1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Industrial silicon: Oscillation; Polysilicon: Oscillation [4] 2. Core Views of the Report - The current production cut scale of industrial silicon is insufficient to reverse the inventory accumulation pattern, and the follow - up depends on actual production cuts. The polysilicon capacity integration and acquisition platform is officially launched, and the spot price is expected to be hard to fall [3][16][17]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Industry Chain Prices - The Si2601 contract of industrial silicon decreased by 370 yuan/ton to 8435 yuan/ton week - on - week. The SMM spot East China oxygen - fed 553 decreased by 250 yuan/ton to 9200 yuan/ton, and Xinjiang 99 decreased by 150 yuan/ton to 8750 yuan/ton. The PS2601 contract of polysilicon increased by 3260 yuan/ton to 58770 yuan/ton. The average transaction price of polysilicon N - type re - feeding material remained flat at 53200 yuan/ton [9]. 3.2 Industrial Silicon Partial Start of Production Cuts, Polysilicon Capacity Integration and Acquisition Platform Launched - **Industrial silicon**: This week, the main contract of industrial silicon futures dropped significantly. Factories in Xinjiang, Yunnan, and Gansu had changes in the number of furnaces. The SMM industrial silicon social inventory increased by 0.3 tons week - on - week, and the sample factory inventory increased by 0.45 tons. After updating the balance sheet, it is estimated that industrial silicon will be in tight balance in December, but there may be inventory accumulation in the first quarter of next year. The current factory inventory pressure is not large, and the basis has only strengthened by 50 - 100 yuan/ton. The current futures price has reached the cash cost line of 50% of the monthly output [11]. - **Organic silicon**: This week, the organic silicon price remained stable. Some device operations changed, the overall enterprise operating rate was 69.84%, the weekly output was 4.62 tons, a decrease of 4.74% week - on - week, and the inventory was 4.44 tons, a decrease of 2.63% week - on - week. The price is expected to oscillate at a high level [12]. - **Polysilicon**: This week, the main contract of polysilicon futures rose significantly. The price of N - type dense re - feeding material of leading manufacturers remained above 51 - 53 yuan/kg, and the granular material remained at 50 - 51 yuan/kg. Considering the production cuts of leading enterprises, the planned production in December is expected to be 11.2 tons. The inventory continues to accumulate. The "polysilicon capacity integration and acquisition platform" is officially launched, and the spot price is expected to be hard to fall [13]. - **Silicon wafers**: This week, the silicon wafer price stopped falling. The mainstream transaction prices of M10/G12R/G12 silicon wafers were 1.18/1.20 - 1.23/1.50 yuan/piece. The planned production in December is 45GW. After the production cuts, the inventory accumulation speed is expected to slow down. The price is expected to stop falling and stabilize [14]. - **Battery cells**: This week, the battery cell price continued to decline. The mainstream transaction prices of M10/G12 battery cells dropped to 0.28 yuan/watt, and the G12R model remained at 0.275 yuan/watt. The planned production in December is 47.8GW. The cost pressure is rising, and the price is expected to stabilize and rise [14]. - **Components**: This week, the component price remained basically stable. The mainstream delivery price of centralized components was 0.64 - 0.70 yuan/watt, and that of distributed projects was 0.66 - 0.70 yuan/watt. The planned production in December will drop significantly to 37GW. The price is expected to remain stable [15]. 3.3 Investment Suggestions - **Industrial silicon**: The current production cut scale is insufficient to reverse the inventory accumulation pattern. The new warehouse receipts are difficult to digest. The current futures valuation is low, and the strategy is to focus on short - selling opportunities on rallies [16]. - **Polysilicon**: The polysilicon capacity integration and acquisition platform is officially launched, and the spot price is expected to be hard to fall. The strategy is to focus on long - buying opportunities on dips after the futures price is at a discount to the spot price, and observe the absolute price of the 01 contract for arbitrage [17]. 3.4 Hot News Compilation - The polysilicon capacity integration and acquisition platform is officially launched, aiming to solve the "involution" - style vicious competition in the photovoltaic industry. The platform will operate in a dual - track mode of "debt - assumption acquisition + flexible use of production capacity" [18]. - The winning bid candidates for the 2.5GW photovoltaic component centralized procurement of China Three Gorges Corporation were announced, with the bid price ranging from 0.75 to 0.763 yuan/W and an average price of 0.756 yuan/W [19]. 3.5 Industrial Chain High - Frequency Data Tracking - The report provides high - frequency data tracking charts for industrial silicon, organic silicon, polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and components, including price, output, inventory, and profit data [20][30][34][40][48][55].

