Core Viewpoints - The judgment that the small-level adjustment wave of A-shares has not ended is being validated, with no medium-term downside risk and the short-term adjustment not being of a large scale. After the adjustment, a "red October" is highly probable due to the approaching long-term policy layout period and ongoing technological catalysts, with short-term price-performance adjustments likely to be resolved soon [1][5][6] Market Adjustment and Outlook - The current market is undergoing a small-level adjustment since early September, with the core issue being the lack of consensus on the structural mainline to push the index higher. The space and time for a technology structural bull market are limited, leading to market resistance in the upward movement as it digests price-performance issues [5][6] - The adjustment is unfolding, and it is emphasized that there will not be a large-scale adjustment in the short term. The core reason is that there is no real downside risk in the medium term. Economic improvement in the second half of 2025 and further policy efforts are expected to support the upward turning point in supply-demand dynamics in 2026 [2][5][6] Expectations for October - October is seen as a critical policy layout window, where the adjustment will be conducive to stabilizing and improving capital market expectations. Potential catalysts are being evaluated dynamically, with a focus on the demand side looking towards a new round of "policy bottom" to "economic bottom" in 2026, while supply-side clearing is expected in mid-2026 [6][7] - The cyclical catalysts for Q4 2025 are relatively limited, but the technological industry continues to show upward trends, particularly in AI, which has not yet reached its boundaries. The current period is characterized by increasing highlights in the technology industry, and the structural heat may re-energize in October [6][9] Medium-term Market Outlook - Before spring 2026, the technological industry is expected to have significantly more catalysts than cyclical ones, although there may be short-term price-performance issues in technology growth. The trend in technology growth may continue, eventually leading to a long-term low price-performance area [6][7] - Spring 2026 may represent a phase peak for the A-share market, facing challenges such as the arrival of a key verification period on the demand side and the potential delay in the supply-demand turning point if demand remains weak. New structural highlights may still need time to emerge, and the long-term price-performance of the technology industry may reach low levels [7][9] Structural Outlook - The trend in technology growth is expected to dominate, with better performance in high-low switches within technology than between growth and value. New catalysts in emerging sectors are anticipated to have high elasticity, with mid-term market space remaining for technology sectors that have already accumulated certain gains [9][10] - The transition from a structural bull to a comprehensive bull market is crucially linked to the anti-involution trend, with a focus on sectors like photovoltaics and chemicals. The mid-term outlook for Hong Kong stocks remains unchanged, benefiting from the strengthening of "Trump's interest rate cut bullish options" and the fermentation of new economic industry trends [9][10]

21世纪经济报道记者 彭新 近期，作为半导体制造最核心环节的光刻机赛道走热，国产产业链相关标的在二级市场热度空前，A股 光刻机产业链标的波动，高度吸引着市场的目光。 9月24日，21世纪经济报道记者在上海国家会展中心举办的第二十五届中国国际工业博览会上看到，上 海微电子（SMEE）展台上首次公开亮相极紫外（EUV）投影微场曝光装置，及其部分技术内容的对外 披露。 行业脉动直接传导至二级市场，叠加近期半导体行业涨价预期不断催化的影响，光刻机概念涨势如虹。 9月24日，光刻机概念龙头张江高科（600895.SH）涨停，股价再创历史新高；同期，江丰电子 （300666.SZ）涨超17%，联合化学(301209.SZ)、先锋精科(688605.SH)、洪田股份(603800.SH)、富创精 密(688409.SH)涨超5%。 根据张江高科此前互动易披露消息，公司通过子公司上海张江浩成创业投资有限公司投资了上海微电子 公司22345万元，持有上海微电子公司10.779%的股权。 江丰电子为光刻工艺的前道工序（沉积）提供关键材料，并为后道工序（刻蚀）等相关设备提供精密零 部件。 据其此前年报披露，江丰电子研发的"半导体用 ...

