Investment Rating - The report indicates a high level of optimism for the refrigerants and glyphosate sectors, suggesting a continuation of high demand and price stability in these markets [7][12]. Core Insights - The glyphosate market is experiencing sustained price increases due to strong downstream demand, particularly from regions like Europe and Africa, leading to tight supply conditions [21][25]. - The refrigerant market is benefiting from seasonal demand spikes and supply constraints due to quota policies, which are supporting higher prices for products like R32 and R134a [28][4]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the civil explosives sector driven by infrastructure projects and the Belt and Road Initiative, recommending specific companies for investment [5]. Summary by Sections (1) Key Chemical Product Price Tracking - Glyphosate prices rose to 26,399 CNY/ton, up 100 CNY/ton from the previous week, with a weekly production of 0.9 million tons, down 18.5% [21][25]. - Refrigerant prices for R22 increased to 35,500 CNY/ton, R134a to 50,500 CNY/ton, and R32 to 56,500 CNY/ton, reflecting strong demand and tight supply [4][28]. (2) Polyurethane: MDI and TDI Price Movements - MDI prices increased significantly, with the average price for polymer MDI in South China at 16,000 CNY/ton, up 2.24% from the previous week [19]. - TDI prices in East China decreased to 16,750 CNY/ton, down 3.46% due to seasonal demand weakness [19]. (3) Agricultural Chemicals: Glyphosate and Fertilizer Price Trends - Glyphosate's profitability decreased slightly to 3,407.2 CNY/ton, while the market remains tight with reduced inventory levels [21][25]. - Urea prices rose to 1,779 CNY/ton, and potassium chloride prices increased to 3,285 CNY/ton, driven by export policies and supply constraints [25][27]. (4) Fluorochemicals: Refrigerant Price Increases - The report notes that R32 and R134a prices have risen due to increased demand from high temperatures and limited supply flexibility [28]. - The price of raw materials like fluorspar and hydrofluoric acid remained stable, indicating a balanced supply-demand scenario in the upstream market [28].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Haohua Technology, is actively engaged in the liquid cooling server sector, leveraging its expertise in fluorochemical products to meet the industry's performance and environmental efficiency demands [1] Group 1: Company Positioning - Haohua Technology's subsidiary, Sinochem Blue Sky, is recognized as a leading enterprise in the fluorochemical industry [1] - The company is closely monitoring technological innovations in the liquid cooling server field [1] Group 2: Product Development - Sinochem Blue Sky has already developed products that are applicable to liquid cooling servers [1] - The company plans to continue researching and developing a series of products tailored to enhance heat dissipation efficiency and energy conservation for the liquid cooling server industry [1]

Market Overview - On August 11, the A-share market experienced a strong upward trend, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, and both the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index reaching new highs for the year [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.83 trillion yuan, an increase of 116.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - A total of 78 stocks hit the daily limit up, with 17 stocks achieving consecutive limit ups, and 28 stocks failed to hit the limit, resulting in a limit-up rate of 73% (excluding ST and delisted stocks) [1] Stock Performance - The market showed a healthy rotation of hotspots, with more stocks rising than falling; over 4,100 stocks increased in value, and more than 100 stocks rose over 9% [1] - Key sectors that performed well included PEEK materials, lithium mining, CPO, and PCB, while sectors such as banking, gold, film, and engineering machinery saw declines [1] Focus Stocks - Notable stocks included: - Changcheng Military Industry (601606) with 8 days of 6 limit ups, rising by 10% [6] - Beiwai Technology (002148) with 6 days of 5 limit ups, increasing by 10.04% [6] - Aerospace Science and Technology (000901) with 5 days of 4 limit ups, gaining 10.03% [6] - Zhongxin Fluorine Materials (002915) with 5 days of 4 limit ups, also rising by 10% [6] - The overall limit-up rate was 74%, with a performance increase of 3.81% for stocks that hit the limit the previous day [5]

Group 1 - The stock price of Duofuduo is reported at 12.49 yuan as of August 7, 2025, with a decline of 1.42% compared to the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on the same day reached 277 million yuan, with a fluctuation of 2.13% [1] - Duofuduo's main business includes industrial and other sectors, with industrial activities accounting for 76.31% of its operations [1] Group 2 - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of fluorochemical products, which are widely used in new energy and electronic materials [1] - On August 7, the board of directors approved a proposal to permanently supplement working capital with 8.7139 million yuan of surplus raised funds [1] - The company also discussed temporary replenishment of idle raised funds and the establishment of special accounts [1] Group 3 - On August 7, there was a net outflow of main funds amounting to 31.0651 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 15.0040 million yuan over the past five days [1]

