Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing volatility due to Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech and geopolitical tensions, with a recent peak at $3791 per ounce [1][3] - Powell's recent comments highlight the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve, including rising inflation and a weak labor market, which have not significantly impacted the bullish trend in gold prices [3] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly NATO's warnings to Russia, are providing additional support for gold prices, alongside expectations of interest rate cuts and strong interest from ETF investors [3] Group 2 - The short-term outlook for gold suggests that if prices close below $3760 per ounce, it may pave the way for a decline towards $3750 and subsequently $3700 [4] - Conversely, if buyers push gold prices above $3775 per ounce, it could lead to testing the record high of $3791 per ounce, with the next target being $3800 [4]

Report Overview - Report Title: Global Asset Market Performance - Major Asset Morning Report - Report Date: September 24, 2025 - Research Team: Macro Team of the Research Center 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - The report presents the performance data of various global asset markets on September 23, 2025, including 10 - year and 2 - year government bond yields of major economies, exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies, major economy stock indices, credit bond indices, stock index futures trading data, and government bond futures trading data. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Global Asset Market Performance - Bond Yields - **10 - Year Government Bond Yields**: On September 23, 2025, the 10 - year government bond yields of the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.107%, 4.679%, 3.563% respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.041 (US) to 0.004 (France), with weekly changes from - 0.030 (Switzerland) to 0.078 (US), monthly changes from - 0.155 (US) to 0.065 (France), and annual changes from - 0.220 (Switzerland) to 0.912 (UK) [2]. - **2 - Year Government Bond Yields**: On September 23, 2025, the 2 - year government bond yields of the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.570%, 3.950%, 2.019% respectively. The latest changes ranged from 0.000 (US, Japan) to 0.011 (South Korea), with weekly changes from - 0.014 (China 1Y) to 0.058 (Japan), monthly changes from - 0.012 (UK) to 0.084 (Germany), and annual changes from - 0.432 (South Korea) to 0.544 (Japan) [2]. 3.2 Global Asset Market Performance - Exchange Rates - **US Dollar against Major Emerging - Economy Currencies**: On September 23, 2025, the exchange rates of the US dollar against the Brazilian real, South African rand, etc. were 5.282, 17.245 respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.99% (Brazil) to 0.24% (South Korean won), with weekly changes from - 0.54% (South African rand) to 1.09% (South Korean won), monthly changes from - 2.75% (Brazil) to 0.05% (South Korean won), and annual changes from - 5.07% (Brazil) to 4.58% (South Korean won) [2]. - **Renminbi**: On September 23, 2025, the on - shore RMB, off - shore RMB, and the central parity rate were 7.113, 7.113, 7.106 respectively. The latest changes were - 0.02%, - 0.03%, - 0.07% respectively, with weekly changes of - 0.02%, 0.12%, 0.04% respectively, monthly changes of - 0.55%, - 0.56%, - 0.18% respectively, and annual changes of 0.23%, 0.18%, 0.04% respectively [2]. 3.3 Global Asset Market Performance - Stock Indices - **Major Economy Stock Indices**: On September 23, 2025, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and NASDAQ were 6656.920, 46292.780, 22573.470 respectively. The latest changes ranged from - 0.95% (NASDAQ) to 0.59% (Mexican stock index), with weekly changes from - 0.03% (Spanish stock index) to 1.21% (German DAX), monthly changes from - 2.24% (German DAX) to 7.29% (Mexican stock index), and annual changes from 5.45% (French CAC) to 31.35% (Spanish stock index) [2]. 3.4 Global Asset Market Performance - Credit Bond Indices - **Credit Bond Indices**: The latest changes of the US investment - grade credit bond index, euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index, etc. ranged from - 0.03% (euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index) to 0.40% (emerging - economy high - yield credit bond index), with weekly changes from - 0.39% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 0.27% (euro - zone high - yield credit bond index), monthly changes from 0.26% (euro - zone investment - grade credit bond index) to 1.61% (US investment - grade credit bond index), and annual changes from 3.66% (US investment - grade credit bond index) to 13.30% (emerging - economy high - yield credit bond index) [2][3]. 3.5 Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 3821.83, 4519.78, 2919.51 respectively, with changes of - 0.18%, - 0.06%, - 0.09% respectively [4]. - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of the CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI 500 were 14.01, 11.64, 34.17 respectively, with环比 changes of 0.04, 0.07, - 0.25 respectively [4]. - **Fund Flow**: The latest values of the fund flow of A - shares, the main board, and small - and medium - sized enterprise boards were - 1566.78, - 1050.60, etc., with 5 - day average values of - 1037.14, - 806.14, etc. respectively [4]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, and SSE 50 were 24943.82, 6805.14, 1689.87 respectively, with环比 changes of 3728.99, 1173.65, 125.86 respectively [4]. - **Main Contract Premium/Discount**: The basis of IF, IH, and IC were - 35.98, 5.49, - 240.11 respectively, with premiums/discounts of - 0.80%, 0.19%, - 3.34% respectively [4]. 3.6 Government Bond Futures Trading Data - **Government Bond Futures**: The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 107.715, 105.625, 107.385, 105.505 respectively, with changes of 0.13%, 0.09%, 0.12%, 0.09% respectively [5]. - **Funding Rates**: The funding rates of R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M were 1.4619%, 1.5218%, 1.5620% respectively, with daily changes of - 7.00 BP, - 1.00 BP, 0.00 BP respectively [5].

