Core Insights - The banking sector is showing strength, with the largest bank ETF (512800) rising by 1.67% and achieving a trading volume of 1.071 billion yuan on February 5, 2026, indicating a potential recovery window for heavyweight stocks as the recent ETF redemption wave appears to be ending [6][18] - The food and beverage sector is also performing well, with the food and beverage ETF (515710) increasing by 1%, driven by improving demand for liquor and a recovering macro environment, suggesting potential investment opportunities in the sector for 2026 [7][18] Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors on February 5, 2026, included: - Beauty and personal care: +3.21% - Food and beverage: +1.57% - Banking: +1.31% [3][15] - The sectors with the largest capital inflows were: - Media: 864 million yuan - Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery: 564 million yuan - Textile and apparel: 240 million yuan [3][15] - The sectors with the largest capital outflows were: - Power equipment: -12.671 billion yuan - Non-ferrous metals: -11.937 billion yuan - Electronics: -5.951 billion yuan [3][15] ETF Performance - The bank ETF (512800) has a turnover rate of 8.48% and a net subscription of 210.43 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [5][17] - The food and beverage ETF (515710) has a recent performance of -0.66% over the past six months, reflecting some volatility in the sector [4][17] - The consumer leader ETF (516130) has shown a positive trend with a 3.52% increase over the same period [4][17] Market Trends - A shift in market dynamics is occurring, with funds moving from small-cap stocks to large-cap stocks and from thematic styles to quality styles, indicating a broader market trend towards stability and quality investments [6][18] - The historical performance of the banking sector shows a high win rate before the Spring Festival, suggesting seasonal trends that could influence future performance [18]

证券分析师 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 晨会纪要（2026/02/06） 市场处于震荡整固阶段，结构性行情将是重点——A 股市场 2026 年 2 月投资 策略报告 行业研究 关注年报业绩催化与创新药械产业链——医药生物行业 2 月投资策略展望 崔健 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.02.06） 宏观及策略研究 晨会纪要（2026/02/06） 宏观及策略研究 市场处于震荡整固阶段，结构性行情将是重点——A 股市场 2026 年 2 月投资策略报告 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 6 要 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 云计算提价印证高景气，AI 应用迎来多点催化——计算机行业 2 月投资策略 展望 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S1150124030005） 1、宏观方面 2026 年年初，出口端在结构优化、产品竞争优势以及经贸环境改善的支撑下将 ...

Market Performance - The three major indices collectively declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4075.92, down 0.64% or 26.29 points [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.44%, closing at 13952.71, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.60% to 4670.42 [2] - The ChiNext Index experienced the largest drop, closing at 3260.28, down 1.55% or 51.24 points [2] Sector Rankings - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (3.21%), Banks (1.57%), and Food & Beverage (1.31%) [3] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors were Non-ferrous Metals (-4.57%), Electric Power Equipment (-3.41%), and Coal (-2.22%) [3] Market Outlook - The market showed weakness with all three major indices closing lower, particularly the ChiNext Index [4] - Consumer sectors such as Food & Beverage and Retail saw significant gains, while sectors like Non-ferrous Metals and Electric Power Equipment faced notable declines [4] - The report indicates that the market may experience a phase of oscillation with potential upward movement, while also highlighting the need for caution regarding short-term adjustments and profit-taking risks [6] News and Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized breakthroughs in key technologies such as computing power chips and industrial large models [5] - The People's Bank of China held a meeting focusing on building a multi-level financial service system to support key areas like domestic demand and technological innovation [5] - Developments in commercial aerospace are expected to enhance launch efficiency and reduce costs significantly [5]

