Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report - In the short - term, methanol prices will fluctuate within a range, and in the medium - to long - term, the methanol spot market may shift from a strong to a weakening oscillatory trend [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price - Methanol prices in many domestic regions increased slightly yesterday. For example, the price in Inner Mongolia rose from 2050.00 to 2250.00, and in Shandong from 2280.00 to 2310.00. International prices in most regions remained unchanged, such as in Southeast Asia at 329.50 and in the US at 92.00 [1]. - Among related products, dimethyl ether price increased from 3300.00 to 3330.00, methane chloride from 2000.00 to 2020.00, while MTBE decreased from 5030.00 to 5020.00 [1]. Supply - Domestic methanol production increased from 270915.00 to 271845.00, and domestic operating rate rose from 83.87% to 84.16%, while the international operating rate decreased from 70.77% to 68.85% [1]. Import - The methanol arrival volume remained unchanged at 43.04 [1]. Inventory - Both enterprise inventory and port inventory remained unchanged at 352340.00 and 790200.00 respectively [1]. Demand - The order backlog remained unchanged at 243119.00 [1]. Operating Rate of Downstream Products - The operating rates of most downstream products remained unchanged, such as MTO at 85.10%, dimethyl ether at 5.19%, and formaldehyde at 43.17% [1].

服务行业：海南自贸封关时间已定。 1）国家发展改革委副主任王昌林7月23日在国新办发布会上表示，关于海南 自贸港封关的具体时间，经党中央批准，定于2025年12月18日正式启动。王昌林表示，在12月18日这一天启动封 关运作，具有重要象征意义，也是向世界展示我国坚定不移扩大高水平开放的决心和信心。接下来还有几个月时 间，我们将抓紧做好后续准备工作，帮助经营主体充分了解封关政策、开展相关业务测试。 宏观日报 | 2025-07-24 关注AI下游人形机器人消费进展 中观事件总览 生产行业：关注人形机器人领域发展。 1）7月23日，农业农村部召开推动生猪产业高质量发展座谈会，部党组书 记、部长韩俊主持会议并讲话。会议强调，进一步强化市场引导和政策支持，健全生猪产能综合调控机制，促进 生猪市场稳定运行，加快推进生猪产业转型升级，推动生猪产业稳定健康发展.。2）华尔街投行摩根士丹利发布报 告预测，人形机器人今年下半年将在中国"被广泛采用"。大摩还预测称，未来中国在人形机器人领域将愈发占据 优势，与美国等其他国家的差距将逐步拉开。 数据来源：iFind，华泰期货研究院 行业总览 上游：1）黑色：黑色商品集体价格上行。2 ...

Group 1 - A total of 238 companies listed on the ChiNext board reported their latest shareholder numbers as of July 20, with 109 companies experiencing a decline in shareholder numbers compared to the previous period [1] - Among the companies with a significant decrease, Chuangyitong saw a 27.39% drop in shareholder numbers, while Huizhong Co. and Shanshui Bide experienced declines of 24.28% and 18.07% respectively [1][2] - The overall trend indicates that 98 companies reported an increase in shareholder numbers, while 9 companies had a decline exceeding 10% [1] Group 2 - The average increase for concentrated chip stocks since July 11 is 2.47%, with notable performers including Zhubo Design and Shen Shui Institute, which rose by 65.32% and 62.79% respectively [2] - The industries with the highest concentration of stocks include basic chemicals, machinery equipment, and pharmaceutical biology, with 16, 12, and 12 stocks respectively [2] - As of July 23, 34 concentrated chip stocks received increased leverage funding, with notable increases in financing balances for Gangtong Medical, Qiaoyuan Co., and Longlide, which grew by 63.37%, 47.11%, and 40.67% respectively [2] Group 3 - Among the concentrated chip stocks, *ST Lingda reported the highest year-on-year net profit growth of 37.56%, while five companies released half-year performance forecasts, all indicating profit increases [3] - Feirongda is expected to have a median net profit of 163 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 113.82%, followed by Huizhong Co., Taotao Automotive, and Qiaoyuan Co. with expected increases of 100.00%, 84.08%, and 47.82% respectively [3] Group 4 - The data shows a continuous decline in shareholder numbers for several companies, with Nikkai Chemical and Zhongqi Co. experiencing cumulative declines of 9.90% and 22.18% over four periods [2][4] - The companies with the most significant cumulative declines in shareholder numbers include Yanggu Huatai, Guanhao Biological, and Zhongqi Co., with declines of 24.89%, 23.77%, and 22.18% respectively [2][4] Group 5 - The report includes a detailed table of companies with their latest shareholder numbers, percentage changes, and industry classifications, highlighting the performance of various sectors [3][4][5]

