关税局势缓和对零售（跨境电商）、家电轻工、纺服板块 的影响解读 20250513 摘要 • 小商品城受益于国际贸易形势缓和及一带一路国家出口机会，跨境支付和 AI 赋能工具助力其把握市场机遇，预计景气度提升和租金持续上调。 • 安克创新美国业务占比高，但品牌力强，可转嫁关税成本。一季度收入增 长 37%，利润增速 60%。储能业务在欧洲高速增长，多元化渠道提高抗 风险能力，预计今年利润增速仍超 20%，估值约 20 倍。 • 关税局势缓和对家电轻工行业整体利好，尤其美国业务占比较高且海外产 能较少的公司受益。推荐标的包括积成电子、海尔智家和新宝股份。 • 某消费电子公司股权解锁条件显示，未来几年利润复合增长率预计为 26%，目前估值较低，关税缓和后市场信心增强，值得关注。 • 海尔智家受益于国内白电市场及美国关税缓和，高端品牌卡萨帝表现突出， 在美国市场占比高，弹性较大，是值得关注的标的。 • 新宝股份作为小家电龙头，美国市场占比高且海外产能较小，关税缓和后 最受益，新总裁上任后费用端节省及业绩端增长前景良好，估值约为十倍 出头。 • 玉通科技主要收入来自消费电子产品包装，关税缓和后股价反弹明显，预 计今年业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in net profit for 2024, primarily due to challenges in the photovoltaic sector, despite a strong performance in its seamless clothing business [2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1,105.52 million yuan, an increase of 44.83% year-on-year [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -672.34 million yuan, a decrease of 660.30% compared to the previous year [2]. - The seamless clothing segment generated revenue of 620 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.57% [2][3]. - The photovoltaic segment contributed 452 million yuan to total revenue, accounting for 40.86% of the total [3]. Business Segments - The seamless clothing business accounted for 56.06% of total revenue in 2024 [3]. - The company plans to enhance product development and technological innovation in the seamless clothing sector for 2025 [3]. - The photovoltaic segment faced significant challenges, leading to a temporary shutdown of production lines starting March 1, 2025, due to market pressures [3][4]. Future Strategy - The company aims to strengthen its market presence in seamless clothing while addressing the challenges in the photovoltaic sector [3][5]. - Plans include optimizing customer demographics and enhancing risk management capabilities in response to international political and trade policy changes [3]. - The company is focused on debt resolution and attracting strategic investors for its photovoltaic subsidiary [3][4]. Asset and Liability Situation - As of the end of 2024, the company reported total assets of 3,277 million yuan and total liabilities of 3,055 million yuan, resulting in a debt ratio of 94.83% [5].

Q4 业绩明显改善，维持高分红率 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据年报，我们调整盈利预测并引入 2027 年的盈利预测，预计公司 20252027 年每 股收益分别为 1.47、1.57 和 1.68 元（原 2526 年为 1.34 和 152 元），参考可比公 司，给予 2025 年 14 倍 PE 估值，对应目标价 20.58 元，维持增持评级 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、终端消费需求减弱、新开店不及预期等 水星家纺 603365.SH 公司研究 年报点评 | | 增持 （维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年05月12日） | 16.42 元 | | 目标价格 | 20.58 元 | | 52 周最高价最低价 | 18.82/10.73 元 | | 总股本流通 A 股（万股） | 26,267/25,806 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 4,313 | | 国家地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 纺织服装 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 05 月 13 日 | 周 月 月 12 月 绝对表现% 1.61 13.09 6.83 4.87 相对表现% 1.57 9.35 ...

Core Viewpoint - Bosideng showcased its digital transformation in the fashion industry through an innovative AI fashion show at the 2025 China Brand Night, highlighting the integration of technology and fashion [1][2]. Group 1: Digital Transformation and AI Integration - Bosideng's AI model "BSD.AI Aesthetic Brain" demonstrated the complete process of creating a down jacket, from demand generation to design and rendering [2]. - The company has established a comprehensive clothing database by integrating decades of design and user research data with global fashion trends [5]. - The introduction of AI technology has significantly improved design efficiency, reducing sample development time from 100 days to 27 days [5]. Group 2: Product Innovation and Market Response - Bosideng launched various product lines, including the Summit Series and Extreme Cold Series, to meet diverse consumer needs while enhancing product value through technology [5]. - The Extreme Cold Down Jacket features a groundbreaking dynamic cold protection technology, achieving a milestone in the field of scientific research equipment [5]. Group 3: Sustainability and ESG Strategy - Bosideng is accelerating its green and low-carbon transformation, aiming for net-zero emissions in operational aspects by 2038 [6]. - The company has developed an intelligent manufacturing system, GiMS, utilizing digital technologies to enhance production efficiency and reduce carbon footprints [6]. - Bosideng's national-level intelligent manufacturing demonstration factory has achieved 100% coverage of energy consumption monitoring systems, continuously optimizing key performance indicators [6].

