智通财经APP获悉，香港最新施政报告发布，市场当前静待美联储9月议息会议结果，港股今日高开高 走，恒科指大涨超4%刷新近四年新高。截止收盘，恒生指数涨1.78%或469.88点，报26908.39点，全日 成交额为3602.84亿港元；恒生国企指数涨2.24%，报9596.77点；恒生科技指数涨4.22%，报6334.24点。 银河证券指出，展望后市，建议关注业绩增速较高，但估值整体仍然处于中低水平的可选消费、医疗保 健等板块；政策利好增多或政策利好持续发酵的板块，例如AI产业链、"反内卷"行业、消费行业等；在 海内外不确定性因素的扰动下，分红水平较高的金融板块有望为投资者提供较为稳定的回报。 蓝筹股表现 百度集团-SW(09888)领跑蓝筹。截至收盘，涨15.72%，报131港元，成交额88.97亿港元，贡献恒指 35.75点。招商局集团与百度9月15日签署战略合作协议。据悉，双方将围绕大模型、云计算等前沿人工 智能技术，在科创产业、交通物流、综合金融、地产园区等领域开展合作。值得一提的是，百度自研芯 片昆仑芯此前斩获中国移动10亿级大单，此外，市场对其人工智能和自动驾驶领域也持续看好。 其他蓝筹股方面，海 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China has established a 500 billion yuan re-lending program to support service consumption and elderly care, aiming to guide financial institutions to increase credit investment in key sectors such as accommodation, catering, cultural and entertainment, education, resident services, and tourism [1] - Financial institutions have reported nearly 60 billion yuan in applications for the service consumption and elderly care re-lending, involving nearly 4,000 operating entities and over 5,700 loans [1] - A separate re-lending program for technological innovation and technological transformation was set up with an initial 500 billion yuan in April 2024, which has been expanded to 800 billion yuan this year to encourage banks to support credit for key equipment upgrade projects [1] Group 2 - In the first half of this year, the technological innovation and technological transformation re-lending supported nearly 100 projects in accommodation, catering, cultural education, and tourism sectors, with loan contracts signed amounting to approximately 11.9 billion yuan [1]

Market Performance - Major stock indices in the two markets showed strong gains, with the Shenzhen Component Index rising over 1% and the ChiNext Index increasing nearly 2%, surpassing 3100 points, reaching a new high for the phase [1] - As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.37% to 3876.34 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased 1.16% to 13215.46 points, and the ChiNext Index climbed 1.95% to 3147.35 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 240.32 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as tourism, liquor, food and beverage, and media saw declines, while automotive, home appliances, semiconductors, and brokerage sectors experienced gains [1] - Active sectors included photolithography machines, humanoid robots, and consumer electronics concepts [1] Investment Outlook - Guohai Securities indicated that the A-share market is expected to advance further in the fourth quarter, driven by policies and liquidity, with a more balanced style compared to the third quarter [1] - The equity risk premium suggests that the stock market remains attractive, with room for valuation expansion, supported by incremental policies and macro/micro liquidity [1] - The fourth quarter is anticipated to offer opportunities in both growth and value styles, focusing on technology growth and the "anti-involution" narrative [1] Sector Focus - The computing sector is confirmed to have high growth potential, with multiple catalysts for technology themes in the fourth quarter, suggesting a continuation of the bullish market atmosphere [1] - The "anti-involution" trend remains significant, with potential boosts from debt reduction expectations, seasonal demand peaks in September and October, and fiscal policies providing support for cyclical products [1] - Key sectors to watch include computers, electrical equipment, and basic chemicals [1]