摘要：【图】2025年5月福建省烧碱(折100%)产量数据分析 2025年1-5月烧碱(折100%)产量分析： 图表：福建省烧碱(折100%)产量分月（累计值）统计 据国家统计局数据，在2025年的前5个月，福建省规模以上工业企业烧碱(折100%)产量累计达到了40.5 万吨，与2024年同期的数据相比，增长了13.4%，增速较2024年同期低33.5个百分点，增速放缓，增速 较同期全国高9.4个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上企业烧碱(折100%)产量1869.7万吨的比重为2.2%。 2025年5月烧碱(折100%)产量分析： 单独看2025年5月份，福建省规模以上工业企业烧碱(折100%)产量达到了8.0万吨，与2024年同期的数据 相比，5月份的产量增长了0.3%，增速较2024年同期低33.9个百分点，增速放缓，增速较同期全国低2.0 个百分点，约占同期全国规模以上企业烧碱(折100%)产量379.1万吨的比重为2.1%。 注：从2011年起，我国规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务 收入2000万元。 产业调研网为您提供更多 石油化工行业最新动态 石油市场调研及发展 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 甲醇产业期现日报 2025年7月24日 张晓珍 Z0003135 免责声明 甲醇价格及价差 | 品相 | 7月23日 | 7月22日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | MA2601 收盘价 | 2497 | 2536 | -39 | -1.54% | | | MA2509 收盘价 | 2411 | 2457 | -46 | -1.87% | | | MA91价差 | -86 | -79 | -7 | 8.86% | | | 太仓基差 | -1 | -42 | 41 | -97.62% | | | 内蒙北线现货 | 2038 | 1990 | 48 | 2.39% | 元/吨 | | 河南洛阳现货 | 2198 | 2175 | 23 | 1.03% | | | 港口太仓现货 | 2410 | 2415 | -5 | -0.21% | | | 区域价差: 太仓-内蒙北线 | 373 | 425 | -53 | -12.35% | | | 区域价差: 太仓-洛阳 | 213 | 24 ...

gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn 综合晨报 2025年07月24日 【原油】 隔夜国际油价震荡，布伦特09合约收平。上周美国EIA原油库存超预期下降316.9万桶，成品油方面 汽油库存下降、馏分燃料油库存增加。美日贸易协议达成，美国对日本对等关税比例自初始版本的 25%下调至15%，但美国与欧盟、中国的贸易战风险仍有不确定性,相关利空风险短期大于俄乌、 伊核相应的地缘风险，油价或转为承压震荡为主；随着8月底、9月初伊核、俄乌谈判最终期限的临 近,8月地缘博弈或再次加剧,届时原油市场有望再度获得支撑。 【贵金属】 隔夜黄金回落，白银相对平稳。消息称欧美接近达成贸易协议，欧盟官员称基准关税为15%，美方尚 未予以确认。特朗普称将对大部分国家征收15%至50%的简单关税。美国关税政策截止日前市场不确 定性仍存，但超预期对抗的概率在下降，贵金属宽幅震荡为主，高位不宜追涨。 【铜】 隔夜铜价高位震荡，美盘铜价创高，美伦价差走扩至3000美元以上，但LME0-3月贴水52美元。美国 对亲密盟友关税在15%附近,对次围国家在19%附近。近期铜市场情绪偏谨慎,倾向铜价上方整数关 阻力强。 (铝) 隔夜 ...

Group 1 - The third China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo concluded successfully, with over 6000 cooperation agreements signed, emphasizing China's commitment to maintaining global supply chain stability and promoting an open world economy [1][2] - The expo serves as a platform for international cooperation in supply chains, addressing challenges posed by unilateralism and trade protectionism, and aims to foster stronger, greener, and healthier global development [2][3] - The event highlighted China's resilient economic performance and the emergence of new growth opportunities in the market, driven by new productivity and the dual advancement of emerging sectors and traditional industry upgrades [3][4] Group 2 - The expo attracted 1200 participating companies and institutions, with 35% being foreign exhibitors, and over 65% of the exhibitors being from Fortune 500 and leading industry firms, indicating a significant increase in international participation [5] - Notable international organizations and companies made their debut at the expo, showcasing a commitment to enhancing international cooperation in supply chains and exploring global development opportunities [5][6] - The establishment of a Sino-foreign exhibitor alliance during the expo aims to facilitate ongoing collaboration and resource sharing among participants, creating a continuous platform for exchange and cooperation [6][7]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Given the expected strength of coal and the weakness of crude oil, coal - chemical products will be stronger than oil - chemical products in the future. Chemical products may continue to fluctuate in the near term [2]. - The high -开工 reality dominated by high refinery operations at home and abroad and the weak supply - led expectations will balance each other, resulting in oil price fluctuations [9]. - The high valuation of asphalt futures will decline following the crude oil, and the asphalt monthly spread is expected to fall as warehouse receipts increase [10]. - The prices of most chemical products, including methanol, urea, ethylene glycol, etc., are expected to fluctuate in the short term [2][8][9] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Outlook - Crude oil: High - level pressure, pay attention to geopolitical disturbances, and the price will fluctuate [8][9]. - LPG: The support from the cost side is weakening, the fundamental situation remains loose, and the PG futures may show a weak - side fluctuation [3]. - Asphalt: The spot price of major suppliers has dropped, and the high - valued asphalt futures will decline following the crude oil [10]. - High - sulfur fuel oil: There is a large downward pressure on the futures price [3]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil: It will fluctuate weakly following the crude oil [3][12]. - Methanol: Boosted by the macro - environment and coal, it will fluctuate [3][26]. - Urea: The market sentiment has slowed down, and the futures may return to the fundamentals, with short - term pressure [3][27]. - Ethylene glycol: The price will be widely adjusted, and it will seek a direction in the fluctuation [3][20]. - PX: The cost raw materials are weak, but the commodity sentiment is warm [3][14]. - PTA: The commodity sentiment stimulates the futures price to fluctuate more violently [3][15]. - Short - fiber: There are limited industrial contradictions, and it will fluctuate following the cost [3][22]. - Bottle chips: It will fluctuate following the upstream cost [3][24]. - PP: The macro - boost confronts the fundamental pressure, and it will fluctuate [3][31]. - Propylene: