Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects in the domestic power equipment sector, with a notable slowdown in project approvals until late June when two UHV projects were approved in quick succession. [1] - The expectation is for a significant acceleration in project approvals in the second half of the year, presenting a potential investment opportunity in related power equipment stocks. [1] Key Insights and Arguments - The total market size for domestic power grid equipment companies is estimated at approximately 1.8 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of about 13%. [3] - The investment from the State Grid and Southern Grid is projected to be around 800 billion yuan, with UHV investments expected to range between 100 billion to 140 billion yuan annually. [3][4] - The UHV sector is highlighted as having high attention compared to other investment demands, with a simplified research framework focusing on three keywords: ideal, reality, and deviation. [4][5] - The UHV investment for 2023 is expected to exceed 500 billion yuan, with significant project approvals anticipated in the latter part of the year. [6][9] Future Projections - For 2025, the UHV investment is projected to surpass 1.5 trillion yuan, indicating a growth trajectory from the 1.2 trillion yuan level in 2023. [9][10] - The contribution of major companies like Pinggao, Xudong, and NARI to profits is expected to increase, with profit contributions from UHV projects projected to rise by about 10% from 2023 to 2027. [11] Risks and Considerations - Several risks were identified, including regional challenges due to the length and complexity of the projects, environmental assessments, limited manpower from the State Grid, and potential changes in financing schemes. [13][14][15] - The approval and construction timelines are critical, with expectations that projects approved by October could lead to significant bidding for equipment by the end of the year. [9][11] Additional Important Points - The conference emphasized the importance of monitoring the approval pace and the subsequent impact on equipment orders and profit contributions for companies involved in UHV projects. [2][12] - The overall sentiment is optimistic regarding the UHV sector, with recommendations for investment in companies that are currently undervalued. [15]

Summary of Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the power and water sectors, highlighting recent developments and trends in these industries [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **High Temperature and Power Supply**: The recent high temperatures have led to increased attention on power supply issues, particularly in regions like East China and Inner Mongolia. The overall power supply remains stable, but there are concerns about potential electricity shortages during peak demand periods [1][7][8][10]. 2. **Government Initiatives in Water Infrastructure**: The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has introduced plans to enhance water infrastructure, including modernization of irrigation systems and flood control measures. This is expected to boost orders and profitability for related listed companies in the second half of the year [2][4]. 3. **Encouragement of Private Capital**: There is a push for private capital to participate in water supply and power generation projects. This shift aims to improve project management and operational sustainability, moving away from fragmented project bidding that previously characterized the industry [3][4]. 4. **EPC and BOT Project Acceleration**: The government is promoting Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) and Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) models, which will require higher standards from participating companies. This is intended to enhance project quality and long-term operational stability [4][5]. 5. **Investment in Power Transmission Projects**: Recent approvals for major power transmission projects, including high-voltage direct current (HVDC) lines, are expected to facilitate the transfer of electricity across regions, supporting the development of renewable energy sources [5][6]. 6. **Impact of Weather on Electricity Demand**: The call noted that the early onset of high temperatures has led to record electricity demand in several provinces. The ongoing weather patterns are anticipated to influence electricity supply dynamics throughout the summer [7][8][10]. 7. **Market Expectations and Performance**: There is a belief that the performance of companies in the power sector may exceed market expectations due to the combination of high temperatures and potential electricity shortages. This could lead to significant investment opportunities [9][10]. Other Important Insights - The NDRC has revised investment support policies for water infrastructure, increasing the average central investment support ratio by approximately 20 percentage points. This expansion includes new types of projects, which may benefit listed companies in the sector [4]. - The call emphasized the importance of monitoring the balance between supply and demand in the electricity market, particularly as high temperatures persist and new technologies are deployed [8][9]. This summary encapsulates the critical discussions and insights from the conference call, focusing on the power and water industries, government initiatives, and market expectations.