Core Insights - The vitality of improvement-oriented service consumption in China, including cultural entertainment, tourism services, and sports, is continuously enhancing [1] Group 1: Service Consumption Growth - Improvement-oriented service consumption is experiencing robust growth, with per capita spending on education and cultural entertainment increasing by 9.8% year-on-year last year and 11.8% in the first half of this year [1] - The performance of the performance market is on the rise, with increasing popularity in activities such as "ice and snow" and "cultural heritage" [1] Group 2: Tourism Trends - The demand for diverse tourism experiences is being released, with 1,860 tourist trains organized last year, transporting over 1 million tourists, of which nearly 80% were elderly [1] - In the first half of this year, 972 tourist trains were operated, marking a year-on-year increase of 23.2% [1]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext Index leading in gains, while major stocks like CATL reached new highs. The total market turnover was 2.3 trillion yuan, with more stocks declining than rising [1] - CATL's recent surge is attributed to multiple catalysts, including a clear target for lithium battery storage installations by 2027 and a report indicating that CATL's capacity utilization exceeds 90% with plans to reach 1TWh by next year [1] Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector showed strong performance, with SMIC hitting new highs. Reports indicate that SMIC is testing a deep ultraviolet lithography machine manufactured by a Shanghai startup, which uses immersion technology similar to ASML's [1][4] - Other notable sectors include financials, wind power equipment, and electric grid equipment, with significant net inflows into stocks like BYD and SMIC [3] Stock Market Data - On the stock market, 2,504 stocks rose while 2,757 fell, with 80 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 4 stocks limit down. The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.37% at 3,876.34 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.16% to 13,215.46 points [2] Industry Insights - A meeting on pig production capacity control was held, discussing the reduction of breeding sow capacity by approximately 1 million heads, aiming for a total of around 39.5 million heads [5] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is promoting the expansion of the fifth set of standards to include commercial aerospace and related industries [6] - Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the total assets of central enterprises have exceeded 90 trillion yuan, with profits increasing from 1.9 trillion yuan to 2.6 trillion yuan, reflecting annual growth rates of 7.3% and 8.3% respectively [7] Future Market Outlook - According to Everbright Securities, the logic supporting the stock market's rise remains unchanged, with new positive factors emerging, such as the potential for a Federal Reserve rate cut cycle and a recovery in public fund issuance [8] - Huatai Securities noted that trading activity in A-shares remains high, with a marginal increase in financing activity reaching 11.6%, the highest since 2016 [10]

Macro Economic Group - The US retail sales in August increased by 0.6% month-on-month, exceeding the expected increase of 0.2%, with the previous value revised from 0.5% to 0.6% [3] - Core retail sales rose by 0.7% month-on-month, surpassing the expected 0.4%, with the prior value adjusted from 0.3% to 0.4% [3] - The US industrial output increased by 0.1% month-on-month, against an expected decrease of 0.1%, with the previous value revised from a decrease of 0.1% to a decrease of 0.4% [3] Industry Comprehensive Group - GCL-Poly Energy announced a strategic financing agreement with a Middle Eastern sovereign fund-backed Wujing Capital, raising approximately HKD 54.46 billion, with 65% allocated for supply-side reform and structural adjustments in polysilicon capacity [7] - The remaining 35% of the funds will be used for general working capital and repayment of existing loans, indicating a positive shift in the domestic photovoltaic industry towards reducing excess capacity [7] Advanced Manufacturing Group - In August 2025, sales of new energy tractors reached 14,000 units, marking an 11% month-on-month increase and a 212% year-on-year increase, with the growth rate expanding by 17 percentage points compared to the previous month [9] - New energy tractors accounted for 78.89% of the new energy heavy truck market in August, up from 75.97% the previous month, indicating a strong market position [9] Consumer Group - On September 16, 2025, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other departments issued policies aimed at boosting service consumption and expanding domestic demand, with specific directions and support policies for various service sectors [11] - In the education sector, the policy encourages the expansion of pilot programs and supports the inclusion of more service consumption areas in the encouraged foreign investment industry catalog, which is expected to benefit K12 non-academic training and vocational education [11] - The tourism sector will benefit from policies aimed at attracting more foreign visitors and optimizing travel schedules to increase service consumption time [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the service consumption sector, including Gu Ming, Mi Xue, Cha Bai Dao, Xiao Cai Yuan, Da Shi, and others [7][8]. Core Insights - The recent policy measures aimed at expanding service consumption are expected to boost the service sector, particularly in areas such as cultural tourism, IP consumption, and elderly care [1][2]. - The report highlights the potential for significant growth in China's service consumption, with the current contribution of service industry value added to GDP at 57%, compared to around 70% in developed countries, indicating room for expansion [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality service supply and the integration of new technologies and business models to enhance the service sector [1][4]. Summary by Sections Policy Measures - The report outlines five key areas with 19 specific measures to promote service consumption, including the cultivation of service consumption platforms and the enhancement of high-quality service supply [3][4]. - Specific initiatives include optimizing cultural product offerings, extending operating hours for tourist attractions, and promoting long-term care insurance [3]. Market Performance - As of August 2025, retail and catering revenue reached 449.6 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 2.1%, indicating a recovery from previous lows [4]. - Domestic travel during the first half of 2025 saw 3.285 billion trips, a 20.6% increase year-on-year, with spending reaching 3.15 trillion yuan, up 15.2% [4]. Company Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with growth potential and strong market positions, such as Gu Ming, Mi Xue, and others, which are expected to benefit from policy support and industry consolidation [5][8]. - Specific companies highlighted for their growth potential include Gu Ming (1364 HK), Mi Xue Group (2097 HK), and others, with target prices set for each [8][12]. Financial Performance - Gu Ming reported a 34.4% year-on-year increase in GMV to 14.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 1.625 billion yuan, reflecting a 121.5% increase [13]. - Mi Xue Group's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 14.87 billion yuan, a 39.3% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.69 billion yuan, up 42.9% [15]. Growth Outlook - The report anticipates that as the new measures are implemented, the service sector will experience a surge in high-quality supply and innovative business models, driving domestic demand growth [4][5].

