华玉 盘 金 wabao WP Fund 【 】 【 】 【 】 【 】 】 【 】 】 2025年12月 lll 3A系列ETF当日场内行情 ■ A50ETF华宝 中证A100ETF基金 中证A500ETF华宝 159596 562000 563500 -0.79% -0.86% -0.49% 数据来源:沪深交易所等,行情数据截至2025.12.18收盘,A50ETF华宝于2024.3.18上市,中证A100ETF基金于2022.8.1上 市,中证A500ETF华宝于2024.12.2上市 当日大市行情 a +0.16% -2.17% -1.29% 创业板指 上证指数 深证成指 较上一日-1557亿元 两市成交额1.66万亿元 全市场个股涨跌数 2845 - 199日 2416只 at 上涨 == 持平 "| 下跌 资金净流入TOP3行业(申万一级) 国防军工 +6.53亿元 +3.49亿元 +2.48亿元 机构观点 Ei 中银证券:A股正处于"牛市中继"阶段,重点关注两条主线 A股当前正处于"牛市中继"阶段,2026年中长期资金入市等政策性 利好依然可期,而价格中枢回暖、内需复苏以及产业创新带来的盈利 增 ...

从盘面上看，商业航天概念股反复活跃，军工股午后局部发力，医药商业题材表现强势。光伏、锂电 池、算力硬件、AI手机、稳定币题材调整。 至收盘，上证综指涨0.16%，报3876.37点；科创50指数跌1.46%，报1305.97点；深证成指跌1.29%，报 13053.97点；创业板指跌2.17%，报3107.06点。 Wind统计显示，两市及北交所共2843只股票上涨，2413只股票下跌，平盘有199只股票。 沪深两市成交总额16555亿元，较前一交易日的18111亿元减少1556亿元。其中，沪市成交7049亿元，比 上一交易日7668亿元减少619亿元，深市成交9506亿元。 据大智慧VIP，两市及北交所共有80只股票涨幅在9%以上，10只股票跌幅在9%以上。 煤炭股午后大幅拉升，银行股一路走高 在板块方面，煤炭股午后大幅拉升，安泰集团（600408）、云维股份（600725）、陕西煤业 （601225）、兖矿能源（600188）、江钨装备（600397）等涨超3%。消息面上，12月17日国家发改委 等六部门联合印发《煤炭清洁高效利用重点领域标杆水平和基准水平（2025年版）》。据金瑞期货分 析，与2022年 ...

12月18日，A股三大股指早盘走势分化，沪指低开高走高位震荡，深成指及创业板指低开回升后再度震 荡下挫，截止午盘，沪指涨0.16%报3876.4点，深成指跌0.85%报13111.78点，创业板指跌1.81%报3118.3 点，科创50指数跌0.92%报1313.11点；沪深两市半日成交额1.05万亿，全市场超3600只个股上涨。 盘面热点快速轮动，商业航天概念再度爆发，盛洋科技2连板，顺灏股份、天银机电、中国卫星等多股 涨停。大消费板块走强，零售方向领涨，中央商场、上海九百涨停。IP经济概念表现活跃，广博股份、 三湘印象涨停；券商板块走势分化，东兴证券涨停，中金涨超5%，信达证券涨4.55%；锂电池板块回 落，海科新源、宁德时代下挫。 热门板块 光刻机概念异动拉升 光大证券认为，新一轮政策部署护航，A股跨年行情可期：一方面，未来国内经济政策有望持续发力， 经济增长有望保持在合理区间，进一步夯实资本市场繁荣发展的基础；另一方面，政策红利释放，有望 提振市场信心，进一步吸引各类资金积极流入；此外，历史来看，"十三五"和"十四五"开局之年A股市 场均有不错的表现，历史上开局之年的积极表现有望在2026年得到延续。 ...

15日，两市股指午后加速下探，深证成指跌逾1%，创业板指跌近2%，全A近3000股飘绿。 中银证券表示，往后看，A股整体仍处于上行通道之中。首先，政策从"托底"到"提质"的平滑过渡，为 市场创造了稳定的宏观预期环境。随着政策预期趋于稳定，市场动能将从前期主要由政策与资金驱动， 逐步向盈利基本面驱动转换。A股当前正处于"牛市中继"阶段，2026年中长期资金入市等政策性利好依 然可期，而价格中枢回暖、内需复苏以及产业创新带来的盈利增长将有助于市场走向全面牛。短期来 看，美联储继任人选以及国内货币财政政策的落地或将成为岁末年初市场关注的焦点。随着地缘政治风 险的缓和以及中美政策预期的逐步落地，明年A股的跨年配置行情有望提前启动，围绕"春躁"布局，可 重点关注科技+"反内卷"两条主线。 截至收盘，沪指跌0.55%报3867.92点，深证成指跌1.1%，创业板指跌1.77%，科创50指数跌2.22%，沪 深北三市合计成交17945亿元。 盘面上看，半导体、传媒、医药等板块走低，保险、零售、食品饮料、钢铁、酿酒等板块拉升，商业航 天、黄金概念等活跃。 ...

