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永安期货铁合金早报-20251125
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 03:01
Report Information - Report Title: Ferroalloy Morning Report - Report Date: November 25, 2025 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - No clear core view is presented in the provided content. The report mainly offers price, supply, demand, inventory, and cost - profit data for ferroalloys such as ferrosilicon and ferromanganese. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price - **Ferrosilicon**: - Spot prices vary by region and type. For example, Ningxia 72 natural block ferrosilicon is 5130 yuan, with a weekly change of - 20 yuan; Tianjin 72 ferrosilicon export price is 1020 US dollars, with a weekly change of - 10 US dollars [2]. - Futures prices also show differences among different contracts. The main contract of ferrosilicon is 5456 yuan, down 16 yuan daily and 206 yuan weekly [2]. - **Ferromanganese**: - Spot prices of ferromanganese in different regions have different changes. Inner Mongolia 6517 ferromanganese has an ex - factory price of 5520 yuan, with a weekly change of - 80 yuan [2]. - Futures prices of different contracts also fluctuate. The main contract of ferromanganese is 5630 yuan, up 24 yuan daily and down 162 yuan weekly [2]. Supply - **Ferrosilicon**: - The production data of 136 ferrosilicon enterprises in China are presented, including monthly output, weekly output, and capacity utilization in different regions such as Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Shaanxi [4]. - **Ferromanganese**: - The weekly production volume of ferromanganese in China and the procurement volume and price of Hebei Iron and Steel Group are provided [6]. Demand - **Ferrosilicon**: - Related to the production of products such as crude steel, stainless - steel crude steel, and metal magnesium. For example, the estimated monthly production of crude steel in China and the production of stainless - steel crude steel are shown [4]. - **Ferromanganese**: - The demand data of ferromanganese in China (according to Steel Union's caliber) are given, and it is also related to the production of crude steel [4][7]. Inventory - **Ferrosilicon**: - The inventory data of 60 sample enterprises in China, including total inventory and inventory in different regions like Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi, are provided. Also, data on warehouse receipts, effective forecasts, and inventory average available days in different regions are presented [5]. - **Ferromanganese**: - The inventory data of 63 sample enterprises in China, warehouse receipts, effective forecasts, and inventory average available days in China are shown [7]. Cost and Profit - **Ferrosilicon**: - Cost - related data include electricity prices in different regions (Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Ningxia, Shaanxi) and the market price of semi - coke in Shaanxi. Profit - related data include the profit of ferrosilicon in Ningxia (converted to the main contract and spot profit) and the export profit of 75% ferrosilicon [5]. - **Ferromanganese**: - Profit data in different regions such as Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, the northern region, and the southern region are provided, as well as the profit of Guangxi ferromanganese converted to the main contract [7].
五矿期货黑色建材日报-20251125
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 02:45
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall commodity market showed an adjustment trend yesterday, with the prices of finished steel products rising slightly. The supply and demand of rebar both increased, and the inventory continued to decline, showing a neutral performance overall. The terminal demand for hot-rolled coils continued to recover, but the inventory level remained high. In the long term, the steel consumption side still has the basis for gradual recovery. However, in the short term, due to weak demand in the off-season and high plate inventory, prices are likely to continue to fluctuate weakly. With the implementation of policies and the improvement of the macro environment, steel demand is expected to have a marginal inflection point later [2]. - For iron ore, the overall inventory is still high, but there are structural contradictions. In the short term, the molten iron output is temporarily stable, and the demand is flat. It is expected to operate within the shock range [5]. - For ferrosilicon and silicomanganese, the market risk appetite has weakened comprehensively. Although the downward pressure on prices still exists, there is no need to be overly pessimistic. It is recommended to pay attention to the inflection point of market sentiment and the corresponding price inflection point. For the black sector, it may be more cost-effective to look for positions to rebound rather than short [10][11]. - For industrial silicon, the supply side continues to shrink, and the demand side has no significant marginal change. It is expected to continue to fluctuate in the short term, and attention should be paid to phased emotional disturbances [14][15]. - For polysilicon, it is still in a tug-of-war between reality and expectations. The supply-demand pattern may improve marginally, but the short-term destocking range is expected to be limited, and the price will fluctuate widely within the range [17]. - For glass, multiple production lines are expected to undergo cold repairs in December, and the supply-demand mismatch has been alleviated. Although the policy has released positive signals, the supply-demand structure is still imbalanced, and the short-term market is expected to continue to operate weakly [20]. - For soda ash, the supply pressure remains high, but the demand side has shown marginal improvement, and the cost support still exists. It is expected to maintain a shock consolidation pattern in the short term [22]. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel Rebar - **Market Information**: The closing price of the rebar main contract in the afternoon was 3089 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan/ton (1.046%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts on the day were 43,558 tons, a net increase of 338 tons. The position of the main contract was 1.432705 million lots, a decrease of 80,706 lots. In the spot market, the aggregated price of rebar in Tianjin was 3210 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day; the aggregated price in Shanghai was 3240 yuan/ton, an increase of 20 yuan/ton [1]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The supply and demand of rebar both increased, and the inventory continued to decline, showing a neutral performance overall. The steel demand has officially entered the off-season, and the subsequent reduction rhythm needs to be paid attention to. In the short term, due to weak demand in the off-season, prices are likely to continue to fluctuate weakly. However, with the implementation of policies and the improvement of the macro environment, steel demand is expected to have a marginal inflection point later [2]. Hot-Rolled Coils - **Market Information**: The closing price of the hot-rolled coil main contract was 3295 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan/ton (0.764%) from the previous trading day. The registered warehouse receipts on the day were 113,732 tons, a decrease of 2,656 tons. The position of the main contract was 1.082089 million lots, a decrease of 42,534 lots. In the spot market, the aggregated price of hot-rolled coils in Lecong was 3310 yuan/ton, an increase of 20 yuan/ton; the aggregated price in Shanghai was 3290 yuan/ton, an increase of 20 yuan/ton [1]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The terminal demand for hot-rolled coils continued to recover, but the output decreased slightly, and the inventory level remained high. The steel demand has officially entered the off-season, and the inventory pressure of hot-rolled coils still exists. The subsequent reduction rhythm needs to be paid attention to. In the short term, due to weak demand in the off-season and high plate inventory, prices are likely to continue to fluctuate weakly. However, with the implementation of policies and the improvement of the macro environment, steel demand is expected to have a marginal inflection point later [2]. Iron Ore - **Market Information**: The main contract of iron ore (I2601) closed at 790.50 yuan/ton, up 0.64% (+5.00), with a position change of -10,742 lots to 449,800 lots. The weighted position of iron ore was 922,800 lots. The spot price of PB fines at Qingdao Port was 792 yuan/wet ton, with a basis of 51.75 yuan/ton and a basis rate of 6.14% [4]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: On the supply side, the overseas iron ore shipments decreased month-on-month in the latest period. On the demand side, the daily average molten iron output decreased month-on-month, and the number of blast furnace overhauls was more than that of restarts. The inventory of iron ore was still high overall, but there were structural contradictions. In the short term, the molten iron output was temporarily stable, and the demand was flat. It was expected to operate within the shock range [5]. Ferrosilicon and Silicomanganese Market Information - On November 24, the main contract of silicomanganese (SM601) rebounded by more than 1.3% during the session and finally closed up 0.43% at 5630 yuan/ton. The spot price of 6517 silicomanganese in Tianjin was 5650 yuan/ton, with a premium of 210 yuan/ton over the futures price. The main contract of ferrosilicon (SF603) once rebounded nearly 1% during the session and then fell back, finally closing down 0.29% at 5456 yuan/ton. The spot price of 72 ferrosilicon in Tianjin was 5400 yuan/ton, with a discount of 56 yuan/ton to the futures price [7][9]. - The silicomanganese price showed a weak trend, and attention should be paid to whether it can be supported at the 5600 yuan/ton level. The ferrosilicon price was still in the shock range of 5400 - 5800 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to the support situation at the 5400 yuan/ton level [9]. Strategy Viewpoint - In the past week, the market risk appetite weakened comprehensively. Affected by factors such as the weakening of the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut in December and the decline in coking coal prices, the prices of ferrosilicon and silicomanganese decreased significantly. However, with the increase in the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut in December and the possible end of the decline in coking coal prices, although the downward pressure on prices still exists, there is no need to be overly pessimistic. It is recommended to pay attention to the inflection point of market sentiment and the corresponding price inflection point. For the black sector, it may be more cost-effective to look for positions to rebound rather than short. The fundamentals of silicomanganese are still not ideal, and attention should be paid to the situation of manganese ore. The supply and demand fundamentals of ferrosilicon have no obvious contradictions and drivers, and the operability is relatively low [10][11]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Industrial Silicon - **Market Information**: The closing price of the main contract of industrial silicon (SI2601) was 8940 yuan/ton, down 0.22% (-20). The weighted contract position increased by 982 lots to 428,650 lots. The spot price of 553 industrial silicon in East China was 9350 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, with a basis of 410 yuan/ton; the spot price of 421 was 9750 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton, with a basis of 10 yuan/ton after converting to the futures price [13]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The price of industrial silicon continued to weaken yesterday. The short-term funds were fast in and out, and the sentiment changed rapidly. Attention should be paid to the volatility risk. On the fundamental side, the weekly output of industrial silicon continued to decline, and the supply side continued to shrink. The demand side had no significant marginal change. The cost side provided support for the futures price. In the short term, the price of industrial silicon was expected to continue to fluctuate, and attention should be paid to phased emotional disturbances [14][15]. Polysilicon - **Market Information**: The closing price of the main contract of polysilicon (PS2601) was 53,315 yuan/ton, down 0.08% (-45). The weighted contract position increased by 3363 lots to 235,435 lots. The average price of N-type granular silicon in the SMM caliber was 50.5 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day; the average price of N-type dense material was 51 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous day; the average price of N-type reclaimed material was 52.25 yuan/kg, down 0.05 yuan/kg, with a basis of -1065 yuan/ton [16]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Polysilicon was still in a tug-of-war between reality and expectations. The supply-demand pattern may improve marginally, but the short-term destocking range was expected to be limited. The prices of silicon wafers and cells had loosened, and the price pressure still existed. The spot price of upstream silicon materials was relatively firm, facing the price feedback pressure from downstream. The price would fluctuate widely within the range under the influence of news. The focus in the future was still on the progress of the platform company and the price feedback of the industrial chain [17]. Glass and Soda Ash Glass - **Market Information**: At 15:00 on Monday, the main contract of glass closed at 1013 yuan/ton, up 2.63% (+26). The quoted price of large plates in North China was 1070 yuan, down 10 from the previous day; the quoted price in Central China was 1080 yuan, down 10 from the previous day. The weekly inventory of float glass sample enterprises was 63.303 million boxes, up 56,000 boxes (+0.09%). In terms of positions, the top 20 holders of long orders increased their positions by 9 lots today, and the top 20 holders of short orders decreased their positions by 39,552 lots [19]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Multiple glass production lines are expected to undergo cold repairs in December, and the supply-demand mismatch has been alleviated. Although the policy has released positive signals, the supply-demand structure is still imbalanced, and the short-term market is expected to continue to operate weakly [20]. Soda Ash - **Market Information**: At 15:00 on Monday, the main contract of soda ash closed at 1183 yuan/ton, up 1.11% (+13). The quoted price of heavy soda ash in Shahe was 1153 yuan, up 13 from the previous day. The weekly inventory of soda ash sample enterprises was 1.6444 million tons, down 62,900 tons (-3.70%), of which the inventory of heavy soda ash was 887,300 tons, down 19,800 tons, and the inventory of light soda ash was 757,100 tons, down 43,100 tons. In terms of positions, the top 20 holders of long orders decreased their positions by 21,776 lots today, and the top 20 holders of short orders decreased their positions by 50,267 lots [21]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The supply pressure in the soda ash market remains high, but the demand side has shown marginal improvement, and the cost support still exists. It is expected to maintain a shock consolidation pattern in the short term [22].
