Core Viewpoint - The domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 125 yuan and 120 yuan per ton respectively, effective from November 10, 2025, due to fluctuations in international oil prices [1]. Price Adjustment Details - The price adjustment is based on the average prices from the first ten working days of November compared to the last ten working days of October [1]. - The new maximum retail prices for gasoline and diesel across various provinces and municipalities are provided in a detailed table [2][4]. Market Regulation - Major oil companies, including PetroChina, Sinopec, and CNOOC, are required to ensure stable supply and adhere to national pricing policies [1]. - Local authorities are tasked with increasing market supervision and strictly enforcing compliance with national pricing regulations [1].

Core Points - The Hubei Provincial Development and Reform Commission announced a price adjustment for refined oil products, with increases in the prices of 92 gasoline, 95 gasoline, and 0 diesel by 0.1 yuan, 0.11 yuan, and 0.1 yuan per liter respectively [1] - The new maximum retail prices for 92 and 95 gasoline are set at 6.95 yuan and 7.44 yuan per liter, while 0 diesel is adjusted to 6.57 yuan per liter [1] - This adjustment marks the seventh price increase in 2025, with a total of 22 price adjustment windows this year, resulting in a net decrease of 620 yuan and 595 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel compared to the end of last year [4] Price Adjustment Details - The price adjustment is based on recent international oil price fluctuations and the National Development and Reform Commission's pricing information [1] - The next price adjustment window will open on November 24, 2025, with expectations of a potential decrease in prices due to current market conditions [5] - The three major oil companies (PetroChina, Sinopec, and CNOOC) are required to ensure stable supply and compliance with national pricing policies [5] Market Analysis - Industry experts suggest that short-term oil prices are currently in a narrow fluctuation range, with signs of weakening, indicating potential downward pressure on prices [5] - The Hubei Provincial Development and Reform Commission has called for increased market supervision to enforce compliance with national pricing policies [5]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic prices of gasoline and diesel will increase by 125 yuan and 120 yuan per ton respectively, effective from November 10, 2025, due to fluctuations in international oil prices [2]. Price Adjustment Summary - The adjustment is based on the average prices of the first ten working days of November compared to the last ten working days of October [2]. - The three major oil companies, namely PetroChina, Sinopec, and CNOOC, along with other oil processing enterprises, are required to ensure stable supply and adhere to national pricing policies [2]. - Local authorities are tasked with enhancing market supervision and cracking down on violations of national pricing policies [2]. Regional Price Details - The maximum retail prices for gasoline and diesel in various provinces and municipalities are specified, with prices ranging from 8390 yuan to 8825 yuan for gasoline and 7510 yuan to 7850 yuan for diesel [3]. - The prices listed include consumption tax, value-added tax, urban construction tax, and education fee surcharge [3]. - The gasoline and diesel prices conform to the sixth phase of mandatory national standards [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - High - sulfur fuel oil: The spot market is weak. Although there is some recovery in supply from regions like Mexico and the Middle East, the expected early issuance of new crude oil quotas in 2026 may weaken the fuel - oil feedstock demand. The high - sulfur ship - fuel demand is stable, but the power - generation demand has completely subsided [4][22][25]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil: There are short - term supply shortages due to the unplanned shutdown of the Al - Zour refinery and the upcoming maintenance of the Dangote refinery. In the medium term, there is still supply pressure. The demand has no specific drivers, and the power - generation economy is inferior to that of natural gas [31][34][39]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Chapter 1: Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Strategies 3.1.1 Comprehensive Analysis - High - sulfur fuel oil: Tok has been buying large quantities of high - sulfur fuel oil at low prices, causing the spot premium to decline continuously. The export logistics of high - sulfur fuel oil in