转自：新华财经 新华财经北京1月29日电（王媛媛）市场早盘冲高回落，沪指和创业板指小幅收跌，科创50指数跌超 1%。截至午间收盘，沪指报4147.15点，跌0.10%；深证成指报14344.96点，涨0.01%；创业板指报3322 点，跌0.05%。沪深两市半日成交额2.02万亿元，较上个交易日放量1039亿元。 太空旅游：加快迭代形成亚轨道和轨道太空旅游飞行器产品，完成相关无人或有人飞行验证，建立完善 的太空旅游运营体系，实现亚轨道太空旅游航班化运营，逐步发展轨道太空旅游。 盘面热点 盘面上，贵金属概念反复活跃，西部黄金7天4板，中国黄金5连板，湖南黄金4连板。油气股延续强势， 通源石油涨超10%。AI应用概念表现活跃，浙文互联8天4板，因赛集团、粤传媒涨停。银行板块持续走 高，青岛银行涨停。房地产板块震荡反弹，大悦城、三湘印象、我爱我家涨停。下跌方面，半导体产业 链走势较弱，北京君正、神工股份跌超6%。 个股方面，全市场超2800只个股下跌。 机构观点 中信建投：预计由AI等带来的光纤需求将持续较快增长：一是考虑到全球光模块需求量在2026年仍将 大幅增长，则对应光纤需求也将随之增长（主要为Scale o ...

南方财经1月29日电，三大指数盘中集体翻绿，沪指窄幅震荡，创业板指冲高回落，科创50指数跌超 1%。截至收盘，沪指跌0.1%，深成指涨0.01%，创业板指跌0.05%。沪深两市半日成交额2.02万亿，较 上个交易日放量1039亿。盘面上热点快速轮动，全市场超2800只个股下跌。从板块来看，贵金属概念反 复活跃，西部黄金7天4板，中国黄金5连板，湖南黄金4连板。油气股延续强势，通源石油涨超10%。AI 应用概念表现活跃，浙文互联8天4板，因赛集团、粤传媒涨停。银行板块持续走高，青岛银行涨停。房 地产板块震荡反弹，大悦城、三湘印象、我爱我家涨停。下跌方面，半导体产业链走势较弱，北京君 正、神工股份跌超6%。 相关快讯 A股午评：科创50指数跌超1% AI应用端、资源股持续活跃 21世纪经济报道 21快讯 2026-01-29 11:33 南方财经1月29日电，三大指数盘中集体翻绿，沪指窄幅震荡，创业板指冲高回落，科创50指数跌超 1%。截至收盘，沪指跌0.1%，深成指涨0.01%，创业板指跌0.05%。沪深两市半日成交额2.02万亿，较 上个交易日放量1039亿。盘面上热点快速轮动，全市场超2800只个股下跌。从 ...

Market Overview - The three major indices turned negative during the session, with the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing narrow fluctuations, the ChiNext Index rising and then falling, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index dropping over 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.02 trillion yuan, an increase of 103.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 2,800 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad market downturn [1] Sector Performance - Precious metals sector showed repeated activity, with Western Gold achieving four consecutive daily limits, China Gold with five consecutive limits, and Hunan Gold with four consecutive limits [1] - Oil and gas stocks continued to perform strongly, with Tongyuan Petroleum rising over 10% [1] - AI application concepts were active, with Zhejiang Wenlian achieving four limits in eight days, and companies like Yinsai Group and Yue Media hitting the daily limit [1] - The banking sector saw sustained growth, with Qingdao Bank hitting the daily limit [1] - The real estate sector experienced a rebound, with stocks like Dayue City, Sanxiang Impression, and I Love My Home hitting the daily limit [1] - The semiconductor industry chain showed weak performance, with Beijing Junzheng and Shenkong shares dropping over 6% [1] Trading Metrics - The limit-up performance rate was 63.00%, with 47 stocks hitting the limit and 28 stocks touching the limit [4] - The limit-up performance from the previous day was 3.76%, with a high opening rate of 75% [4]