It had a remarkable debut, and the PL may fluctuate in the short term [3][32]. - Plastic: Supported by the macro - environment, it will fluctuate [3][30]. - Pure benzene: The balance sheet has improved, but the port has resumed inventory accumulation, and it will trade sideways [3][15]. - Styrene: The trading atmosphere is light, and it will fluctuate within a range [3][19]. - PVC: There is an expectation of cost increase, and it is cautiously optimistic [3][34]. - Caustic soda: Strong expectations but weak reality, it may have a weak rebound [3][35] 3.2 Variety Data Monitoring 3.2.1 Energy and Chemical Daily Indicator Monitoring - **Inter - period spreads**: For example, Brent's M1 - M2 spread is 0.78 with a change of - 0.04; Dubai's M1 - M2 spread is 0.69 with a change of 0.03 [37]. - **Basis and warehouse receipts**: Such as asphalt's basis is 251 with a change of 15 and 82300 warehouse receipts; high - sulfur fuel oil's basis is 150 with a change of 39 and 113980 warehouse receipts [38]. - **Inter - variety spreads**: For instance, 1 - month PP - 3MA spread is - 378 with a change of 60; 1 - month TA - EG spread is 344 with a change of 13 [39] 3.2.2 Chemical Basis and Spread Monitoring The content mainly lists various chemical products such as methanol, urea, styrene, etc., but specific data summaries are not provided in a clear and unified manner in the given text

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Macro - finance**: Index futures are rated as a slow - bull market with an upward - trending shock; treasury bonds are recommended to focus on taking profits, with a strengthening shock [6]. - **Black building materials**: Rebar is recommended for temporary observation; iron ore is expected to be strong with shocks; coking coal and coke are recommended for cautious trial - buying [1][8][9]. - **Non - ferrous metals**: Copper is recommended for range trading or observation; aluminum is recommended to be mainly observed; nickel is recommended for observation or short - selling at high prices; tin is recommended for range trading; gold and silver are recommended for range trading [1][11][20]. - **Energy and chemicals**: PVC, caustic soda, styrene, and rubber are expected to be strong with shocks; urea and methanol are expected to move with shocks; polyolefins are expected to have wide - range shocks; soda ash is recommended for离场观望 [1][23][36]. - **Cotton - spinning industry chain**: Cotton and cotton yarn are expected to be strong with shocks; apples and jujubes are expected to move with shocks [1][38][39]. - **Agriculture and animal husbandry**: Pigs are recommended to be short - sold at high prices; eggs are recommended to be short - sold at high prices in the short - term and long - bought at low prices in the fourth quarter; corn is expected to have high - level shocks; soybean meal and oils are expected to be strong with shocks [1][41][48]. 2. Core Views of the Report The report provides investment ratings and market outlooks for various futures products in different industries. It analyzes market trends based on factors such as macro - economic policies, supply - demand relationships, and international trade situations. For example, in the macro - finance sector, index futures are influenced by trade news and show a slow - bull trend, while treasury bonds face challenges from capital diversion and risk - preference changes. In the black building materials sector, prices are affected by factors like production inspections, supply - demand balances, and policy expectations. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Macro - finance - **Index futures**: The slow - bull trend is gradually clear, and the index center moves up due to trade news boosting market risk preference [6]. - **Treasury bonds**: Although the odds space of long - term and ultra - long - term yields has opened, the bond market is under pressure from capital diversion and cautious institutional behavior. It is recommended to focus on taking profits [6]. Black building materials - **Rebar**: The price is expected to be strong with shocks. The supply - demand relationship is relatively balanced, and attention should be paid to policy signals and crude steel production restrictions [8]. - **Iron ore**: The price is expected to be strong with shocks. The supply is stable, the demand is strong, and the market is influenced by trade policies and policy expectations [9]. - **Coking coal and coke**: Coking coal shows a supply - demand boom, and the price is strongly supported in the short - term. Coke has obvious supply - demand gaming characteristics, and the second - round price increase may be affected by factors such as steel mill profits [9][10]. Non - ferrous metals - **Copper**: The price is expected