Investment consulting business qualification：CSRC License [2012] No. 669 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669 号 中 信 期 货 国 际 化 研 究 | 中 信 期 货 研 究 所 International 2024-10-09 中信期货国际化研究 | CITIC Futures International Research 2025/10/10 China Futures Daily Note 中国期货每日简报 桂晨曦 Gui Chenxi 从业资格号 Qualification No：F3023159 投资咨询号 Consulting No.：Z0013632 CITIC Futures International Service Platform：https://internationalservice.citicsf.com 摘要 Abstract Macro News: MOFCOM decided to control export of rare earth-related technologies. Futur ...

(家电网® HEA.CN) 服务消费热度攀升。一批优秀国产影片带动观影热潮，截至10月8日15时，国庆档电影票房超17.9亿 元。多项体育赛事掀起观赛热潮，各地开设集美食、文创与特色商品为一体的观赛"第二现场"，将赛事 热度延伸至消费端。 据商务部商务大数据监测，国庆中秋假期全国重点零售和餐饮企业销售额按可比口径同比增长2.7%。 10月1日至7日，商务部重点监测的78个步行街（商圈）客流量、营业额同比分别增长8.8%和6.0%。 绿色、智能、国潮消费亮点突出。商务部监测的主要电商平台数据显示，节日期间绿色有机食品销售额 同比增长27.9%，智能家居产品同比增长14.3%，国潮服装同比增长14.1%。商家推出低油、低糖月饼， 受到消费者青睐。 ...

Group 1 - The court ruling in Hong Kong allows the liquidator to take control of Xu Jiayin's assets, including those held in offshore family trusts, indicating that the legal system can penetrate trust structures used to evade debt responsibilities [1] - The ruling has frozen Xu Jiayin's potential overseas assets, estimated at up to $5 billion, including a $2.3 billion single-family trust and 33 luxury properties in London owned by his ex-wife [1] Group 2 - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature was awarded to Hungarian writer László Krasznahorkai for his compelling and visionary works that reaffirm the power of art in the face of apocalyptic fears [1] Group 3 - During the National Day holiday, Pang Donglai achieved total sales of 820 million yuan over eight days, with supermarkets being the main contributor at approximately 404 million yuan [5] - The sales performance across various sectors included approximately 100 million yuan from electronics, 96.79 million yuan from department stores, and 96.35 million yuan from jewelry [5] Group 4 - Gree Electric's new sub-brand, "Xiao Liang Shen," launched air conditioners priced below 2100 yuan, responding to market changes where products in this price range occupy nearly half of the market [12] - NIO announced organizational adjustments in its smart driving department and plans to release the World Model 2.0 version, enhancing its capabilities for natural language processing and open interaction [12] Group 5 - TSMC reported a 31.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for September 2025, with total revenue for the first nine months of 2025 rising by 36.4% compared to the previous year [12] - ABB announced the sale of its robotics unit to SoftBank for $5.375 billion, expecting to generate approximately $2.4 billion in non-operating pre-tax gains from the transaction [17] Group 6 - Douyin e-commerce has reduced shipping insurance costs for merchants by 5%-30%, which is expected to save over 1 billion yuan in operating costs for merchants in the coming year [15] - Tencent Video implemented a 7-day account suspension for users exceeding the device limit for VIP accounts, aiming to combat piracy and account sharing [15]

