慧研智投科技有限公司投资顾问李谦向第一财经分析，近期A股市场呈现典型慢牛特征，上证指数已突 破3600点整数关口。从技术面观察，本轮行情呈现两大核心特征：一是股指沿均线系统维持稳健上行趋 势，整体运行斜率较为平缓；二是市场成交量保持温和放大态势，日均成交维持在1.5万亿元左右合理 区间；受雅下水电站项目利好消息刺激，近两个交易日传统周期板块放量反弹，单日成交放大至1.8万 亿元水平。 李谦认为，与2024年9月的脉冲式行情不同，本轮上涨更具可持续性，突破3600点重要心理关口之后， 在当前良性的板块轮动格局下，指数仍具上行空间，有望继续上攻去年10月3674点高点。从投资主线来 看，本轮行情本质是估值修复行情，创新药、能源金属、人工智能及雅下水电站相关板块构成当前市场 四大投资主线，建议投资者可关注这些领域的结构性机会。 信达证券策略分析师樊继拓判断，之前产能过剩的周期行业（光伏、钢铁、化工等）近期开始有所表 现，这种扩散可能是牛市进入中期主升浪的信号，背后主要原因可能来自估值。牛市初期，股市增量资 金较少、涨幅慢，此时能够上涨的板块主要是少部分有产业逻辑有业绩的方向，但进入牛市中后期，居 民资金会增多，大部 ...

Core Insights - Gansu's foreign trade showed significant growth in the first half of the year, with a total import and export value of 35.21 billion yuan, an increase of 33.8% year-on-year, ranking second in the country [1][3] - The export of "new three samples" products, including electric vehicles, photovoltaic products, and lithium-ion batteries, reached 200 million yuan, a staggering increase of 1,790% [1] - The province's renewable energy resources are abundant, with a potential wind energy capacity of 560 million kilowatts and solar energy capacity of 9.5 billion kilowatts, ranking fourth and fifth in China respectively [1] Trade Partners and Structure - Gansu's top three trading partners in the first half of the year were Kazakhstan, Indonesia, and Australia, with import and export values of 7.35 billion yuan, 3.89 billion yuan, and 3.17 billion yuan respectively [2] - Trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 26.53 billion yuan, growing by 33.1% and accounting for 75.3% of the province's total foreign trade [2] - The structure of trade improved, with general trade reaching 25.92 billion yuan, an increase of 41.7%, making up 73.6% of the total foreign trade [2] Business Dynamics - A total of 779 enterprises engaged in import and export activities in Gansu, with a net increase of 122 companies year-on-year [2] - State-owned enterprises accounted for 24.3 billion yuan in imports and exports, growing by 45.6% and representing 69% of the province's total foreign trade [2] - Private enterprises contributed 10.68 billion yuan, an increase of 13.7%, making up 30.3% of the total [2] Import Highlights - Significant imports of resource-based products were noted, with metal ore imports reaching 19.77 billion yuan, a growth of 44.0%, accounting for 74.2% of total imports [2] - Nickel ore imports surged to 3.2 billion yuan, increasing by 104.8%, while nickel-cobalt materials imports reached 1.24 billion yuan, up by 65.6% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the "Yarlung Tsangpo River Downstream Hydropower Project" is expected to stimulate the photovoltaic (PV) sector, enhancing economic vitality and increasing the consumption ratio of solar energy [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The photovoltaic sector has shown strong performance following the announcement of the hydropower project, with significant capital inflow into related stocks and products [1]. - The leading photovoltaic ETF (515790) recorded a net subscription of 670 million shares and a net inflow of 496 million yuan on July 22, 2025, setting a new single-day record for capital inflow in 2025 [1]. - The trading volume of the photovoltaic ETF reached 1.254 billion yuan on the same day, a substantial increase of 98.66% compared to the previous period, with an average daily trading volume of 817 million yuan in July [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The "Yarlung Tsangpo Project" is anticipated to boost local multi-industry development, which may enhance the consumption of photovoltaic energy [2]. - The project could facilitate the sharing of transmission infrastructure between hydropower and photovoltaic energy, potentially reducing transmission costs and addressing the challenges of solar energy delivery [2]. - The photovoltaic ETF (515790) tracks an index that includes up to 50 representative companies across the solar industry, with top holdings including leading firms such as Sungrow Power, LONGi Green Energy, and TCL Technology [2]. - The ETF is the only product in the A-share market with a scale exceeding 10 billion yuan, indicating strong liquidity and investor interest, with over 220,000 investors holding shares [2].

