Core Insights - The overall consumption market in China remained stable in September, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a slight increase of 0.1% month-on-month and a year-on-year decrease of 0.3% [2][5] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth and reaching the highest level in nearly 19 months [5][6] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month for two consecutive months, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, but the rate of decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [2][6] CPI Analysis - The CPI's month-on-month increase of 0.1% in September ended the previous month's stagnation, driven by a 0.7% rise in food prices, which contributed approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI increase [4][5] - Seasonal price increases were observed in fresh vegetables, eggs, fresh fruits, lamb, and beef, with price increases ranging from 0.9% to 6.1% [4] - Conversely, pork and aquatic product prices decreased by 0.7% and 1.8%, respectively, due to sufficient market supply [4] PPI Analysis - The PPI's year-on-year decline of 2.3% reflects a clearer upward trend, with various industries experiencing price increases or reduced declines, contributing to the PPI's stability [6][7] - Key industries such as coal processing, coal mining, and black metal smelting saw price increases of 3.8%, 2.5%, and 0.2%, respectively, for two consecutive months [6] - Input factors, particularly the decline in international oil prices, exerted downward pressure on domestic oil-related industries, but the overall impact on the PPI was limited [7] Future Outlook - Predictions indicate that the decline in pork prices will continue to weigh on the CPI in October, but increased travel during the National Day holiday is expected to boost service prices [3] - The annual CPI is projected to stabilize around 0%, while the PPI is anticipated to fluctuate at low levels, with a potential for positive growth by 2026 [3]

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Insights - In September, the national consumer price index (CPI) showed a year-on-year decline of 0.3%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.1% [1][2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose to 1.0%, marking the first increase in nearly 19 months, driven by improvements in related industry prices [1][3] - Major food prices experienced seasonal increases, particularly in eggs and fresh fruits, while service prices declined due to the end of summer and the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival [2][3] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights - The PPI decreased by 2.3% year-on-year in September, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, slightly better than market expectations [4][5] - The industrial producer purchase prices also saw a year-on-year decline of 3.1%, with a narrowing drop of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month [4][5] - Factors contributing to the stabilization of PPI include improvements in supply-demand structure and the impact of macroeconomic policies, leading to price increases in certain industries [6][7] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The "anti-involution" trend is seen as a factor supporting price improvements in related industries, with measures introduced to maintain fair market competition [7] - Despite the positive signs in PPI, there are concerns regarding insufficient domestic investment and consumer demand, which continue to exert pressure on prices in export-oriented sectors [7][8] - The necessity to boost consumer confidence and expand domestic demand remains urgent, highlighting the ongoing challenges in the economic landscape [8]

Core Insights - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) both showed a narrowing decline in September, indicating a gradual improvement in domestic demand and price stability [1][4] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth, reflecting effective domestic demand expansion policies [5][6] CPI Analysis - In September, the CPI decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with food prices dropping by 4.4%, which was the main factor for the decline [2] - The core CPI's year-on-year increase of 1% is the first time it has reached this level in 19 months, driven by rising prices in household appliances and mobile phones [6] PPI Analysis - The PPI remained flat month-on-month and decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to August [4] - Certain industries, such as coal processing and photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, saw a reduction in year-on-year price declines, indicating positive changes in market conditions [4] Seasonal Effects - Seasonal demand during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival contributed to a 0.7% month-on-month increase in food prices, with specific items like vegetables and fruits experiencing significant price rises [3] Future Outlook - Experts anticipate that ongoing policies promoting consumption and domestic demand will continue to support a moderate recovery in core CPI, despite some external pressures on domestic prices [6]

Core Insights - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year in September, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 1.0%, marking the first return to a 1% increase in nearly 19 months [1][2][4] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, but the rate of decline narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to August [5][6] CPI Analysis - The decline in CPI was primarily driven by a significant drop in food prices, which fell by 4.4% year-on-year, and energy prices, which decreased by 2.7%, contributing approximately 0.2 percentage points to the overall CPI decline [3] - Seasonal factors, such as the end of summer and the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival, led to a decrease in prices for air tickets, hotel accommodations, and tourism services by 13.8%, 7.4%, and 6.1% respectively [3] Core CPI Insights - The continuous rise in core CPI reflects the effectiveness of domestic demand expansion policies and an improving market supply-demand relationship [4][7] - The core CPI's increase for five consecutive months indicates a positive trend in consumer spending and economic circulation [4] PPI Insights - The PPI remained flat month-on-month for two consecutive months, with certain industries showing positive price changes due to effective macroeconomic policies and capacity management [6] - Specific industries, such as coal processing and battery manufacturing, experienced a narrowing of price declines, indicating a potential recovery in those sectors [6] Future Outlook - Experts suggest that further efforts are needed to expand domestic demand and regulate competition among enterprises to promote reasonable price recovery [1][7] - The government is expected to continue implementing measures to boost consumption and effective investment, which may positively impact both CPI and PPI in the coming months [7]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in September, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.3%, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.0%, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [1][2][3] - Food prices rose by 0.7% month-on-month, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI increase, with seasonal price increases observed in fresh vegetables, eggs, fresh fruits, lamb, and beef, ranging from 0.9% to 6.1% [2] - Year-on-year, food prices fell by 4.4%, primarily driven by significant declines in pork, fresh vegetables, eggs, and fresh fruits, which collectively impacted the CPI by approximately 0.78 percentage points [3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, but the rate of decline has narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [4][5] - The stabilization of prices in certain industries is attributed to improved supply-demand dynamics, with notable month-on-month price increases in coal processing (3.8%) and black metal smelting (0.2%) [4] - The ongoing development of a unified national market has led to a reduction in the year-on-year price decline in several industries, including coal processing and black metal smelting, with the downward impact on PPI decreasing by approximately 0.34 percentage points [5]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in September, reversing from the previous month’s flat performance, with food prices rising by 0.7% [2] - Year-on-year, the CPI decreased by 0.3%, but the decline was narrower by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, primarily due to the tail effect [3] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth and the first time in 19 months that it returned to a 1% increase [3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month for two consecutive months, with improvements in supply-demand structure stabilizing prices in certain industries [4] - Year-on-year, the PPI decreased by 2.3%, but the decline was reduced by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, influenced by macroeconomic policies and market competition [5] - Specific industries such as coal processing and black metal smelting showed reduced price declines, contributing positively to the PPI [5]