2025年国庆节假期恰逢中秋节，在为期8天的长假中，剧集市场、电影市场与演出市场均迎来热 潮。剧集市场方面，台播剧稳守家庭收视阵地，网络平台依托强情节题材与年轻化表达抢占流量高地， 台网协同构成假期内容消费的核心载体；电影市场方面，国庆档以18.35亿元总票房落下帷幕，与往年 相比，今年市场的表现依靠多部影片的稳健口碑，而非单一爆款的拉动；演出市场方面，从经典改编到 跨界创新，从剧院殿堂到户外广场，丰富多彩的演出活动不仅满足了市民文化需求，更成为拉动城市消 费的重要引擎。 剧集市场 "内容创新"成为破圈密码 《731》3.45亿元票房的"亚军奇迹"是一次对电影市场长尾效应与假日观影刚需的精彩诠释，其能 在假期中实现票房逆跌，说明了影片的内容特质与特定受众的观影需求高度契合。 作为国内首部聚焦聋人群体反诈题材的现实主义电影，《震耳欲聋》兼具情感厚度与社会意义，也 是一部关于"精准决策"与"口碑耐心"的典范案例。 《毕正明的证明》作为档期新片的口碑标杆，用细腻扎实的叙事、层次丰富的表演，给观众带来了 情感上的强烈共鸣，成功打破了初始的性别圈层，持续吸引男性观众入场，这既是影片内容普适性的胜 利，也体现了市场对优质 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 National Day film market is expected to see a decline in box office concentration due to a lack of strong films, with the top three films contributing only 60% of the total box office, the lowest since 2016, and the champion film contributing just 25% [1] - The introduction of OpenAI's video generation model Sora2 poses a significant challenge to the traditional film industry, offering more accurate and realistic content generation capabilities [1] - The film industry is facing rising production costs and extended timelines, with industry leaders expressing concerns about the sustainability of current models [2] Group 1: Industry Challenges - The production cycle for films has extended from 1-1.5 years to over 3 years, leading to reduced content supply [2] - North American box office revenues have declined from over $10 billion annually before 2020 to projected figures of $8.89 billion in 2023, $8.62 billion in 2024, and $6.82 billion in 2025 [2] - The rising costs in the film industry are not only a domestic issue but also affect Hollywood, which is experiencing similar challenges [2] Group 2: Impact of AI Technology - AI technologies like Sora2 are expected to intensify competition in the content creation space, putting pressure on companies that rely on traditional production methods [2] - The adoption of AI could provide opportunities for the Chinese film industry to leverage its rich cultural IP and large market to create differentiated competitive advantages globally [2] - Companies are encouraged to embrace AI as a tool for cost reduction and efficiency improvement, rather than viewing it as a threat [3]

根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》《中华人民共和国对外贸易法》《中华人民共和国海关法》 《中华人民共和国两用物项出口管制条例》有关规定，为维护国家安全和利益、履行防扩散等国际义 务，经国务院批准，决定对下列物项实施出口管制。 2、商务部新闻发言人就对超硬材料等相关物项实施出口管制应询答记者问 问：10月9日，商务部、海关总署联合发布公告，对超硬材料、稀土设备和原辅料、钬等5种中重稀 土、锂电池和人造石墨负极材料相关物项实施出口管制。请问中方此次出台出口管制政策，有什么考 虑？答：根据《中华人民共和国出口管制法》等有关法律法规，10月9日，商务部会同海关总署发布关 于对超硬材料、稀土设备和原辅料、钬等5种中重稀土、锂电池和人造石墨负极材料相关物项实施出口 管制措施的公告，将于11月8日正式实施。此前，我们已经向有关国家和地区作了通报。此次列管的相 关物项具有明显的军民两用属性，中国依法依规实施出口管制措施，符合国际通行做法，更好地维护了 国家安全和利益，更好地履行了防扩散等国际义务。中国政府愿与各国一道维护全球产供链稳定畅通， 相关措施不针对任何国家和地区，对于合法合规的出口申请，中方将在审查后予以许可。同时，中 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market indices all closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above 3900 points, reaching the highest level since August 2015, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market [4] - The market showed a structural divergence, with 3109 stocks rising and 2184 stocks falling, highlighting both opportunities and risks [5][11] Trading Activity - The total trading volume in both markets exceeded 4700 billion, reflecting a significant increase of 21.63%, indicating extreme trading activity [6] - Resource stocks surged in the afternoon, driving the index to break through, while technology stocks experienced a short-term correction, creating a favorable "weight on stage, theme in play" market dynamic [6] Investor Sentiment - Institutional investors displayed a cautious and observant approach, with a tendency towards conservative positioning, as most funds opted to remain inactive [8] - Retail investors showed high enthusiasm for entering the market, driven by the "opening red" profit effect, leading to increased risk appetite and a tendency to chase market hotspots and engage in thematic investments [8] Fund Flow - There was a net outflow of funds from major players, while retail investors experienced a net inflow [7] - The overall positioning of institutions was characterized by "cautious observation + partial layout," with some funds adjusting their positions in cyclical stocks while adopting a "sell on rallies" strategy for high-valuation technology stocks [8]