大越期货锰硅周报-20251125
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 02:32
交易咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】1091号 锰硅周报11.17-11.21 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号:F03105325 投资咨询证号:Z0021337 联系方式:0575-85226759 重要提示:本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用,不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户;市场有风险,投资需谨慎。 每周观点 本周观点: 从成本端来看,核心原料焦炭与锰矿市场均维持偏强运行态势。受原料价格高位传导影响,硅锰生产综合成本始终保 持坚挺格局。 从供应端来看,硅锰盘面近期持续承压震荡,市场普遍持观望偏悲观心态。北方地区合金厂保持正常 排单生产节奏,供应端释放相对平稳;南方水电地区受枯水期电价上涨带来的成本抬升影响,多数厂家选择避峰减 产,排产计划缩减,其余南方地区开工变化不大,整体投产积极性偏低。当前工厂报盘意愿低,议价重心走低,南方 工厂基本倒挂,厂家库存压力有所抬升。 从需求端来看,进入淡季,下游采购活力有所回落,本月河钢招标价5820 元/吨,环比上月平盘,钢厂秉持谨慎采购策略,按需补库节奏放缓,对硅锰市场价格形 ...
华宝期货黑色产业链周报-20251124
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 12:03
【华宝期货】黑色产业链周报 华宝期货 2025.11.24 以上内容谨代表个人观点,投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与华宝期货有限公司和作者无关,据此入市交易,风险自负!投资有风险,入市需谨慎! 目录 01 周度行情回顾 02 本周黑色行情预判 03 品种数据(铁矿石、煤焦、铁合金) 以上内容谨代表个人观点,投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与华宝期货有限公司和作者无关,据此入市交易,风险自负!投资有风险,入市需谨慎! 01 周度行情回顾 | 品种 | | | 期货主力合约收盘价格 | | 现货价格 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2025.11.21 | | 2025.11.14 价格变动 涨跌幅 | | 2025.11.21 | 2025.11.14 | | 价格变动 | | 螺纹钢 | RB2601 | 3057 | 3053 | 0.13% 4 | HRB400E: Φ20:汇总价格:上海 | 3220 | 3190 | 30 | 0.94% | | 热轧卷板 | HC2601 | 327 ...
铁合金日报-20251124
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 11:21
研究所 黑色金属研发报告 黑色金属日报 2025 年 11 月 24 日 投资咨询证号: Z0021009 联系方式: 铁合金日报 第一部分 市场信息 | | | | 期货 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 日变动 | 周变动 | 成交量 | 日变化 | 持仓量 | 日变化 | | SF主力合约 | 5456 | -16 | -206 | 360902 | 25320 | 205123 | 2936 | | SM主力合约 | 5630 | 24 | -162 | 202413 | 64380 | 397984 | -41457 | | | | | 现货 | | | | | | 硅铁 | 现货价格 | 日变动 | 周变动 | 硅锰 | 现货价格 | 日变动 | 周变动 | | 72%FeSi内蒙 | 5230 | -50 | -50 | 硅锰6517内蒙 | 5520 | 0 | -80 | | 72%FeSi宁夏 | 5230 | 0 | -20 | 硅锰6517宁夏 | 5480 | 20 | ...
瑞达期货锰硅硅铁产业日报-20251124
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 10:44
| 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | SM主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 5,630.00 | +24.00↑ SF主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) | 5,456.00 | -16.00↓ | | | SM期货合约持仓量(日,手) | 718,487.00 | -32735.00↓ SF期货合约持仓量(日,手) | 436,286.00 | -12267.00↓ | | | 锰硅前20名净持仓(日,手) | -7,574.00 | -181.00↓ 硅铁前20名净持仓(日,手) | -10,992.00 | +2577.00↑ | | | SM5-1月合约价差(日,元/吨) | 62.00 | -6.00↓ SF5-1月合约价差(日,元/吨) | -14.00 | +12.00↑ | | | SM 仓单(日,张) | 20,797.00 | +460.00↑ SF 仓单(日,张) | 9,039.00 | +763.00↑ | | | 内蒙古锰硅 FeMn68Si18 (日 ...
