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碳酸锂价格暴涨,这家锂盐巨头却面临退市风险
以下文章来源于华夏能源网 ,作者www.hxny.com 华夏能源网 . 能源产业与财经信息服务平台 导语:四家盐湖提锂巨头中,只有西藏矿业由盈利转亏损。 "请董秘转告蔡方伟董事长……希望西藏矿业新领导在 2025 年仅有的半个月时间里收好关、起 好步,做好公司市值管理,别一上任就让西藏矿业股票 ST ……" 近日, 蔡方伟 刚刚当选西藏矿业( SZ : 000762 ) 非独立董事,拟接替辞任的董事长张金 涛, 有股民在投资者平台如是表示。 2025 年下半年以来,碳酸锂价格暴涨,多数锂盐厂商或扭亏为盈,或实现正向增长,而西藏矿 业的亏损却持续扩大。今年前三季度,西藏矿业实现营业收入仅 2.03 亿元,归母净利润 -721.74 万元,扣非净利润 -1948.93 万元。 根据规定,如果 A 股主板上市公司最近一个会计年度的净利润为负,且营业收入低于 3 亿元门 槛, 可能被实施退市风险警示 。西藏矿业岌岌可危。 但西藏矿业的麻烦远不止于此。 12 月 25 日,在挂牌价格打了七折的情况下,西藏矿业仍没有 转让出子公司白银扎布耶锂业有限公司(以下简称"白银扎布耶")。 如何让西藏矿业实现扭亏为盈,避免被 S ...
盐湖股份:4万吨锂盐项目顺利达成年度经营目标
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-31 05:39
盐湖股份表示,公司对碳酸锂行业的长期发展前景持坚定乐观态度。行业需求增长的核心驱动力明确且 强劲,一方面源于新能源汽车产业的持续扩容与渗透率提升,另一方面则依托储能领域的规模化发展带 来的增量需求。 凭借长期深耕形成的技术积累与工艺迭代优势,盐湖股份碳酸锂产品生产成本处于行业领先梯队,具备 突出的市场竞争韧性。后续,公司将以产品品质升级与成本精细化管控为双轮驱动,并深度融入阿米巴 经营理念,进一步筑牢核心竞争力。一是技术攻坚层面,公司将持续加大研发投入,推进生产工艺的迭 代升级,以高标准的全流程品控体系保障产品品质稳定性,进一步强化产品在市场中的议价能力。二是 成本管控层面,公司深度践行"算账经营"理念,构建"横向到边、纵向到底"的穿透式成本管控体系,推 动成本管理覆盖生产、采购、销售等全业务链条。在此基础上,公司推行阿米巴独立核算机制,将经营 目标层层分解至各最小经营单元,明确各单元的成本责任与效益目标,树立"全员、全流程、全要素"的 成本管控意识,激发全员主动降本增效的内生动力。通过降本节支、精益管理的系列举措,公司持续巩 固并扩大成本优势。 对于公司新建4万吨锂盐一体化项目生产经营情况,盐湖股份相关负责 ...
碳酸锂周报:碳酸锂市场强势突破,供应扰动与需求分化共振-20251229
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 02:15
碳酸锂市场强势突破,供应扰动与需求分化 共振 --碳酸锂周报(2025年12月15日-12月19日) 作 者:杨江涛 执业证书编号:F03117249 交易咨询编号:Z0022644 联 系 方 式:0371-58620082 本周观点 | 品种 | 逻辑驱动 | 策略及风险提示 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 【现货市场】:电池级碳酸锂现货周度上涨7.57%至103000元/吨,工业级上涨 | | | | 7.63%至101550元/吨,市场情绪高涨。但期货升水结构显著,基差环比扩大 | | | | 326.4%至-8400元/吨,显示现货跟涨乏力。 | 预计未来1-2周, | | | 【期货市场】:主力合约周度上涨14.0%至111400元/吨,周内最高触及113500元/ | 碳酸锂市场在情 | | | 吨,波动剧烈。持仓量环比增长5.1%,周内一度增至672711手,显示多空博弈加 | 绪与基本面背离 | | | 剧。 | 下,高位震荡加 | | | 【供应方面】:国内碳酸锂产能利用率维持83.52%高位,但氢氧化锂产能利用率 | 剧,上行空间或 | | | 环比下降2.44%至4 ...