Market Performance - A-shares saw all three major indices close higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.45%, reaching a new closing high for the year [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.64%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.66% [2] Sector Highlights - PEEK material concept stocks remained active, with Zhongxin Fluorine Materials achieving two consecutive trading limits [1] - Robotics concept stocks continued their strong performance, with companies like Zhongma Transmission and Beiwai Technology hitting the daily limit [1] - The military industry sector showed a strong upward trend, with stocks such as Great Wall Military Industry and Hunan Tianyan reaching trading limits [1] - Other notable gainers included the shipbuilding sector and reducer concept stocks [1] Declining Sectors - Pharmaceutical stocks experienced a collective adjustment, with the restaurant, tourism, and cultural media sectors showing significant declines [1] - The Wind popular concept index indicated a decline in traditional Chinese medicine by 0.98%, with other sectors like antibiotics and blood products also experiencing negative changes [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160.SH) has indicated a continuous upward trend in the prices of fluorinated refrigerants as of now [1] Group 2 - The company has communicated this information through an interactive platform, highlighting its current market position [1] - The increase in fluorinated refrigerant prices may reflect broader industry trends and demand dynamics [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight (Maintain)" [10] Core Viewpoints - Recent refrigerant prices are running at a high level, and in the medium to long term, supply constraints due to quota policies are expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance for refrigerants, driven by factors such as improved living standards and global warming [8][27] - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd., Sanmei Co., Ltd., Dongyue Group, and Yonghe Co., Ltd. as potential investment opportunities [8][27] Industry Overview - From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the basic chemical industry experienced a weekly decline of 1.46%, ranking 11th among all Shenwan first-level industries [6][11] - The top five stocks with the highest weekly gains in the basic chemical industry were: Shangwei New Materials, Songji Co., Ltd., Keta Bio, *ST Yatai, and Tiantie Technology; while the top five stocks with the highest weekly losses were: Poly United, Weike Technology, Gaozheng Min Explosion, Fengmao Co., Ltd., and Yahua Group [6][11] Sub-industry - Fluorine Chemicals - As of August 1, 2025, the price of 97% wet fluorite was 3162 RMB/ton, down 1.2% compared to one month ago and one week ago [12] - The supply of fluorite is tightening due to extreme weather affecting mining operations, while manufacturers are keen to raise prices due to high production costs [12] - The overall demand for refrigerants is expected to remain strong despite a seasonal decline in air conditioning production, supported by high temperatures and supply constraints [14]

Core Viewpoint - The investment agreement between Urumqi Ganquanpu Economic and Technological Development Zone and Nantong Donggang Chemical Co., Ltd. signifies a significant commitment to developing a fluorine materials integrated project, with a total investment of approximately 70 billion yuan [1] Investment Details - Nantong Donggang Chemical will invest about 39.5 billion yuan in the first phase of the fluorine materials integrated project, covering an area of approximately 1,000 acres [1] - The project is scheduled to commence construction in October 2023 and is expected to be completed and put into production by April 2027 [1] Production Focus - The project will primarily produce high-value-added fluoropolymer monomers and high-end polymers using raw materials such as chloroform, 1,1,1,2-tetrachloroethane, and anhydrous hydrogen fluoride [1] - Additionally, it will include the construction of a green and environmentally friendly caustic soda facility with a capacity of 300,000 tons per year and a chloromethane facility with a capacity of 100,000 tons per year [1] - The project aims to utilize advanced technologies to produce key fluorine fine chemicals from raw materials like carbon tetrachloride and ethylene [1] Future Expansion Plans - In the second phase, Nantong Donggang Chemical plans to invest an additional 3 billion yuan or more, focusing on downstream high-value-added industries, including the development of high-end fluorine coatings and specialty fluorine cable materials [1]

Group 1: Market Performance - The fluorochemical sector showed steady performance in July, with the fluorochemical index rising by 6.29%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.32 percentage points [1] - As of the end of July, the fluorochemical index was at 1471.59 points, which is an increase of 6.29% compared to the end of June [1] - The chemical price indices reported by Guosen Securities indicated a slight decrease in the fluorochemical price index by 2.76% and an increase in the refrigerant price index by 2.24% as of July 30, 2025 [1] Group 2: Refrigerant Prices - Retail prices for the main refrigerant R32 continued to rise, with R227ea prices increasing rapidly to 73,000 yuan/ton due to demand from the firefighting sector [2] - Price forecasts for R32 are expected to stabilize with average prices projected at 56,000 yuan in August, 57,000 yuan in September, and 58,000 yuan in October [2] - The market anticipates an increase in refrigerant demand with the approach of the "Golden September and Silver October" period and the new cooling year [2] Group 3: Air Conditioning Production - Air conditioning production has been adjusted upwards due to high summer temperatures, with the total production for August expected to be 6.735 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 11.9% [5] - The cumulative export of air conditioners from January to June reached 41.08 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.9% [5] - The third batch of 69 billion yuan for the old-for-new program has been allocated, providing support for the industry [4] Group 4: Company Developments - Companies such as Dongyangguang, Wengfu Group, and others have reported profit growth in their mid-year financial announcements [6] - The fluorine polymer and supporting projects by Dongyangguang have completed acceptance public announcements, indicating ongoing expansion in the sector [6]

证券研究报告 | 2025年08月01日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-07-31 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3573.20 | 11009.76 | 4075.59 | 12481.75 | 3204.06 | 1047.86 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | -1.17 | -1.72 | -1.82 | -1.39 | -1.09 | -1.01 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 8458.93 | 10901.42 | 4921.42 | 3659.76 | 5412.01 | 456.84 | 【重点推荐】 宏观与策略 宏观快评:美国 7 月 FOMC 会议点评-鲍威尔发言较为鹰派，9 月降息可能 性偏低 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 宏观专题:水线下的冰山——下半年经济与政策节奏的再思考 宏观快评:7 月 PMI 数据解读-"反内卷"效果逐渐显现 固定收益投资策略:2025 年 8 月转债市场研判及 ...