固态电池设备关键环节，前中段引领突破 [Table_ReportType] ——电力设备行业深度报告[Table_ReportDate] [行业核心观点： Table_Summary] 与传统液态锂电池相比，固态电池具备高安全性，高能量密度的关键 优势，是锂电池产业升级的重要方向。当前，在国家政策支持、企业 布局加速的推动下，固态电池正在进入快速发展阶段，产业化转折点 即将到来，未来市场空间广阔。固态电池设备是锂电池产业链上游环 节，在量产进程中有望率先受益。 投资要点： 常规锂电设备：前段中段设备价值占比高，涂布、卷绕机为核心设备。 从工序流程来看，锂电生产工艺主要分为三个环节，分别为前段制片环 节、中段装配环节以及后段测试环节。从细分环节市场规模结构分布来 看，我国锂电设备前段、中段、后段设备市场占比分别为 44.05%、 35.71%、20.24%，前段设备市场占比最高，其次为中段设备。细分来看， 前段设备中，涂布机价值最大，占前段设备的 75%左右；中段关键设备 为卷绕机，其价值占比达到 70%。 3282 ⚫ 固态电池设备：与常规锂电设备区别集中在前段和中段。 ⚫ （1）前段设备：干法电极有望应用， ...

Group 1: Lithium Battery Equipment - The lithium battery equipment industry is expected to experience a domestic production rebound and an acceleration of overseas orders starting in the second half of 2024, driven by leading companies like CATL and BYD increasing their production capacity utilization [1] - The equipment update cycle is typically around five years, with a potential peak in domestic lithium battery equipment replacement expected around 2026-2027, following the last expansion peak in 2020-2021 [1] - New technologies such as composite copper foil, 4680 large cylindrical batteries, and solid-state batteries are anticipated to create additional equipment demand [1] Group 2: Photovoltaic Equipment - The photovoltaic equipment sector is currently facing a bottoming out of short-term market conditions due to industry pressures from overcapacity, with a potential policy-driven capital expenditure on new technologies expected in 2025 [2] - New technologies in the silicon wafer segment include low-oxygen monocrystalline furnaces and tungsten wire diamond saws, aimed at improving silicon rod yield [2] - Innovations in the cell segment involve HJT and BC technologies, which enhance light conversion efficiency through design improvements [2] - In the module segment, advancements such as 0BB and stacked grid silver reduction technologies are set to further optimize efficiency and reduce silver paste consumption [2]

Summary of the Conference Call for XianDao Intelligent Company Overview - **Company**: XianDao Intelligent - **Industry**: Battery Equipment Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - As of Q1 2025, XianDao Intelligent's contract liabilities increased to 13.1 billion RMB, indicating strong order growth potential [2] - The company implemented strict accounts receivable impairment policies, leading to significant impairments in 2023 and 2024, but a positive contribution of 100 million RMB in Q1 2025 suggests future profit growth [2][4] - Despite industry downturns, XianDao maintained a stable gross margin of approximately 35%, outperforming peers [2][5] - Operating cash flow turned positive for two consecutive quarters, with Q4 2024 at 1 billion RMB and Q1 2025 at 800 million RMB, indicating improved cash flow conditions [5] Order and Revenue Projections - New order growth is expected to be between 20%-30% in 2025, with total orders projected to reach 23 billion RMB [2][6] - Q1 2025 saw new orders of approximately 6 billion RMB, doubling from the same period in 2024 [6] - Orders from CATL (Ningde Times) are expected to reach 8.5 billion RMB in 2025, accounting for nearly 40% of XianDao's total orders [8] CATL's Expansion and Impact - CATL's expansion plans include multiple domestic projects and overseas factories in Hungary and Spain, which will significantly increase its global market share and provide XianDao with additional orders [9] - CATL's order volume for XianDao was below expectations from 2022 to 2024, but a recovery began in Q4 2024, with a notable increase in Q1 2025 [7] Competitive Landscape - BYD's self-sufficiency limits its reliance on external suppliers like XianDao, with expected contributions of less than 1 billion RMB in 2025 [10] - Other battery manufacturers like Yiwei and Zhonghang are expanding, potentially providing additional orders for XianDao [10][11] International Market Developments - XianDao has established partnerships with major international companies such as LG, SK, Samsung, and Volkswagen, enhancing its competitive edge in overseas markets [16][21] - The overseas order ratio is expected to increase, with projections indicating that by 2025, overseas revenue will significantly contribute to overall performance [17] Solid-State Battery Technology - XianDao possesses strong capabilities in solid-state battery technology, with a focus on complete line supply and strategic partnerships with leading manufacturers [20][21] - The development of solid-state battery technology is expected to create new equipment demand and higher requirements for R&D in related companies [18] Future Outlook - XianDao's order volume is projected to reach 4-5 billion RMB in 2025, with revenue growth anticipated between 10%-20%, reaching around 13 billion RMB [22] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 1.5 billion RMB in 2025, with potential for higher actual profits due to accelerating overseas equipment revenue [22] - The outlook for 2026 suggests a revenue target of 20 billion RMB and a net profit of 3 billion RMB, driven by strong order growth and strategic partnerships [23][24] Additional Important Insights - XianDao's strict impairment policies have led to significant provisions in previous years, but a reduction in impairments is expected in 2025, positively impacting profits [4] - The company’s market share in the domestic lithium battery equipment market is around 30%, with global market share exceeding 20% [16]

