据巴西外交部 7 月 10 日公告，针对美国拟对巴西金属制品加征 50% 关税，巴西将等额反制美国大豆与玉米进口。 贸易（资料图） 巴西近年持续降低对美市场依赖。对美出口占比从 2018 年的 23% 降至 2024 年的 16%，对华大豆出口量三年增长 47%。金砖国家内部贸易额突破 1.8 万亿 美元，巴西与印度、南非的本币结算规模同比扩大 3 倍。中国外交部发言人在例行记者会上表示，反对任何形式的单边关税措施，贸易争端应通过多边机制 解决。中国与巴西的贸易额去年达 1875 亿美元，双方已实现人民币与雷亚尔直接兑换，结算效率提升 40%。 特朗普（资料图） 特朗普政府此次关税政策直指巴西前总统博索纳罗相关调查。美方声称巴西司法程序 "损害美国企业利益"，实则插手南美国家内政。博索纳罗任内与美国 在军事合作、资源开发领域绑定紧密，卢拉政府启动调查后，美方迅速以贸易手段施压。巴西总统卢拉在金砖国家峰会上的表态成为另一重诱因。他公开批 评 "某些国家用美元霸权收割全球"，呼吁新兴经济体加强本币结算合作。这番言论正值金砖国家扩容至 15 国，美国情报部门评估显示，该机制已对美元主 导的结算体系构成 "实质性挑战 ...

Core Insights - Sovereign investment institutions are significantly increasing their interest in the Chinese market, with 59% of respondents planning to allocate more resources to China over the next five years [1][6] - The report highlights China's leadership in technology innovation and its role as a leader in the green transition, particularly in clean energy and green technology [1][8] Group 1: Investment Trends - 73% of North American sovereign wealth funds believe they will increase their allocation to China in the next five years, while 88% of Asia-Pacific sovereign wealth funds share this sentiment [2][6] - The focus is shifting towards innovation-driven sectors in China, which are expected to establish global leadership positions [5][11] - Sovereign wealth funds are increasingly viewing China as a global leader in sectors such as semiconductors, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, electric vehicles, and renewable energy infrastructure [7][8] Group 2: Sector Preferences - When asked about the most attractive industries in China over the next 3-5 years, 89% of sovereign wealth funds mentioned digital technology and software, 70% cited advanced manufacturing and automation, and 70% highlighted clean energy and green technology [11] - 48% of respondents identified healthcare and biotechnology as attractive sectors, indicating a broad interest in various high-growth industries [11] Group 3: Central Bank Insights - 64% of central banks plan to increase their gold reserves in the next two years, reflecting a strategic shift in reserve management amid geopolitical instability [13] - 47% of central banks expect to increase gold allocation over the next three years, viewing gold as a strategic hedge against rising U.S. debt levels and global fragmentation [13]

在人才群体方面，专业/技术人才薪酬增速持续领跑，月平均薪酬中位值达13025元/月，技能人才薪酬 保持稳定增长，高级技师、技师、高级工月平均薪酬中位值分别为12992元/月、11754元/月、11384元/ 月。 7月14日，北京市人力资源和社会保障局发布《2025年北京市人力资源市场薪酬数据报告（二季度）》 （以下简称《报告》），从重点产业、群体、岗位等不同维度对本市薪酬水平展开分析。公众可登录北 京市人力资源和社会保障局官网，找到首页"热点服务栏目"中的"劳动关系网上服务系统"，点击"人力 资源市场薪酬数据季度报告查询"即可查看。 二季度，北京市经济延续稳定向好发展态势，市场消费继续恢复，整体薪酬水平保持稳定。在"人工智 能+"政策赋能下，集成电路产业、智能/高端制造产业薪酬保持较好增速，月平均薪酬中位值分别为 16567元/月和13895元/月。在服务型消费持续升温的带动下，文创/文旅及生活服务产业月平均薪酬中位 值分别达到10664元/月及8271元/月。 《报告》中的薪酬水平统计口径均为2025年二季度各月份税前应发工资总额（包含基本工资、绩效工 资、奖金、销售提成及相关津贴福利待遇）进行算术平均， ...