策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 点评报告 2025 年 12 月 9 日 政治局会议点评 提质增效 行稳致远 中共中央政治局 12 月 8 日召开会议，分析研究 2026 年经济工作，审议《中 国共产党领导全面依法治国工作条例》。中共中央总书记习近平主持会议。 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 外部环境关注度有所上升。在宏观形势的判断上，本次会议对 2025 年及 过去五年的经济成就给予了肯定，认为'十四五'规划目标将顺利实 现。对于下一阶段的政策目标，本次会议首次提出'更好统筹国内经济 工作和国际经贸斗争'，显示当前外部环境不确定性加大背景下，政策 对于外部环境的关注度有所上升。 开局'十五五'，提质增效，行稳致远。宏观政策定调上，延续了'稳 中求进'的总基调的同时以'提质增效'代替去年的'以进促稳'；强 调'发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度'； 同时指出'增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性'，'持续扩大内需、优化供 给、做优增量、盘活存量'，可见 2026 年宏观政策 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has announced the resumption of government bond trading, which is expected to release liquidity and benefit both the stock and bond markets [5] - Following the announcement, the bond market saw an overall increase, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.55%, the 10-year main contract by 0.25%, the 5-year main contract by 0.15%, and the 2-year main contract by 0.08% [5] - The A-share market opened lower but later surged, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the 4000-point mark for the first time in 10 years, although trading volume was insufficient, indicating a lack of strong buying momentum [1][3] Group 2 - Compared to previous years (2007 and 2015), the current market atmosphere appears less enthusiastic, primarily driven by technology stocks, while other sectors, including the securities sector, have shown weak performance [3] - The current 4000-point level in the A-share market is viewed as a continuation of the bull market rather than a peak, as the domestic economy has not fully recovered and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are just beginning [3] - The upcoming earnings reports from major cloud companies in the U.S. are anticipated to be critical for further market support [3] Group 3 - In the stock market, certain sectors such as defense, transportation, textiles, and computers have shown gains, while sectors like non-ferrous metals, beauty care, and steel have experienced declines [12] - The storage sector saw a significant drop, attributed to a recent price increase, while major PCB companies like Shenghong Technology reported disappointing third-quarter results, leading to a slight market correction [9][12] - Public fund reports indicate a significant increase in holdings in sectors such as electronics, communication, and new energy, with electronic sector holdings exceeding 20%, suggesting potential overcrowding risks [9]

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The core strategy is a continuation of the bull market, focusing on core technology assets as A-shares strengthen under the leadership of these assets [2][3] - The market outlook remains positive due to economic recovery expectations, continuous capital inflow, and policy benefits, with a mid-term slow bull logic still intact [3] - Short-term market may face technical adjustment pressure due to crowded trading in some popular sectors, but a new round of valuation-driven market space is expected to open up starting in Q3 [3] Group 2: September Stock Picks - The September stock picks include: Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway (Transportation), Tongkun Co., Ltd. (Chemicals), Yake Technology (Chemicals), CATL (Electricity), Heng Rui Medicine (Pharmaceuticals), Sanyou Medical (Pharmaceuticals), Beijing Renli (Social Services), Feiliwa (Electronics), Zhaoyi Innovation (Electronics), and Pengding Holdings (Electronics) [8][10] Group 3: Industry Insights Transportation Industry: Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway - The company is a landmark project in China's high-speed rail, with expected net profit exceeding 12.7 billion yuan in 2024 [10] - The business model relies on entrusted transportation management, with revenue primarily from passenger transport and network service income [10] - Key factors supporting growth include a favorable pricing mechanism, strong travel demand along the route, network effects from an expanding high-speed rail network, and technological advancements in train efficiency [11] Chemical Industry: Tongkun Co., Ltd. - The company achieved significant sales growth in polyester filament, with a total sales volume of 9.4587 million tons in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 29.60% [12] - Despite a decline in selling prices due to fluctuating oil prices and weak downstream demand, the company expects profitability to improve with demand recovery [12] Chemical Industry: Yake Technology - The company reported steady growth, with a gross margin of 31.59% in 2024 [14] - The electronic materials segment is expanding, with significant revenue growth in precursor materials and photoresists [15] Electric Industry: CATL - The company achieved a net profit of 50.745 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.01% [17] - CATL maintains a leading position in the global battery market, with a 37.9% market share in power batteries and 36.5% in energy storage [18] Pharmaceutical Industry: Heng Rui Medicine - The company reported a 12.53% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2 2024, with innovative drugs accounting for over 60% of total revenue [20] - Multiple new products were launched in the first half of 2024, contributing to growth [21] Pharmaceutical Industry: Sanyou Medical - The company faced pressure from centralized procurement but is innovating therapies to enhance market share [24] - The acquisition of Waterwood Tianpeng is expected to strengthen the product matrix and enhance competitiveness [25] Social Services Industry: Beijing Renli - The company has a broad service coverage and a strong client base, with growth potential in flexible employment and outsourcing [27] - Digitalization and AI applications are expected to enhance operational efficiency and revenue growth [28] Electronics Industry: Feiliwa - The company reported a revenue of 908 million yuan in H1 2025, with a gross margin of 49.2% [29] - New business lines are beginning to contribute to performance, particularly in semiconductor and aerospace sectors [30] Electronics Industry: Zhaoyi Innovation - The company achieved a revenue of 7.356 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant increase in net profit [32] - The company is actively expanding its market share in various sectors, including storage and MCU products [33] Electronics Industry: Pengding Holdings - The company reported a revenue of 16.375 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a net profit increase of 57.22% [35] - The company is capitalizing on market opportunities across various product lines, including communication and consumer electronics [36]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has been rising since August, reaching a new high of 3683 points on August 13, surpassing the previous year's high of 3674 points [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan [1] - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are experiencing a multi-sector rotation upward, with public funds demonstrating strong active management capabilities [1] Fund Performance - Over 800 new funds were established this year, with more than 700 achieving positive returns, representing over 90% [1] - Notable active equity funds include the Invesco Great Wall Medical Industry Fund, which has returned over 60% since its inception on January 24, 2023 [3] - Other high-performing funds include the Yongying Rui Jian Fund with a return of 43.63% and several funds exceeding 30% returns [3][4] Fund Manager Insights - The performance of the newly established fund managed by Jia Chengdong at Shenwan Hongyuan Fund has been disappointing, with a decline of over 8% since its launch [1][6] - Concerns have been raised regarding the fund's frequent adjustments and high-risk strategies, which diverge from its advertised high-dividend focus [6] - Shenwan Hongyuan Fund has responded by urging investors to focus on long-term performance rather than short-term results [6] Market Outlook - Analysts from CITIC Securities suggest that while A-shares may face short-term resistance, the overall trend remains bullish, presenting opportunities for reallocation during pullbacks [2][6] - There is a recommendation to focus on new sectors and low-positioned niche products, particularly in defense, AI computing, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals [6][7] Sector Analysis - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is viewed as having sustainable growth potential, with fund managers expressing confidence in the industry's trajectory [7] - The technology sector, particularly cloud computing, is expected to experience adjustments, but remains a focus for long-term investment opportunities [7] - Emerging fields such as autonomous driving and robotics are anticipated to see significant growth, although current market conditions are uncertain [7]