Group 1 - The Iranian-Israeli ceasefire has alleviated concerns about closing the Strait, leading to a significant drop in oil prices and a surge in the stock market [1] - The market anticipates a 25% probability of a rate cut in July, up from 21%, with a 60% probability for September [3] - Financial sectors, including brokerage and insurance, are benefiting from policy expectations, pushing indices to new short-term highs [4] Group 2 - High growth sectors for Q2 include overseas AI computing, motorcycle exports, and innovative pharmaceuticals, driven by increased demand and capacity expansion [5] - Specific companies showing significant profit growth include Daikin Heavy Industries in offshore wind, Longxin General Motors in motorcycles, and various players in the optical module sector [6] - Storage and lithium battery equipment sectors are showing signs of improvement, although they are categorized as left-side fundamentals, indicating potential for longer recovery times [8] Group 3 - The military industry remains highly unpredictable, with potential order improvements noted but lacking specific company representation [11] - The current stock-bond yield spread is at 6.14%, indicating a higher relative value for stocks compared to historical averages [14]

新华财经北京6月24日电（罗浩）沪深两市主要股指24日开盘涨跌不一，沪指微幅低开，深成指和创业 板指小幅高开。各股指盘初波动攀升，盘中在高位整理，收盘时均显著上涨。值得注意的是，沪指6月 24日盘中最高触及3423.78点，高于2025年5月14日盘中高位3417.31点，创下5月中旬以来的阶段盘中新 高，亦为2025年3月21日以来的盘中新高；与此同时，沪指6月24日收于3420.57点，高于2025年5月14日 收盘点位3403.95点，创下5月中旬以来的阶段收盘新高，亦为2025年3月20日以来的收盘新高。 盘面上，固态电池板块及人形机器人板块领涨，减速器、PEEK材料、一体压铸、胎压监测、汽车热管 理、复合铜箔、无人驾驶、高压快充、液冷服务器、动力电池回收、工业母机、云游戏等板块亦有较大 幅度上涨。油气开采、可燃冰、港口航运等板块跌幅靠前。 截至收盘，沪指报3420.57点，涨幅1.15%，成交额约5449亿元；深成指报10217.63点，涨幅1.68%，成 交额约8697亿元；创业板指报2064.13点，涨幅2.30%，成交额约4417亿元；科创综指报1198.12点，涨 幅2.07%，成交额约10 ...

Macro Strategy - The Federal Reserve did not lower interest rates in June and removed the judgment of higher unemployment and inflation from its statement, indicating a more stagflationary economic outlook [1][11] - The Fed revised down the US GDP growth forecast for Q4 2025 from 1.7% to 1.4% and raised the unemployment rate forecast from 4.4% to 4.5% [11] - The PCE inflation forecast for Q4 2025 was increased from 2.7% to 3.0%, with core PCE rising from 2.8% to 3.1% [11] Industry Analysis - In April 2025, the domestic installed capacity of new energy increased by 214.7%, with 45.22 GW added, marking the highest monthly increase for solar power in the first half of the year [5][17] - The global solar market is expected to grow, with a forecasted 10% increase in new installations in 2025 under neutral conditions, and up to 30% under optimistic scenarios [17] - The wind power sector is experiencing growth, with a 20% increase in land wind turbine bidding in the first five months of 2025 [17] Company Recommendations - BaiRun Co., Ltd. is expected to achieve revenues of 3.5 billion, 4 billion, and 4.7 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 810 million, 970 million, and 1.18 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [6][19] - YaSheng Pharmaceutical is projected to see rapid revenue growth, with forecasts of 519 million yuan and 3.215 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, also maintaining a "buy" rating [7] - Top Cloud Agriculture is expected to benefit from the development of smart agriculture, with projected revenues of 659 million, 875 million, and 1.136 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, receiving a "buy" rating [8]