2023年10月召开的中央金融工作会议明确要求，深刻把握金融工作的政治性、人民性。在此背景 下，为做好科技金融、绿色金融、普惠金融、养老金融、数字金融工作，2025年2月中国证监会印发 《关于资本市场做好金融"五篇大文章"的实施意见》（以下简称"五篇大文章"），进一步强调要深刻把 握资本市场工作的政治性、人民性，坚守服务实体经济的天职，树牢金融为民的理念，为经济社会发展 提供更高质量、更有效率的金融服务。 并购重组作为资本市场优化资源配置的重要载体，既是落实国家战略、培育新质生产力的关键抓 手，也是维护投资者权益、增进民生福祉的重要途径。"五篇大文章"明确将并购重组作为重要举措，其 中专门提出以并购重组支持科技金融发展。深入践行资本市场人民性，破解并购重组市场发展难题，对 于推动经济社会高质量发展、稳步推进共同富裕具有重要意义。 服务大局与保护投资者权益并重 在增进民生福祉上，并购重组成果惠及大众。并购重组市场的健康发展通过多元路径惠及广大人民 群众。在财富增长方面，为投资者提供了优质财富管理选择，上市公司通过并购注入优质资产后，业务 结构优化、盈利能力提升，进而完善分红机制，为投资者带来持续稳定回报。比如家 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 来源：SMM 硅世界 部分内容有改动，如有疑问请文末咨询编辑。 据SMM数据显示，临近年末，多家多晶硅头部企业开启减产或迟滞爬产节奏，造成11-12月多晶硅产量 远不及预期。调研显示11月国内多晶硅最终产量为11.46万吨，环比10月下降14.48%；12月预计多晶硅 排产11.35万吨，多晶硅排产将继续下滑。而在此前，市场对11月多晶硅产量预期普遍在12万吨左右。 据了解，造成年底多晶硅产量不及预期主要原因便是部分头部企业的减产，其中内蒙便涉及两家企业约 30万吨的产能不及预期，其中一家爬产延后，一家为主动降低负荷。SMM了解其主要原因为行业自律 行为。 除此之外，还有部分产能爬产缓慢（如宁夏）以及个别小厂受行情及库存压力减产行为。 在如此减产大背景下多晶硅供需关系是否得到逆转？SMM了解并非如此，据数据统计临近年末受下游 需求影响，硅片企业也开启了大幅减产行为，其中11月硅片最终产量为54.37GW（环比下降9.38%）； 12月硅片预期排产为45.7GW（环比下降为15.95%）。对比平衡来看多晶硅仍有累库压力。 对于后续多晶硅价格走势， ...

Group 1: IPO and Market Activity - Moer Technology plans to publicly issue 70 million shares, with the initial inquiry date set for November 19 and subscription date for November 24 [2] - Muxi Co. has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for its IPO registration on November 12 [2] - JD.com's third-quarter revenue reached 299.1 billion yuan, marking a 14.9% year-on-year increase, with service revenue growing by 30.8% [3] Group 2: Corporate Transactions and Strategies - Lideman intends to acquire 70% equity of Xiansheng Xiangrui for 1.733 billion yuan, which will grant it controlling interest [3] - Several silicon wafer companies have united to raise prices, with 183N and 210R silicon wafers adjusted to 1.3 yuan per piece [3] - Tencent's third-quarter revenue increased to 192.87 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year growth, driven by AI, overseas expansion, and sustainable strategies [3] Group 3: Industry Trends and Insights - The lithium hexafluorophosphate market is experiencing price fluctuations due to supply-demand mismatches, with some manufacturers halting external quotes [4] - Foreign capital is increasingly researching A-share companies, indicating a growing interest in Chinese assets [4] - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to strengthen, with institutions predicting a price increase driven by new demands from AI, electricity, and renewable energy [4] Group 4: Economic Indicators and Policies - The social financing scale stock increased by 8.5% year-on-year as of the end of October, with abundant funding supply [9] - The consumer price index (CPI) turned from decline to increase in October, rising by 0.2% year-on-year [6] - The government aims to establish a multi-level renewable energy consumption and regulation system by 2030 to support high-quality energy integration [10]

Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - For industrial silicon, the spot price is stable, production in the southwest region is decreasing, and the supply - demand pattern may improve. The industrial silicon futures market is mainly affected by overall commodity sentiment and policy - related news. If there are policies promoting capacity exit, the futures price may rise as the current valuation is low [3]. - For polysilicon, the supply - demand fundamentals have slightly improved, but both supply and demand are weakening. The decline in downstream products due to weak consumption has led to a drop in the polysilicon futures market. The market is affected by anti - involution policies and weak reality, with large price fluctuations, and is expected to be mainly volatile [9]. Market Analysis Industrial Silicon - **Futures Market**: On November 11, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price fluctuated. The main contract 2601 opened at 9,265 yuan/ton and closed at 9,180 yuan/ton, a change of - 50 yuan/ton (- 0.54%) from the previous settlement. The open interest of the 2511 main contract was 270,959 lots, and the total number of warehouse receipts was 46,079 lots, a change of - 176 lots from the previous day [1]. - **Supply Side**: The spot price of industrial silicon remained stable. The price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 9,400 - 9,600 yuan/ton, 421 silicon was 9,700 - 9,800 yuan/ton, Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8,800 - 8,900 yuan/ton, and 99 silicon was 8,800 - 8,900 yuan/ton. The silicon prices in various regions were flat, and the price of 97 silicon was stable. The domestic silicon - coal market showed a pattern of supply contraction, with a regional differentiation of "three increases, one decrease, and two stabilizations" since mid - October [1]. - **Consumption Side**: The quoted price of organic silicon DMC was 11,000 - 11,300 yuan/ton. As the monomer industry conference approached, most monomer factories had officially closed their offers and would resume quoting after the conference [2]. Polysilicon - **Futures Market**: On November 11, 2025, the main contract 2601 of polysilicon futures declined, opening at 53,600 yuan/ton and closing at 51,930 yuan/ton, a - 2.50% change from the previous trading day. The open interest of the main contract reached 138,468 lots (125,974 lots the previous day), and the trading volume was 324,598 lots [5]. - **Spot Market**: The spot price of polysilicon weakened slightly. The price of N - type material was 49.40 - 55.00 yuan/kg, and n - type granular silicon was 50.00 - 51.00 yuan/kg. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers and silicon wafers decreased. The latest polysilicon inventory was 25.90 (a - 0.77% change), silicon wafer inventory was 17.52GW (a - 7.45% change), the weekly polysilicon production was 27,000.00 tons (a - 4.30% change), and the silicon wafer production was 13.45GW (a - 5.55% change) [5]. Silicon Wafers - The prices of domestic N - type silicon wafers decreased. Two leading silicon wafer companies took the lead in reducing production, driving other companies to implement production cuts in November. The planned production in November is expected to decrease by 3 - 4GW compared to the previous month. The supply pattern of the silicon wafer market has deteriorated due to excessive contract manufacturing. In November, battery manufacturers tightened demand and limited procurement prices, leading to a sharp reduction in procurement orders and panic selling by second - and third - tier silicon wafer companies with tight cash flows. This caused the silicon material futures price to drop during trading on the 11th, but the spot price of silicon material remained unchanged as of the time of publication [7]. Battery Cells and Components - The prices of battery cells and components were generally stable. For example, the price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.27 yuan/W, PERC210 battery cells were about 0.28 yuan/W, etc. The mainstream transaction prices of components also remained unchanged [8]. Strategies Industrial Silicon - **Unilateral**: Short - term range trading, and consider buying on dips for contracts during the dry season [4]. - **Other Strategies**: No cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, or options strategies are proposed [4]. Polysilicon - **Unilateral**: Short - term range trading, with the price expected to fluctuate between 48,000 - 55,000 yuan/ton [9]. - **Other Strategies**: No cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, or options strategies are proposed [10].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the investment value of significant events, industry chain companies, and key policy interpretations [1] - The company has launched a thorium-based molten salt nuclear power project, with multiple products applicable in green hydrogen preparation, storage, and transportation [1] - The company supports advanced process NAND/DRAM/logic chips with 12-inch silicon wafers, which have been validated by mainstream customers [1]

Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced a total allocation of 500 billion yuan to enhance local government financial capacity and expand effective investment, with 200 billion yuan specifically designated for special bonds to support investment projects in certain provinces [3] - As of now, the 500 billion yuan has been fully deployed, supporting over 2,300 projects with a total investment of approximately 7 trillion yuan, focusing on sectors such as digital economy, artificial intelligence, and urban infrastructure [3][4] - The issuance of special bonds is expected to accelerate infrastructure investment growth to 8% to 9% in the second half of the year, as indicated by experts [4] Group 1 - The NDRC, in collaboration with various financial institutions, is expediting the deployment of new policy financial tools to support significant investment projects [3] - The first three quarters of the year showed resilience in the economy, with industrial profits increasing by 3.2% year-on-year, and prices of key products like polysilicon and lithium carbonate rising significantly [4] - The issuance of special bonds has shown a clear upward trend, with 9,602 million yuan issued in Q1, 12,004 million yuan in Q2, and 15,006 million yuan in Q3, indicating a growing commitment to infrastructure funding [4] Group 2 - The NDRC plans to work with relevant departments to ensure that local governments and central enterprises expedite project commencement to generate more tangible work volume and promote high-quality development [3] - The government aims to leverage special bonds and long-term treasury bonds to enhance fiscal and financial coordination, encouraging private investment and supporting public services [4]