Group 1 - The core market sentiment reflects a significant decline in the ChiNext index, dropping by 2.6%, with over 3,400 stocks falling, particularly in the technology sector such as gaming and computing hardware [1][3] - The technology sector is experiencing a collective pullback, attributed to high valuations not matching earnings growth, despite some stocks having over 100% gains this year [3][4] - The wind power and chemical fiber sectors are showing resilience, with companies like Weili Transmission and Shunfeng Mingyang seeing substantial gains, indicating strong performance amid broader market declines [1][4] Group 2 - The wind power sector benefits from global energy transition trends, with domestic profitability turning a corner and new business opportunities in hydrogen and ammonia [4][5] - The chemical fiber industry is undergoing supply-side reforms, with companies like Shunfeng Mingyang expanding into high-value products, contributing to their stock performance [4][5] - The trading volume decreased to 2.17 trillion yuan, indicating a cautious sentiment among large investors, with a shift from high-valuation tech stocks to undervalued sectors [5][6] Group 3 - The strategy suggests avoiding high-valuation sectors like gaming and computing hardware while focusing on performance-driven sectors like wind power and chemical fiber [6][7] - Maintaining a cash reserve and controlling positions below 60% is recommended to prepare for clearer market directions post-holiday [7][8] - The current market adjustment is viewed as a strategic shift from speculative bubbles to value investments, emphasizing the importance of policy support and earnings certainty [8]

板块题材方面，风电设备、化学纤维、军工装备、农化制品、大豆板块涨幅居前；游戏、铜缆高速连接、光刻机、液冷服 务器、CPO概念股跌幅居前。盘面上，风力设备板块大幅走强，威力传动20cm涨停，日月股份、明阳智能、吉鑫科技等股涨 停。化学纤维板块集体走高，神马股份、新凤鸣、三房巷封板。军工装备板块盘中拉升，航宇科技、航亚科技、佳力奇涨幅居 前。此外，半导体、大豆、农化制品等板块均有所异动。另一方面，游戏板块集体调整，吉比特盘中跌停，昆仑万维、星辉娱 乐、三七互娱跟跌。光刻机概念股同样回调，凯美特气跌停，洪田股份、波长光电、蓝特光学纷纷下挫。 三大指数早盘集体下跌，截至午盘，上证指数跌0.18%，深成指跌0.79%，创业板指跌1.17%，北证50跌0.97%。沪深京三 市半日成交额13818亿元，较上日缩量1740亿元。全市场超2500只个股下跌。 ...

(责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 格隆汇9月26日｜A股开盘，三大指数集体低开，沪指低开0.35%，深证成指低开0.38%，创业板指低开 0.42%。盘面上，风电设备股盘初拉升，天能重工(300569)涨超15%，阳明智能涨超8%，中国设定第三 轮减排目标；油气开采及服务板块高开，中油工程(600339)涨超5%，准油股份涨超3%，隔夜WTI原油 突破65美元/桶；煤炭股局部活跃，大有能源(600403)涨停，平煤股份(601666)涨超5%，河南能源集团与 平煤神马集团将进行战略重组；光刻机板块回调，凯美特气(002549)跌超7%，联合化学、蓝英装备 (300293)跌超2%；制药板块盘初走低，迈威生物、荣昌生物跌超4%。(格隆汇) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.35% and the ChiNext Index down 0.42%. Sectors such as photolithography machines, storage chips, and CPO experienced significant declines [1] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities emphasizes a focus on resources, new productive forces, and overseas expansion as the framework for industry selection. The shift of resource stocks from cyclical to dividend attributes, driven by supply constraints and global geopolitical tensions, is expected to lead to a revaluation of these stocks. The anticipated volatility from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts is considered negligible. The key mid-term insight is the globalization of China's manufacturing leaders, which is expected to convert market share advantages into pricing power and profit margin improvements, leading to market capitalization growth that surpasses domestic economic fundamentals [2] - Guojin Securities believes that a bull market driven by the recovery of China's profit fundamentals may be in the making. With the easing of liquidity constraints, there may be a rebound in Hong Kong stocks that experienced stagnation from June to August. Additionally, growth investments are expected to shift from technology-driven to export-oriented. Opportunities in cyclical manufacturing sectors (non-ferrous metals, machinery, chemicals) are anticipated to become the mid-term focus. The recommended sectors include upstream resources (copper, aluminum, oil, gold), capital goods (engineering machinery, heavy trucks, lithium batteries, wind power equipment), and raw materials (basic chemicals, fiberglass, paper, steel) [3]

A股开盘，三大指数集体低开，沪指低开0.35%，深证成指低开0.38%，创业板指低开0.42%。盘面上， 风电设备股盘初拉升，天能重工涨超15%，阳明智能涨超8%，中国设定第三轮减排目标；油气开采及 服务板块高开，中油工程涨超5%，准油股份涨超3%，隔夜WTI原油突破65美元/桶；煤炭股局部活跃， 大有能源涨停，平煤股份涨超5%，河南能源集团与平煤神马集团将进行战略重组；光刻机板块回调， 凯美特气跌超7%，联合化学、蓝英装备跌超2%；制药板块盘初走低，迈威生物、荣昌生物跌超4%，美 国将对多类进口产品实施新一轮高额关税。(格隆汇) ...