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 7 月 23 日 后市震荡向上或是主基调，持续大涨的部分题材股可择机适度逢高减持 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 近期晨报经常提醒，后市震荡偏强仍是主基调，结构性机会丰富。关注反内 卷主线：光伏、电池、储能、建材、煤炭、钢铁、有色等产业。周二晨报提醒， 传统板块的修复行情仍有望延续，投资者可关注直接受益于大型基建的细分领域 和基本面扎实的低估值龙头。 市场走势如我们预期，周一沪深三大指数震荡上涨，周二沪深三大指数继续 震荡上行。盘面上，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程（雅下水电）概念股连续大涨，另 外，建材、工程机械以及钢铁、有色、煤炭等板块连续走强。 周一周二雅下水电概念全线大涨，受周末该工程开工利好的刺激，该工程总 投资约 1.2 万亿元，如此大的投资规模彻底提振市场。此举不仅带动水电板块， 亦会带动西藏地区的经济发展，并带动全国就业，与此同时，对有色、钢铁等行 业也带来支撑。对于经济和市场情绪皆构成 ...

数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，中证光伏产业指数(931151)前十大权重股分别为阳光电源(300274)、隆 基绿能(601012)、TCL科技(000100)、特变电工(600089)、通威股份(600438)、TCL中环(002129)、正泰 电器(601877)、晶科能源(688223)、晶澳科技(002459)、德业股份(605117)，前十大权重股合计占比 55.39%。 截至2025年7月23日 09:47，中证光伏产业指数(931151)上涨0.53%，成分股特变电工(600089)上涨 3.67%，大全能源(688303)上涨2.65%，聚和材料(688503)上涨2.10%，通威股份(600438)上涨1.98%，福 斯特(603806)上涨1.92%。光伏ETF基金(516180)多空胶着，最新报价0.62元。拉长时间看，截至2025年7 月22日，光伏ETF基金近1周累计上涨4.75%，涨幅排名可比基金2/10。 光伏ETF基金紧密跟踪中证光伏产业指数，中证光伏产业指数从主营业务涉及光伏产业链上、中、下游 的上市公司证券中，选取不超过50只最具代表性的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反 ...

因此，"反内卷"式竞争是一个长期的任务，而非短期策略，既需要在维持相对平衡的过程中逐 步实现产能出清，又需要通过改革建立优胜劣汰的市场机制。首先，相关领域需要尽量消化产 能，其中一个方向是出口与对外投资。我国出口目前仍保持较高增速，但在一些经济体保护主 义兴起的背景下，未来出口面临的不确定性挑战增多。增加对外投资可以转移部分产能，但对 国内就业可能会有一定冲击。 我国地产、基建等增量需求在逐步减少，或许不足以吸收高增长阶段累积的产能，但仍然可以 通过相关政策安排，令投资需求放缓过程更加平滑。在稳定需求的同时，针对有序出清落后产 能带来的就业影响，一是以推进城市更新为主要抓手创造更多就业岗位；二是扩大服务业开 放，培育服务业消费吸收更多劳动力。这些都需要时间来推动和创新。 7月22日，沪指收涨0.62%至3581.86点，持续逼近2024年10月以来的最高点。A股全天成交 1.93万亿元，较上日的1.73万亿元继续增加。 在经济数据持续修复的背景下，A股这一轮新行情首先来自于政策面，包括"反内卷"、扩大内 需、城市更新等。尤其是当前各行业正在积极落实"反内卷"政策，工信部表示钢铁、有色金 属、石化、建材等十大重 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a positive trend with major indices experiencing gains, including the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.62% to close at 3581.86 points and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.84% to 11099.83 points [1][6] - The overall market sentiment was buoyed by active participation in large infrastructure projects, particularly following the announcement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [8][9] Industry Dynamics - The National Press and Publication Administration approved 127 domestic game titles, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22 titles compared to July 2024, although a decrease of 20 titles from June 2025 [24] - The photovoltaic industry saw price increases across the supply chain, with polysilicon prices ranging from 35 to 49 yuan per kilogram, and wafer prices rebounding, indicating a more optimistic market atmosphere [26][27] - The China Urban Rail Transit Association released a development plan for urban rail transit, aiming for a 95% localization rate of core technologies by 2030, with significant advancements expected in high-value patents [29][30] Company Updates - Renfu Pharmaceutical received a drug registration certificate for its transdermal patch for treating mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease, with projected sales of approximately 2.6 million yuan in 2024 [31] - Victory Technology is planning to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its capital strength and competitiveness, driven by strong demand in the AI PCB sector [33] - Sains announced a stock incentive plan, proposing to grant up to 5.3 million restricted shares, with performance targets set for revenue growth of at least 30% over the next three years [36]