Group 1 - The three major indices opened higher on August 12, with the ChiNext Index (399006.SZ) rising by 0.26% during the session [1] - Among the ChiNext Index constituent stocks, Xiechuang Data surged over 6%, while Shenghong Technology and Kunlun Wanwei increased by over 4%, and Lepu Medical and Xinyi Sheng rose by over 3% [1] - The ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) rose by 0.28%, with a trading volume of 4.1363 million yuan and a real-time premium rate of 0.03% [1] Group 2 - As of August 11, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) had a total circulation of 3.441 billion shares and a circulation scale of 8.492 billion yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 12.02% in net value [1] - The total margin balance of ChiNext stocks reached 405.212 billion yuan, an increase of 3.772 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with the financing balance at 403.970 billion yuan, up by 3.734 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index is a key index of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, consisting of 100 representative stocks from emerging industries and high-tech enterprises, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market [2] Group 3 - According to a report from CITIC Securities, the A-share market continues to face some resistance for short-term upward movement, but remains in a bull market continuation phase, with pullbacks providing good allocation opportunities [2] - The report highlights that recent improvements in overseas conditions and potential changes in the Federal Reserve's personnel may enhance market expectations for interest rate cuts, benefiting emerging market stocks, particularly Hong Kong stocks [2] - The acceleration of industry rotation suggests a focus on low-positioned niche segments in new tracks [2]

Group 1 - A-shares indices collectively rose on August 11, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.33% and nearly 4,000 stocks in the market rising [1] - A500 ETF (512050) continued to strengthen, up 0.89%, with a trading volume exceeding 4.2 billion yuan, ranking first among its peers [1] - The A500 ETF tracks the CSI A500 Index, which employs a dual strategy of industry-balanced allocation and leading stock selection, covering all 35 sub-industries [1] Group 2 - As of the end of July, the average return of billion-level private equity funds exceeded 16%, with a positive return rate of 98%, and most funds achieving returns over 10% [1] - The number of billion-level private equity funds increased to 90, indicating a growing trend in the industry [1] - The current market environment is characterized by active trading and a positive feedback loop of capital inflow and stock market gains, enhancing market risk appetite [2] Group 3 - The A-share market is experiencing a strong upward trend, supported by various sources of incremental capital, including insurance funds, pension funds, public and private equity funds, and retail investor allocations [2] - Industry rotation is accelerating, with recommendations to focus on new sectors such as AI computing power, semiconductors, humanoid robots, non-ferrous metals, transportation, brokerage, and innovative pharmaceuticals [2] - The current market is viewed as a continuation of a bull market, with potential opportunities arising from any short-term corrections [2]