Group 1 - The core theme of the press conference was to highlight the achievements of the financial sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing long-term perspectives rather than short-term policy adjustments [1] - As of June 2023, China's banking sector total assets reached nearly 470 trillion yuan, ranking first globally, while the stock and bond markets ranked second in the world [1] - China has maintained its position as the world's largest holder of foreign exchange reserves for 20 consecutive years, and has made significant advancements in green finance, inclusive finance, and digital finance [1][2] Group 2 - The modern monetary policy framework in China is gradually taking shape, with effective policy transmission supporting the real economy [2] - The average annual growth rate of loans to technology-based SMEs, inclusive micro-enterprises, and green loans exceeded 20% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2] - The People's Bank of China has implemented a series of monetary policies since September 2024 to stabilize market expectations and boost confidence, contributing to economic recovery and high-quality development [2] Group 3 - Significant progress has been made in preventing and mitigating financial risks, with a focus on orderly handling of prominent risk points in the financial sector [3] - The financial system in China is overall stable, with financial institutions remaining healthy and the market operating smoothly [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period saw five key advancements in financial sector openness, including deepening institutional openness and enhancing the international status of the renminbi [3] Group 4 - By the end of July 2023, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, with stock holdings exceeding 3 trillion yuan and bond holdings around 4 trillion yuan [4] Group 5 - The People's Bank of China is focused on improving the central bank system and enhancing financial security under open conditions, aiming to support high-quality economic development [5] - The central bank is working on a dual-pillar framework for monetary policy and macro-prudential policy to achieve currency stability and financial stability [5][6] Group 6 - The financial market infrastructure is being strengthened, with the introduction of a "technology board" in the bond market and a multi-layered bond market framework being established [6] - The central bank is committed to deepening high-level financial openness and promoting the internationalization of the renminbi [6] Group 7 - The balance between short-term and long-term goals, as well as the health of the financial system and support for the real economy, is crucial for maintaining financial stability [7] - The importance of market discipline and the need for a robust risk management framework are emphasized to prevent moral hazards [8] Group 8 - The regulatory authority has prioritized the prevention and resolution of financial risks, with significant achievements in managing risks associated with small and medium-sized financial institutions [9] - The number of high-risk institutions and the scale of high-risk assets have significantly decreased, indicating that financial risks are controllable [9]