证券时报记者张一帆 本周光伏上游原料工业硅、多晶硅期货价格延续涨势。7月22日，多晶硅、工业硅期货主力合约双双涨 停，其中多晶硅2509合约本月累计涨幅接近50%，工业硅2509合约本月累计涨幅接近20%。在"反内 卷"下，硅料环节的调价动作向下游传递的趋势逐渐明晰。 本轮从硅料企业开始的光伏产业提价动作已经进入第三周。根据中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会统计， 上周多晶硅N型复投料成交均价为4.17万元/吨，周环比上涨12.4%。N型颗粒硅成交均价为4.10万元/ 吨，周环比上涨15.2%。同时，工业硅现货全国综合价格为8851元/吨，上涨108元/吨。 硅料企业的提价原因，主要是由于多晶硅企业亏损运营超一年以上，为清库存导致价格已远低于综合成 本，为符合"不低于成本销售"的价格法规要求，硅料企业一次性提价至综合成本线之上。 值得注意的是，硅料企业的提价正有向下游企业传导的趋势。东证期货有色金属首席分析师孙伟东表 示，若多晶硅价格希望实现真正意义上的上涨，一方面取决于减产的落实，另一方面取决于下游硅片、 电池片、组件价格进一步上涨。 硅片环节价格的跳涨在上周已经出现，硅业分会统计，N型G10L单晶硅片(182× ...

Key Points - The company has announced a downward adjustment of the conversion price for its convertible bonds, "Jing'ao Convertible Bonds," from 38.22 RMB/share to 11.66 RMB/share, effective from July 23, 2025 [5] - The total amount raised from the issuance of 89,603,077 convertible bonds at a face value of 100 RMB each is approximately 8.96 billion RMB, with a net amount of about 8.93 billion RMB after deducting issuance costs [1][2] - The conversion period for the bonds is set from January 24, 2024, to July 17, 2029, with the initial conversion price being subject to adjustments based on specific conditions outlined in the offering prospectus [2][3] - The company’s board of directors has the authority to propose adjustments to the conversion price if the stock price falls below 85% of the current conversion price for at least 15 trading days within any 30-day period [3][4] - The adjustment process requires approval from shareholders, with a two-thirds majority needed for implementation [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company has approved the temporary use of idle raised funds amounting to 2.76 billion RMB to supplement working capital, ensuring that the funds will be returned within 12 months [1][2]. Group 1 - The company held the 25th meeting of the 6th Board of Directors and the 15th meeting of the 6th Supervisory Board on July 25, 2024, where the proposal to use idle raised funds was approved [1]. - The amount of idle raised funds to be temporarily used for working capital is capped at 2.76 billion RMB, which is intended solely for operations related to the main business [1]. - The usage period for the funds is set to not exceed 12 months from the date of approval by the Board of Directors, after which the funds will be returned to the dedicated account for raised funds [1]. Group 2 - As of July 18, 2025, the company has fully returned the idle raised funds used for temporary working capital back to the dedicated account, adhering to the stipulated usage period [2]. - The company has notified the sponsor institution and the representative of the sponsor regarding the return of the idle raised funds [2].