Core Viewpoint - The report discusses the new cycle of the science and technology innovation market, driven by macroeconomic changes, industry trends, and market dynamics, particularly focusing on the impact of AI and related sectors on investment opportunities and strategies. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The science and technology innovation market has shown structural opportunities since the beginning of the year, with the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index rising approximately 18% from the start of the year, particularly in AI, robotics, and semiconductor sectors [2][17] - The AI sector has demonstrated a spillover effect, positively impacting related fields such as innovative pharmaceuticals, smart healthcare, and national defense industries [2][17] - The Hong Kong stock market has outperformed the A-share market, with the Hang Seng Technology Index rising 40.1% compared to the 18.0% and 10.7% increases in the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index and the ChiNext Index, respectively [2][18] Group 2: Driving Factors - Continuous support policies for science and technology innovation have been implemented, focusing on financing support and capital market reforms, including the establishment of a national venture capital fund targeting cutting-edge fields like AI and quantum technology [3][22][24] - The DeepSeek technology breakthrough is reshaping the global technology narrative, enhancing China's position in the AI sector and potentially boosting GDP by an additional 9.8% by 2035 [4][28][30] - The impact of tariffs on the profitability of science and technology enterprises is expected to be limited, with a trend towards domestic substitution and international expansion [5][31][32] Group 3: Industry Trends - The AI industry is entering a new phase of commercialization, with significant advancements in large model performance and a growing demand for AI applications across various sectors [9][10] - High-end manufacturing is experiencing marginal improvements in supply-demand dynamics, with capital expenditures in sectors like batteries and consumer electronics showing signs of expansion [10] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector is benefiting from policy optimization and accelerated internationalization, with a notable increase in license-out transactions [11][14] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Strategies - The valuation of science and technology enterprises has room for improvement, with the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index and ChiNext Index showing forward P/E ratios of 50.7x and 21.6x, respectively, indicating a divergence in valuation across sectors [12][13] - The report suggests that the science and technology innovation sector remains a suitable allocation in the current environment, with a focus on AI, high-end manufacturing, and innovative pharmaceuticals as key areas for investment [13][14]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the performance of the "Debang High-end Equipment" fund, which reported a net value decrease of 3.55% in Q2, significantly underperforming its benchmark by 4.12% [2] - Since its inception on March 14, 2025, the fund has accumulated a return of -20.57%, which is substantially lower than its performance benchmark [2] - The fund manager, Lu Yang, has a background in securities investment research and has been managing the fund since its establishment [4][6] Group 2 - Lu Yang manages three products at Debang Fund, with a total management scale of 1.215 billion yuan, where "Debang High-end Equipment" is his first independently managed product [6] - The performance of Lu Yang's other funds shows significant divergence, with "Debang Xinxing Value" achieving a cumulative return of 11.6% this year and 57.41% over the past year, while "Debang High-end Equipment" has underperformed [7][8] - Despite the poor performance of "Debang High-end Equipment," its share increased to 1.22 million units, a 3.07-fold growth from the previous quarter, indicating investor confidence in Lu Yang's management capabilities [9][11] Group 3 - The growth in shares of "Debang High-end Equipment" is primarily attributed to the C share class, which saw a remarkable increase from 0.16 million to 1.06 million units [11] - The fund focuses on high-end manufacturing sectors, particularly humanoid robots, and aims to capitalize on the accelerating industrialization of this technology [12][16] - The contrasting performance of "Debang High-end Equipment" and "Debang Xinxing Value" is due to their focus on different market segments, with the latter concentrating on the AI industry chain [16]

来源：热点解码局 中国连续15年稳居全球制造业首位，是规模优势与创新升级共同作用的结果。以下从核心数据、产业升 级、支撑因素及未来挑战四个维度综合分析： 核心数据与全球地位 规模与持续性 增加值：2024年制造业增加值突破40.5万亿元，连续15年居全球第一，占全球制造业比重约30%，超过 美、日、德三国总和。 工业品产量：220余种主要工业品（如光伏组件、新能源车、船舶、工程机械）产量全球第一，涵盖电 子、机械、化工等领域。 全产业链优势 中国拥有全球最完备的产业体系，涵盖41个工业大类、666个工业小类，供应链自主可控率达90%以 上。工业机器人密度达每万人470台，全球第三，生产效率提升显著。 ⚙️ 产业升级与技术突破 高端制造自主化 技术攻坚：国产电磁弹射航母福建舰、C919大飞机、CR450高铁、深海探测装备实现自主突破，填 补"卡脖子"领域空白。 新质生产力：新能源汽车2024年产量超1300万辆（占全球60%），光伏组件占全球80%份额，人形机器 人、AI大模型赋能千行百业。 出口贡献：2024年货物出口总额6.16万亿美元，连续7年全球第一，全球50%钢铁、60%家电、80%空调 依赖中国供应 ...

为啥说这三个要求很离谱，先说俄乌战争，中俄之间的合作是正常的贸易关系，不针对第三方，我们同时还跟乌克兰保持贸易关系呢，中国明确表态不希 望俄罗斯输是因为俄罗斯一旦失败后就轮到中国了。 产能过剩一直是个幌子，从全球视角来看，并不存在所谓产能过剩反而产能还有缺口，这不过是欧盟产业竞争力下降而引发的过度焦虑，而稀土的指责更 离谱了，实际上我们并没有拿稀土难为欧盟。 欧盟误判形势恐落个两头挨打的下场，本来今年是中欧建交50周年，中欧之间安排了不少高层交流议程，但很显然欧盟还在打小算盘，欧盟主席冯德莱恩 突然对中国提出了三项离谱要求。 看来欧盟还是想讨好美国，希望能先跟美国达成贸易协议，这三项要求分别是：要求中国切断与俄罗斯的正常贸易，停止支持俄罗斯；要求中国解决"产 能过剩"问题；要求中国取消稀土的出口管制。 既然欧盟这样出招，中国也算看明白了，本来中国还希望欧盟成为多极化世界中的一极，但显然欧盟跟日韩一样，顶多算是美国的附庸，没有美国的批 准，欧盟啥事都干不了，想想也是，毕竟美国掌控着北约呢。 不光欧盟跳出来找茬，就连乌克兰也突然开始针对中国，泽连斯基不但对五家中国公司实施制裁，乌克兰安全局还在基辅以间谍罪名义逮捕 ...