Key Points - The article discusses various important announcements and developments in the financial and regulatory landscape, including trading schedules, policy implementations, and corporate news [2][3][4][5][9][10][12][16]. Group 1: Trading and Regulatory Announcements - The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges announced the trading schedule for the 2026 Spring Festival, with a break from February 15 to February 23, 2026, and normal trading resuming on February 24, 2026 [2]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and eight other departments released a plan for the high-quality development of the traditional Chinese medicine industry from 2026 to 2030, aiming to cultivate leading enterprises and establish 60 high-standard raw material production bases [2]. - The National Internet Information Office and 11 other departments issued opinions to enhance digital services for inbound travelers, targeting significant improvements by 2027 and achieving international leading standards by 2030 [3]. - The Ministry of Finance, General Administration of Customs, and State Taxation Administration announced a "zero tariff" policy for imported goods purchased by residents of Hainan Free Trade Port, with an annual tax-free purchase limit of 10,000 RMB [3]. Group 2: Corporate News - Meituan plans to acquire 100% of Dingdong Maicai's China business for approximately $717 million [9]. - ST Cube's stock price has significantly deviated from its fundamentals, leading to a suspension for verification [10]. - Infineon announced price increases for certain products effective April 1 [12]. - Gotion High-Tech plans to raise no more than 5 billion RMB through a private placement for projects related to power batteries [16].

Core Viewpoint - The report analyzes the current status of China's manufacturing industry going abroad, identifies future leading industries for overseas expansion, and discusses the impact of RMB appreciation on exports and investments [4]. Group 1: Current Trends in Overseas Expansion - The wave of overseas expansion is still on the rise, with a slight increase in China's foreign direct investment expected by 2025, and more small and medium-sized enterprises joining the trend. Policies are aimed at promoting globalization and enhancing external demand while facilitating supply-side reforms [5]. Group 2: Industries with Significant Overseas Revenue Growth - In terms of primary industries, light manufacturing and home appliances have a high proportion of overseas revenue. The electronic and machinery supply chains, as well as service trade, have seen rapid year-on-year growth in overseas revenue. Among secondary industries, electronics and machinery-related sectors show a high overseas revenue share, with notable improvements in competitiveness for the electronic communication, finance, and gaming industries. Industries with high foreign exposure, such as light manufacturing and automotive, have shown relatively better stock performance, and private enterprises are increasingly active in overseas markets, potentially becoming the main contributors to overseas revenue during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6]. Group 3: High Overseas Gross Margin as a Driving Force - Listed companies exhibit high overseas gross margins due to strong overseas demand, making exports a major contributor to economic growth. Companies are accelerating capacity expansion abroad, leading to increased product value. In the first half of 2025, industries such as computers, pharmaceuticals, beauty care, and machinery equipment reported high overseas gross margins. The difference in gross margins between domestic and overseas operations correlates with revenue structure, with industries like automotive, transportation, and power equipment showing higher overseas gross margins than domestic ones. The average overseas revenue gross margin increased by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Group 4: Industry-Specific Overseas Expansion Progress - The report assesses investment trends in different regions such as ASEAN, the United States, and Latin America through forward-looking signals (announcements of foreign investments by listed companies) and mid-term validations (revenue from overseas subsidiaries). Early-stage industries for overseas expansion include machinery equipment, basic chemicals, power equipment/home appliances, food and beverages, and computers. Accelerated expansion industries include electronics, light manufacturing, and automotive [8]. Group 5: Impact of RMB Appreciation on Exports and Investments - Going abroad does not necessarily lead to a decline in export growth. It can stimulate the growth of domestic capital goods and intermediate goods exports, leading to structural adjustments in exports. It also facilitates market expansion for localized production overseas. Innovation is identified as the primary driver for strong export momentum, helping to avoid the middle-income trap. The structural aspects of going abroad are beneficial for upstream equipment investments. Although the capacity expansion of overseas subsidiaries may suppress domestic investment willingness in corresponding sectors, the exploration of overseas markets is favorable for upstream supporting enterprises' capacity expansion and R&D investments [9].

