型及広 煤炭/ 煤炭开采 版费 行业 相关研究 近券研究报 证券分析师 严天鹏 A0230524090004 yantp@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 联系人 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 2026 年 01 月 26 日 节前寒潮频繁扰动,有望支撑 委员 娱炭行业周报（2026.1.17-2026.1.23） 本期投资后了 ● 动力煤方面，截至 1 月 23 日，据中国煤炭市场网，秦皇岛港口 Q4500、Q5000、 Q5500动力煤现货价收报 514、599、685元/吨，环比-8、-9、-10 元/吨。供给端, 据中国煤炭市场网，环渤海四港区本周日均调入量 159.11 万吨，环比上周减少 0.6 万 吨,降幅 0.39%,同比下降 4.12%,产地生产正常,降雪对运输的影响已消除。需求 端,寒潮来 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company is positioned as the leading coal producer in Mongolia, with a strong geographical advantage near the Chinese market. It is diversifying beyond coal into gold and copper, which are expected to contribute significantly to future profits [5][13]. - The gold business, initiated with the BKH gold mine, is projected to generate over $100 million in net profit by 2026, marking a substantial second growth curve for the company [5][6]. - The copper business, through the acquisition of UCC, is seen as a long-term growth opportunity, with plans for feasibility studies on the White Hill copper deposit [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is the largest private mining enterprise in Mongolia, primarily engaged in coal production and export, with ongoing diversification into gold and copper [13]. - It was the first Mongolian company to list on the international capital market, with significant assets located in the Tavan Tolgoi coalfield [13][15]. Coal Business - The company operates two major coal mines, UHG and BN, with substantial coal reserves of 340 million tons and 272 million tons respectively, primarily producing high-quality hard coking coal [24][25]. - In 2024, the company achieved a peak raw coal production of 16.34 million tons, with a significant increase in sales through competitive bidding [39][41]. - The average selling price of coal is influenced by domestic market trends, with recent prices at $106 and $121 per ton for 2023 and 2024 respectively [44]. Gold Business - The BKH gold mine commenced commercial production in September 2025, with expectations to reach full production of 85,000 ounces by 2027 [5][6]. - The low All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC) of the gold business positions it as a high-margin contributor to the company's overall profitability [5]. Copper Business - The acquisition of a 50.5% stake in UCC provides access to the White Hill copper-gold project, which contains approximately 185,000 tons of copper and 52,000 ounces of gold [5][6]. - The company plans to conduct feasibility studies on the copper deposit to further reduce reliance on coal [5]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of $0.93 million, $2.63 million, and $3.77 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a PE ratio of less than 7 for 2026 [5][6].

截至1月10日，潞安环能股东户数8.30万，较上期增加2.47%；人均流通股36041股，较上期减少2.41%。 2025年1月-9月，潞安环能实现营业收入211.00亿元，同比减少20.82%；归母净利润15.54亿元，同比减 少44.45%。 分红方面，潞安环能A股上市后累计派现258.51亿元。近三年，累计派现145.05亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，潞安环能十大流通股东中，国泰中证煤炭ETF（515220）位居第 三大流通股东，持股4729.10万股，为新进股东。香港中央结算有限公司位居第四大流通股东，持股 3994.46万股，相比上期减少479.73万股。华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF（510880）位居第五大流通股东，持股 3727.19万股，相比上期增加207.42万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第八大流通股东，持股 2046.28万股，相比上期减少100.99万股。中欧红利优享灵活配置混合A（004814）位居第九大流通股 东，持股1960.00万股，为新进股东。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）位居第十大流通股东，持股1472.60 万股，为新进股东。 责任编 ...

行 业 及 产 业 煤炭/ 煤炭开采 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 严天鹏 A0230524090004 yantp@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 联系人 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 2026 年 01 月 26 日 节前寒潮频繁扰动，有望支撑煤价 反弹 看好 ——煤炭行业周报（2026.1.17-2026.1.23） 本期投资提示： | 1．近期行业政策及动态 | 4 | | --- | --- | | 2．产地动力煤价环比下跌、焦煤价环比持平 | 5 | | 3．国际油价上涨 | 6 | | 4．环渤海港口库存环比下降 | 7 | | 5．国内沿海运费环比上涨 | 8 | | 6．重点公司估值表 | 9 | | 7．风险提示 | 9 | ⚫ 动力煤 ...

