 2025, the basic construction of the project, including civil works and equipment, has been completed [2] Group 2 - The company plans to extend the "Konjac Deep Processing Intelligent Manufacturing Production Line Expansion and Renovation Project" deadline to December 2025, utilizing working capital during the extension period to purchase raw materials needed for production [3] - The total planned investment for the "Hydrophilic Colloid Industrial Park Renovation and Digital Transformation Project (Phase I)" is 56.04 million yuan, with 26 million yuan sourced from the original raised funds, while the remaining amount will be financed through the company's own or self-raised funds [3] - The completion of the project is expected to enhance the company's production capacity for hydrophilic colloids, meet market demand, and improve the company's market competitiveness and profitability, thereby expanding future development opportunities [3]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The overall market shows a complex situation with various commodities having different trends. Some commodities are expected to be volatile, while others are influenced by factors such as supply - demand, geopolitical events, and policy changes. For example, oil prices are expected to be short - term volatile and weak, and the stock market shows a preference for technology growth on the basis of dividend asset allocation. [1][47] Summary by Commodity Categories Energy - **Crude Oil**: Last week, international oil prices fell from high levels. After the cooling of the Israel - Iran conflict, oil prices are back to being dominated by macro and supply - demand factors. OPEC+ may increase production in August. The oil market is expected to be short - term volatile and weak. [1] - **Fuel Oil & Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Ship refueling and deep - processing demand are low. High - sulfur fuel oil demand boost from summer power generation in the Middle East and North Africa is limited. FU is volatile and weak, while LU's cracking has rebounded from a low level. [21] - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas**: After the geopolitical situation eases, the Middle East market has declined. Domestic chemical demand has increased, but supply pressure still exists, and the market is expected to be in a range - bound state. [23] - **Natural Gas**: No relevant content provided. Metals - **Precious Metals**: Gold prices have given back the war premium as the Israel - Iran conflict stopped. Market attention will shift to tariff negotiations and the Fed. [2] - **Base Metals** - **Copper**: Last Friday, copper prices were in a high - level shock. The market is concerned about the US trade negotiations and the Fed's interest - rate cut rhythm. Short - term, the upward trend of Shanghai copper may reach 81,000, while long - term, short - selling at high levels is recommended. [3] - **Aluminum**: Shanghai aluminum was in a high - level shock on Friday night. There is a large market divergence. There are opportunities for short - selling at high levels after the sentiment stabilizes. [4] - **Zinc**: The zinc market is affected by the strike at a Peruvian smelter, but the global zinc supply is still expected to be in surplus. Wait for the opportunity to short - sell at high levels. [7] - **Lead**: Shanghai lead rose and then fell. The supply side provides support, and the rebound height depends on consumption. [8] - **Nickel & Stainless Steel**: Shanghai nickel rebounded strongly. The pressure on the ore end has increased. Short - term, it is recommended to wait and see. [9] - **Tin**: Tin prices retraced last Friday. It is recommended to short - sell distant - month contracts at high levels. [10] - **Manganese Silicon**: Prices follow steel. In the short - term, it is temporarily bullish. [18] - **Silicon Iron**: Prices follow steel. Demand is okay, and it is temporarily bullish in the short - term. [19] - **Ferroalloys** - **Alumina**: Spot trading is scarce. The domestic production capacity is in an over - supply state, and it is recommended to short - sell on rebounds. [5] - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: The futures follow Shanghai aluminum. Consider a long - AD and short - AL strategy if the spread widens. [6] Chemicals - **Carbonate Lithium**: The futures price has rebounded, but high positions indicate risk accumulation. It is expected to be in a short - term range - bound state. [11] - **Industrial Silicon**: The futures price has increased with positions. It is expected to be in a range - bound state. [12] - **Polysilicon**: The futures price has increased with reduced positions. It is expected to be in a low - level range - bound state. [13] - **Urea**: The supply - demand situation has marginally improved, but the market is in a range - bound adjustment. Export policies will be the key to the future trend. [24] - **Methanol**: The expected reduction in imports has not materialized. The market is expected to be in a short - term range - bound state. [25] - **Styrene**: The cost side lacks support, supply pressure has increased, and demand is weak. The price is expected to be weak. [26] - **Polypropylene & Plastic**: The cost side lacks support, and the supply - demand situation is weak. The price is expected to be in a range - bound state. [27] - **PVC & Caustic Soda**: PVC is relatively strong in the short - term but may be in a low - level range - bound state in the long - term. Caustic soda is expected to follow the cost fluctuation. [28] - **PX & PTA**: Prices rebounded last Friday night. The supply - demand pattern may become looser in the medium - term. [29] - **Ethylene Glycol**: The price decline has slowed down. It is expected to be in a bottom - range - bound state. [30] - **Short - Fiber & Bottle Chip**: Short - fiber prices follow raw materials. Bottle chips may have a chance to repair the processing margin, but it should be treated with caution. [31] Agricultural Products - **Soybeans & Soybean Meal**: The drought situation in the US soybean产区 has improved. The market is expected to be in a range - bound state for now. [35] - **Soybean Oil & Palm Oil**: The market is in a range - bound state. Long - term, a long - position strategy at low levels is recommended for vegetable oils. [36] - **Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil**: The rapeseed planting area in Canada is lower than expected, and the rapeseed market continues to have a bearish outlook. [37] - **Soybean No. 1**: The decline has slowed down. Wait for the US soybean planting area report. [38] - **Corn**: The futures market is expected to be in a range - bound state, affected by factors such as wheat policies and state - reserve auctions. [39] - **Hogs**: The short - term price has rebounded, but the long - term supply pressure is large. [40] - **Eggs**: The price is expected to be weak in the long - term. A short - position strategy is recommended. [41] - **Cotton**: US cotton is expected to be affected by the planting area report. Domestic cotton has a good inventory reduction, and long - positions should be held with caution. [42] - **Sugar**: US sugar is trending downward, and the domestic sugar market is expected to be in a range - bound state. [43] - **Apples**: The market is bearish on the new - season output, and a short - position strategy is recommended. [44] - **Wood**: The price is weak, and it is recommended to wait and see. [45] - **Pulp**: The price is in a low - level range - bound state, and it is recommended to wait and see. [46] Others - **Shipping**: The container shipping index (European line) is expected to face pressure on the upside. [20] - **Financial Products** - **Stock Index**: The A - share market shows a style preference for technology growth on the basis of dividend asset allocation. [47] - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bond futures are mostly volatile. The bond market may face increased volatility risk in the short - term. [48]