Core Insights - The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 49.8% in September, indicating a slight improvement in economic activity, while the non-manufacturing business activity index remained stable at 50.0% [1][2][5] Manufacturing Sector - Manufacturing production activities accelerated, with the production index reaching 51.9%, the highest in nearly six months, and the new orders index increased to 49.7%, reflecting improved market demand [2] - Key industries such as food and beverage, automotive, and aerospace showed production and new orders indices above 54.0%, indicating robust demand, while sectors like wood processing and non-metallic mineral products fell below the critical point [2] - Small enterprises saw a PMI increase to 48.2%, while large enterprises maintained a PMI of 51.0%, indicating stable expansion [2] Key Industries - The equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods sectors reported PMIs of 51.9%, 51.6%, and 50.6%, respectively, all above the manufacturing average, suggesting active supply and demand [3] - The high-energy-consuming industries experienced a decline in PMI to 47.5% [3] Market Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index rose to 54.1%, indicating a positive outlook among manufacturing firms for market development [3] - Industries such as agricultural processing and automotive maintained high expectation indices above 57.0%, reflecting strong confidence in future growth [3] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index stood at 50.0%, indicating stability, with the service sector index at 50.1%, showing continued expansion [4] - The construction sector's business activity index slightly improved to 49.3%, with a business activity expectation index of 52.4%, suggesting increased confidence among construction firms [4] Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index rose to 50.6%, indicating continued acceleration in production and business activities across sectors [5]

Manufacturing PMI Insights - In September 2025, China's Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from August, exceeding market expectations[1] - The New Orders Index increased by 0.2 percentage points to 49.7%, while the Production Index surged by 1.1 percentage points to 51.9%, marking a six-month high[2] - Seasonal recovery, improved consumer demand due to policy incentives, and positive outcomes from the China-US trade talks contributed to the PMI increase[2] Price and Economic Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to narrow its year-on-year decline to approximately -2.3% in September, influenced by last year's lower base[3] - The Manufacturing PMI for high-tech sectors stood at 51.6%, while the Equipment Manufacturing PMI rose significantly by 1.4 percentage points to 51.9%[4][5] - The Consumer Goods Manufacturing PMI also increased by 1.4 percentage points to 50.6%, supported by government subsidies and stable export growth[5] Service and Construction PMI - The Services PMI decreased to 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from August, reflecting seasonal trends and the impact of the upcoming Mid-Autumn Festival[6] - The Construction PMI was at 49.3%, up 0.2 percentage points, but remained in contraction territory due to a cooling real estate market and weak infrastructure investment[7] Economic Outlook - The overall macroeconomic environment shows slight improvement, with a projected GDP growth rate of around 4.7% year-on-year for Q3, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from Q2[7] - Looking ahead, the Manufacturing PMI is expected to slightly decline to approximately 49.6% in October, influenced by high tariffs and ongoing adjustments in the real estate market[8]

Core Insights - The manufacturing PMI in China rose to 49.8% in September, indicating a slight recovery but still below the expansion threshold [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index decreased to 50.0%, reflecting a slight slowdown in non-manufacturing activities [1] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing production index increased to 51.9%, marking a continuous expansion for five months [4] - The purchasing volume index rose to 51.6%, indicating improved procurement activities [4] - New orders index reached 49.7%, showing a stabilization in market demand [4] - The export new orders index improved to 47.8%, suggesting a narrowing decline in export demand [4] - The manufacturing purchase price index was 53.2%, while the factory price index fell to 48.2%, indicating mixed price trends across sectors [5] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index remained stable at 50.0%, with the construction index at 49.3% and the services index at 50.1% [8] - The business activity expectation index for non-manufacturing remained above 55%, indicating stable optimism among enterprises [8] - The postal industry showed significant growth, with indices above 60%, reflecting active online shopping [8][9] Future Outlook - The manufacturing sector is expected to see continued growth in Q4, driven by macro policies and seasonal demand [5] - Non-manufacturing activities are anticipated to stabilize and recover, supported by year-end effects and holiday demand [10]