Q4 业绩明显改善，维持高分红率 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据年报，我们调整盈利预测并引入 2027 年的盈利预测，预计公司 2025-2027 年每 股收益分别为 1.47、1.57 和 1.68 元（原 25-26 年为 1.34 和 1.52 元），参考可比公 司，给予 2025 年 14 倍 PE 估值，对应目标价 20.58 元，维持"增持"评级 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、终端消费需求减弱、新开店不及预期等 水星家纺 603365.SH 公司研究 | 年报点评 | | 增持 （维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年05月12日） | 16.42 元 | | 目标价格 | 20.58 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 18.82/10.73 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 26,267/25,806 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 4,313 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 纺织服装 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 05 月 13 日 | | | 1 周 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 12 月 | | --- | --- | - ...

Market Overview - On May 13, the A-share market experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly up by 0.08% and the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.24% [2] - The total market turnover reached 907.21 billion yuan, an increase of 43.4 billion yuan from the previous day, with 1,714 stocks rising and 3,475 falling [3] Sector Performance - The beauty care, banking, coal, and home furnishing sectors showed positive performance, while the military industry sector experienced a notable pullback [4] - The banking sector saw a rise of 1.15%, with significant gains in individual bank stocks [5] Banking Sector Highlights - Major banks such as Chongqing Bank and Shanghai Bank saw their stock prices increase by over 3%, with several banks reaching historical highs [7] - The A-share banking sector's dividend yield reached 6.69% over the past 12 months, making it attractive to institutional investors seeking high dividends and stability [8] Consumer Sector Activity - The consumer sector was active, particularly in the beauty care segment, with stocks like Qingdao Kingking and Lafang Home reaching their daily limit [9] - In the textile and apparel sector, stocks such as Kute Intelligent and Shengtai Group also hit their daily limit [11] Military Industry Sector - Following a previous surge, the military industry sector collectively retreated, with significant declines in stocks like Aopu Optoelectronics and Guobang Electronics [13] New Listing: Tiangong Co., Ltd. - Tiangong Co., Ltd. (N Tiangong) debuted on the Beijing Stock Exchange, with its stock price peaking at 23.6 yuan, reflecting a rise of 498.98% at one point [15] - The company specializes in the production and sales of titanium and titanium alloy materials, with a total market capitalization of 13.236 billion yuan at midday [15]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the proactive measures taken by major foreign trade provinces in China to stabilize foreign trade amidst external uncertainties, emphasizing a collaborative approach involving government support, platform empowerment, and enterprise initiative [2][4]. Group 1: Government and Platform Initiatives - Major foreign trade provinces have implemented a series of measures to support enterprises, including connecting domestic sales channels, expanding international markets, and strengthening financing guarantees [2]. - The "Foreign Trade Quality Products China Tour" events organized by the Ministry of Commerce aim to facilitate production and sales connections among key industries such as light industry, textiles, and food [4]. - Shandong province is promoting the "Same Line, Same Standard, Same Quality" initiative to facilitate the transition between domestic and international markets [5]. Group 2: Market Diversification - China is accelerating the diversification of foreign trade markets, with emerging markets in Latin America, Africa, Central Asia, and Central and Eastern Europe contributing nearly 60% to foreign trade growth last year [6]. - Various provinces are targeting these emerging markets through platforms and digital channels to assist foreign trade enterprises in entering new markets [6]. - The Ministry of Commerce plans to provide more public information services to foreign trade enterprises, including trade guides and information on the business environment in relevant countries [6]. Group 3: Financial Support for Enterprises - A comprehensive financial policy package has been introduced to support foreign trade enterprises, including measures from the People's Bank of China and financial regulatory bodies [7]. - Shandong province is enhancing the "Business + Finance" mechanism to increase financial product offerings for foreign trade enterprises transitioning to domestic sales [7]. - Guangdong has launched a special financial plan to strengthen credit support in the foreign trade sector, with a focus on small and micro enterprises [7]. Group 4: Trade Performance - In the first quarter, China's foreign trade exports increased by 6.9%, with a stable growth trend continuing into April [8]. - The Ministry of Commerce plans to enrich the toolbox of policies to stabilize foreign trade and introduce new measures as needed [8].

