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机构游资集体消失,市场没动力,钱都去哪了?黄金白银道指或成避风港
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 11:47
Core Viewpoint - The market shows a strong unwillingness for individual stocks to decline, despite a drop in indices, indicating a potential lack of upward momentum and a defensive market stance [1][3]. Market Analysis - The buying power today was only 890, significantly lower than the previous week, indicating a lack of strong buying interest [3]. - Selling pressure has increased, with sell orders exceeding 520, suggesting that both retail and institutional investors are offloading stocks [3]. - The market is currently characterized by a weak trend, with a potential for further declines if buying power does not improve [3]. Stock Performance - There were 53 stocks hitting the daily limit up, but the overall sentiment remains weak as many stocks are not maintaining upward momentum [4][5]. - The number of stocks experiencing consecutive declines has not significantly increased, suggesting that while the market is weak, it is not in a free fall [8]. - The market is experiencing a lack of strong leadership among stocks, with many sectors showing limited potential for significant gains [5]. Sector Insights - Consumer and defensive sectors are currently performing better, with 20 stocks in the consumer sector hitting limit up, but this is seen as a weak recovery rather than a strong trend [5]. - Aerospace and defense sectors have shown some strength, but their overall impact on the market remains limited due to low weight [5]. - The market is witnessing a shift in focus towards sectors like gold and silver, which may offer better value in the current environment dominated by quantitative funds [1].
12月15日连板股分析:连板股晋级率超五成 算力硬件股遭重挫
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 08:09
【12月15日连板股分析:连板股晋级率超五成 算力硬件股遭重挫】今日共59股涨停,连板股总数13 只,其中三连板及以上个股7只,上一交易日共13只连板股,连板股晋级率53.84%(不含ST股、退市 股)。个股方面,短线资金抱团少数几只高位股,平潭发展涨超9%再创阶段新高,航天机电缩量加速 走出12天7板,太阳电缆一字涨停录得10天6板。不过值得注意的是,龙洲股份尾盘封板未遂,再升科技 虽然晋级6连板但盘中多次炸板分歧巨大。板块方面,受上周五美股AI板块大跌影响,算力硬件股遭重 挫,跃岭股份、长飞光纤跌停,仕佳光子跌超10%,永鼎股份、长芯博创跌超8%;大消费板块强势反 弹,百大集团3连板,美凯龙5天3板,中锐股份2连板,皇氏集团、阳光乳业、皇台酒业等涨停,消息面 上,茅台新控量政策消息传开后,市场价格立即予以反应。12月13日茅台酒价大反攻,飞天茅台酒价格 跳涨4次。 转自:智通财经 ...
迈向十五五:稳中求进,新质领航:策略点评报告:中央经济工作会议政策解读与投资展望
Huafu Securities· 2025-12-12 01:55
华福证券 策略点评报告:中央经济工作会议政策解读与投资展望 策略点评报告 2025 年 12 月 12 日 迈向"十五五":稳中求进,新质领航 投资要点: ➢ 事件:12月10日至11日,中央经济工作会议在北京举行。中共中央 总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平出席会议并发表重要讲话。 ➢ 此次会议明确:明年将坚持"稳中求进、提质增效",继续实施"更 加积极的财政政策"和"适度宽松的货币政策"。首次系统性地提出涵盖 内需、创新、改革、开放等八个方面的"坚持",为"十五五"规划开局 之年勾勒出清晰的发展蓝图。 ➢ 2026年中央经济工作会议在"十四五"圆满收官、"十五五"开局 之年的关键历史节点召开,为未来一年的经济发展奠定了"稳中求进、以 进促稳"的总基调。会议在肯定2025年经济"顶压前行、向新向优"发 展成果的同时,直面"供强需弱"等现实挑战,并以罕见的清晰度和力度 部署了政策框架与八大重点任务。 ➢ 我们认为,本次会议传递的核心信号是:宏观政策将保持连续性与协 同性,确保经济平稳开局;而"因地制宜发展新质生产力"被置于前所未 有的战略高度,将成为驱动经济结构优化与产业升级的核心引擎。 华福证券 ➢ 从投 ...