机械 2025 年中投资策略：硬科技与低估值并驾齐驱 20250622 上半年机械行业受益于机器人、减速机等主题投资，涨幅显著，但内需 受制造业、房地产和基建疲软影响，整体偏弱。 中国制造业对外直接投资持续增长，复合年均增长率达 7.43%，东盟占 比提升，多家机械公司积极进行海外产能布局，并掀起赴港上市热潮。 下半年机械行业投资机会集中在硬科技（巨轮智能、可控核聚变）和低 估值方向，港股市场因证券资产供给充足和全球资金涌入值得关注。 工程机械内需复苏温和，主要由更新换代驱动，二季度挖掘机销量降速， 但大型挖掘机表现依旧良好，预计后续恢复正增长。 工程机械外需良好，亚非拉地区复苏，欧美地区降幅收窄，中国企业在 欧美市场份额提升空间大，俄语区重建需求或带动增长。 工控行业一季度扭转下滑趋势，同比增长 2.35%，暖通空调、工业机器 人等行业增速较快，龙头公司市占率提升，并推出新品应对复苏。 油服设备市场与国际油价关联度不强，国内三桶油资本开支维持较高水 平，非常规油气开采设备订单表现超预期，海外业务占比显著提升。 Q&A 2025 年上半年机械行业的整体表现如何？ 2025 年上半年，机械板块表现突出，共有近 ...

中信证券：中报季的应对思路和准备 二是港股近期偏弱的原因是什么？后续是否还有机会？我们认为港元流动性收紧预期、配股以及减持的增加将 阶段性制约港股贝塔，但经历行业性动量的修正后，阿尔法机会在未来两个月将会更为凸显，尤其是在电车、 创新药和新消费领域。 三是国内价格信号相对偏弱，外资现在对中国资产的态度如何？我们认为今年迄今外资对中国资产最大的态度 变化在于关注度、耐心和长期认可度，但是短期受制于一系列因素，实际的资金流入不明显，趋势性回流需要 继续等待。 四是微盘股的下跌是否会引发系统性波动？我们认为概率很小，有了去年初的经验，不少量化产品已提前做了 风控准备，但在高估值、高拥挤度和弱基本面环境下，中报季还会继续下修估值。 五是中报季潜在的外部风险是什么？我们认为特朗普用"232调查"来替代行政令推动行业性关税落地，以及减 税法案落地后资金阶段性回流美元资产可能会对非美市场造成不利影响。 中信建投：港股调整拖累，A股赛道轮动 前期表现强势的港股新消费和创新药板块，近期出现较明显调整，带动A股相关板块也出现较大波动，目前港 股流动性和风险偏好均受到冲击，可能仍将持续一段时间。内部基本面延续内需偏弱+结构性景气的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment sector [1] Core Insights - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with equipment manufacturers being the primary beneficiaries. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to establish a standard system for solid-state batteries by 2025, with significant investments already made in R&D [2] - The forklift industry shows strong growth, with May sales reaching 123,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12%. The demand for large forklifts is particularly strong, indicating a robust outlook for leading companies in Q2 [3] - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a recovery in non-excavator sales and exports, with May excavator sales at 18,202 units, a 2.12% increase year-on-year. The sector is currently undervalued, presenting investment opportunities [4] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Equipment - Solid-state battery commercialization is accelerating, benefiting equipment suppliers. Key players include: - **Xian Dao Intelligent**: Offers a complete solution for solid-state battery manufacturing [2] - **Yinghe Technology**: Recently delivered core solid-state battery equipment to a leading domestic battery company [2] - **Huaya Intelligent**: Signed an agreement for a 200MWh solid-state battery production line project [2] - Investment recommendations focus on solid-state battery equipment suppliers like Xian Dao Intelligent and laser welding equipment manufacturers [2] Forklift Industry - May forklift sales reached 123,000 units, with domestic sales at 79,000 units (up 9%) and exports at 44,000 units (up 17%). The demand for large forklifts is particularly strong, indicating a positive outlook for leading companies in Q2 [3] - Key players include Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, and Zhongli Group, which are actively pursuing smart logistics solutions [3] Engineering Machinery - May excavator sales were 18,202 units, with a slight year-on-year increase. The sector is seeing a recovery in non-excavator sales and exports, with a 9% increase in export value for engineering machinery in the first five months of 2025 [4] - Recommended stocks include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and LiuGong, as the sector is currently undervalued [4] General Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on companies with strong growth potential in the solid-state battery and engineering machinery sectors, highlighting the importance of technological advancements and market demand [2][4]

证券研究报告 [Table_Page] 跟踪分析|机械设备 [Table_Title] 锂电设备行业 固态电池产业化加速，设备环节率先受益 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2025-06-20 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]代川 SAC 执证号：S0260517080007 SFC CE No. BOS186 021-38003678 daichuan@gf.com.cn 分析师： 朱宇航 SAC 执证号：S0260520120001 021-38003676 zhuyuhang@gf.com.cn 分析师： 范方舟 SAC 执证号：S0260522080001 021-38003750 fanfangzhou@gf.com.cn 请注意，朱宇航,范方舟并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员 会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 -14% -3% 8% 18% 29% 40% 06/24 08/24 11/24 01/25 04/25 06/25 机械设备 沪深300 [Ta ...