9月24日，市场低开高走，创业板指盘中再创3年多新高，科创50指数一度涨近5%。截至收盘，沪指涨 0.83%，深成指涨1.80%，创业板指涨2.28%。 板块方面，存储芯片、光刻机、能源金属等板块涨幅居前，旅游等板块跌幅居前。 全市场超4400只个股上涨，下跌家数不足900家。沪深两市成交额2.33万亿元，较上一个交易日缩量 1676亿。 等了好久终于等到今天，"9·24"行情迎来周年庆。 跟生活中很多事一样，在真正发生前，我们有各种期待，情绪也上下起伏。 而在其如期而至时，大家反而会有些平静。 就像今天A股的行情，有超4000家股票上涨，指数也全线飘红。 但和昨天连起来看，这似乎是一次幅度较大的"先深蹲后起跳"的波动，亮点在于日线"阳包阴"，提示市 场仍运行在"慢牛"的趋势中。 当然，这已经是很积极的信号了。 毕竟，一年前的"9·24"，沪指的开盘点位是2770点； 而今天，沪指的开盘点位，已经到了3804点。 高度不同，资金的冲劲也不同。但即便短期市场暴涨的概率较低，过完今天，本轮行情也"还没走完"。 拭目以待！ 半导体产业链爆发 据报道，9月23日，第二十五届中国国际工业博览会在上海国家会展中心隆重开幕 ...

Core Viewpoint - The domestic photolithography machine localization process in China is accelerating, with significant breakthroughs showcased at the 25th China International Industry Fair, including the debut of EUV lithography machine parameters by Shanghai Micro Electronics [2][4]. Industry Developments - Shanghai Micro Electronics and Chip-on-Micro showcased major products, indicating a "0-1" breakthrough in the industry, with advanced packaging machines entering mass production and domestic EUV machines in the principle machine construction phase [4]. - Domestic photolithography machines have made significant progress in 90nm and below process nodes, with Shanghai Micro Electronics' 600 series achieving mass production at 90nm and ongoing development of 28nm immersion lithography machines [4]. - The breakthrough in photolithography technology is expected to drive upgrades in upstream materials and precision machinery, accelerating the localization of critical materials like photoresists and optical components [4]. Market Performance - The photolithography concept stocks have surged, with Zhangjiang Hi-Tech (600895) hitting a historical high [2][5][6]. - Companies like Chip-on-Micro and Jiangfeng Electronics are projected to see net profit growth rates exceeding 20% in 2026 and 2027, while others like Fuchuang Precision and Tongfei Co. are expected to exceed 30% [7][10]. Investment Trends - Over 40 photolithography concept stocks are present in the A-share market, with significant institutional interest in companies like Chip-on-Micro, Jiangfeng Electronics, and Fuchuang Precision [7]. - Leveraged funds have shown strong interest in stocks such as Tengjing Technology and Chip-on-Micro, with net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan since September [8].

半导体产业链全线拉升。存储芯片概念股走高，其中通富微电(002156)直线拉升涨停。 9月24日，A股三大指数集体低开。开盘后拉升，三大指数盘中均翻红。 盘面上，供气供热、水务、石油等板块涨幅居前；通信设备、元器件、旅游等板块跌幅居前。 银行股反复活跃，渝农商行涨超3%，齐鲁银行、邮储银行、工商银行、浙商银行、中国银行、杭州银行涨超1%。 港股方面，恒生指数和恒生科技指数飘红。半导体股盘初拉升，中芯国际涨超3%，股价创新高，华虹半导体涨超2%。另外，美团等涨超2%，阿里巴巴涨 超1%，金山云跌近8%，百度跌近3%。 半导体硅片概念股拉升 盘初，半导体硅片概念股继续走强，立昂微2连板，神工股份、有研硅、沪硅产业、中晶科技等纷纷冲高。 消息面上，半导体硅片涨价预期愈演愈烈，海外环球晶圆、胜高、合晶、世创等公司股价近期大幅上涨。 影视院线板块拉升 影视院线板块盘初走强，博纳影业涨停，光线传媒、欢瑞世纪、华策影视、中国电影、幸福蓝海、横店影视等纷纷拉升。 据猫眼专业版数据，截至9月23日17时08分，2025年国庆档新片预售总票房已突破500万元。《刺杀小说家2》领跑国庆档预售票房榜，《浪浪人生》《志 愿军：浴血和平 ...