资料显示，中国神华能源股份有限公司位于北京市东城区安定门西滨河路22号,香港中环花园道1号中银 大厦60楼B室，成立日期2004年11月8日，上市日期2007年10月9日，公司主营业务涉及煤炭和电力的生 产与销售、铁路和港口运输,航运业务,煤制烯烃业务。主营业务收入构成为：煤炭75.23%，发电 29.35%，铁路15.52%，港口2.51%，煤化工2.11%，航运1.19%，未分配项目0.31%。 中国神华所属申万行业为：煤炭-煤炭开采-动力煤。所属概念板块包括：上证50、中特估、H股、证金 汇金、大盘股等。 截至9月30日，中国神华股东户数20.92万，较上期增加29.69%；人均流通股79468股，较上期减少 23.09%。2025年1月-9月，中国神华实现营业收入2131.51亿元，同比减少16.05%；归母净利润390.52亿 元，同比减少15.24%。 1月26日，中国神华盘中上涨2.05%，截至10:17，报40.82元/股，成交6.72亿元，换手率0.10%，总市值 8110.33亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入4872.68万元，特大单买入4213.52万元，占比6.27%，卖出3901 ...

1月26日，中煤能源盘中上涨2.07%，截至10:16，报13.33元/股，成交2.44亿元，换手率0.20%，总市值 1767.38亿元。 中煤能源所属申万行业为：煤炭-煤炭开采-动力煤。所属概念板块包括：大央企重组、动力煤、煤炭概 念、央企改革、双百企业等。 截至10月31日，中煤能源股东户数8.23万，较上期减少11.46%；人均流通股121724股，较上期增加 0.00%。2025年1月-9月，中煤能源实现营业收入1105.84亿元，同比减少21.24%；归母净利润124.85亿 元，同比减少14.57%。 分红方面，中煤能源A股上市后累计派现450.74亿元。近三年，累计派现213.86亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中煤能源十大流通股东中，中国证券金融股份有限公司位居第三 大流通股东，持股3.36亿股，持股数量较上期不变。国泰中证煤炭ETF（515220）位居第五大流通股 东，持股7250.71万股，相比上期增加4410.11万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第八大流通股东，持股 3915.19万股，相比上期减少2703.39万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第九大流通 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key companies in the coal industry, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Energy, and Xinji Energy, among others [11][14]. Core Insights - The coal market is currently experiencing a weak supply-demand balance, with prices expected to remain stable amidst high inventory levels and fluctuating demand [18][30]. - The report highlights the potential for "black swan" events, particularly from increased demand in the U.S. and reduced production/export from Indonesia, which could significantly impact coal prices [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring companies with overseas operations, such as Qinfa and Yancoal Australia, as they may benefit from shifts in the global coal trade [3]. Market Overview - The CITIC Coal Index reached 3743.77 points, up 1.44%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.06 percentage points [77]. - The U.S. coal stock BTU reached a new high of $39.95 per share, indicating a strong market performance [2]. - Indonesia is tightening coal supply by closing illegal mining operations, which could further influence global coal prices [2]. Key Areas of Analysis - **Thermal Coal**: Daily consumption is rising, but high inventory levels are leading to a weak market sentiment. Prices are expected to fluctuate as the market approaches the Chinese New Year [18][30]. - **Coking Coal**: The first round of price increases has faced resistance, and market sentiment is weakening. Focus is on pre-holiday stockpiling needs [37][51]. - **Coke**: Price increases have been delayed, and market sentiment is declining, with steel mills maintaining cautious purchasing strategies [51][75]. Key Companies - The report recommends focusing on companies such as China Shenhua, Yancoal Australia, and Qinfa, which are well-positioned to capitalize on market changes [14][12]. - Companies like Peabody (BTU) and Jin控煤业 are also highlighted for their potential growth opportunities [14][12].