碳酸锂:基差背离待修正,正极厂启动检修
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-28 08:39
二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 12 月 28 日 报告导读: 本周价格走势:大幅上行 碳酸锂期货合约本周大幅上行。2601 合约收于 127800 元/吨,周环比上涨 18080 元/吨,2605 合约 收于 130520 元/吨,周环比上涨 19120 元/吨,现货周环比上涨 14250 元/吨至 111900 元/吨。SMM 期现 基差(2601 合约)下跌 3830 元/吨至-15900 元/吨,富宝贸易商升贴水报价-2030 元/吨,周环比下跌 500 元/吨。2601-2605 合约价差-2720 元/吨,环比走弱 1040 元/吨。 供需基本面:正极淡季开启检修,去库速度延续放缓 原料:大厂复产预期再度延后。根据界面新闻报道,枧下窝锂矿采矿项目预计于春节前后复产。 碳酸锂:基差背离待修正,正极厂启动检修 | 邵婉嫕 | 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015722 | shaowanyi020696@gtjas.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 刘鸿儒 | 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0023466 | liuhongru028781@gtjas.com | 库存:本周碳酸锂库存去 ...
离谱!狂飙行情下做空碳酸锂,亏掉1000万!家里有矿的江特电机,套保变“套牢”?
雪球· 2025-12-28 05:25
Core Viewpoint - Jiangte Electric, a lithium salt producer, has incurred significant losses due to short-selling lithium carbonate futures, as prices surged past 130,000 RMB per ton, leading to a loss exceeding 10 million RMB in just 25 days [1][2][4]. Group 1: Losses and Financial Impact - The company's confirmed and floating losses from commodity futures and derivatives trading have reached over 10% of its audited net profit from the previous year, amounting to more than 10 million RMB [4]. - Jiangte Electric's trading activities are aimed at mitigating operational risks from price fluctuations in raw materials and products, but the recent rise in lithium carbonate prices has resulted in substantial losses in its futures account [7]. - The company plans to account for these trading activities according to the relevant accounting standards, with the actual impact on annual profits to be determined by real gains or losses [7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Price Fluctuations - The lithium carbonate market has experienced significant volatility, with prices dropping to below 70,000 RMB per ton before rebounding sharply due to increased demand from energy storage and regulatory changes [12][13]. - By December 26, the main contract for lithium carbonate futures surpassed 130,000 RMB per ton, marking an increase of over 8% and reaching a new high since November 2023 [13]. - The rapid V-shaped recovery in lithium prices caught many short-sellers, including Jiangte Electric, off guard, leading to unexpected financial strain [13]. Group 3: Future Strategies and Business Outlook - Jiangte Electric has prepared for its 2025 hedging activities with a planned guarantee amount not exceeding 300 million RMB, emphasizing a strategy focused on risk mitigation rather than speculative trading [12]. - The company has increased its hedging limit significantly in response to market conditions, from 100 million RMB to 300 million RMB, while also introducing copper futures to hedge against raw material risks [15]. - Despite some hedging success, the company faces ongoing challenges in its core business, with revenue and profit figures indicating a downward trend, including a projected net loss of 1.13 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025 [17].
第一创业晨会纪要-20251226
Group 1: Industry Overview - The report highlights that domestic discrete device manufacturers, such as Shenzhen Hekaitai, are increasing prices for thick film chip resistors by 8%-20% and semiconductor devices by 5%-20% due to significant rises in global metal raw material prices, particularly copper, silver, palladium, ruthenium, nickel, and tin [2] - The electronic cigarette industry is facing stricter regulations as the National Tobacco Monopoly Administration has proposed a notice to regulate production investments, limiting new projects and capacity increases, which is expected to intensify competition within the industry [2] Group 2: Advanced Manufacturing - Hualian Holdings has acquired a high-quality salt lake resource project in Argentina, with approximately 4.122 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) resources, positioning it among the top tier globally. The project's disclosed production cost is about 38,000 yuan per ton, making it highly competitive [5] - The report notes a shift in the competitive landscape for lithium resources, with salt lake lithium extraction emerging as the most profitable and advantageous method, especially as high-cost resources are phased out [5] Group 3: Consumer Sector - The film market is experiencing a significant recovery, with total box office revenue reaching 51.074 billion yuan as of December 23, 2025, surpassing the same period in 2024. The holiday season is identified as a key growth driver, with a diverse range of films catering to various audience preferences [7] - Several major films are set to release at the end of December 2025, which is expected to further boost box office performance and benefit film production and cinema sectors, highlighting the strategic importance of upcoming releases [8]
交易规则调整,碳酸锂价格宽幅震荡
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-12-26 03:19
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-12-26 交易规则调整,碳酸锂价格宽幅震荡 市场分析 2025-12-25,碳酸锂主力合约2605开于118740元/吨,收于123520元/吨,当日收盘价较昨日结算价变化0.44%。当日 成交量为924823手,持仓量为607187手,前一交易日持仓量647366手,根据SMM现货报价,目前基差为-16560元/ 吨(电碳均价-期货)。当日碳酸锂仓单17101手,较上个交易日变化0手。2025年12月26日起,广期所调整碳酸锂期 货12个合约的交易规则,包括最小开仓下单数量及单日开仓限额,以应对近期价格剧烈波动。 碳酸锂现货:根据SMM数据,电池级碳酸锂报价97800-112000元/吨,较前一交易日变化3400元/吨,工业级碳酸锂 报价97500-107000元/吨,较前一交易日变化3400元/吨。6%锂精矿价格1450美元/吨,较前一日变化0美元/吨。SMM 方面消息显示,从市场实际成交来看,上游大部分锂盐厂以保长协为主,散单成交较少;下游材料厂对当前高价 普遍持谨慎观望态度,采购仍以刚需及长协客供加量为主,并结合下月排产情况来调整采货节奏;碳酸锂现货市 场整体成交 ...