Core Points - The first batch of new registered stocks is entering the Sci-Tech Innovation Growth Layer, including companies like He Yuan Bio, Xi'an Yicai, and Bibet, which are currently issuing and preparing for listing [1][2] - The issuance prices for these companies are 29.06 CNY/share, 8.62 CNY/share, and 17.78 CNY/share, raising approximately 25.99 billion CNY, 46.36 billion CNY, and 16 billion CNY respectively [1][2] - As of now, 32 unprofitable listed companies have entered the growth layer, with a total loss reduction of 71.23 billion CNY in the first half of 2025 [1][6] Company Summaries - He Yuan Bio, which applied for listing under the fifth set of standards, has projected revenues of 13.40 million CNY in 2022, 24.26 million CNY in 2023, and 25.22 million CNY in 2024, with net losses of 144 million CNY, 187 million CNY, and 151 million CNY respectively [2][3] - Bibet, also a biopharmaceutical company, has not yet achieved drug approval or sales revenue, with projected net losses of 188 million CNY, 173 million CNY, and 55.99 million CNY from 2022 to 2025 [3] - Xi'an Yicai, a silicon wafer company, has reported revenues of 1.05 billion CNY, 1.47 billion CNY, and 2.12 billion CNY from 2022 to 2025, with net losses of 412 million CNY, 578 million CNY, and 738 million CNY respectively [3] Industry Insights - The growth layer companies are primarily distributed across new-generation information technology (15 companies), biomedicine (14 companies), new energy (2 companies), and high-end equipment manufacturing (1 company) [4] - The revenue growth rate for growth layer companies has averaged 27.87% annually since 2019, outperforming the overall sector by nearly 4 percentage points [6][7] - In 2024, the total R&D investment of 32 growth layer companies reached 30.6 billion CNY, with a median R&D investment to revenue ratio of 65.40%, leading the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [7]

Group 1: ETF Market Trends - The net inflow of stock ETFs has exceeded 100 billion yuan for two consecutive days, with total inflows of 193.93 billion yuan and 122.69 billion yuan on September 26 and September 29 respectively [1] - Broad-based ETFs dominated the top ten net inflows, with nine out of ten being broad-based ETFs, while the only thematic ETF was from the battery sector [1] - Despite a significant rise in the brokerage sector, many investors chose to take profits, leading to net outflows in several brokerage ETFs [1] Group 2: Financial Market Indicators - The overnight Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (Hibor) has surged above 5% for the first time this year, reaching 5.018%, marking a cumulative increase of nearly 500 basis points over the past three months [1] Group 3: Semiconductor and Storage Market - In September, the NAND Flash market price index increased by 4.7%, while the DRAM market price index rose by 2.6% [2] - The global storage market is projected to reach a record high of 193.2 billion USD by the second half of 2025, driven by strong demand from AI-related applications and limited supply growth [2] Group 4: Aviation and Transportation - The expected passenger transport volume during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival is projected to reach 19.2 million, potentially setting a historical record for the same period [3] - The demonstration scale of fuel cell vehicles in China has surpassed 20,000 units, indicating initial commercialization in various application scenarios [3] Group 5: Medical Technology - The world's first "imaging" MRI, developed by United Imaging Healthcare, has received approval for market launch, marking a significant advancement in medical imaging technology [4] Group 6: Corporate Developments - Asahi Group has experienced a cyberattack, leading to disruptions in logistics and customer service in Japan, while European operations remain unaffected [6] - Deli Group has publicly apologized for the dismissal of an employee due to a disability, committing to corrective measures and anti-discrimination training [6] Group 7: Market Performance - The A-share market showed a mixed performance in September, with the ChiNext Index rising over 12%, marking a three-year high, while the overall market saw significant activity in sectors like chips, robotics, and energy storage [12]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the real investment opportunities will emerge during the annual report season, despite the current market index reaching 3800 points, indicating a focus on performance-driven investments by institutions [1] Group 1: Investment Directions - Institutions are expected to focus on three main areas for investment post-holiday: resource sectors, overseas demand, and industries benefiting from reduced competition [1] Group 2: Resource Sector - The resource sector, particularly non-ferrous metals and precious metals, is highlighted as a stable investment choice due to price increases driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1] Group 3: Overseas Demand - The demand from overseas markets, particularly in sectors related to Tesla, Nvidia, and Apple supply chains, is seen as a reliable growth area, despite some trade friction [1] Group 4: Anti-Competition Dynamics - Industries such as photovoltaics, silicon wafers, and chemicals are expected to transition from widespread losses to significant profitability due to production cuts and reduced supply chain inventories, indicating a high potential for recovery [1]