Group 1 - BYD Energy signed a cooperation framework agreement with State Grid Hunan Zongneng on July 3, 2025, focusing on distributed energy storage [1] - Anhui Anwa New Energy launched the world's first GWh-level new solid-state battery production line on July 4, achieving an energy density exceeding 300Wh/kg and passing safety tests [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments issued a document on July 7 to promote the construction of green data centers, emphasizing the use of efficient energy-saving equipment and active utilization of energy storage technology [1] Group 2 - Huaxi Securities noted that the oversupply issue in the photovoltaic industry has been adequately recognized, with policy expectations improving, and the silicon material segment is expected to benefit first [1] - BC batteries are gaining a premium advantage due to high efficiency, and costs are expected to decrease further due to the application of cheap metal solutions [1] - Offshore wind power has made breakthroughs in large-scale equipment and domestic component production, leading to a significant reduction in levelized cost of electricity and clear industry growth potential [1] Group 3 - The acceleration of UHV (Ultra High Voltage) construction will promote the approval and commencement of multiple transmission channels by 2025, significantly benefiting core equipment manufacturers [1] - In the electric vehicle sector, the maturity of new technologies like solid-state batteries, combined with vehicle replacement policies, is expected to sustain sales growth and stabilize the industry chain [1] - In the energy storage sector, European household storage depletion is nearing completion, and industrial and commercial storage is entering a fast track under price mechanisms and subsidy policies, showing clear signs of demand recovery [1] Group 4 - The ChiNext New Energy ETF by Guotai tracks the Innovation Energy Index, which can have a daily fluctuation of up to 20% [2] - The index, compiled by China Securities Index Co., focuses on upstream and downstream enterprises in the new energy industry chain, including solar, wind, and nuclear energy [2] - The latest fluctuation of the Innovation Energy Index is 2.98%, reflecting the market performance of the new energy sector [2]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The power equipment industry is underperforming due to multiple factors including delays in UHV projects, risks associated with new energy installations, price reductions in grid procurement, and weak industrial investment [1][3] - The anticipated approval for UHV DC lines in early 2025 is five lines, with two to four AC lines expected. However, only one AC line has been approved in the first half of the year, which is below expectations [1][4] Key Insights and Arguments - UHV construction aims to address the insufficient transmission channels caused by the rapid expansion of new energy sources, indicating a demand for advanced construction. However, the expectation of 5 to 6 DC lines annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan may be difficult to sustain [1][5] - The development of nuclear power significantly boosts the demand for grid equipment and transmission channel construction. Since 2022, over 10 nuclear power units have been approved annually, enhancing the value and profitability of transmission and transformation equipment [1][6] - New nuclear projects in inland areas will further promote the demand for supporting transmission and AC ring networks, presenting growth opportunities for related companies [1][6] Company-Specific Insights - Companies like XJ Electric and Xi'an Xikai are expected to benefit directly from UHV DC construction due to their involvement with DC converter valve-related businesses, making them more resilient in the short term [1][7] - For a more stable investment approach, companies such as Pinggao and NARI are recommended as they are less affected by negative industry impacts. Pinggao currently holds 16 interval orders, with 14 being competitive nuclear projects, and maintains a steady delivery rhythm for 750 kV [2][7] - Domestic solar energy companies are also showing slightly better performance due to mandatory installation power forecasts, suggesting potential investment opportunities [2][8] Additional Important Points - The overall market sentiment for the UHV sector has been negative since October 2024, with companies like XJ Electric and Pinggao experiencing nearly a 20% decline in 2025. This downturn is attributed to underwhelming performance expectations and various adverse factors affecting the power equipment industry [3][4] - The synchronization between UHV construction and new energy development is not complete, as UHV projects are required to catch up with the previous pace of new energy expansion [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the following companies: Guodian NARI (国电南瑞), Pinggao Electric (平高电气), China XD Electric (中国西电), and XJ Electric (许继电气) [8][9]. Core Insights - The approval of the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission line marks an upward cycle for the UHV sector, with an expected investment of 53.168 billion yuan and a total transmission capacity of 10GW [1]. - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan aims to add 253GW of solar capacity by 2030, indicating sustained growth in renewable energy infrastructure [2]. - The acceleration of UHV project construction is evident, with multiple projects expected to be operational within the year, enhancing the overall market dynamics [3]. - The UHV market exhibits high barriers to entry and profitability, with significant value in components such as converters and transformers, indicating a concentrated competitive landscape [4]. Summary by Sections UHV Projects and Approvals - The National Development and Reform Commission approved the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao UHV project, with a total length of 2681.3 kilometers and dynamic investment of 53.168 billion yuan [1]. - It is anticipated that 5-6 additional UHV direct current lines will be approved in 2025, with key equipment suppliers likely to benefit significantly from this trend [1]. Photovoltaic Development - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan has been approved, targeting the addition of 253GW of solar capacity by 2030 and the reclamation of 10.1 million acres of desertified land [2]. - The ongoing construction of large-scale wind and solar bases in desert areas is expected to drive long-term demand for UHV transmission [2]. Market Dynamics and Company Performance - The UHV market is characterized by high profit margins and a limited number of participants, with significant revenue potential for core equipment manufacturers [4]. - Guodian NARI is projected to generate net profits of 1.15-1.64 billion yuan from each UHV project, while Pinggao Electric and China XD Electric are also expected to see substantial profit increases due to the anticipated surge in UHV orders [5]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential for these companies, with expected net profit growth rates of 23.8% CAGR from 2025 to 2027 for XJ Electric [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the expected acceleration in the approval of ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects in the second half of 2025, with several key transmission corridors likely to be approved [10][15] - The current pace of construction for UHV direct current projects is increasing, with several projects nearing completion and others in the early stages of construction [15][16] - The report highlights a significant potential for equipment bidding in the second half of 2025, estimating a total bidding volume of approximately 55 billion yuan, with a substantial portion allocated for UHV converter valve equipment [28][30] Summary by Sections UHV Project Approvals - The 2025 National Energy Work Conference proposed the active promotion of several UHV transmission corridors, indicating a likely increase in project approvals in the latter half of 2025 [10] - Currently, only two projects have received approval, but expectations are high for a surge in approvals later in the year [10][15] UHV Direct Current Projects - Several UHV direct current projects are nearing completion, with the Jinshang-Hubei and Longdong-Shandong projects already operational [15] - Projects such as the Ningxia-Hunan and Shaanxi-Anhui are in advanced stages of construction, with expectations for operational readiness by 2026 [15][16] UHV Alternating Current Projects - The report notes that UHV alternating current projects are also in a peak construction phase, with several projects expected to commence in 2025 [16][18] Equipment Bidding Trends - In the first half of 2025, equipment bidding has been relatively low, totaling 2.48 billion yuan, while material bidding reached 17.87 billion yuan [25] - The report anticipates a rapid increase in bidding activity in the second half of 2025, driven by the approval of multiple UHV projects [28][30] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the UHV equipment market remains concentrated, with leading companies expected to benefit from increased order volumes as the market expands [35]