Core Viewpoint - Forgent Power Solutions (FPS.US), an American power equipment manufacturer, successfully debuted on the US stock market with a closing price of $29, reflecting a 7.41% increase from its IPO price of $27 [1] Company Overview - Forgent designs, manufactures, and sells equipment such as transformers, distribution panels, and power distribution units specifically for data centers, which require a continuous and reliable power supply [1] - The company was founded in 2023 by private equity firm Neos and has been expanding through acquisition transactions in 2023 and 2024 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Forgent Power Solutions (FPS.US) successfully debuted on the US stock market, with its stock price rising by 7.41% to $29, above the IPO price of $27 [1] Company Overview - Forgent designs, manufactures, and sells equipment such as transformers, power distribution units, and switchgear for data centers, which require a continuous and reliable power supply [1] - The company was founded by private equity firm Neos in 2023 and has been expanding through acquisition transactions in 2023 and 2024 [1]

◎记者 黎灵希 另据统计数据，预计亏损的深市公司家数为124家，考虑到规则要求预亏公司需在1月底前发布业绩预 告，可合理推断深市注册制公司的预亏比例或低于两成。对比2024年亏损公司名单发现，国际复材、回 盛生物等32家公司预计在2025年实现扭亏。 重点行业表现亮眼 数据显示，除金融、房地产业外，深市的28个实体行业中18个行业预计净利润为正，占比64%。28个实 体行业中，电子、通信等7个行业连续两年盈利且2025年增速超50%，有色金属、计算机、传媒、纺织 服饰等4个行业实现扭亏。 具体来看，在产业转型升级、"中国制造"向"中国智造"不断迈进的大背景下，工业领域深市公司整体业 绩企稳向好。深市机械设备、基础化工行业公司预计净利润分别为84.85亿元、123.51亿元，分别同比增 长200.07%、284.56%；电力设备、国防军工行业公司预计净利润分别较2024年减亏76.13%、91.26%。 下游产业需求传导叠加贵金属价格上涨，有色金属行业预计净利润328.30亿元，同比实现扭亏。 受AI算力和应用需求快速增长、消费电子终端需求复苏等影响，深市计算机、通信、电子行业公司预 计合计实现净利润760.3 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the performance and characteristics of various indices tracking the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (科创板) in China, highlighting the focus on high-tech sectors such as semiconductors, medical devices, and software development [2][3] - The Sci-Tech 50 ETF tracks the Sci-Tech 50 Index, which consists of 50 stocks with large market capitalization and good liquidity, with over 65% of its composition in the semiconductor sector and nearly 80% in hard technology sectors [2] - The Sci-Tech 100 ETF follows the Sci-Tech 100 Index, comprising 100 stocks with medium market capitalization, focusing on small and medium-sized innovative enterprises, with over 75% of its composition in electronics, power equipment, and pharmaceutical industries [2][3] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech 200 ETF tracks the Sci-Tech 200 Index, which includes 200 stocks with smaller market capitalization, emphasizing growth potential in small-cap innovative companies, with a significant portion in the electronics sector [2] - The Sci-Tech Comprehensive Index ETF covers all stocks listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, focusing on core industries such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals, encompassing all 17 primary industries on the board [3] - The Sci-Tech Growth ETF tracks the Sci-Tech Growth Index, which consists of 50 stocks with high growth rates in revenue and net profit, with over 65% of its composition in the electronics and communication sectors [3]

Overall Performance - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) shows a positive trend in 2025 earnings, with 57.58% of the 1714 companies reporting improved or increased profits, totaling a net profit of 820.09 billion yuan, an increase of 155.67 billion yuan year-on-year [2] - Among the top 100 companies by market capitalization, all 40 companies that disclosed earnings are expected to be profitable, with a combined net profit of 2056.27 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 66.51% [2] New Listings Performance - New companies under the registration system are performing well, with 59.61% of the 307 companies expected to be profitable, resulting in a total net profit of 196.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 77.11% [3] - The proportion of companies expected to report losses is projected to be below 19.71%, indicating strong growth potential among new listings [3] Industry Performance - 64% of the 28 non-financial and non-real estate industries are expected to report positive net profits, with significant growth in sectors like electronics and communications, which have seen profit increases exceeding 50% for two consecutive years [4] - The machinery and basic chemical industries are expected to achieve net profits of 84.85 billion yuan and 123.51 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 200.07% and 284.56% [4] 3C Industry Growth - The computer, communication, and electronics sectors are projected to achieve a combined net profit of 760.33 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 155.32%, driven by AI and recovering consumer demand [5] - The consumer electronics sector is expected to report a net profit of 193.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.11%, while the communication equipment sector is anticipated to see a net profit of 240.76 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 212.39% [5]