the near term remains relatively stable after the sanctions. The export of high - sulfur fuel oil from Mexico has recovered, and that from the Middle East has increased with the decline in power - generation demand. The expected early issuance of new crude oil quotas in 2026 may lead to a weakening of the fuel - oil feedstock demand [4]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil: The spot premium of low - sulfur fuel oil has rebounded slightly due to supply tightening. There is a short - term supply gap in low - sulfur fuel oil because of the unplanned shutdown and subsequent maintenance of the Al - Zour refinery's residue desulfurization unit. The Dangote refinery's maintenance may affect low - sulfur production, and the fourth - quarter quota for low - sulfur fuel oil has been tightened. The ship - fuel demand is stable without specific drivers [4]. 3.1.2 Strategies - Unilateral: The market is expected to fluctuate with a downward bias, and short - term observation is recommended. - Arbitrage: Take profit on the FU1 - 5 reverse spread. The space for widening the LU01 - FU01 spread is limited. - Options: Observe [5]. 3.2 Chapter 2: Core Logic Analysis 3.2.1 High - Sulfur Fuel Oil - Supply from Russia: Sanctions on Russia continue, and its large - scale export ports and major refineries have been attacked by drones. In October, the export of high - sulfur fuel oil decreased significantly, but the export from the Black Sea port of Tuapse is expected to increase in November [8][9]. - Supply from Mexico: The refining capacity of the Olmeca refinery has changed frequently, and new secondary units of various refineries have been put into operation. The export of high - sulfur fuel oil in October recovered to make up for the supply gap in September [13][14]. - Supply from the Middle East: The export of high - sulfur fuel oil increased after the power - generation demand subsided. The United States continues to impose sanctions on Iran [19][21]. - Demand: The expected early issuance of crude oil quotas may weaken the high - sulfur feedstock demand. The high - sulfur ship - fuel demand is supported stably, and the marginal increase comes from the stable growth in the number of ships equipped with desulfurization towers. The high - sulfur power - generation demand has completely subsided [22][25][28]. 3.2.2 Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - Supply: The unplanned shutdown of the Al - Zour refinery in the Middle East has led to a short - term supply gap. The Dangote refinery in Nigeria is undergoing unit rotation maintenance, which may affect low - sulfur production. The trade ban between South Sudan and the UAE has changed the low - sulfur logistics pattern [31][34][37]. - Demand: There is no specific driver for demand. The ship - fuel demand is stable, and the power - generation economy is inferior to that of natural gas [39]. - China's low - sulfur market: The quota for bonded low - sulfur exports in the fourth quarter has been tightened. The production of domestic refineries has decreased slightly, and some refineries may be affected by sanctions [42][44]. 3.3 Chapter 3: Weekly Data Tracking - Fuel oil spot: Data on the prices of Brent crude oil, high - sulfur fuel oil, and low - sulfur fuel oil, as well as their spreads with Brent crude oil, are presented [47][49][51]. - High - sulfur fuel oil spreads: Data on cross - regional and cross - period spreads of high - sulfur fuel oil are provided [54]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil spreads: Data on cross - regional and cross - variety spreads of low - sulfur fuel oil are provided [61]. - Natural gas - fuel oil ratio: The equal - calorific - value prices of various fuels and their changes are presented [64]. - Cross - regional freight: Data on cross - regional freight for fuel oil transportation are provided [67]. - Singapore bunker spreads: Data on bunker spreads in Singapore are provided [70]. - Fuel oil inventory structure: Data on fuel oil inventories in Singapore, ARA, Fujairah, Japan, the US, and other regions are presented [73]. - Northwest European inventory structure: Data on gasoline, diesel, and refined - oil inventories in the ARA region are provided [81]. - US Gulf inventory structure: Data on gasoline, diesel, crude - oil, and Cushing crude - oil inventories in the US Gulf region are provided [84]. - Terminal sales structure: In September, the total bunker volume in Singapore decreased slightly. The high - sulfur bunker volume increased year - on - year, while the low - sulfur bunker volume decreased slightly [87][88].