Core Viewpoint - Brand building is a significant indicator of high-quality development and a reflection of new productive forces, with Jiangsu province emphasizing the cultivation of independent brands and improving brand quality, leading to a notable increase in the number and value of various brands nationwide [1] Group 1: Brand Development and Innovation - Jiangsu is leveraging innovation as a driving force to reshape the competitiveness of "Su" brands through technological iterations and model innovations, with over 57,000 high-tech enterprises cultivated in the province, ranking first in the country for new unicorns and potential unicorns [2] - The traditional industry is revitalizing through the integration of cultural heritage and technological vitality, exemplified by the transformation of Song brocade into a modern cultural brand through advanced manufacturing techniques [2] - The home appliance industry in Wuxi is undergoing a digital revolution, with Little Swan washing machines utilizing a complete smart manufacturing system that has reduced product development cycles by 27% and defect rates by 21% [3] Group 2: Core Competitiveness and Technological Breakthroughs - Jiangsu is enhancing the core competitiveness of "Su" brands through continuous technological innovation and quality improvement, with a focus on increasing R&D investment and overcoming key technological bottlenecks [4] - XCMG's XGC88000 crane, the world's largest crawler crane, showcases Jiangsu's strength in heavy machinery, achieving multiple international firsts and breaking foreign monopolies in the super-large tonnage crane sector [4] - NARI Technology has achieved a 100% localization rate in ultra-high voltage direct current transmission technology, significantly contributing to national energy strategies and reducing carbon emissions by over 12 million tons annually [5][6] Group 3: Green Transformation and Sustainable Development - Jiangsu is promoting green transformation as a key to brand development, encouraging enterprises to adopt eco-friendly materials and technologies, leading to a dual win in economic and ecological benefits [7] - Shagang Group has invested over 5 billion yuan in ultra-low emission transformations, becoming a national-level green factory with a 15% reduction in energy consumption per ton of steel and a 78% reduction in sulfur dioxide emissions [8] - By 2024, Jiangsu is expected to have 638 green factories and 40 green industrial parks, contributing to the high-quality development of "Su" brands through green initiatives [8] Group 4: Social Responsibility and Community Engagement - "Su" brands are not only excelling in market competition but also demonstrating social responsibility, with local brands actively participating in community welfare and enhancing public well-being [9] - Yixing has developed multiple well-known rice brands, creating new agricultural business entities that provide employment for over 60 local farmers, thereby strengthening community ties and promoting agricultural brand development [9] - Bosideng has been recognized as one of China's 500 most valuable brands for ten consecutive years, with a brand value of 116.156 billion yuan in 2025, and has engaged in various social welfare initiatives, including disaster relief efforts [10] Group 5: Future Directions and Brand Promotion - Jiangsu is set to launch the "Jiangsu Intelligent Manufacturing, Moving Forward" project, focusing on promoting advanced manufacturing clusters and enhancing the visibility and reputation of "Su" brands [11] - The provincial government aims to further cultivate "Su" brands and expand the content and format of Jiangsu's brand activities, showcasing the province's achievements in brand building and high-quality economic development [11]

Group 1: Infrastructure Development - The successful excavation of the Tongbaiyuan No.1 Tunnel, the longest tunnel of the Yan-Yu High-speed Railway, has reached 2000 meters, with a total length exceeding 14,000 meters. The railway will reduce travel time from Xi'an to Yulin from 5 hours to 2 hours upon completion [1] - The construction of the Luo-Ruo Railway, approximately 297 kilometers long, has begun track laying, which will enhance the "road-to-rail" transport capacity in Xinjiang by connecting with the Lanzhou-Xinjiang Railway and the Ge'ku Railway [2] - The Hefei-Wuhan section of the Yangtze River High-speed Railway has entered full construction phase, with the first steel truss beam of the Shi River Bridge successfully installed. The railway is expected to be completed by 2028 [3] Group 2: Renewable Energy Projects - The expansion of the Tianjin South 1000 kV UHV substation, a key project under the national "14th Five-Year Plan," has commenced operation, capable of transmitting over 40 billion kWh of electricity annually, enhancing the transmission capacity of clean energy from Inner Mongolia and Hebei to Tianjin [4] - The construction of the largest single-unit solar thermal storage project in China, the CGN Delingha 1 million kW solar thermal storage integrated project, has made progress with all heliostats installed and entering the equipment debugging phase. The project is expected to be operational by the end of this year, delivering 1.8 billion kWh of green electricity annually, equivalent to saving about 550,000 tons of standard coal and reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 1.3 million tons [4]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is accelerating its commercialization, with tactile sensor technology being a key factor for safe interaction and intelligent control. Companies with technological and cost advantages are