Report Information - Report Date: September 23, 2025 [2] - Report Type: Global Asset Market Performance and Futures Trading Data Report Global Asset Market Performance 10 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On September 22, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields of the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.148, 4.712, 3.559 respectively. The latest changes were 0.020, - 0.002, 0.006; weekly changes were 0.109, 0.080, 0.081; monthly changes were - 0.128, 0.021, 0.050; and annual changes were 0.473, 0.931, 0.710 [3]. 2 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On September 22, 2025, the 2 - year Treasury yields of the US, UK, Germany, etc. were 3.570, 3.976, 2.014 respectively. The latest changes were 0.050, 0.000, - 0.005; weekly changes were 0.050, 0.028, - 0.002; monthly changes were - 0.020, 0.038, 0.045; and annual changes were - 0.020, 0.161, - 0.206 [3]. US Dollar Exchange Rates Against Major Emerging - Market Currencies - On September 22, 2025, the US dollar exchange rates against the Brazilian real, South African rand, South Korean won, etc. were 5.335, 17.326, 1391.250 respectively. The latest changes were 0.21%, - 0.10%, - 0.43%; weekly changes were 0.35%, - 0.19%, 0.36%; monthly changes were - 1.41%, - 1.60%, 0.05%; and annual changes were - 5.16%, - 2.67%, 3.67% [3]. Stock Indices of Major Economies - On September 22, 2025, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ, etc. were 6693.750, 46381.540, 22788.980 respectively. The latest changes were 0.44%, 0.14%, 0.70%; weekly changes were 1.19%, 1.09%, 1.97%; monthly changes were 3.95%, 2.43%, 6.25%; and annual changes were 19.62%, 12.86%, 29.71% [3]. Credit Bond Indices - The latest changes of the US investment - grade credit bond index, euro - area investment - grade credit bond index, etc. were - 0.16%, 0.06%, etc.; weekly changes were - 0.53%, - 0.03%, etc.; monthly changes were 1.47%, 0.43%, etc.; and annual changes were 3.74%, 4.30%, etc. [3][4] Futures Trading Data Stock Index Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 3828.58, 4522.61, 2922.18 respectively, with percentage changes of 0.22%, 0.46%, 0.43%. The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, etc. were 13.97, 11.57, etc., with环比 changes of 0.01, - 0.01, etc. The latest values of capital flows in A - shares, the main board, etc. were - 336.93, - 447.76, etc. The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, etc. were 21214.83, 5631.49, etc., with环比 changes of - 2023.46, - 407.38, etc. The basis of IF, IH, IC were - 38.61, 0.82, - 211.93, with amplitudes of - 0.85%, 0.03%, - 2.93% [5]. Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, TF01 were 107.975, 105.770, 107.620, 105.640 respectively, with percentage changes of 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%, 0.00%. The R001, R007, SHIBOR - 3M were 1.4749%, 1.5262%, 1.5620% respectively, with daily changes of - 5.00, 1.00, 0.00 BP [6]

Core Viewpoint - The conference on "High-Quality Completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan" highlighted significant achievements in China's financial sector, including deepened financial reforms, stable capital market development, and steady progress in high-level foreign exchange openness [1]. Financial Sector Achievements - Comprehensive deepening of financial system reforms has been achieved, marking solid steps towards building a financial powerhouse [1]. - The capital market has shown a healthy and stable development trend, which continues to strengthen [1]. Risk Prevention and Management - Important progress has been made in preventing and resolving financial risks, with tailored reform plans for key regions [3]. - Over 3,600 illegal shareholders have been cleared, and unlawful financial groups have been dealt with according to the law [3]. Support for the Real Economy - Financial support for the real economy has been increased, with over 1.6 trillion yuan allocated for key projects such as affordable housing [3]. - By the end of June, the number of financing platforms decreased by over 60%, and financial debt scale dropped by over 5% compared to the beginning of 2023 [6]. Capital Market Developments - By the end of August, various long-term funds held approximately 21.4 trillion yuan in A-share circulation, a 32% increase from the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [9]. - The introduction of measures such as the "Science and Technology Innovation Board" and strict regulations to eliminate underperforming companies has been implemented [9]. Foreign Exchange Market Progress - In 2024, China's cross-border receipts and payments are projected to reach 14 trillion USD, a 64% increase from 2020 [11]. - The participation of 703 banks and 115 non-bank institutions in the interbank foreign exchange market has been noted, including 296 foreign institutions [11]. Regulatory Enhancements - A total of 171 regulatory measures have been issued over the past five years, with enhanced supervision of 41 key institutions [21]. - The establishment of consumer protection platforms has been initiated to facilitate financial services [22]. Infrastructure and Technology Financing - The balance of infrastructure loans reached 54.5 trillion yuan, a 62% increase compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan [15]. - Loans to high-tech enterprises have reached nearly 19 trillion yuan, with an annual growth rate exceeding 20% [15].

