Industry Overview - Allulose, or D-Psicose, is a rare sugar found in small amounts in natural foods like raisins and figs, characterized by its white powder form and low caloric content [1][2] - The global allulose market is projected to reach $14.7 million by 2024 and is expected to grow to $43.6 million by 2032, driven by favorable policies and a global trend towards reduced sugar consumption [1][11] Market Dynamics - The allulose market is expanding rapidly in beverage and baking sectors, with China being the largest consumer market, holding approximately 80.45% of the market share, followed by Japan and South Korea [11][14] - The approval of allulose for use in various food products in multiple countries, including the U.S. and Australia, is facilitating its market entry, while the EU is expected to approve it within 2-3 years [11][13] Production and Technology - The primary production method for allulose is biological conversion, utilizing D-Psicose 3-epimerase to convert fructose into allulose, with key players including Jinhe Industrial, Baolingbao, and Sanyuan Bio [9][16] - Recent advancements in enzyme engineering have improved the yield of allulose production to 88.8%, significantly reducing raw material costs [26] Competitive Landscape - Major global players in the allulose market include CJ CheilJedang, Samyang, Tate & Lyle, and Matsutake, which have established production capabilities and technological advantages [18][29] - Domestic companies in China, such as Jinhe Industrial and Baolingbao, are in the process of expanding their production capacities, with potential domestic capacity exceeding 286,100 tons [20][26] Future Trends - The market is expected to experience a surge in industrial applications due to policy support, with the potential for allulose to be widely used in sugar-free beverages and baked goods by 2025 [25] - Health-conscious consumer trends are driving demand for low-calorie sweeteners like allulose, which is anticipated to see significant growth in the functional food sector [28][29]

Core Insights - The report primarily addresses two questions: 1) The commercial model of e-commerce express delivery and the underlying logic of express pricing indicate that price wars will continue, promoting industry consolidation; 2) How YTO Express can leverage advantages in the new round of price wars to find strategic positioning [2][10] - YTO Express is expected to achieve net profits of 4.21 billion, 3.70 billion, and 4.06 billion for 2024E-2026E, corresponding to PE ratios of 11x, 12x, and 11x, maintaining a "Buy" rating [10] - The report highlights that the company has achieved a total revenue of 12.678 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11%, and a net profit of 1.045 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42% [9][10] Company Summaries YTO Express (600233) - The report emphasizes the ongoing price war in the express delivery industry, driven by the commercial model and pricing logic, which is expected to lead to further industry consolidation [2][10] - YTO Express is positioned to benefit from this environment, with a clear strategy that includes optimizing logistics costs and enhancing digital transformation [10] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 4.21 billion, 3.70 billion, and 4.06 billion for 2024E-2026E, with a "Buy" rating maintained [10] Shield Environment (002011) - The company reported a total revenue of 12.678 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11%, and a net profit of 1.045 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42% [9][10] - The report indicates that the company has exceeded expectations in its performance, particularly in the fourth quarter, where net profit doubled year-on-year [9][10] Jinhe Industrial (002597) - Jinhe Industrial is a major global producer of sucralose and acesulfame, with projected net profits of 1.213 billion, 1.476 billion, and 1.703 billion for 2025-2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [12][18] - The company has improved its profit margins through cost optimization and product price increases, with a significant rise in dividend payout rates [12][18] Hengli Petrochemical (600346) - The report notes a decline in refining profitability but a significant recovery in the chemical sector, with net profits from the chemical business increasing by 81.67% year-on-year [19][20] - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend level as capital expenditures taper off, with a projected PE ratio of 14x for 2025 [21][22] New Yangfeng (000902) - The company has seen an increase in both volume and profit margins in its phosphate fertilizer business, with a focus on high-value chemical development [21][24] - The report highlights the company's strong resource reserves and ongoing projects aimed at enhancing its competitive position in the market [21][24]