Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - US economic data improved, but tariff risks are approaching. Optimism about the US economic outlook increased, driving up the US stock market, while European stocks fell due to China's anti - dumping duties on EU brandy. Market expectations for interest rate cuts decreased, and there were various developments in trade negotiations and fiscal policies [1][10]. Summary by Directory 1. Overseas Market One - Week Review - **Equity Markets**: US stocks rose, with the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq up 1.72%, 2.30%, and 1.62% respectively. European, Japanese, and South Korean stocks fell. The decline of European stocks was due to China's anti - dumping duties on EU brandy [1][10]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar fluctuated and slightly declined, with the dollar index down 0.28%. The euro, yen, and RMB appreciated against the US dollar [10]. - **Interest Rates**: US Treasury yields rose. The 2Y and 10Y US Treasuries rose 15BP and 6BP respectively, as market expectations for interest rate cuts cooled [11]. - **Commodities**: Oil prices rose, with WTI crude up 3.0%. Gold slightly declined, with COMEX gold down 0.3% [11]. 2. Overseas Policies and Key News 2.1 Overseas Central Bank Dynamics - Fed Chairman Powell remained neutral, while other officials were hawkish. Market expectations for interest rate cuts cooled significantly, with the expected number of cuts this year dropping from 3 to 2 [2][27]. 2.2 Trump Policy Tracking - **Trade Negotiations**: The US and Vietnam reached an agreement. Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff to the US and a 40% tariff on transshipment goods. The US hopes to open the Vietnamese market [3][32]. - **"Big and Beautiful" Act**: Trump signed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, raising the US debt ceiling by $5 trillion. It is expected to increase the US deficit by nearly $3.4 trillion in the next decade [3][32]. 3. Overseas Economic Fundamental High - Frequency Tracking 3.1 Overall Prosperity - Bloomberg's median forecast shows that the US recession probability is 37.5% (40% a month ago), and the eurozone recession probability is 30%. The economic activities in the US and Germany cooled [39][41]. 3.2 Employment - The number of initial jobless claims decreased to 233,000, lower than expected and lower than the same period in 2024. The number of continuous unemployment benefit recipients remained flat [46]. 3.3 Demand - US retail sales rebounded, airport security checks decreased, and railway transportation increased. Mortgage rates slightly decreased, and real - estate market activities slightly picked up [51]. 3.4 Production - The US production side remained more prosperous than the same period last year, with high utilization rates of crude steel and refinery capacities [55]. 3.5 Shipping - International freight rates continued to decline. The export demand from Chinese ports in Ningbo and Shanghai also decreased [57][59]. 3.6 Price - US retail gasoline prices fell, but inflation expectations in the swap market rose [61]. 3.7 Financial Conditions - US financial pressure decreased, and credit spreads narrowed [64]. 4. Next Week's Overseas Important Event Reminders - The suspension period of "reciprocal tariffs" expires, and the Fed will release the minutes of the June FOMC meeting [6].

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Commerce has notified companies to resume exports of chip design software, ethane, and aircraft engines to China, indicating a potential easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China [1][2] - The recent adjustments by the U.S. are seen as a return to mutually beneficial principles rather than concessions to China, as the previous restrictions were deemed unreasonable [2][3] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce has confirmed that both sides are working to implement the agreements reached during recent economic talks, emphasizing the importance of dialogue and cooperation [3][4] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that while the U.S. has lifted some export bans, the unpredictability of U.S. policies may continue, and China will maintain its focus on strategic and technological independence [6][7] - The lifting of restrictions is expected to delay the domestic production of jet engines in China but will not halt the progress of the C919 aircraft project [6][7] - The U.S. government's recent policy changes reflect its need to attract investment and expand trade with China, especially in light of domestic economic challenges [9][10]