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China reported that multiple financial indicators rank among the top globally, with total banking assets nearing 470 trillion yuan, the largest in the world [2][3] - The banking and insurance sectors provided an additional 170 trillion yuan in funding to the real economy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2][3] - The average annual growth rates for loans to technology-based SMEs, inclusive small micro loans, and green loans exceeded 20% [2][3] Group 2 - Loans for scientific research technology, medium to long-term loans for manufacturing, and infrastructure loans grew at average rates of 27.2%, 21.7%, and 10.1% respectively [3] - Insurance funds invested over 5.4 trillion yuan in stocks and equity funds, representing an 85% increase from the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [3] - The real estate financing coordination mechanism's "white list" project loans exceeded 7 trillion yuan, supporting the construction and delivery of nearly 20 million housing units [3] Group 3 - The foreign exchange market has shown stability, with the holdings of foreign institutions and individuals in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits exceeding 10 trillion yuan [3] - The proportion of the renminbi in cross-border trade increased from 16% to nearly 30%, indicating enhanced resilience in the foreign exchange market [3] - The market-oriented formation mechanism of the renminbi exchange rate is continuously improving, with more effective macro-prudential management in the foreign exchange market [3]

Core Insights - The People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported that China's cross-border capital flows have remained generally balanced despite high volatility in international markets, with the RMB exchange rate showing stability among major currencies [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2024, China's cross-border receipts and payments are projected to reach $14 trillion, a 64% increase from 2020, with an average annual growth rate during the 14th Five-Year Plan period being 8 percentage points higher than the previous period [1] - In the first eight months of this year, cross-border receipts and payments increased by 10% year-on-year, indicating sustained activity in cross-border trade and investment [1] - The ratio of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging has risen from 17% in 2020 to approximately 30%, while the RMB's share in cross-border trade has increased from 16% to nearly 30% [1] Group 2: Foreign Exchange Reserves and Stability - China's international balance of payments has remained fundamentally balanced during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with the current account surplus to GDP ratio staying within a reasonable range [2] - Foreign exchange reserves have consistently remained above $3 trillion, stabilizing above $3.2 trillion in recent years, serving as a crucial stabilizer for the national economy and finance [2] Group 3: Policy and Reform Initiatives - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange has implemented reforms to enhance the efficiency of trade foreign exchange receipts and payments, processing nearly $4.6 trillion in related business since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - To improve cross-border investment and financing convenience, approximately $300 billion in related business has been processed during the same period [2] - The foreign exchange business reform has included over 23,000 quality clients from small and medium-sized enterprises, private enterprises, and foreign-funded enterprises, with cumulative business transactions exceeding $500 billion [2]

