Revenue Summary - National general public budget revenue for January to May 2025 reached 96,623 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, with the decline slightly narrowing compared to the previous months [1] - Central government revenue decreased by 3%, while local government revenue increased by 1.9% [1] - National tax revenue for the same period was 79,156 billion yuan, down 1.6%, with the decline narrowing by 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous months [1] Tax Performance by Sector - The manufacturing sector showed strong tax revenue performance, particularly in equipment manufacturing, with railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment manufacturing tax revenue growing by 28.8%, and computer and communication equipment manufacturing by 11.9% [2] - In the service sector, tax revenue from cultural, sports, and entertainment industries increased by 7.8%, driven by consumer demand and policies promoting consumption [2] - The digital economy also showed positive growth, with tax revenue from information transmission, software, and IT services increasing by 10%, and from scientific research and technical services by 12.7% [2] - Non-tax revenue for January to May was 17,467 billion yuan, up 6.2%, mainly due to asset activation measures [2] Expenditure Summary - National general public budget expenditure for January to May was 112,953 billion yuan, an increase of 4.2%, with a focus on key areas [3] - Social security and employment expenditures reached 20,054 billion yuan, growing by 9.2%, while education expenditures were 17,455 billion yuan, up 6.7% [3] - Health expenditures amounted to 8,896 billion yuan, increasing by 3.9%, and science and technology expenditures were 3,609 billion yuan, up 6.5% [3] - Local government special bonds and long-term special treasury bonds are being accelerated to support project implementation [3] - Government fund budget expenditure for January to May was 32,125 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16% [3]

Fiscal Revenue and Expenditure Overview - The Ministry of Finance reported that from January to May 2025, the national general public budget revenue was 96,623 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, which is a slight improvement from the previous four months' decline of 0.4% [1] - Government fund budget revenue was 15,483 billion yuan, down 6.9% year-on-year, slightly worsening from the previous four months' decline of 6.7% [1] Tax Revenue Analysis - Tax revenue, which is a key economic indicator, accounted for 79,156 billion yuan of the general public budget revenue, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%, an improvement from the previous four months' decline of 2.1% [1] - Corporate income tax revenue was 21,826 billion yuan, down 2.5% year-on-year, but the decline is narrowing as profits of large industrial enterprises have turned positive [1][2] Impact of Real Estate and Trade - The real estate market remains sluggish, leading to significant declines in related tax revenues, such as deed tax and land value-added tax, which experienced double-digit decreases [2] - Complex foreign trade conditions, including trade wars, have negatively impacted fiscal revenue, with notable declines in import VAT, consumption tax, and tariffs [2] Price Levels and Tax Base - Low price levels have compressed nominal fiscal revenue, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) showing a year-on-year decrease of 3.3% in May 2025, affecting tax revenue growth based on nominal value [3] - Domestic VAT revenue was 30,850 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.4% [3] Sector-Specific Tax Revenue Growth - Despite overall tax revenue challenges, certain sectors showed strong performance, with equipment manufacturing tax revenue growing by 28.8% and computer communication equipment manufacturing by 11.9% [4] - The cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors saw a tax revenue increase of 7.8%, while the information transmission and software services sector grew by 10% [4] Non-Tax Revenue and Budget Adjustments - Non-tax revenue reached 17,467 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, primarily driven by asset activation [5] - Local government fund budget revenue was 13,635 billion yuan, down 8.3% year-on-year, with land use rights transfer revenue declining by 11.9% [6] Fiscal Policy and Expenditure - To counteract declining tax revenue, the government has implemented a more proactive fiscal policy, accelerating bond issuance to support expenditure [6] - General public budget expenditure was 112,953 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, which is significantly higher than the revenue growth rate [7] - Social security and employment expenditures grew by 9.2%, and education expenditures increased by 6.7%, both exceeding the average expenditure growth rate [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the stable growth of China's economy in May, driven by industrial production, service sector expansion, and consumer spending, while emphasizing the need for continued efforts to enhance domestic demand and economic resilience [1][10]. Industrial Production - In May, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.8% year-on-year and 0.61% month-on-month [2] - The manufacturing sector grew by 6.2%, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9.0% and 8.6% respectively, outpacing overall industrial growth [2] - The profit of large-scale industrial enterprises reached 21,170 billion yuan from January to April, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [2] Service Sector - The service sector production index rose by 6.2% year-on-year in May, with significant growth in information transmission, software, and IT services [3] - The business activity index for the service sector was at 50.2%, indicating expansion, while the business activity expectation index was at 56.5% [3] Consumer Spending - Retail sales of consumer goods totaled 41,326 billion yuan in May, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.4% [4] - Online retail sales reached 60,402 billion yuan, growing by 8.5% year-on-year, with physical goods online retail accounting for 24.5% of total retail sales [4] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to May, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 191,947 billion yuan, up 3.7% year-on-year, with manufacturing investment growing by 8.5% [5] - Infrastructure investment increased by 5.6%, while real estate development investment saw a decline of 10.7% [5] Trade Performance - In May, the total value of goods imports and exports was 38,098 billion yuan, with exports growing by 6.3% and imports declining by 2.1% [6][7] - From January to May, the total trade value was 179,449 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.5% [6] Employment Situation - The urban survey unemployment rate was 5.0% in May, showing a slight decrease from the previous month [8] - The average weekly working hours for employees were reported at 48.5 hours [8] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.1% year-on-year in May, with core CPI rising by 0.6% [9] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 3.3% year-on-year in May [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the combination of policy tools aimed at both short-term economic stabilization and long-term high-quality development, addressing deep-seated structural contradictions while optimizing resource allocation mechanisms to respond to uncertainties with certainty in high-quality development [1][4] - The implementation of more proactive macroeconomic policies has effectively stabilized market expectations and boosted economic confidence, as evidenced by the continuous recovery in fiscal revenue growth and accelerated fiscal spending from January to April [1][2] - The fiscal revenue data shows a year-on-year increase of 1.9% in April for national general public budget revenue, with tax revenue also growing by 1.9%, indicating a marginal improvement in the tax revenue structure, particularly in the equipment manufacturing sector [2][3] Group 2 - Fiscal expenditure is highlighted as a crucial means to ensure people's livelihoods and promote socio-economic development, with a reported expenditure of 93,581 billion yuan from January to April, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.6% [3] - The increase in spending is particularly focused on social security, health, and education, which enhances the accessibility and equity of basic public services, thereby improving the overall well-being and happiness of the population [3] - The government's proactive measures include issuing long-term special bonds worth 1.3 trillion yuan and local government special bonds of 4.4 trillion yuan to support local investment, alongside other financial tools aimed at stabilizing capital market expectations and facilitating industrial policy implementation [4]

服务业提速升温，数字赋能增效显著。当前，服务业新动能正加快培育、新业态正蓬勃发展。增值税发 票数据显示，一季度全省信息传输软件和信息技术服务业、租赁和商务服务业、科学研究和技术服务业 等现代服务业快速发展，销售收入同比分别增长34.8%、14.6%、20.4%，特别是受AI产品火爆影响，数 字技术应用、数字产品服务、数字要素驱动等行业销售收入同比增速分别达31.6%、29.7%、20.5%，反 映数字经济与现代服务业正加速融合。与此同时，居民服务等生活性服务业销售收入同比增长15.2%， 较上年全年提高16.2个百分点，呈现出较强活力。 国家税务总局江西省税务局相关负责人表示，税务部门将深入实施数字化转型条件下的税费征管"强基 工程"，精准落实税费政策，持续优化税费服务，不断规范税务执法，维护公平竞争秩序，服务各类经 营主体发展壮大，助推江西经济持续回升向好。(杨夏、艾鋆、杨涛) 税收数据显示，2025年一季度，江西省经营主体开票销售收入同比增长3.4%，反映出全省经济运行起 步平稳、稳中有进，延续回升向好态势。 制造业步伐稳健，实体经济支撑有力。制造业是立国之本、强国之基。