Domestic News - The Ministry of Commerce will strengthen guidance on the export of used cars, promoting healthy and orderly development of the used car export market [2] - In May 2025, the total import and export value of automobiles reached $25.06 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2%. Exports accounted for $20.67 billion, up 12.2% year-on-year [3] - NIO Day 2025 has been rescheduled to autumn due to various logistical considerations, with the specific date to be announced later [4] - Avita Motors announced a full OTA upgrade to its models, enhancing features such as collision pre-unlock and emergency steering assistance [5][6] - Geely Auto signed a dealership agreement with Anlijie Auto to jointly explore the Italian new energy vehicle market, establishing a complete business system in Italy [8][9] - Changan Automobile has initiated site selection for a new factory in Europe to support its local sales strategy [9] - A nationwide solution for determining liability in human-machine co-driving accidents has been implemented, enhancing claims efficiency and consumer protection [10] International News - The U.S. has lifted export restrictions on three major chip design software suppliers to China, facilitating access to critical EDA tools for Chinese chip design companies [11] - In June 2025, new registrations of passenger cars in Germany fell by 13.8% year-on-year, with a total of 256,193 vehicles registered [12] - GlobalLogic has been selected as a strategic partner by Volvo Cars to enhance digital mobility solutions and improve operational efficiency [13] - BMW's automated charging robot has completed concept validation and will be deployed based on future market conditions [14] Commercial Vehicles - The new national standard for urban logistics vehicle selection has been implemented as of July 1, 2025 [15] - Weichai's new generation light truck X7 has been officially launched, featuring advanced battery technology for enhanced performance [16] - Weidu Technology's Windrose electric heavy truck has received dual certifications from the U.S. EPA and CARB, marking a significant milestone for entry into the North American market [17] - JD Logistics has introduced its self-developed VAN unmanned light truck, capable of 400 km range and L4 level autonomous driving [18]

据环球网消息，7月2日，路透社消息称美国政府撤销对华乙烷出口限制，8艘滞留船只驶往中国，中美 贸易现新动向。这事得从6月说起。当时美国商务部限制美企对华出口乙烷，导致6月美对华出口量直接 归零，8艘装满乙烷的船只能在墨西哥湾漂着，美国企业急得不行，到处找别的买家。可数据摆在那， 中国一直是美国乙烷的大市场，之前中国进口的美国乙烷占其出口量的一半，5月份美国还每天向中国 出口25.7万桶呢。 现在限制一解除，船马上就往中国开，这说明啥？说明美国企业根本离不开中国市场。不只是乙烷，美 国还宣布不再限制对华出口芯片设计软件，西门子接到通知后第一时间就恢复了中国客户的权限。之前 中美在稀土出口问题上也达成了一致，美国相应取消了一系列对华限制措施。这些动作可不多见，要知 道以前美国尤其是特朗普时期，对华态度可强硬了，老喜欢挥舞关税大棒，觉得这样就能让中国让步。 特朗普在美国国会大厦（资料图） 但事实是，中国不仅扛住了压力，还让美国自己调整了政策。从这能看出几个变化。首先，中国这波应 对得漂亮。美国以为加关税就能让中国妥协，结果中国没屈服，反而让美国不得不取消限制。这就像给 美国上了一课，让他们明白得好好和中国打交道。其 ...

Group 1: U.S.-China Relations and Technology - The U.S. government has lifted export restrictions on chip design software to China, allowing companies like Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens to fully restore access to their software and technology for Chinese clients [1] - The U.S. Commerce Department has not confirmed reports of President Biden planning to lead a business delegation to China, emphasizing the need for mutual respect and cooperation in U.S.-China economic relations [1] Group 2: AI Developments - Grok 4 has been introduced as the latest flagship model by xAI, boasting unparalleled performance in natural language, mathematics, and reasoning, with future support for visual and image generation [2] - The news publishing industry is facing challenges as traffic from AI-driven search results is increasing, leading to a decline in direct visits to news websites, with a significant drop in natural traffic from over 2.3 billion visits to below 1.7 billion [3] Group 3: Medical Device Regulations - The National Medical Products Administration of China is implementing supportive policies for high-end medical devices based on brain-computer interface technology, aiming to optimize the review process for innovative medical devices [5] Group 4: Corporate News - Xiaomi's founder Lei Jun expressed regret over the company's first self-developed chip, Pinecone, during a live stream, indicating a shift in focus to their new chip, Surge O1 [6] - Xiaomi has recently applied for multiple "REDMI" trademarks across various categories, indicating potential expansion into new markets [6] Group 5: Legal and Market Developments - Yongtai Technology has filed a lawsuit against Tianci Materials for defamation, with the case involving a total claim of 57.52 million RMB [7] - Dong Mingzhu, the chairwoman of Gree Electric Appliances, has fallen off the list of the most powerful businesswomen in China for the first time in 15 years, highlighting a shift in recognition towards female entrepreneurs in the AI sector [7] Group 6: Gaming Regulations - Tencent Games has announced that minors will be limited to a total of 27 hours of gaming during the summer vacation, aligning with similar regulations from NetEase Games [7]

Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 147,000 in June, better than expected, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropping to 4.1% [11] - The market has reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July and September following strong employment data [3][11] Trade and Tariffs - U.S. Treasury Secretary warned that about 100 countries may face at least a 10% reciprocal tariff, with Trump set to inform trade partners about unilateral tariff rates [11] - The "Big and Beautiful" bill passed the House despite two Republican defections, with Trump expected to sign it [14] Oil Production - OPEC+ is discussing an increase in production by 411,000 barrels per day in August [14] Stock Market Performance - U.S. stock indices rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.77%, S&P 500 up 0.83%, and Nasdaq up over 1.02% [5] - European stock indices also saw gains, with Germany's DAX30 up 0.61% and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.55% [6] Commodity Prices - Spot gold fell significantly, dropping over $50 to a low of $3,311.65 before closing at $3,325.50 per ounce, down 0.94% [4][8] - WTI crude oil fluctuated around $66, closing down 0.58% at $66.23 per barrel, while Brent crude fell 0.39% to $68.51 [5][8] Chinese Market Developments - The A-share market saw all three major indices close in the green, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.18% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.17% [7] - The biotechnology sector showed strength, with several stocks rising over 10% [7]

Group 1: Legislative Developments - The U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's large-scale tax and spending bill, known as the "Big and Beautiful" bill, with a vote of 218 in favor and 214 against [1] - The bill has been controversial due to cuts in federal aid, increased long-term debt, and tax reductions for the wealthy and large corporations [1] - The bill was previously approved by the Senate and is set to be signed by Trump on July 4, coinciding with Independence Day [1] Group 2: Market Performance - On July 3, U.S. stock markets closed early, with the S&P 500 index rising by 0.83%, the Nasdaq by 1.02%, and the Dow Jones by 344.11 points, or 0.77% [2] - The S&P 500 index reached a new historical closing high for the seventh time this year, while the Nasdaq achieved its fourth closing high of the year [2] - For the week, the S&P 500 index increased by 1.7%, the Nasdaq by 1.6%, and the Dow by 2.3% [2] Group 3: Sector Performance - Technology stocks generally rose, with Nvidia increasing by 1.33% to a historical high of $159.34, bringing its market capitalization to $3.89 trillion [3] - Chinese concept stocks showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 0.40% [6] - The solar panel sector saw significant gains, with companies like Xuri Sheng Technology rising over 19% and Daqo New Energy ADR increasing over 7% [6] Group 4: Economic Indicators - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for June showed an increase of 147,000 jobs, significantly above expectations, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1% [9] - The ISM non-manufacturing PMI for June reported at 50.8, exceeding expectations of 50.5, indicating continued growth in the services sector [10] - Industrial orders in the U.S. for May increased by 8.2%, marking the largest growth since 2014 [11]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce of China responded to reports about the U.S. President's planned visit to China, emphasizing the need for mutual respect and cooperation to enhance U.S.-China economic relations [2] - The U.S. Department of Commerce has lifted the requirement for government licenses for three major chip design software suppliers, allowing them to fully restore access to their services in China [2] - The U.S. House of Representatives passed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which is controversial due to its impact on federal aid and long-term debt, with an estimated increase in the budget deficit by $3.4 trillion over the next decade [2] Group 2 - The State Council has issued a document to replicate and promote 77 pilot measures from the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, covering various sectors including digital trade and risk prevention [3] - China and the EU held a high-level strategic dialogue, with a focus on enhancing cooperation and maintaining international order amidst rising uncertainties [3] - In May, China's service trade imports and exports totaled 32,543.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with exports growing by 15.1% [4] Group 3 - The A-share market saw a rebound, led by consumer electronics and innovative pharmaceuticals, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,461.15 points, up 0.18% [5] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 0.63%, marking five consecutive declines, with significant net selling in major tech stocks [5] - Insurance capital has been increasingly active in the capital market, with 18 instances of stake acquisitions in 2025, indicating a shift in investment strategies [5] Group 4 - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the warehousing index for June was 51%, indicating expansion for eight consecutive months [10] - The retail market for passenger vehicles in June reached 2.032 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15% [10] - New policies to stabilize the real estate market were announced in Jingmen, Hubei, including principles for selling newly developed properties [10] Group 5 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting to address issues in the photovoltaic industry, focusing on promoting product quality and orderly competition [9] - The National Medical Products Administration proposed ten key measures to support the innovation of high-end medical devices [9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is piloting number protection services to combat telecom fraud [9]