Core Insights - The foreign exchange market in China has shown stability and resilience since the 14th Five-Year Plan, with significant growth in cross-border receipts and foreign exchange market trading volume projected for 2024 [1][2] Group 1: Cross-Border Receipts and Foreign Exchange Market - In 2024, China's cross-border receipts are expected to reach $14 trillion, a 64% increase from 2020, with an average annual growth rate 8 percentage points higher than during the 13th Five-Year Plan [1] - The foreign exchange market trading volume is projected to be $41 trillion in 2024, reflecting a 37% increase from 2020, with both spot and derivative trading growing simultaneously [1] Group 2: Market Participation and Infrastructure - As of June 2023, 703 banks and 115 non-bank institutions, including 296 foreign institutions, are participating in the interbank foreign exchange market, covering major currencies to meet diverse trading needs [2] - Continuous improvements in trading, clearing, and payment mechanisms have effectively reduced transaction costs and settlement risks, better serving the real economy [2] Group 3: Market Stability and Future Outlook - The RMB exchange rate has shown increased flexibility, with its share in cross-border trade rising from 16% to nearly 30%, enhancing the resilience of the foreign exchange market [2] - The macro-prudential management system of the foreign exchange market is gradually improving, providing a robust framework to manage external risks and challenges [2]

Core Insights - The press conference highlighted the achievements of China's financial sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the effective coordination of development and security in the foreign exchange sector [1][3]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Developments - The international balance of payments has remained stable, with a current account surplus to GDP ratio maintained within a reasonable range, reflecting resilience in foreign trade and investment [3]. - By the end of July, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, indicating active cross-border investment [3]. - The foreign exchange service environment has improved significantly, with the number of enterprises able to conduct business with just instructions increasing more than fivefold since the end of 2020 [3]. Group 2: Foreign Exchange Reserves and Market Stability - Foreign exchange reserves have remained stable above 3 trillion USD, exceeding 3.2 trillion USD for the past two years, serving as a crucial stabilizer for the national economy [4]. - The cross-border payment and receipt scale is projected to reach 14 trillion USD in 2024, a 64% increase from 2020, with an average annual growth rate 8 percentage points higher than the previous five-year period [4][5]. - The trading volume in the foreign exchange market is expected to reach 41 trillion USD in 2024, a 37% increase from 2020, indicating a well-developed market capable of accommodating various transactions [5]. Group 3: Currency and Risk Management - The flexibility of the RMB exchange rate has increased, with the hedging ratio for enterprises rising from 17% in 2020 to around 30%, and the RMB's share in cross-border trade increasing from 16% to nearly 30% [5]. - The macro-prudential management framework for the foreign exchange market is being continuously improved, enhancing the ability to respond to external risks [5]. - Future stability of the RMB will largely depend on the performance of the USD and domestic macroeconomic policies, with ongoing growth policies expected to be a key factor in stabilizing the exchange rate [6].

Core Insights - The vitality and resilience of China's foreign exchange market have been enhanced during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period despite a more complex external environment and increased volatility in international financial markets [2][5]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Stability - China's foreign exchange reserves have remained stable above $3 trillion, consistently exceeding $3.2 trillion in the past two years, serving as a crucial stabilizer for the national economy [3]. - The foreign exchange market has shown rational and orderly trading, with the flexibility of the RMB exchange rate increasing, functioning as an automatic stabilizer for the macro economy and international balance of payments [5]. Group 2: Market Resilience and Regulatory Actions - The ratio of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging has increased from 17% in 2020 to approximately 30%, while the RMB's share in cross-border trade has risen from 16% to nearly 30%, indicating enhanced market resilience [5]. - Over 6,100 foreign exchange-related cases have been resolved, effectively combating illegal activities such as underground money houses, contributing to a more robust and stable foreign exchange market [6]. Group 3: Cross-Border Investment and Banking Capabilities - As of July, foreign institutions and individuals held over 10 trillion yuan in domestic stocks, bonds, and deposits, reflecting active cross-border investment and financing [7]. - The capabilities of banks in foreign exchange operations have improved, with over 23,000 quality clients, including SMEs, private enterprises, and foreign-funded companies, participating in foreign exchange business totaling over $500 billion [9].