增值税发票数据显示，一季度全 省制 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the trends in China's public finance for the first four months of 2025, indicating a narrowing decline in public fiscal revenue and a significant increase in public fiscal expenditure, with a focus on the recovery of tax revenues and the role of non-tax revenues in supporting fiscal income [1][2][3]. Fiscal Revenue Summary - In the first four months of 2025, the total public fiscal revenue reached 80,616 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.4%, with the decline narrowing by 0.7 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1]. - Central government revenue fell by 3.8%, but April saw a growth of 1.6%, marking the first month of positive growth this year [1]. - Local government revenue increased by 2.2%, consistent with the first quarter [1]. - Tax revenue totaled 65,556 billion yuan, down 2.1%, with April showing a 1.9% year-on-year increase, the first positive monthly growth this year [1][2]. - Non-tax revenue reached 15,060 billion yuan, up 7.7%, driven by asset activation [1]. Tax Revenue Breakdown - Key tax categories showed varied performance: domestic VAT and consumption tax grew by 1.8%, while personal income tax increased by 7.4% [2]. - Import VAT and consumption tax fell by 6.5% and 12.1%, respectively, while corporate income tax decreased by 3.1% [2]. - Manufacturing and service sectors exhibited strong tax revenue performance, with equipment manufacturing and digital economy sectors showing significant growth [2]. Fiscal Expenditure Summary - Total public fiscal expenditure reached 93,581 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, achieving 31.5% of the budget, the fastest pace since 2020 [3]. - Major expenditure areas included social security and employment (up 8.5%), education (up 7.4%), and health (up 3.9%) [3]. - Cultural, tourism, and media expenditures grew by 3.2%, while commercial services surged by 29.5% [3]. - The issuance of special government bonds has accelerated, supporting early project implementation and boosting demand [3].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the sustained high growth in tax revenue from the equipment manufacturing industry, which continues to play a significant supporting role in the economy [1] Group 2 - In the equipment manufacturing sector, tax revenue from railway, shipbuilding, aviation, and aerospace equipment manufacturing increased by 33.2% [1] - Tax revenue from computer and communication equipment manufacturing grew by 6.8% [1] Group 3 - In the service industry, the implementation of the old-for-new consumption policy has expanded, leading to a continuous release of demand in cultural and tourism consumption, with tax revenue in the cultural, sports, and entertainment sector increasing by 8.6% [1] - The rapid cultivation of new productivity and the positive momentum in the development of the digital economy resulted in a 12.2% increase in tax revenue from information transmission, software, and information technology services [1] - Tax revenue from scientific research and technical services grew by 12.7% [1]

Economic Overview - In April, China's economy demonstrated resilience amid external shocks and internal challenges, with various regions and departments implementing proactive macro policies to stabilize growth [1][2] - Key economic indicators showed stable growth, with industrial added value increasing by 6.1% year-on-year and the service sector production index rising by 6.0% [1][2] Industrial Performance - The industrial sector maintained rapid growth, with the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increasing by 6.1%, marking one of the fastest monthly growth rates since last year [1][5] - Equipment manufacturing saw significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 9.8%, contributing 55.9% to the overall industrial growth [1][5] Service Sector Growth - The service sector's production index grew by 6.0%, with notable increases in information transmission, software, and IT services (10.4%) and leasing and business services (8.9%) [2][3] - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.7% year-on-year from January to April, with service retail sales growing by 5.1% [3][4] Consumption Trends - The consumption of home appliances and cultural office supplies saw substantial growth, with retail sales increasing by 38.8% and 33.5% respectively in April [3][4] - Travel and communication services experienced double-digit growth due to increased demand during holidays [3][4] Investment Dynamics - From January to April, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 147,024 billion yuan, growing by 4.0% year-on-year, with high-tech industries showing significant investment growth [5][6] - The manufacturing sector exhibited rapid growth, particularly in integrated circuits (21.3%) and new energy vehicles (38.9%) [5][6] Future Outlook - Despite ongoing international uncertainties, China's economic fundamentals remain strong, supported by coordinated macro policies and innovation-driven growth [5][6] - The industrial sector is expected to continue its transformation and upgrade, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and fostering new industries [6]