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 来 源： 内容来自半导体芯闻综合 。 美国取消了对中国芯片设计软件开发商和乙烷生产商的出口限制，这进一步表明中美贸易紧张局势 正在缓和，包括北京在稀土问题上做出让步。 "随着美国和中国继续遵守这项框架协议，我们将看到很多限制措施取消。回到二月/三月的现 状，"这位未获授权对媒体发言并拒绝透露姓名的消息人士表示。 西门子在一份声明中表示，在最近收到美国商务部关于不再对中国客户实施出口管制限制的通知 后，该公司已恢复对中国客户的销售和支持。 新思科技表示，公司于 7 月 2 日收到美国商务部工业与安全局来函，通知基于 2025 年 5 月 29 日收到的限制令所实施的对华出口管制措施现予以撤销，即时生效。公司正恢复近期受限产品在中 国市场的供应和全面客户支持。 Cadence也表示，美国已取消对中国芯片设计软件的出口限制，并正在恢复受影响客户对软件和技 术的访问。 据路透社看到的公司致员工的一封信显示，新思科技预计将在三个工作日内完成系统更新，以恢复 中国客户的访问和支持。 包括新思科技、Cadence设计系统公司和西门子在内的全球三大电子设计自动化 (EDA) 软件开发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The essence of angel investment is a battle of faith and confidence, where investors must be willing to bet on projects that others overlook, especially during times of greatest divergence and loneliness [4][20][54]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Angel investors like Gong Hongjia believe that true innovation in China will emerge when someone is willing to invest 1 billion yuan in early-stage ventures [40]. - Successful angel investing requires a deep understanding of human nature and a long-term commitment to the mission of the projects [5][64]. - The investment landscape is changing, with a focus on life sciences, health, and foundational technologies, reflecting a worldview that emphasizes respect for natural rhythms and the environment [4][26]. Group 2: Investment Success Stories - Gong Hongjia's investment in Hikvision in 2001 for 2.45 million yuan, which yielded over 20,000 times returns, exemplifies the potential of long-term holding strategies in the A-share market [4]. - The investment in VeriSilicon (芯原股份) highlights the importance of believing in a company's future, even when it faces significant challenges, such as failing to list on NASDAQ [12][18]. - The journey of Dameng Data (达梦数据) illustrates the patience required in investing, as it took nearly 24 years for the company to go public, despite initial skepticism about domestic database capabilities [23][24]. Group 3: Challenges and Market Dynamics - The current investment environment is marked by a need for "root innovation" and a shift towards domestic capabilities in technology, particularly in the face of geopolitical tensions [26][30]. - The challenges of investing in high-tech sectors, such as semiconductors, are compounded by the need for advanced manufacturing processes and equipment, which are currently difficult to obtain [30][31]. - The emphasis on nurturing local talent and fostering an environment conducive to innovation is critical for the future of China's tech landscape [40][93]. Group 4: Entrepreneurial Insights - Successful entrepreneurs are characterized by their ability to learn, simplify complex problems, and possess leadership qualities that inspire others [65][66]. - The importance of a shared mission among team members is crucial for overcoming challenges, as seen in past projects that failed due to a lack of commitment [67]. - The entrepreneurial journey is often unpredictable, and the ability to adapt and learn from failures is essential for long-term success [50][60].