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment view on asphalt is weak and volatile [3]. Core Viewpoint - Crude oil prices have dropped from short - term highs, and asphalt has continued to decline due to poor fundamentals. The supply and demand of asphalt in China have both declined this week. The overall inventory is in a destocking pattern, and the cost is influenced by the fluctuation of crude oil prices. The overall trend of asphalt continues to follow the fluctuation of crude oil [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Main Views and Strategy Overview - **Supply**: In November, the production plan of domestic asphalt refineries decreased. The planned output of domestic asphalt refineries in November 2025 was 1.312 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 292,000 tons (18.2%) and a year - on - year decrease of 91,000 tons. This week, both supply and demand of domestic asphalt declined. The decline in supply was mainly due to the active reduction of production capacity by some refineries and the suspension of production in some others [3]. - **Demand**: Affected by the capital situation and cold air in the north, the markets in Shandong and North China were sluggish. The demand in the north gradually stopped, and the downstream demand in the south increased and decreased intermittently. The overall demand declined. This week's total shipment volume was 445,000 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 5.1%. It is expected that the industry's shipment volume will further decline next week [3]. - **Inventory**: This week, the factory and warehouse inventories in various regions of China showed a mixed trend of increase and decrease, and the overall inventory continued to be destocked. The destocking performance in East China was particularly prominent [3]. - **Cost**: At the beginning of this week, international oil prices rose slightly for three consecutive days due to multiple positive factors. In the later part of the week, oil prices fell for two consecutive days due to concerns about interest rate cuts, rising risk - aversion sentiment, and other factors. Overall, the oil price at the end of this week dropped compared with last week, and the average price this week also decreased compared with last week [3]. - **Investment View and Trading Strategy**: The investment view is weak and volatile. The trading strategy for unilateral trading is weak and volatile, and there is no arbitrage strategy [3]. 2. Price - The document provides the mainstream market prices of heavy - traffic asphalt in different regions (Shandong, East China, South China, North China) from 2025/01 to 2025/11 [5]. 3. Spread, Basis, and Delivery Profit - **Spread**: The document shows the asphalt crack spread (BU - (SC*6.35)) and the spread between asphalt and coker feedstock from 2021 to 2025 [15]. - **Basis**: It presents the basis of asphalt in main regions (South China, East China, Shandong) from 2024/01 to 2025/10 [16]. 4. Supply - **Production Plan Expectation**: It shows the monthly production plan and actual production of asphalt in China from 2025 - 01 to 2025 - 10, as well as the production in North China, South China, Shandong, and East China in different years [19][23][26]. - **Capacity Utilization**: It provides the capacity utilization rates of heavy - traffic asphalt in China, Shandong, East China, North China, and South China from 2021 to 2025 [31][33][35][37]. - **Maintenance Loss**: It shows the weekly and monthly maintenance loss of asphalt production in China from 2018 to 2025 [42]. 5. Cost and Profit - **Production Gross Margin**: It shows the production gross margin of asphalt in Shandong from 2021 to 2025 [45][46]. - **Diluted Asphalt**: It provides the price, premium/discount, port inventory in China and Shandong of diluted asphalt from 2022 to 2025 [49][50]. 6. Inventory - **Factory Inventory**: It shows the factory inventory and inventory rate in China, Shandong, East China, North China, South China, and Northeast China from 2022 to 2025 [54][57]. - **Social Inventory**: It presents the social inventory in China, Shandong, East China, North China, South China, and Northeast China from 2022 to 2025 [60]. 7. Demand - **Shipment Volume**: It shows the shipment volume of asphalt in China, Shandong, East China, North China, South China, and Northeast China from 2022 to 2025 [63]. - **Downstream开工率**: It provides the开工率 of road - modified asphalt, modified asphalt, building asphalt, and waterproofing membranes from 2018 to 2025 [66][67][69]. - **Modified Asphalt开工率**: It shows the开工率 of modified asphalt in China, Shandong, East China, North China, South China, and Northeast China from 2022 to 2025 [72].