to be in a high - level shock. It is affected by factors such as import tariffs, inventory changes, and economic recovery expectations [11]. - **Aluminum**: The short - term upward space of the price is limited. Attention should be paid to inventory accumulation. Alumina is recommended for observation, and electrolytic aluminum and cast aluminum alloy are recommended for observation [13][14]. - **Nickel**: The long - term supply is excessive, and the price is expected to move with shocks. It is recommended to short - sell at high prices [18]. - **Tin**: The supply gap is improving, and the price is expected to be supported. It is recommended for range trading [19][20]. - **Silver and gold**: The prices are expected to move with shocks. They are affected by factors such as economic data, geopolitical situations, and tariff policies [20][22]. Energy and chemicals - **PVC**: The supply - demand is still weak, but it is driven by policy expectations and is expected to be strong with shocks. Attention should be paid to the support at 5100 [24][25]. - **Caustic soda**: The supply is high, and the demand has rigid support but slow growth. The near - month contract is under pressure, and the 10 - contract can be considered for low - buying on dips [26][27]. - **Styrene**: The fundamentals have limited benefits, and it is expected to be strong with shocks. Attention should be paid to the support at 7300 [28]. - **Rubber**: It is expected to be strong with shocks. Attention should be paid to the pressure at 15000. The raw material is firm, and the inventory shows a slight destocking trend [30]. - **Urea**: The supply decreases slightly, the demand has certain support, and the price is expected to move with shocks in the range of 1680 - 1850 [31]. - **Methanol**: The supply and demand tend to be stable, and the price is expected to move with shocks [33]. - **Polyolefins**: The supply pressure is large, the demand is in the off - season, and the price is expected to have a weak shock. Attention should be paid to the intervals of 7200 - 7500 for L2509 and 6900 - 7200 for PP2509 [34][35]. - **Soda ash**: It is recommended for离场观望. The supply is high, the demand is under pressure, and the short - term is driven by macro factors [37]. Cotton - spinning industry chain - **Cotton and cotton yarn**: The price is expected to be strong with shocks. The global cotton supply and demand are adjusted, and the spot market is tight [38]. - **Apples**: The price is expected to maintain a high - level range shock due to low inventory [39]. - **Jujubes**: The spot price is expected to be stable in the short - term. Attention should be paid to the new - season situation in the production area [39]. Agriculture and animal husbandry - **Pigs**: The supply - demand pressure still exists, and the price is under pressure. It is recommended to short - sell at high prices after the rebound [41][42]. - **Eggs**: In the short - term, it is recommended to short - sell at high prices, and in the fourth quarter, it is recommended to long - buy at low prices. Attention should be paid to factors such as supply and demand changes and cold - storage egg出库 [44]. - **Corn**: The short - term supply - demand game is intense, and the price is expected to have a high - level shock. It is recommended to be cautious when going long unilaterally and pay attention to the 9 - 1 reverse spread opportunity [45][46]. - **Soybean meal**: In the short - term, it is recommended to go long at low prices for M2509. In the long - term, pay attention to the weather and go long at low prices for M2511 and M2601 [46][48]. - **Oils**: In the short - term, pay attention to the support levels of 8000, 8900, and 9400 for soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil 09 contracts, and continue the idea of buying on dips [48][53].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the price of live pigs (external three yuan) has decreased by 4.6% in mid-July compared to early July 2025 [1] - Among 50 monitored important production materials, 28 products saw price increases, while 20 experienced price declines, and 2 remained unchanged [1] - The price of live pigs is now at 14.4 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a decrease of 0.7 yuan [2] Group 2 - The price of rebar (Φ20mm, HRB400E) increased by 52.4 yuan, marking a rise of 1.7% [2] - The price of aluminum ingots (A00) decreased by 141.2 yuan, a decline of 0.7% [2] - The price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) increased by 38.7 yuan, reflecting a rise of 0.9% [2] - The price of urea (medium and small particles) increased by 2.1 yuan, a rise of 0.1% [3] - The price of natural rubber (standard rubber SCRWF) increased by 477.3 yuan, marking a significant rise of 34% [3]