成立多年的基金首次分红！公募基金"发红包"力度不断加大 Wind数据显示，截至10月8日，2025年全市场公募基金分红金额已达到1831.97亿元，为2022年以来同期 之最，距离"基金大年"2021年的1873.55亿元只差了40多亿元。其中，4只千亿级别的沪深300ETF分红金 额领衔全市场，华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF分红金额最多，达到83.94亿元；易方达沪深300ETF、华夏沪深 300ETF、嘉实沪深300ETF分红金额分别为55.58亿元、55.54亿元、24.35亿元。记者看到，年初至今分 红较多的基金，多为被动指数型基金、债券型基金，主动权益基金只有少数规模较大的基金名列前茅， 例如成立了17年的易方达科讯，年初至今净值接近翻倍，阔别3年再次发放分红；再比如成立了16年的 大成策略回报，在长期业绩稳健的同时，仍然保持了定期分红。（大河财立方） 东方财富证券客服确认：中芯国际、佰维存储两融折算率均调为零 今日下午，有投资者反映称，接东方财富证券短信告知，自10月9日起，信用账户持有的中芯国际 （688981）的折算率由0.70调整为0.00；佰维存储（688525）的折算率由0.50调整为0.00 ...

Group 1 - The National Day holiday film market saw a total box office of 18.34 billion yuan, with top films including "The Volunteer Army: Bloodbath for Peace," "731," and "Assassination Novelist 2" generating approximately 4.51 billion, 3.45 billion, and 2.95 billion yuan respectively [1][2][5] - The film market's success is attributed to the involvement of several listed companies such as China Film, Bona Film Group, Huayi Brothers, Wanda Film, and Light Media, which have seen their stock prices perform well this year [1][6][8] - The average ticket price during the National Day holiday was 36.6 yuan, a slight decrease from 40.4 yuan the previous year, indicating a trend towards more affordable viewing options [3][5] Group 2 - The National Day film lineup included over ten new releases across various genres, catering to diverse audience preferences, which helped maintain the momentum from the summer box office [2][3] - The film "731" significantly contributed to the box office in lower-tier cities, with these markets accounting for 23.7% of the total box office, a notable increase from the previous year [2][6] - The stock performance of film-related companies has been strong, with notable increases in share prices for companies like Happiness Blue Sea, Light Media, and Huanrui Century, which saw year-to-date gains of 149.43%, 107.48%, and 101.23% respectively [6][8] Group 3 - The film industry is evolving towards a more rational and mature market, as evidenced by the close box office performance of top films during the National Day holiday, suggesting a balanced competition among major titles [3][6] - Companies are exploring diversified revenue streams beyond traditional box office sales, including collaborations with tourism and dining sectors, as seen with themed pop-up stores and merchandise sales related to films [7][8] - Predictions for 2025 indicate that major companies like Light Media, Shanghai Film, and China Film are expected to see their net profits double, driven by upcoming blockbuster releases [8]

Market Overview - On October 9, the A-share market saw a strong rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% to surpass 3900 points, marking a 10-year high [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.47% to 13725.56 points, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.73% to 3261.82 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 26,723 billion yuan, an increase of 4,748 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced significant gains, with stocks like Tongling Nonferrous Metals and Northern Copper hitting the daily limit [1][3] - The controlled nuclear fusion concept saw a surge, with companies like Changfu Co. and Western Superconducting Technologies also reaching the daily limit [7] - The rare earth sector strengthened, with companies such as China Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth nearing the daily limit [6] Notable Stocks - Newly listed stock Yunhan Xincheng surged by 40.89% to 164.56 yuan per share, with a peak increase of over 70% during the day [2] - In the Hong Kong market, stocks like Xin Mining Resources and Lenovo Group saw significant gains, with Xin Mining Resources rising over 120% [2] Gold and Precious Metals - International gold prices reached a new high, exceeding 4000 USD per ounce, driven by factors such as the U.S. government shutdown and ongoing expectations of interest rate cuts [4][5] - Analysts suggest that the current environment presents investment opportunities in precious metals and the non-ferrous sector [5] Semiconductor Sector - The storage chip sector showed renewed strength, with stocks like CanSemi and Huahong Semiconductor hitting the daily limit [10] - A report indicated that the server eSSD prices are expected to rise by over 10% in Q4 2025, driven by increased demand from major cloud service providers [12] Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The controlled nuclear fusion concept gained traction, with significant stock price increases for companies involved in this sector [7][9] - The upcoming International Atomic Energy Fusion Energy Conference is anticipated to bring major developments in the fusion industry [9]