碳酸锂:正极大厂检修,关注回调风险
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-26 01:52
2025 年 12 月 26 日 碳酸锂:正极大厂检修,关注回调风险 | | 邵婉嫕 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015722 | shaowanyi@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | | | 刘鸿儒(联系人) 期货从业资格号:F03124172 | liuhongru@gtht.com | | 【基本面跟踪】 | | | | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2601合约(收盘价) | 121,540 | -1,220 | 17,100 | 24,560 | 26,140 | 48,200 | | | | 2601合约(成交量) | 33,379 | 2,991 | -4,252 | -21,819 | -477,900 | -77,381 | | | | 2601合约(持仓量) | 26,492 | -11,509 | -42,377 | -92,245 | -316,707 | -147,383 | | | ...
头太铁!他在狂飙行情下做空碳酸锂,亏掉上千万!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 14:55
"做空"本是套期保值的常规动作,却在碳酸锂身上演成了"吞金兽"。今日,江特电机一纸公告震惊市 场:公司用于对冲现货风险的碳酸锂期货空单,因价格持续飙升,已确认及浮亏金额超过1000万元! 在碳酸锂如此狂飙的行情之下,竟然还敢坚持做空,让我们一起来看看到底是怎么个事儿? 01 资金狂潮下的价格狂飙 这种狂热背后,是供需格局的实质性收紧。据上海钢联数据,12月国内锂盐厂库存仅剩2.4万吨,社会 库存连续13周下降,累计去库2.2万吨,创期货上市以来新低。与此同时,储能领域需求爆发式增长: 2026年全球储能市场预计维持50%增速,国内12月"动力 + 储能 + 消费"电池排产量达220GWh,环比增 长5.3%,其中储能占比显著提升。供需错配下,碳酸锂价格开启"长周期紧平衡"通道。 12月24日晚间,广期所紧急调整交易规则,将碳酸锂期货LC2601-LC2605合约的最小开仓下单数量从1 手提升至5手,并对非期货公司会员的单日开仓量实施400手限额,试图为过热的市场降温。12月25日, 市场情绪出现分化,早盘,碳酸锂价格一度下探,但尾盘又再度上扬,显示出市场多空双方激烈博弈, 价格波动加剧。 风浪越大鱼越贵,波动 ...
天齐锂业弃用SMM定价锚,锂盐巨头打响“价格基准”争夺战
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-25 14:30
据21财经消息,12月25日,一份关于锂盐现货结算价调整的文件在行业内流传。文件显示,自2026 年1月1日起,天齐锂业所有产品现货交易结算价将不再参考现有标准,调整为参考Mysteel(上海钢 联)的电池级锂盐价格,或者参考广期所的碳酸锂期货主力合约价格。 调整的导火索直指碳酸锂市场现货价格与期货价格之间日益扩大的鸿沟。以12月24日为例,当天广 期所碳酸锂近月合约LC2601的结算价为12.1万元/吨,而SMM的电池级碳酸锂市场均价则为10.15万元/ 吨,价差接近2万元/吨。 01 巨头的抉择 从天齐锂业发布的定价调整文件来看,此次变动并非心血来潮。文件明确指出,近期受市场多重因 素影响,SMM的产品报价与现货公允价值及期货价格出现了"持续且显著的偏离",这种"结构性差 异"已超出公司正常经营风险承受范围,对供应链稳定构成了挑战。 作为国内锂盐行业的龙头企业,天齐锂业的定价调整迅速引发行业广泛关注。新定价体系为客户提 供了两种选择:参考上海钢联的优质电池级碳酸锂或氢氧化锂价格,或者参考广期所碳酸锂主力合约价 格。 值得注意的是,上海钢联向市场提供三种参考价:优质电池级碳酸锂、电池级碳酸锂和工业级碳酸 锂 ...