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil in China is expected to increase after the adjustment scheduled for November 10 at 24:00, with predictions indicating an increase exceeding 50 yuan per ton based on recent international crude oil price fluctuations [1] Group 1: Price Adjustment Details - The upcoming adjustment will mark the twenty-second round of price changes since 2025, which has seen a pattern of "six increases, nine decreases, and six stasis" [1] - Following the adjustment, the prices of gasoline and diesel will be down by 745 yuan and 715 yuan per ton, respectively, compared to the end of last year [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights the price differentials of key refining projects in both domestic and international markets, indicating a slight increase in domestic price differentials and a more significant increase in international price differentials [1][2] - Brent crude oil's average weekly price shows a slight decline, reflecting market volatility influenced by geopolitical factors and economic data [2] Refining Sector - As of November 7, 2025, the domestic key refining project price differential is 2327.79 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 18.00 CNY/ton (+0.78%); the international key refining project price differential is 1361.85 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 56.54 CNY/ton (+4.33%) [1][2] - Brent crude oil's average weekly price is 64.23 USD/barrel, with a week-on-week change of -1.45% [1][2] - The refining sector is experiencing mixed signals due to U.S.-China trade negotiations and OPEC+ production decisions, leading to fluctuations in international oil prices [2] Chemical Sector - The chemical sector shows overall weak supply and demand, with cost declines not resulting in significant price differential improvements [3] - Polyolefin prices are fluctuating, while pure benzene and styrene prices are slightly declining, leading to narrowed price differentials [3] - Polyester filament yarn market shows slight upward movement due to stable supply, but overall purchasing willingness remains low due to weak downstream demand [3] Stock Performance of Major Refining Companies - As of November 7, 2025, stock price changes for six major private refining companies include: Rongsheng Petrochemical (+5.99%), Hengli Petrochemical (+8.02%), Dongfang Shenghong (+2.71%), Hengyi Petrochemical (-0.73%), Tongkun Co. (+6.82%), and Xin Fengming (+6.17%) [4] - Over the past month, stock price changes include: Rongsheng Petrochemical (+11.92%), Hengli Petrochemical (+13.13%), Dongfang Shenghong (-0.53%), Hengyi Petrochemical (+3.20%), Tongkun Co. (+1.20%), and Xin Fengming (+3.88%) [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights the tracking of price differentials for key refining projects, with domestic price differential at 2327.79 CNY/ton and international price differential at 1361.85 CNY/ton as of November 7, showing increases of 0.78% and 4.33% respectively [1][2] - Brent crude oil's weekly average price was reported at 64.23 USD/barrel, reflecting a decrease of 1.45% [1][2] - The report indicates that the refining sector experienced fluctuations due to geopolitical factors, with a slight increase in oil prices supported by OPEC+ decisions, but later faced downward pressure from strong dollar performance and rising U.S. crude oil inventories [2] Group 2 - In the chemical sector, overall supply and demand remained weak, with cost declines not leading to significant improvements in price differentials for various chemical products [3] - Specific products like pure benzene and styrene saw price declines and narrowing differentials due to weak demand, while MMA prices continued to weaken significantly [3] - Polyester and nylon sectors showed mixed performance, with polyester filament prices slightly increasing due to supply support, but overall purchasing sentiment remained low due to weak upstream market conditions [3] Group 3 - The stock performance of six major private refining companies showed varied results, with Rongsheng Petrochemical and Hengli Petrochemical experiencing notable increases of 5.99% and 8.02% respectively over the week [4] - Over the past month, Rongsheng Petrochemical and Hengli Petrochemical also led with increases of 11.92% and 13.13% respectively, while other companies showed mixed results [5]

Group 1 - The State Council will hold a press conference to discuss the acceleration of scenario cultivation and the large-scale application of new scenarios [2] - Domestic oil prices are expected to rise for the seventh time this year, with the new pricing window opening on November 10 [3] - The HPV vaccine will be included in the national immunization program starting November 10, 2025, for girls born after November 10, 2011 [4] Group 2 - A total of 13 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked today, with a combined market value of 12.143 billion yuan [5] - The companies with the largest number of unlocked shares include Youyan Silicon, Shapuaisi, and Southeast Electronics, with respective unlock volumes of 74 million shares, 4.99215 million shares, and 3.25328 million shares [5] - The companies with the highest market value of unlocked shares are Youyan Silicon, Southeast Electronics, and Shapuaisi, with respective values of 9.991 billion yuan, 677 million yuan, and 403 million yuan [5]

Core Insights - South Korea is relatively vulnerable in global trade disputes due to its high reliance on semi-finished goods trade, which significantly exceeds that of major G7 countries [1] Group 1: Trade Dependency - In 2022, South Korea's semi-finished goods export ratio reached 67.6%, markedly higher than the UK (57.1%), the US (53.6%), Japan (53.5%), and Germany (48.5%) [1] - The import ratio of semi-finished goods in South Korea was 50.5%, also surpassing the levels of other developed countries, which range from 41% to 48% [1] Group 2: Key Export Products - The three main export products categorized as semi-finished goods include memory chips (valued at $72 billion), processors and controllers ($35.9 billion), and petroleum products ($34.7 billion) [1]