expected to benefit significantly as humanoid robots enter mass production [1][12][13] - The solid-state battery industrialization process is progressing, driven by the need for battery technology upgrades. Solid-state batteries are seen as the next-generation technology due to their high energy density and safety. Companies with technological advantages and early orders are expected to see growth [2][17][19] - The UK government has announced the indicative timeline for the seventh round of Contracts for Difference (CfD) auctions, with offshore wind auctions expected to start in August. This round is anticipated to have the highest auction capacity in history, supporting the growth of renewable energy, particularly offshore wind [3][24][25] Summary by Sections 1. Humanoid Robots - Tactile sensing technology is crucial for ensuring safe interaction between humanoid robots and their environment. The market is currently dominated by foreign companies, but domestic firms are making progress [1][12] - The commercialization of humanoid robots is expected to accelerate, with significant opportunities arising from advancements in AI and supportive policies. Key players in the supply chain are likely to benefit [13][16] 2. New Energy Vehicles - The solid-state battery technology is gaining traction, with significant milestones achieved in production capacity. The industry is expected to see continuous upgrades across the entire supply chain [2][17] - The growth of the new energy vehicle sector is supported by the introduction of high-performance models and advancements in battery technology, which are expected to enhance cost-effectiveness [18][19] 3. Renewable Energy - The UK government is set to launch the seventh round of CfD auctions, with a significant number of offshore wind projects expected to participate. This is part of a broader strategy to achieve a nearly fully clean power system by 2030 [3][24][25] - The renewable energy sector is anticipated to continue its growth trajectory, with a focus on offshore wind development and the establishment of a clean energy system [26][27] 4. Power Equipment & AIDC - The construction of ultra-high voltage transmission projects is set to advance, with several key projects approved for construction in 2025. This is expected to provide substantial support for core ultra-high voltage equipment manufacturers [4][7][8] - The demand for virtual power plants is expected to rise as new power system construction accelerates, benefiting companies actively involved in this sector [8]

Core Viewpoint - The investment in ultra-high voltage (UHV) new energy base projects primarily consists of three components: UHV transmission lines, peak-shaving power sources, and new energy sources. The profitability of these projects is heavily influenced by electricity price differentials and the capacity utilization of the transmission lines [2][3][4]. Group 1: UHV Transmission Lines - UHV transmission lines are typically funded by the power grid, with some contributions from receiving provinces. The return on investment is mainly derived from transmission fees, which are fixed per kilowatt-hour. The project must achieve at least 80% of its designed capacity to avoid losses, and to meet expected returns, it should exceed 90% [2]. - The transmission fee cannot exceed the regional electricity price differential; for instance, the price difference between Shaanxi (0.34) and Anhui (0.4) is 0.06. If the transmission fee exceeds this differential, the project loses economic viability [2]. Group 2: Peak-Shaving Power Sources - Peak-shaving power sources are primarily coal-fired power plants, typically configured to 50% of the full transmission capacity, with an annual utilization of 5000 hours [3]. Group 3: New Energy Sources - New energy sources, such as wind and solar, are configured based on their annual utilization hours. For example, if the average annual utilization is 2500 hours, the installed capacity should be double that of the peak-shaving coal power [3]. Group 4: Current Issues - The uneven output of new energy sources and the inadequacy of the current pricing mechanism make it challenging for new energy base projects to be profitable. To ensure the design return of new energy projects, it is necessary to reduce the curtailment of wind and solar energy, which in turn affects the utilization hours of peak-shaving coal power and the transmission volume of UHV lines [4]. - If the profitability of peak-shaving coal power and UHV lines is to be maintained, a significant increase in wind and solar capacity is required. This would lead to higher curtailment rates for wind and solar projects, and under the current pricing mechanism, electricity prices are likely to decline, making it difficult for new energy projects to be profitable [4]. Group 5: Energy Storage Consideration - While energy storage could theoretically smooth out the output of wind and solar energy, the question remains: who will bear the costs? [5]