近日，中国船舶公告称，公司发行股份吸收合并中国重工的重大资产重组事项，获上海证券交易所并购 重组审核委员会审议通过。标志着中国造船工业史上规模最大的资本市场运作进入最后的收官阶段。 据数据统计，今年上半年，1493家A股上市公司共计筹划1984单并购重组计划。其中，构成重大资产重 组的有102单，相比去年同期的46单增长121.74%。 值得一提的是，上述102单重大资产重组中，央国企占据28单，占比27%。其中，央企控股上市公司重 组达10单，地方国有上市公司重组18单。尤为引人注目的是，这些重组案纷纷瞄准半导体、AI、新能 源等硬科技领域，展现了央国企在资本市场的新动向。 "央国企在并购重组中主要聚焦于半导体、人工智能、生物医药以及高端制造等关键领域。这些领域与 国家产业发展战略紧密关联，是推动经济高质量发展的重要引擎。"港股100强研究中心顾问、经济学家 余丰慧对《华夏时报》记者表示。具体来说，通过并购重组，央国企能够优化资源配置，加强在战略性 新兴产业中的布局，促进产业结构升级，实现从传统制造业向先进制造业的转型。 硬科技并购潮起 近年来，央企在硬科技领域的并购活动日益频繁。半导体、人工智能、生物医药 ...

我对这种第二种观点并不完全认同。无论东北地区成本高的原因是什么，最终结果都是成本高。在全球化的时代，市场规则是赢家通吃的。即便在同样的价 格下，长三角和珠三角的企业能够盈利，黑龙江的工厂却可能面临亏损，亏损几年来，企业也许只好选择关停，这显然是不利于地方经济发展的。这种现象 源于经济规律，没有哪个政策能够持久地逆转经济的基本法则。美国的五大湖地区、德国的鲁尔工业区以及前苏联的乌克兰，无一例外都是经历了经济衰 退，东北地区并不是第一个，也同样不会是最后一个。 另一种看法则认为，虽然东北的成本较高，但这种情况不仅仅是因为效率的低下，地域差异也是不可忽视的因素，更重要的是政策的影响。例如，哈尔滨的 高端制造业几乎只剩下了汽轮机生产，但为何不考虑将汽轮机的制造搬到成本更低的地区呢？每个省份都有其独特的产业定位，不可能所有产品在东北的生 产都拥有高成本。因此，必定有一些产品是能够在成本上占据优势的，关键在于是否能够实现市场化，开放相关政策并给予必要的支持，促进其发展。 一种观点指出，低效率导致了高生产成本，而东北地区的运输费用又相对偏高。从区域市场来看，长三角和珠三角是拥有超过10亿人口的庞大市场，而东北 三省仅有1亿 ...

Core Insights - Zhengzhou's foreign trade achieved a total import and export value of 228.57 billion yuan in the first five months of this year, marking a year-on-year growth of 40.8%, ranking first among central cities, national central cities, and fourth among provincial capitals nationwide [1] Group 1: Trade Performance - The main drivers of Zhengzhou's foreign trade growth are electromechanical products and high-tech products, with electromechanical product exports reaching 125.27 billion yuan, up 76.3% year-on-year, and high-tech product exports at 100.77 billion yuan, up 92.9% [1] - Electric vehicle exports saw a remarkable increase of 243.6% year-on-year, becoming a new highlight in foreign trade growth [1] - The import of high-end products is also on the rise, with electromechanical products and high-tech products accounting for 82.9% and 69.2% of total imports, respectively, indicating strong demand for industrial upgrading and technological innovation [1] Group 2: Market Diversification - Zhengzhou has established trade relations with 226 countries and regions globally, with the EU, ASEAN, the US, Japan, India, and South Korea being the main trading partners, collectively accounting for 55.8% of the city's total foreign trade [1] - Trade growth with markets such as Brazil, Malaysia, and Germany has been significant, further enhancing Zhengzhou's resilience against external risks [1] Group 3: Logistics and Infrastructure - Zhengzhou's efficient logistics system is a significant advantage for its foreign trade development, leveraging multiple transportation modes including air, water, and road to create convenient international trade channels [2] - In the first five months, air transport accounted for 143.91 billion yuan in import and export goods, a year-on-year increase of 56.3%, representing 63% of the city's total foreign trade [2] - The Zhengzhou Airport Economic Zone has improved customs efficiency through a multi-modal transport system, facilitating the rapid development of new business models such as cross-border e-commerce [2] Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts attribute Zhengzhou's rapid foreign trade growth to dual drivers of industrial upgrading and policy support, indicating a shift towards high value-added industries [2] - The Zhengzhou Municipal Bureau of Commerce aims to optimize the foreign trade structure, targeting over 6,000 enterprises with import and export achievements by the end of the year, while maintaining a high-tech product export ratio of over 60% [2]