Economic Performance Overview - In April, external shocks increased, but China's economic foundation remains stable, with strong advantages, resilience, and potential, supported by coordinated macro policies [1][4] - The overall economic performance in April reflects a complex international environment, making stable economic operation more challenging [1] Industrial Growth - Industrial production showed rapid growth, with the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increasing by 6.1% year-on-year in April, marking one of the fastest monthly growth rates since last year [1] - The equipment manufacturing sector experienced significant growth, with an added value increase of 9.8% year-on-year, contributing 55.9% to the industrial growth [1] Service Sector Performance - The service sector maintained stable growth, with the service production index rising by 6% year-on-year in April, the second-highest monthly growth rate this year [1] - Digital transformation and increased travel boosted information and business services, with the production indices for information transmission software and IT services, and leasing and business services growing by 10.4% and 8.9% respectively [1] Domestic Demand - Domestic demand expanded steadily, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 5.1% year-on-year in April, supported by the effects of the trade-in policy [2] - Fixed asset investment grew by 4% year-on-year from January to April, with equipment and tool purchases increasing by 18.2%, contributing 64.5% to total investment growth [2] Foreign Trade Resilience - Despite a rapidly changing international environment, China's foreign trade demonstrated resilience, with total goods imports and exports increasing by 2.4% year-on-year from January to April [2] - Exports of mechanical and electrical products grew by 9.5% in the first four months, highlighting the effectiveness of diversifying trade partnerships [2] Employment Stability - The employment situation remained generally stable, with the urban unemployment rate at 5.1% in April, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [3] - Policies supporting employment and entrepreneurship for key groups contributed to this stability [3] High-tech Industry Growth - High-tech industries experienced rapid growth, with the added value of high-tech manufacturing increasing by 10% year-on-year in April [3] - Significant growth was observed in aerospace equipment and integrated circuit manufacturing, with increases of 21.4% and 21.3% respectively [3] Future Outlook - The government aims to implement more proactive macro policies to stabilize employment, businesses, and market expectations, while promoting high-quality development [4] - The focus will be on strengthening the domestic economic cycle and ensuring sustainable and healthy economic growth [4]

Economic Performance - In Q1 2025, China's GDP (constant price) grew by 5.4% year-on-year, surpassing the expected growth target of around 5.0%[5] - The first, second, and third industries saw value-added growth of 3.5%, 5.9%, and 5.3% respectively[5] - Social retail sales, fixed asset investment, and exports (in RMB) increased by 4.6%, 4.2%, and 6.9% year-on-year[5] Inflation and Price Indices - In Q1 2025, the GDP deflator, CPI, and PPI decreased by 0.8%, 0.1%, and 2.3% respectively, indicating persistent downward pressure on prices[7] - CPI fluctuations were influenced by a 1.5% decline in food prices, which contributed to a 0.27 percentage point drop in CPI[8] Employment and Structural Issues - The urban unemployment rate averaged 5.3% in Q1 2025, reflecting a 0.3 percentage point increase from the previous quarter[16] - The youth unemployment rate for ages 16-24 was notably high at 16.5%, indicating significant pressure on this demographic[16] Industrial and Service Sector Growth - The service sector production index grew by 5.8% year-on-year, with significant contributions from information technology services, which rose by 10.3%[17] - Industrial production increased by 6.5% year-on-year, driven by strong retail and export performance[19] Fixed Asset Investment - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) rose by 4.2% year-on-year, with state-owned enterprises increasing investment by 6.5%[41] - Real estate development investment fell by 9.9%, indicating ongoing challenges in the housing market[42] Trade and External Factors - In Q1 2025, exports grew by 5.8% year-on-year, despite a backdrop of escalating trade tensions with the U.S.[53] - The U.S. has significantly increased tariffs on Chinese goods, with rates reaching as high as 145% on imports from China[62] Financing and Monetary Policy - Social financing increased by 15.18 trillion RMB in Q1 2025, supported by government bond issuance and bank credit expansion[64] - The M1 and M2 growth rates were 12.6% and 7.0% respectively, indicating a recovery in economic activity[66]