1月29日，油气板块早盘高开，油气ETF汇添富（159309）一度涨超5%创上市以来新高；该基金备受资 金青睐，近5日资金净流入超2亿，截至发稿盘中获净申购5300万份，估算资金净流入高达7500万元。 地缘政治风险持续发酵，国际油价升至四个月新高。WTI3月原油期货收于每桶63.21美元，创去年9月 底以来最高，涨幅为1.31%；布伦特3月原油期货收于每桶68.40美元，涨幅为1.23%。 地缘震荡，资源为王！以自身发展确定性应对外部不确定性，油气板块长期配置价值突出。油气ETF汇 添富（159309）聚焦油气产业链上下游，一键布局国家重要支柱产业！油气ETF汇添富（159309）囊括 资源、大宗商品等多条投资主线，是最纯的油气指数，前十大成分股全是油气板块，不含化工和公用事 业板块，高纯度导致高锐度高弹性！ 相关产品： 油气ETF汇添富（159309）联接A 023144 联接C 023145 华泰证券指出，地缘溢价已导致淡季油价筑底反弹，随着需求回升及全球性储备性累库，2026年二季度 至三季度油价有望见底上探，叠加美联储降息对需求拉动，亚非拉地区成品油需求或景气上行，上调 2026年布伦特均价。 原油 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report The marginal driving force of stock index futures is limited, and it remains in a volatile pattern. On January 28, the monthly contracts of the four major stock index futures showed mixed gains and losses. The total trading volume of stock index futures declined on the trading day, indicating a cooling of investors' trading enthusiasm. The total positions of IF and IH increased, while those of IC and IM decreased [1][2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1. Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - **Closing Prices and Price Changes**: On January 28, IF rose 0.08%, IH fell 0.03%, IC rose 0.66%, and IM rose 0.22%. The closing prices and price - change percentages of various contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM are detailed in the table [1]. - **Trading Volume and Position Changes**: The total trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM decreased, with decreases of 62 lots, 4488 lots, 40713 lots, and 68320 lots respectively. The total positions of IF and IH increased by 15622 lots and 3905 lots respectively, while those of IC and IM decreased by 904 lots and 15637 lots respectively [1][2]. - **Basis**: The basis data of IF, IH, IC, and IM are presented, showing the differences between futures prices and spot prices [1]. - **Top 20 Member Position Changes**: The changes in long and short positions of the top 20 members of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts are provided, including net changes in some contracts [5]. 3.2. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.3. Important Drivers - **Quantitative Fund News**: There are rumors that regulatory authorities plan to implement the 'T + 3' system for the program trading of major quantitative funds, but many billion - level quantitative private equity managers said they have not received relevant requirements [6]. - **Fed Policy Expectations**: As the expectation that BlackRock's chief investment officer Rick Rieder may replace Powell grows, some futures and options traders are betting on the Fed to turn dovish. Rieder said earlier this month that the Fed's benchmark interest rate should be lowered from the current 3.5% - 3.75% range to 3% [6]. - **Stock Market Performance**: The A - share market showed narrow fluctuations. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.27%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.09%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.57%. The turnover of A - shares reached 2.99 trillion yuan. The Hang Seng Index rose 2.58%, reaching a 4 - and - a - half - year high [6][7].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance of the precious metals and broader commodity sectors, particularly in light of recent price movements in gold and silver, which have reached historic highs, with COMEX gold surpassing 5300 and silver exceeding 110 [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - The overall A-share index experienced a slight increase of 0.11%, while the non-ferrous metals sector surged by 6%, accounting for 330 billion out of a total transaction volume of 3 trillion, indicating a significant rise compared to December [1][2]. - The cyclical sectors, including oil and gas, coal, construction materials, steel, and chemicals, all saw price increases, with a majority of the 1700 stocks that rose today belonging to these sectors [1][2]. - The CSI Dividend and Shanghai Composite indices have a high weight of non-ferrous metals, with the former rising by 1.56% and the latter recovering to 4151 points [2]. - A notable decline in the US dollar index to 95 contributed to a 2.58% increase in Hong Kong stocks [2]. - The bond market also saw significant gains, with long-term yields decreasing by approximately 1.5 basis points [2]. Investment Trends - Institutional investors have been increasing their positions in non-ferrous metals for at least six months, with various client groups holding positions in this sector [2]. - The current market sentiment remains strong, with a variety of investment themes emerging, including commercial aerospace, storage, semiconductor equipment, and space photovoltaics, despite regulatory interventions aimed at cooling the market [2]. - The focus on precious metals is expected to continue, with the recommendation to implement trailing stop-loss strategies in the current high-emotion environment [2]. Risk Considerations - There is a need to differentiate between inflation-related sectors, as some, like crude oil, may not share the same price increase logic as gold and silver, highlighting potential risks [3]. - The real estate sector saw a significant rise due to some developers no longer being required to report "three red lines" indicators, which may indicate a stabilization in real estate stocks and an improved economic outlook [3]. - The anticipated recovery in consumer spending is linked to reduced pressure on disposable income, with upcoming data on city housing price indices and CPI being crucial to monitor [3]. Fund Flow Analysis - Institutional fund flows indicate a continued accumulation of rights assets, with passive equity funds showing a slight net inflow, while active equity, fixed income+, and convertible bonds experienced inflows as well [3][4]. - Non-ferrous metals emerged as the top sector for fund accumulation, representing 20% of all funds [4]. - Other sectors receiving significant inflows include electronics, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and automotive [5]. - Fixed income+ saw a net subscription ratio of 7.06%, with major inflows into electronics, power equipment, pharmaceuticals, banks, and non-ferrous metals [5]. - The net subscription ratio for convertible bonds was 1.37%, indicating a recovery in investment levels after a brief decline [5]. Additional Insights - The net redemption ratio for short-term bonds was 0.63%, primarily driven by redemptions from wealth management subsidiaries [6]. - The net redemption ratio for currency investments was 2.83%, with significant net redemptions from bank proprietary trading [6]. - QDII saw a net subscription ratio of 0.17%, with wealth management and public funds buying in while brokerages sold [6].