A股目前正处于关键位置,千万不要太上头!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 12:16
Market Overview - After two days of broad gains, A-shares experienced a correction today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.39%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.61%. The total market turnover was 1.92 trillion yuan, a decrease of 134 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 4,000 stocks in the red [1] Reasons for Market Decline - The primary reason for today's decline is profit-taking by short-term investors after a recent rally, as the market reached a technical resistance level near 3930 points, making it difficult to break through [2] - Market participants are also in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the upcoming Central Economic Work Conference, as there are ongoing concerns about insufficient domestic demand and real estate contraction. Investors are cautious until clearer policy signals are provided [4] - External factors, particularly the anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, have contributed to a decrease in global risk appetite, impacting A-shares. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are putting pressure on equity valuations, especially in high-growth sectors [5] Future Market Outlook - In the medium to long term, the bullish logic for A-shares remains intact, but short-term trends indicate a continued correction until key resistance levels are broken. Institutional investors are likely to adopt a conservative approach due to year-end performance assessments and the lack of clear policy direction from the Central Economic Work Conference [6] Investment Strategies - Experienced investors are advised to focus on individual stocks rather than indices, with three key sectors to consider: - **Commercial Aerospace**: The sector is gaining attention due to government support and technological advancements that significantly reduce launch costs, with a projected market size in the hundreds of billions [7] - **Consumer Sector**: The traditional consumption peak season is approaching, with government policies aimed at boosting consumption. The consumer sector, particularly retail and food and beverage, is expected to perform well due to low valuations and stable earnings [8] - **Robotics**: The global policy push for robotics, particularly in the U.S. and China, is expected to drive growth in the sector, with market projections reaching hundreds of billions by 2030 [9]
CPO两连阳逆天改命!消费新低还谈主力流入?结构化博弈得顺势而为
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 11:46
你说今天市场走弱吧?CPO他两连涨,而且上涨力度还不少并创新高,明显有资金流入这个方向,试想想这么大的一个题材,如果主力是出货的,怎么可能 越出越高。同样的道理,白酒也是一样的,不存在主力资金在流入,资金流入了反而每天新低。也就是说,现在的盘面依旧如11月那样,只是结构化存量博 弈,有些板块受资金青睐,有些板块被资金抛弃,至于谁对谁错一时间无法判断,但对市场来说,看好科技的今天其实是有收益的,其它板块基本凉凉。再 往深一些说,连续反弹两天只是技术修复而已,如果资金流入结束科技板块进入轮动,又可能引出低位题材重新表现。对了,近期福建板块是最强的,游资 炒妖非常明显,市场也认可这种题材,更说明当下除了妖就是妖,没有其它新的故事。这个时候除了抱团,我实在想不出有什么好机会,至于抱团什么时候 又不行了,那是后话了,别想太远,珍惜当下。 中线策略分析:【整体情况】 今天买盘力量1300+,比昨天少,但能维持在周一的水平,所以我们还看到市场是有主线的,今天市场回落卖盘力量只有360+,未达散户流出的极值,抛压 并不大,正是这样的情况市场就涨不动了,可想而知如果机构也出逃,市场重心继续下移的概率很大。另一个情况是T-5、T ...
6700亿巨头 “A股最靓的仔”
Group 1: Market Performance - Leading stocks in the computing power sector showed significant performance, with stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang, Shenghong Technology, and Xinyi Sheng all experiencing notable price increases and high trading volumes [2][4] - Zhongji Xuchuang's stock price rose by 6.94%, reaching a new historical high with a market capitalization of 677.3 billion yuan, and its trading volume was 15.55 billion yuan, the highest in A-shares [4] - Currently, there are five stocks in A-shares with prices exceeding 600 yuan, including Hanwujing, Guizhou Moutai, Yuanjie Technology, Moer Thread, and Zhongji Xuchuang [2] Group 2: Sector Trends - The computing power industry chain continued to rise, with sectors such as optical modules, copper cables, and liquid-cooled servers seeing increases [5] - The recent listing of Moer Thread, which surged by 425.46%, has opened up valuation space for domestic computing power concept stocks, with more companies like Muxi Co. expected to list soon [5] Group 3: Consumer Sector - The consumer sector saw a rise, with retail, dairy, and food processing manufacturing sectors experiencing gains, leading to stocks like Central Mall and Maoye Commercial hitting their daily price limits [10] - The food and beverage industry is showing structural growth, with new demands and emerging channels contributing to the performance of traditional industry leaders [11] - Huachuang Securities recommends focusing on three main lines: traditional undervalued leading companies, opportunities in the restaurant supply chain, and growth-oriented companies in the beverage sector [11]
国家队也要发射可回收火箭,怎么看?| 1208 张博划重点
Hu Xiu· 2025-12-08 14:01
今日市场在金融、AI软硬件等权重方向轮番做多带动下,全天呈现高开高走行情,创业板指一度涨逾3%。随着今日两市成交额重返2万亿上方。 | 大涨板块 | 251208 (周1) | 251205 (周5) | 251204 (周4) | 251203 (周3) | 25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 光通信19 | 福建自贸/海西概念16 | 机器人13 | 培育钻石3 | 標 | | 2 | 福建自贸海西概念21 | 航天16 | 航天9 | 煤炭4 | 57 | | 3 | 航天17 | 光通信9 | 国产芯片7 | 矢约6 | A | | ব | DRAM (内存) 5 | 有色会属8 | 福建自贸/海西概念7 | 福建自贸/海西概念9 | 房 | | 5 | 大金融3 | 机器人11 | 矢约3 | 加天8 | | | 6 | 大消费11 | 大消费8 | 大消费4 | 大消费6 | ટ | | T | 机器人9 | 大金融8 | STHE1 | STH56 | 吴 | | 8 | STH54 | STH57 | 股权转让1 | 风电4 | E ...