本报讯 （记者肖艳青）1月25日晚间，郑州煤电股份有限公司（以下简称"郑州煤电"）发布2025年年度 业绩预亏公告，预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润约亏损9.16亿元；扣非净利润约亏损 8.97亿元。 对于业绩预亏的原因，报告期内，受市场供需关系影响，煤炭市场价格持续下行，煤炭平均售价同比下 降15.6%，导致煤炭销售收入大幅下降，利润总额同比减少5.2亿元。 另外，郑州煤电所属超化煤矿煤炭资源濒临枯竭，剩余资源地质条件复杂，不具有开采经济价值，公司 对其实施停产，并对超化煤矿固定资产计提减值准备3.11亿元，减少利润总额3.11亿元。 此外，投资收益减少亦是其利润下降的重要因素，一是参股公司山西复晟因氧化铝价格大幅下滑，盈利 能力下降，投资收益同比减少1.59亿元；二是2024年度子公司上海贸易因申请破产并移交管理人失去控 制权不再合并其报表形成处置收益2.51亿元；以上两项因素同比减少利润总额4.1亿元。 （编辑 张昕） ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 01 25 年 月 日 煤炭开采 BTU 续创新高，海外"三小煤"需重点关注 行情回顾（2026.1.19~2026.1.23）： 中信煤炭指数 3743.77 点，上涨 1.44%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 2.06pct，位列中信 板块涨跌幅榜第 21 位。 本周，美股 BTU 一度涨至 39.95 美元/股，续创 2019 年以来新高。在 25 年 12 月初我们发布的《美国：AI 重塑美国煤炭市场，底部反转，黑金重燃》中指出"重 视 AI 重塑美国煤炭市场，底部反转的投资机会"。 印尼煤炭"供给侧"或正在实施中。据新华财经雅加达 1 月 23 日报道，印度尼西 亚总统普拉博沃·苏比延多 22 日在瑞士达沃斯出席世界经济论坛年会期间表示， 印尼政府已关闭全国约 1000 处非法矿场，并将继续严厉打击自然资源和环境领域 的违法行为，坚决维护法治。据了解，非法采矿活动往往无视安全和环保标准，易 引发洪水和山体滑坡等自然灾害。印尼国家灾害管理署数据显示，去年底苏门答 腊岛发生的洪水和山体滑坡已造成约 1200 人死亡，还有大量居民被迫撤离并安置 在 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several companies in the coal mining sector, including China Coal Energy (H+A), Yanzhou Coal Mining (H+A), China Shenhua Energy (H+A), and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry [3][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights the significant increase in U.S. natural gas futures prices due to a polar cold wave and short covering, with prices rising by 25% to $4.875 per million British thermal units, marking the highest settlement price since December 8 [2]. - The report emphasizes the potential for coal consumption to increase as power producers may switch to coal to control fuel costs amid rising natural gas prices [3][8]. Summary by Sections Energy Price Overview - As of January 23, 2026, Brent crude oil futures settled at $65.88 per barrel, up $1.75 (+2.73%) from the previous week, while WTI crude oil futures settled at $61.07 per barrel, up $1.63 (+2.74%) [1]. - Natural gas prices also saw significant increases, with Northeast Asia LNG spot prices at $11.81 per million British thermal units (+4.04%) and U.S. HH natural gas futures at $5.35 per million British thermal units (+72.18%) [1][2]. Investment Recommendations - The report specifically recommends focusing on companies that are performing well, such as China Coal Energy, Yanzhou Coal Mining, China Shenhua Energy, and Shaanxi Coal, as well as companies involved in smart mining like Keda Control and those in recovery like China Qinfa [3][8]. - Additional companies to watch include Peabody (BTU), Jinkong Coal Industry, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and others that may see growth in the future [3]. Coal Market Dynamics - The report notes slight adjustments in coal prices, with Newcastle coal at $111.50 per ton, down $0.05 (-0.04%), while European ARA coal prices increased to $98.50 per ton, up $1.85 (+1.91%) [1][40]. - The overall coal market is expected to benefit from the rising natural gas prices, potentially leading to increased coal consumption in power generation [3].