9月份，消费市场运行总体平稳，居民消费价格指数（CPI）环比上涨0.1%，同比下降0.3%，扣除食品 和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.0%，涨幅连续第5个月扩大。全国统一大市场建设纵深推进，市场竞 争秩序持续优化，工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比继续持平；同比下降2.3%，降幅比上月收窄0.6 个百分点。 一、CPI环比由平转涨，核心CPI同比涨幅回升至1% 二、PPI环比持平，同比降幅继续收窄 PPI环比连续两个月持平。本月PPI环比运行的主要特点：一是供需结构改善带动部分行业价格明显企 稳。煤炭加工价格环比上涨3.8%，煤炭开采和洗选业价格上涨2.5%，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业价格 上涨0.2%，均连续两个月上涨，光伏设备及元器件制造价格由上月下降0.2%转为上涨0.8%；非金属矿 物制品业、锂离子电池制造价格分别下降0.4%和0.2%，降幅比上月分别收窄0.6个和0.3个百分点。二是 输入性因素影响国内石油相关行业价格环比下降。国际油价下行带动国内石油相关行业价格环比下降。 其中石油开采价格下降2.7%，精炼石油产品制造价格下降1.5%，有机化学原料制造价格下降0.6%，化 学纤维制造业价格下降0 ...

PPI同比降幅继续收窄 智通财经APP获悉，10月15日，国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年9月份CPI和PPI数据， 2025年9月份核心CPI同比涨幅持续扩大，PPI同比降幅继续收窄。9月份，消费市场运行总体平稳，居民 消费价格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.1%，同比下降0.3%，扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.0%，涨 幅连续第5个月扩大。全国统一大市场建设纵深推进，市场竞争秩序持续优化，工业生产者出厂价格指 数(PPI)环比继续持平；同比下降2.3%，降幅比上月收窄0.6个百分点。 原文如下： 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读2025年9月份CPI和PPI数据 2025年9月份核心CPI同比涨幅持续扩大 二、PPI环比持平，同比降幅继续收窄 PPI环比连续两个月持平。本月PPI环比运行的主要特点：一是供需结构改善带动部分行业价格明显企 稳。煤炭加工价格环比上涨3.8%，煤炭开采和洗选业价格上涨2.5%，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业价格 上涨0.2%，均连续两个月上涨，光伏设备及元器件制造价格由上月下降0.2%转为上涨0.8%；非金属矿 物制品业、锂离子电池制造价格分别下降0.4%和0 ...

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In September 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, reversing from the previous month's stability, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.3% [3][4] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [3][5] - Food prices decreased by 4.4% year-on-year, significantly impacting the overall CPI decline, with pork prices dropping by 17.0% and fresh vegetables by 13.7% [5][4] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained stable month-on-month, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to 2.3%, a reduction of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [3][8] - Improvements in supply-demand structures led to price stabilization in several industries, including coal processing and black metal smelting, which saw price increases [6][8] - The decline in oil prices influenced domestic oil-related industry prices, contributing to the overall PPI trend [7][8]

Core Insights - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained stable month-on-month for two consecutive months, indicating a stabilization in prices across various industries driven by improved supply-demand dynamics [1][2] - Year-on-year, the PPI decreased by 2.3%, but the decline was less severe than the previous month, reflecting the positive impact of macroeconomic policies and structural adjustments in certain industries [2] Group 1: Month-on-Month PPI Analysis - The PPI showed notable month-on-month price increases in coal processing (up 3.8%), coal mining and washing (up 2.5%), and black metal smelting and rolling (up 0.2%), all of which have risen for two consecutive months [1] - Prices for photovoltaic equipment and components shifted from a decrease of 0.2% last month to an increase of 0.8% this month, indicating a recovery in this sector [1] - Conversely, prices in the petroleum-related industries declined due to falling international oil prices, with oil extraction prices down 2.7% and refined petroleum product manufacturing prices down 1.5% [1] Group 2: Year-on-Year PPI Trends - The year-on-year decline in PPI was influenced by a lower comparison base from the previous year, with several industries showing reduced price declines, including coal processing and black metal smelting [2] - The construction of a unified national market has led to improved price stability in various sectors, with significant reductions in price declines for coal processing (down 8.3%), black metal smelting (down 3.4%), and coal mining (down 3.0%) [2] - Upgrades in industrial structure and the release of consumer potential have resulted in price increases in specific sectors, such as aircraft manufacturing (up 1.4%) and electronic materials (up 1.2%) [2]