12月中央政治局会议对投资的启示
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-12-08 10:45
核心观点 分析师 杨超 :010-80927696 :yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130522030004 王雪莹 策略研究 · 策略点评 12 月中央政治局会议对投资的启示 2025 年 12 月 08 日 :wangxueying_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130525060003 周美丽 :zhoumeili_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130525070002 孔玥 :kongyue_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130525100001 相关研究 2025-11-22,变局蕴机遇,聚势盈未来——2026 年 A 股市场投资展望 2025-11-06,A 股三季报业绩有哪些看点? 2025-10-30,公募基金三季度持仓有哪些看点? 2025-10-30,2025 年 11 月投资组合报告:"十五 五"新蓝图与市场新机遇 2025-10-29,变局蕴机遇,驶向新蓝海——《"十五 五"规划建议》解码 A 股投资全景图 2025-10-22,布局消费主题 ...
【股市20251205】
债券笔记· 2025-12-05 12:54
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.7% to 3902.81, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.08% to 13147.68, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.36% to 3109.30 [1][2] - A total of 4427 stocks closed higher, while 914 stocks closed lower, indicating a positive market sentiment [1][3] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.73 trillion, an increase of 176.8 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Performance Metrics - The 20-day performance for the Shanghai Composite Index showed a decline of 2.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index experienced a decrease of 1.91% [2] - The annual performance for the Shanghai Composite Index is up by 16.44%, and the Shenzhen Component Index has increased by 26.24% [2] - The ChiNext Index has seen a significant annual increase of 45.19% [2] Sector Performance - Sectors such as insurance, precious metals, and commercial aerospace showed strong gains, while traditional sectors like Chinese medicine and film exhibition faced declines [2] - The electric aluminum concept stocks experienced volatility, with companies like Hongchuang Holdings and Yun Aluminum reaching historical highs [2] - The robotics sector saw a rebound, with companies like Boke Technology rising over 10% [2] Notable Stock Movements - The stock of Moer Thread opened high with a 468% increase, leading to significant profits for investors [2] - Companies in the Fujian sector, such as Sanmu Group and Haixin Food, reached their daily limit [2] - The AI glasses concept saw a surge, with Doctor's Glasses rising over 10% [2] Market Sentiment - The overall market sentiment is improving, with a board sealing rate close to 80% [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission has allocated 35.5 billion for investment projects, indicating government support for economic growth [2]
“星耀鹏城”20+8产业沙龙推出年度收官之作,大消费投融资并购专场共探产业发展新趋势
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-12-05 07:08
活动中,深圳证券交易所专家就资本市场服务新消费产业发展进行了政策解读。深交所科融通V-Next专 家分享了大消费行业投融资数据洞察与深圳上市公司并购重组服务专区升级建设情况;同创伟业分享了 基于大消费产业洞察的投资逻辑与整合实践。来自稳健医疗(300888)、富安娜(002327)、八马茶 业、百果园、北鼎股份(300824)的嘉宾,就消费行业趋势、品牌升级、供应链整合、场景创新、产业 整合与资本策略等热点议题展开了富有前瞻性的讨论。路演环节展示了新消费的创新活力。 12月5日,香蜜湖金融+系列活动之"星耀鹏城"20+8产业沙龙——大消费投融资并购专场在深圳福田国 际创新中心成功举办。活动紧扣消费市场从"规模扩张"向"价值共创"转型的核心趋势,搭建高效的产融 对接平台,推动深圳大消费产业高质量发展。现场汇聚了境内外大消费行业头部上市公司、投资机构及 科创企业代表逾80人,共探消费发展新机遇。 在深交所、中共深圳市委金融办、市中小企业服务局、福田区政府等有关部门指导下,深圳上市公司协 会逐步形成了"产业沙龙前端链接-CVC中心孵化赋能-并购专区服务整合-加速器辅导上市-深港培育生态 共建"的全周期服务体系,助力 ...