永安期货铁合金早报-20251124
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 05:26
铁合金早报 | | | | | | | | | | 2025/11/24 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 项目 | | 现货 | | 仓单 | | 盘面 | | | | | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 出厂价折盘面 | 最新 | | 日变化 | 周变化 | | 硅铁自然块 | 宁夏#72 | 5130 | -20 | -20 | 5430 | 主力合约 | 5472 | 26 | -68 | | | 内蒙#72 | 5200 | 0 | 0 | 5550 | 01合约 | 5442 | 32 | -48 | | 产区汇总价 | 青海#72 | 5170 | -30 | -30 | 5500 | 05合约 | 5416 | 16 | -86 | | | 陕西#72 | 5100 | -30 | -30 | 5400 | 09合约 | 5504 | 8 | -68 | | | 陕西#75 | 5700 | 0 | 0 | | 主力月基差 | -42 | -46 | 48 | | 硅铁合格块 | ...
黑色建材日报-20251124
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 02:43
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The steel demand has officially entered the off - season, with high inventory pressure on hot - rolled coils. The price is likely to continue weak and volatile in the short term, but there may be a marginal inflection point in demand with policy implementation and macro - environment improvement [3] - For iron ore, in the macro vacuum period, the market is likely to follow the real - world logic. It has strong supply, stable demand, and some resource shortages, and is expected to operate within a volatile range [6] - For ferroalloys, although the downward pressure on prices still exists, there is no need to be overly pessimistic, and the positive impact of December's macro - events on market sentiment is expected. It is recommended to focus on the inflection point of market sentiment and corresponding price changes [11] - For industrial silicon, it is expected to continue to operate in a volatile manner in the short term, and attention should be paid to phased emotional disturbances [15][16] - For polysilicon, it is caught between reality and expectations. The supply - demand pattern may improve marginally, but the short - term de - stocking amplitude is limited, and it is expected to oscillate widely within a range [18] - For glass, it is expected to continue to oscillate at the bottom, with limited room for further decline [21] - For soda ash, it is expected to maintain a weak operation before the glass demand shows substantial improvement [23] Group 3: Summary of Each Category Steel Market Quotes - The closing price of the rebar main contract was 3057 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan/ton (0.229%) from the previous trading day. The spot price in Tianjin decreased by 10 yuan/ton, while that in Shanghai increased by 10 yuan/ton. The closing price of the hot - rolled coil main contract was 3270 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton (0.091%) from the previous trading day. The spot prices in Lecong and Shanghai remained unchanged [2] Strategy Views - Rebar has both supply and demand increasing, with continuous inventory reduction, showing a neutral overall performance. Hot - rolled coils have rising terminal demand, slightly decreasing production, but still high inventory levels. In the short term, due to weak off - season demand and high plate inventory, prices are likely to continue weak and volatile. However, with policy implementation and macro - environment improvement, steel demand may have a marginal inflection point [3] Iron Ore Market Quotes - The main contract (I2601) closed at 785.50 yuan/ton, with a change of - 0.38% (- 3.00). The position changed by - 16984 hands to 46.05 million hands. The weighted position was 92.33 million hands. The spot price of PB powder at Qingdao Port was 788 yuan/wet ton, with a basis of 52.34 yuan/ton and a basis rate of 6.25% [5] Strategy Views - Supply: Overseas iron ore shipments rebounded significantly. Both Australian and Brazilian shipments increased, and shipments from non - mainstream countries also rose. Demand: The daily average pig iron output decreased, with more blast furnace overhauls than restarts. Inventory: Port inventory decreased slightly, and steel mill inventory was consumed. Overall, the total inventory is still high, with some resource shortages, and it is expected to operate within a volatile range [6] Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon Market Quotes - On November 21, the main contract of manganese silicon (SM601) closed down 0.14% at 5606 yuan/ton. The spot price in Tianjin was 5650 yuan/ton, with a premium of 234 yuan/ton over the futures. The main contract of ferrosilicon (SF603) closed up 0.48% at 5472 yuan/ton. The spot price in Tianjin was 5450 yuan/ton, at a discount of 22 yuan/ton to the futures [8][10] Strategy Views - The market risk appetite weakened last week. Ferroalloy prices declined significantly but may stop falling. It is recommended to focus on the inflection point of market sentiment and corresponding price changes. For the black sector, it may be more cost - effective to look for positions to rebound rather than short - sell. Manganese silicon's fundamentals are not good, and attention should be paid to the manganese ore situation. Ferrosilicon's supply - demand fundamentals have no obvious contradictions, with low operational cost - effectiveness [11][12] Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon Market Quotes - Industrial silicon: The main contract (SI2601) closed at 8960 yuan/ton, down 1.27% (- 115). The weighted position changed by - 14960 hands to 427668 hands. The spot price of 553 in East China was 9350 yuan/ton, and the basis was 390 yuan/ton; the spot price of 421 was 9800 yuan/ton, and the basis was 40 yuan/ton [14] - Polysilicon: The main contract (PS2601) closed at 53360 yuan/ton, up 1.73% (+ 910). The weighted position changed by - 6326 hands to 232072 hands. The average price of N - type granular silicon was 50.5 yuan/kg, and the basis was - 1060 yuan/ton [17] Strategy Views - Industrial silicon: The price continued to weaken last Friday. The supply is shrinking, and the demand is stable. The cost provides support, and it is expected to operate in a volatile manner in the short term [15][16] - Polysilicon: It is caught between reality and expectations. The supply - demand pattern may improve marginally, but the short - term de - stocking amplitude is limited, and it is expected to oscillate widely within a range [18] Glass and Soda Ash Market Quotes - Glass: The main contract closed at 989 yuan/ton on Friday, down 1.98% (- 20). The inventory of float glass sample enterprises increased by 5.60 million boxes (0.09%) week - on - week [20] - Soda ash: The main contract closed at 1158 yuan/ton on Friday, down 2.03% (- 24). The inventory of soda ash sample enterprises decreased by 6.29 million tons week - on - week [22] Strategy Views - Glass: The expectation of cold - repair of production lines in December is increasing, but the demand is weak, and the cost support is weakening. It is expected to oscillate at the bottom [21] - Soda ash: Although some devices were overhauled last week, the market is still oversupplied. The demand is divided, and it is expected to maintain a weak operation before the glass demand improves [23]
硅铁&锰硅产业链周度报告-20251123
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-23 12:00
资料来源:Mysteel、iFInd、国泰君安期货研究所 2 资料来源 Mysteel 、iFInd国泰君安期货研究所 : 硅铁&锰硅产业链周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所 黑色金属 李亚飞 投资咨询从业资格号: Z0021184 金园园 (联系人)从业资格号:F03134630 日期: 2025年11月23日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint 硅铁&锰硅观点:原料端情绪降温,合金补跌偏弱 | 基本面 | 条目 | | 硅铁(宁夏) | | | 锰硅(内蒙古) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 当期值 | 环比 | 同比 | 当期值 | 环比 | 同比 | | 供应 | 周产量(周) | 10.83 | -0.73% | -10.57% | 19.69 | -1.33% | 3.06% | | | 进口数量(9月) | 1.08 | 4.86% | -15.48% | 0.17 | -3.56% | -49.82% | | 需求 | 出 ...
锰硅周报:近期商品情绪低迷,继续关注临近月底宏观预期波动及市场情绪拐点-20251122
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-22 13:32
近期商品情绪低迷,继续关注临近 月底宏观预期波动及市场情绪拐点 锰硅周报 2025/11/22 陈张滢(黑色建材组) 0755-23375161 chenzy@wkqh.cn 从业资格号:F03098415 交易咨询号:Z0020771 CONTENTS 目录 01 周度评估及策略推荐 04 供给及需求 02 期现市场 05 库存 03 利润及成本 06 图形走势 产业链示意图 | 锰硅基本面评估 | 估值 驱动 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 基差 产量 | 生产利润测算 | 需求 | 锰硅库存 | 钢厂招标 | | | 周产量19.69万吨,环 | 内蒙-546元/吨,环比 | 螺纹钢周产量207.96 | | 河钢集团11月招标量 | | | 基差234元/吨, | -85元/吨;宁夏-682 | 万吨,环比+7.96万吨; | | 为16000吨,环比-500 | | 数据 | 比-0.26万吨,周产累 环比+112元/吨, | 元/吨,环比-95元/吨; | 日均铁水产量为 | 显性库存为46.96万吨, | 吨,同比+3700 ...