我们不是资讯的搬运工 而是有态度的发现者 万和财富早班车 2026年1月29日 | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | 品种 | 收盘 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 4151.24 | | 0.27% | 上证当月连续 | 3065.6 | -0.03% | | 深证成指 14342.89 | | 0.09% | 沪深当月连续 | 4727.8 | 0.08% | | 创业板指 | 3323.56 | -0.57% | 恒生期货指数 | 35848.43 | 2.66% | 宏观消息汇总 1.国家药监局: 《采用脑机接口技术的医疗器械范式设计与应 用规范运动功能重建》等2项医疗器械行业标准立项。 2国家能源局:截至2025年底,全国累计太阳能发电装机容量 12亿千瓦，同比增长35.4%。 3.国务院国资委：大力推进战略性、专业化重组和高质量并购。 2.盈新发展(000620)：拟5.2亿元收购长兴半导体60%股权，切入 存储芯片领域。 3.中牧股份(600195)：预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的 净利润1.49亿元到1.92亿元 ...

1月29日，A股早盘窄幅震荡，截至9:40，沪指跌0.04%，深成指涨0.22%，创业板指上涨0.34%。 盘面上，黄金等有色金属概念股延续强势，白银有色斩获8连板，中国黄金5连板，四川黄金4连板；油 气等资源股延续活跃，石化油服2连板。下跌方面，军工、半导体、医药等方向跌幅居前。 展望后市，兴业证券认为，虽然行情节奏趋缓，但向上趋势仍在延续，并且结构上赚钱效应正在朝着更 广的范围扩散。 热门板块 1、黄金概念延续强势 油气等资源股延续活跃，石化油服2连板，通源石油、洲际油气、准油股份、中国海油、中曼石油、科 力股份跟涨。 点评：消息面上，中东地区紧张态势升级，成为本轮油价上涨的主力推手。据证券时报，有分析称，近 期地缘政治紧张与美国极端寒潮共同冲击全球能源与化工品供给，导致油价淡季反弹，并可能引发部分 化工品供应短缺，为价格提供支撑。 机构观点 1、兴业证券：虽然行情节奏趋缓，但向上趋势仍在延续 兴业证券认为，虽然行情节奏趋缓，但向上趋势仍在延续，并且结构上赚钱效应正在朝着更广的范围扩 散。配置方面，随着A股上市公司年报预告进入披露高峰，叠加北美科技巨头财报集中披露，业绩对于 结构的影响或将更加显著，继续聚 ...

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices have rebounded strongly, with Brent crude reaching a three-month high and WTI crude surpassing $62 per barrel, leading to increased activity in oil and gas stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Oil and gas stocks saw significant gains, with PetroChina hitting the daily limit and CNOOC rising over 7%, setting new historical highs [1] - The oil and gas ETF, Huatai Securities (159309), surged over 4%, also reaching a historical high, with net subscriptions exceeding 90 million yuan during the day, following a total of over 150 million yuan in net inflows over the previous ten days [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - Multiple favorable factors are supporting the oil and gas market, including geopolitical tensions in Iran, a winter storm in the U.S. reducing daily oil production by up to 2 million barrels, and OPEC+ production cuts [5] - Demand-side factors include the initiation of global reserve accumulation, a Federal Reserve interest rate cut cycle boosting refined oil demand, and rising demand in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [5] - The U.S. dollar index hitting a four-year low further supports the rise in oil prices, which are priced in dollars [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - According to Huatai Securities research, geopolitical premiums have led to a rebound in oil prices during the off-season, with expectations for prices to bottom out and rise in Q2-Q3 of 2026 due to recovering demand and global reserve accumulation [5] - The oil and gas sector is viewed as a long-term investment opportunity, with the current geopolitical risks and short-term supply shocks creating favorable conditions for investment [5]

Group 1 - The article highlights a significant surge in gold prices, with a rare "apocalyptic rise" pushing prices above $5,200 and $5,300, marking a single-day increase of over $100 [3] - UBS reports that since December 2025, at least 75% of gold price fluctuations are attributed to U.S. policy changes, with a model indicating that 68% of gold price movements since January 2025 are due to U.S. policy changes, increasing to 76% since December 2025 [5] - The article notes that the impact of policy factors may still be underestimated, with significant market structure changes linked to threats against the independence of the Federal Reserve [6] Group 2 - The dye industry is experiencing price increases, with core intermediates for disperse dyes rising by 50% this year due to environmental inspections and rising raw material costs [8] - Key companies in the dye sector include Zhejiang Longsheng, Guotu Co., Jihua Group, Yabong Co., and Annuoqi, all benefiting from price increases and improved market concentration [9] - Agricultural stocks are also noted, with corn and wheat prices rising, indicating strong expectations for international grain prices amid a backdrop of U.S. interest rate cuts and declining inventory ratios [8] Group 3 - The article discusses the performance of various commodities, with copper prices increasing by 15.4% over the past week and 113.8% over the past quarter, while the Baltic Dry Index has decreased by 11.5% over the past quarter [10] - The storage chip sector is highlighted, with companies like Micron and Seagate experiencing significant stock price increases, and price hikes of 15% to 80% announced for various storage products [13][21] - The article mentions that the first quarter is typically a favorable time for price increases, with expectations for further price signals as the spring construction season approaches [11]