9月份，大型企业延续稳中有增态势，连续5个月运行在扩张区间。小型企业采购经理指数比上月上升1.6个百分点，景气水平有所改善。 市场预期持续改善。9月份生产经营活动预期指数为54.1%，比上月上升0.4个百分点。 中国物流与采购联合会会长 蔡进：供需两端都有比较良好的表现，国民经济运行保持稳中向好的趋势，特别是市场活力趋于回升，从经 济运行的质量来看，就业状况也在进一步向好。 9月份从业人员指数较上月上升0.6个百分点，升至3月份以来的高点。 新动能继续较快增长。9月份装备制造业采购经理指数为51.9%，较上月上升1.4个百分点。高技术制造业连续两个月稳定在51%以上。消 费品制造业方面，长假临近、开学季等因素拉动居民消费意愿释放，9月份消费品制造业采购经理指数为50.6%，较上月上升1.4个百分点，创 今年以来高点。 央视网消息：国家统计局、中国物流与采购联合会9月30日联合发布9月份中国采购经理指数。 9月份中国制造业采购经理指数为49.8%，较上月上升0.4个百分点，连续两个月上升，景气水平继续改善。企业生产扩张加快，生产指数 升至近6个月高点，制造业生产活动较为活跃。随着高温多雨极端天气影响基本消退，叠 ...

宏观政策有望加码推出和落实。 随着高温多雨极端天气影响消退，叠加扩内需促增长政策继续发力，制造业PMI出现回升，但仍位于荣 枯线之下。 国家统计局9月30日发布的数据显示，9月份中国制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.8%，较上月上升0.4 个百分点，连续2个月上升。非制造业商务活动指数为50.0%，比上月下降0.3个百分点。 中国物流与采购联合会特约分析师张立群认为，9月份制造业PMI指数继续小幅回升，表明稳增长多项 政策的综合效果进一步显现。生产指数明显回升，采购量指数、生产经营活动预期指数回升，显示企业 生产经营活动有恢复迹象。同时要注意价格类指数均有不同程度回落，表明市场供大于求的情况仍然比 较突出；订单类指数均处荣枯线之下，需求不足问题仍需高度重视。 张立群表示，综合看，当前政策推动的经济回升因素与市场引导的经济收缩力量仍处激烈角力之中。要 以力度足够的政府投资有效激活企业投资需求和居民消费需求，使超大规模内需市场尽快摆脱市场引导 的收缩态势，尽快转入持续活跃扩张轨道。 中国物流信息中心专家文韬表示，9月制造业生产活动加快扩张还有一个重要原因是部分行业企业在销 售旺季预期下增加产成品储备，9月产成品 ...

Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September is 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing activity [1] - The production index for September is 51.9%, rising by 1.1 percentage points, reaching a six-month high, reflecting active manufacturing production [1] - The new orders index is at 49.7%, up by 0.2 percentage points, suggesting a slight improvement in market demand [1] Group 2 - The PMI for small enterprises has increased to 48.2%, up by 1.6 percentage points, indicating an improvement in their economic conditions [1] - The PMI for large enterprises is 51.0%, showing a stable expansion, while the PMI for medium enterprises is 48.8%, indicating stability [1] - Key industries such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods have PMIs of 51.9%, 51.6%, and 50.6% respectively, all above the overall manufacturing level [1] Group 3 - The production expectations index for September is 54.1%, up by 0.4 percentage points, indicating a positive outlook for manufacturing enterprises [2] - Industries such as food processing, automotive, and aerospace have production expectation indices above 57.0%, reflecting strong confidence in industry development [2]