公开资料显示，华夏线上经济主题精选混合基金成立于2020年8月26日，截至2025年3月31日，华夏线上 经济主题精选混合规模13.63亿元，基金经理为黄文倩。 简历显示：黄文倩女士:复旦大学金融学硕士。曾任中国国际金融有限公司高级经理。2011年11月加入 华夏基金管理有限公司,曾任投资研究部研究员、投资经理、华夏新兴消费混合型证券投资基金基金经 理(2018年11月7日至2020年5月7日期间)等,现任投资研究部总监,华夏消费升级灵活配置混合型证券投资 基金基金经理(2016年2月3日起任职)。华夏线上经济主题精选混合型证券投资基金基金经理(2020年8月 26日起任职)。2021年2月3日起任职华夏消费龙头混合型证券投资基金基金经理。2021年4月20日至2023 年11月13日任职华夏核心价值混合型证券投资基金基金经理。 来源：金融界 金融界2025年5月12日消息，华夏线上经济主题精选混合(010020) 最新净值0.7775元，增长1.03%。该基 金近1个月收益率3.71%，同类排名1325|2039；近6个月收益率0.92%，同类排名774|1991；今年来收益 率4.28%，同类排名855| ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share clothing companies are facing multiple challenges such as intensified market competition, restructuring supply-demand relationships, and pressures on inventory and cash flow, leading to overall performance decline in the past year [1] Group 1: Performance of Men's Clothing Companies - Several leading men's clothing companies, including Hailan Home, Youngor, Semir, and Baoxiniao, have shown resilience despite facing growth challenges, with net profits around or above 500 million yuan [1] - Hailan Home reported a revenue of 20.957 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 2.65%, and a net profit of 2.159 billion yuan, down 26.88% [2] - Youngor achieved a revenue of 14.188 billion yuan, up 3.19%, but its net profit fell by 19.41% to 2.767 billion yuan [2] - Semir's revenue reached 4.004 billion yuan, a growth of 13.24%, while its net profit decreased by 14.28% to 781 million yuan [2] - Baoxiniao's revenue was 5.153 billion yuan, down 1.91%, with a net profit of 495 million yuan, a decline of 29.07% [2] Group 2: Expansion into Outdoor Sports - Leading men's clothing companies are expanding into outdoor sports categories, with Hailan Home investing 248 million yuan to acquire a 51% stake in Spobz, which will manage Adidas products in China [3] - Baoxiniao is acquiring the global intellectual property rights of the high-end outdoor brand Woolrich for approximately 384 million yuan [3] - Semir is also focusing on the outdoor apparel segment, aiming to create a "trendy outdoor" brand [4] Group 3: Performance of Women's Clothing Companies - The women's clothing sector is experiencing more severe impacts, with companies like Ge Li Si, Ri Bo Shi Shang, and An Zheng Shi Shang reporting significant losses [5][6] - Ge Li Si's revenue grew by 4.14% to 3.036 billion yuan, but it reported a net loss of 310 million yuan [6] - Ri Bo Shi Shang's revenue fell by 15.68% to 866 million yuan, resulting in a net loss of 159 million yuan [6] - An Zheng Shi Shang's revenue decreased by 6.23% to 2.034 billion yuan, with a net loss of 124 million yuan [7] Group 4: Growth in Children's Clothing - Semir is one of the few companies that maintained growth in both revenue and net profit in 2024, driven by its children's clothing segment [8] - Semir's revenue reached 14.626 billion yuan, up 7.06%, with a net profit of 1.137 billion yuan, a growth of 1.42% [8] - The children's clothing segment contributed 10.268 billion yuan, accounting for 70.21% of total revenue [8] - Other companies like Youngor and An Zheng Shi Shang are also entering the children's clothing market, with Youngor acquiring the luxury children's brand Bonpoint [10] and An Zheng Shi Shang partnering with the Korean brand ALLO&LUGH [11]

今日早盘，A股高开高走强势上攻。 创业板指、北证50盘中均一度大涨超2%，上证指数、深证成指等纷纷创出阶段性新高。上涨个股远多于下跌个股，市场成交呈现温和放大趋势。 | 代码 | 名称 | * (1) 蚊新 | 涨幅% | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 1 3354.53 | 0.37 | 3348.93亿 | | 399001 | 深证成指 | · 10234.09 | 1.06 | 5083.10亿 | | 399006 | 创业板指 | 0 2046.39 | 1.72 | 2394.73亿 | | 000016 | 上证50 | 2693.54 0 | 0.36 | 502.53亿 | | 000300 | 沪深300 | 3869.78 0 | 0.61 | 1855.17 乙 | | 000688 | 科创50 | 1006.18 0 | -0.01 | 168.18亿 | | 899050 | 北证50 | 1410.60 0 | 2.27 | 206.73亿 | | 000852 | 中证1000 | C 6133.15 ...