Market Overview - The stock indices in the two markets showed a rebound in early trading on the 17th, with the Shenzhen Component Index rising over 1% and the ChiNext Index increasing nearly 2% [1] - By the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.41% to 3877.55 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.02%, the ChiNext Index rose by 1.74%, and the STAR 50 Index gained 0.63% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 15,620 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as media, tourism, liquor, and food and beverage experienced declines, while brokerage, home appliances, automotive, and semiconductor sectors saw gains [1] - The photolithography machine concept surged, and sectors related to humanoid robots and consumer electronics were active [1] Market Sentiment and Outlook - Dongguan Securities indicated a noticeable recovery in short-term market sentiment, with a good profit-making effect and strong underlying support [1] - Expectations for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, combined with continued marginal economic slowdown in China in August, have heightened expectations for timely policy support, which may accumulate more upward momentum for the market [1] - However, as the indices have reached a phase high, there is an increase in capital divergence during the consolidation phase, and investors are advised to be cautious of intensified intraday volatility [1] - It is recommended to flexibly manage positions and optimize portfolio structure, with a focus on sectors such as non-ferrous metals, automotive, food and beverage, finance, and TMT [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tongcheng Travel (00780) has seen a significant increase in stock price, reaching a new high of 24.04 HKD, driven by favorable government policies aimed at boosting service consumption and tourism [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Tongcheng Travel's stock rose over 4%, currently trading at 23.94 HKD with a transaction volume of 240 million HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments issued a notice on September 16, outlining measures to expand service consumption, including attracting more foreign visitors and optimizing student holiday arrangements [1] - The notice suggests exploring the establishment of spring and autumn breaks for primary and secondary schools, which would shorten winter and summer vacations, thereby increasing opportunities for travel and service consumption [1] - Citigroup anticipates that if these policies are implemented, there will be a significant increase in long-term family travel [1] - The upcoming Golden Week holiday will last for 8 days, one day longer than last year, leading Citigroup to predict strong tourism demand, particularly for long-distance and outbound travel [1]

Group 1 - Hong Kong Travel (00308) saw a stock increase of over 11%, reaching a price of 1.85 HKD with a trading volume of 461 million HKD [1] - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments released policies on September 16 to expand service consumption, including 19 measures across five areas, such as launching a "Service Consumption Season" [1] - The tourism market is experiencing heightened activity due to the upcoming Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays, with expectations for a sustained high level of tourism [1] Group 2 - China Aviation Securities believes that policy support, supply response, and demand upgrades are creating a synergistic effect that will sustain the high tourism activity during the "super long golden week," benefiting various sectors including accommodation, transportation, dining, retail, and entertainment [1] - Hong Kong Travel is the flagship of China Travel Group's tourism investment and operation business, focusing on the development and operation of tourism destinations [1] - The company operates approximately 60 domestic and international scenic spots and resorts, including 18 5A scenic spots and 18 4A scenic spots, with a commitment to high-quality and unique cultural tourism resources [1]