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September is 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1][2] - The production index rose to 51.9%, the highest in nearly six months, reflecting active manufacturing production [5] - The new orders index is at 49.7%, showing a slight improvement in market demand [5] - Small enterprises' PMI increased by 1.6 percentage points to 48.2%, indicating an improvement in their economic conditions [5] - Key industries such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods have PMIs of 51.9%, 51.6%, and 50.6% respectively, all above the manufacturing average [5] - The production and business activity expectation index for manufacturing is at 54.1%, indicating a positive outlook for market development [5] Group 2: Services Sector - The services business activity index for September is 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone [6] - Industries such as postal, telecommunications, and financial services have business activity indices above 60.0%, indicating rapid growth [6] - The business activity expectation index for the services sector is at 56.3%, reflecting stable optimism among service enterprises [7] Group 3: Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index is 50.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [8] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index are 51.9% and 50.0% respectively, contributing to the composite index's growth [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for September indicates a slight acceleration in overall economic output in China, with the manufacturing PMI showing improvement while the non-manufacturing index remains stable at the critical point of 50.0% [1] Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in economic conditions [2] - The production index reached 51.9%, up 1.1 percentage points, marking a six-month high, while the new orders index increased to 49.7%, suggesting improved market demand [2] - Key industries such as food and beverage, automotive, and aerospace showed production and new orders indices above 54.0%, indicating robust activity, while sectors like wood processing and non-metallic mineral products fell below the critical threshold [2][3] - Small enterprises saw a PMI increase to 48.2%, up 1.6 percentage points, indicating a slight improvement in their economic conditions [2] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index stood at 50.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points, indicating stability in overall business volume [4] - The service sector maintained an expansion with a business activity index of 50.1%, supported by strong performance in postal, telecommunications, and financial services [4] - The construction sector's business activity index slightly improved to 49.3%, reflecting a small recovery in construction activity [4] Group 3: Comprehensive PMI Insights - The comprehensive PMI output index increased to 50.6%, up 0.1 percentage points, indicating continued acceleration in production and business activities across sectors [5] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contributed to the comprehensive PMI, standing at 51.9% and 50.0% respectively [5]

Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) for September is 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1][4] - The production index reached 51.9%, up 1.1 percentage points, marking a six-month high, while the new orders index rose to 49.7%, suggesting improved market demand [4] - Small enterprises showed a PMI increase to 48.2%, up 1.6 percentage points, indicating a slight improvement in their economic conditions [4][5] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector Performance - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.0%, down 0.3 percentage points, indicating stability in the overall business volume of the non-manufacturing sector [6] - The service sector's business activity index is at 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone, with certain industries like postal and financial services showing strong growth [6] - The construction sector's business activity index slightly increased to 49.3%, reflecting a minor recovery in construction activity [6] Group 3: Comprehensive PMI Analysis - The comprehensive PMI output index is at 50.6%, up 0.1 percentage points, indicating a continued acceleration in overall production and business activities [7] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contribute to the comprehensive PMI, standing at 51.9% and 50.0% respectively [7]

9月份，非制造业商务活动指数为50.0%，比上月下降0.3个百分点，位于临界点。 9月30日，国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了中国采购经理指数。对此，国家 统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧进行了解读。 9月份，制造业采购经理指数为49.8%，比上月上升0.4个百分点；非制造业商务活动指数为50.0%，比上 月下降0.3个百分点；综合PMI产出指数为50.6%，比上月上升0.1个百分点，我国经济总体产出扩张略有 加快。 一、制造业采购经理指数继续回升 （三）三大重点行业较快扩张。装备制造业、高技术制造业和消费品行业PMI分别为51.9%、51.6%和 50.6%，均明显高于制造业总体，同时上述重点行业生产指数和新订单指数均位于扩张区间，企业供需 两端较为活跃；高耗能行业PMI为47.5%，比上月下降0.7个百分点。 （四）市场预期持续改善。生产经营活动预期指数为54.1%，比上月上升0.4个百分点，连续三个月回 升，表明制造业企业对近期市场发展预期向好。从行业看，农副食品加工、汽车、铁路船舶航空航天设 备等行业生产经营活动预期指数均位于57.0%以上较高景气区间，相关企业对行业发展信心较 ...