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如何运用芝商所收益率期货对冲美债波动风险
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-05-09 13:39
美联储9月议息会议决定降息50个基点,超预期降息之后,美债收益率不跌反涨,似乎逆转了此前市场对美国经济将 很快陷入衰退的预测。截至10月21日,对货币政策敏感的2年期美债收益率反弹至4.03%,创8月20日以来最高纪录, 但依旧低于去年同期的5.07%,此前其在9月24日一度降至3.49%;反映美国经济增长前景的10年期美债收益率反弹至 4.2%,创7月29日以来最高纪录,此前其在9月16日一度降至3.63%,去年同期为4.93%。 9月下旬至今,美债再次下跌,遭遇了一轮较大规模的抛售。主要有两个方面的原因导致这一轮抛售:一是美国 经济数据超预期回升,市场对美联储11月降息的预期明显降温;二是由于市场预估特朗普将赢得美国大选,其减税、 加征关税和扩大财政支出政策有可能导致通胀回升,市场开始交易"再通胀"逻辑。 展望后市,我们认为美债收益率很难长时间维持高位,原因主要来自三方面:一是高企的美元利率不利于美国财政的 可持续性;二是美国经济增长放缓是很难避免的,因私人部门消费增长已经在放缓;三是再通胀反过来会削弱经济增 长动能。 两因素导致美债短期遭遇抛售 导致近期美债收益率反弹的原因主要有两方面: 一方面是美国经 ...
上海期货交易所与海湾商品交易所签署合作谅解备忘录
news flash· 2025-05-06 10:58
近日,上海期货交易所与海湾商品交易所签署合作谅解备忘录,旨在进一步加强双方大宗商品衍生品市 场间的交流与合作。GME总部位于阿联酋迪拜国际金融中心,前身为迪拜商品交易所,是中东地区重 要的商品期货交易所之一。根据备忘录文本,上期所将与GME共同探索深化产品研发、知识共享、市 场研究、人员交流、市场培训与推广等领域合作,以期促进双方市场间的交流互鉴,并为两地投资者提 供更加丰富的风险管理工具。(人民财讯) ...
伦敦金属交易所(LME)表示,将通过详细的豁免措施和收费相关措施,确保现货市场的保护以及LME数据结构的稳定。
news flash· 2025-04-30 09:38
伦敦金属交易所(LME)表示,将通过详细的豁免措施和收费相关措施,确保现货市场的保护以及 LME数据结构的稳定。 ...
一周要闻·阿联酋&卡塔尔|中阿投资合作高级别委员会举行首次会议/卡塔尔媒体城与华为达成战略合作
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-28 12:54
Group 1 - The establishment of the China-UAE Investment Cooperation High-Level Committee aims to enhance investment cooperation and achieve more results between the two countries [2] - Manus's parent company, Butterfly Effect, completed a financing round of $75 million, increasing its valuation to nearly $500 million, with plans to expand into international markets including the US, Japan, and the Middle East [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange and the Gulf Commodity Exchange signed an agreement to strengthen cooperation in the commodity market [3] Group 2 - The UAE's total trade volume is projected to reach 5.23 trillion dirhams (approximately $1.424 trillion) in 2024, reflecting a 49% increase from 2021 [4] - A new large-scale data center project in Dubai, with an investment of approximately 2 billion dirhams, will be developed by "du" telecom company, with Microsoft as a major user [4] - The UAE plans to utilize artificial intelligence to assist in drafting new legislation, marking a significant step in AI application [4] Group 3 - Abu Dhabi's Hub71 reported a record high of 8.02 billion dirhams in funding for startups in 2024, a 44.7% increase from 2023 [5] - The establishment of the UAE's first AI doctoral program aims to cultivate talent in key areas such as smart city development and advanced healthcare [5] - Abu Dhabi ranked fifth in the 2025 IMD Smart City Index, reflecting significant achievements in digital governance and sustainable development [6] Group 4 - The Dubai Artificial Intelligence Week gathered over 10,000 experts and innovators from more than 100 countries to discuss AI technologies and industry applications [7] - The Dubai IFZA guide explains the opportunities and advantages of operating in mainland versus free zones, highlighting the growing preference for free zones among businesses [7] Group 5 - Qatar Media City signed a memorandum of understanding with Huawei to support the digital transformation of the media industry [9] - Qatar's Ministry of Interior simplified the process for Chinese citizens to apply for driving licenses, effective from April 2025 [10] - Qatar's POS and e-commerce transaction volume reached 13.8 billion Qatari riyals (approximately $3.8 billion) in March 2025 [10]
炭黑期货交易平台引领炭黑产业发展的先锋力量
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 04:07
3. 促进价格发现:炭黑期货交易平台通过交易活动,反映了市场参与者对炭黑期货价格的看法和预期,进而形成市场上的合理价格。炭黑期货交易平台的价 格发现功能,为相关行业企业提供了参考依据,帮助其制定采购和销售策略。 4. 促进行业发展:炭黑期货交易平台的健康发展,对于整个炭黑产业的发展具有重要意义。炭黑期货交易平台提高了炭黑产业的市场化水平,促进了行业的 专业化和规范化发展。炭黑期货交易平台为炭黑产业链上的企业提供了融资和套期保值的工具,降低了其经营风险。炭黑期货交易平台通过吸引更多投资者 参与市场交易,增强了市场活力和竞争力。 为了规范炭黑期货交易,提高炭黑期货交易的透明度和有效性,炭黑期货交易平台应运而生。通过建立统一的交易规则、完善的风控体系和公开透明的交易 机制,炭黑期货交易平台有效地推动了炭黑期货市场的发展。 二、炭黑期货交易平台的功能和特点 1. 提供交易和信息服务:炭黑期货交易平台为交易参与者提供了一个便捷的交易通道,促进了炭黑期货的买卖成交。同时,炭黑期货交易平台还发布炭黑期 货交易的相关信息,包括价格指数、交易数据、市场动态等,为参与者提供及时的市场信息。 2. 完善的风险管理:炭黑期货交易平台 ...
上期所、上期能源公布劳动节假期风控措施
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-04-28 01:16
Core Points - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) and its subsidiary, Shanghai International Energy Exchange, announced risk control measures for the Labor Day holiday, adjusting the price fluctuation limits and margin requirements for various futures contracts [1][2] Group 1: Price Fluctuation Limits and Margin Requirements - From April 29, the price fluctuation limit for rebar, hot-rolled coil, and stainless steel futures contracts will be adjusted to 8%, with hedging margin at 9% and speculative margin at 10% [1] - For aluminum, zinc, lead, alumina, wire rod, and pulp futures, the fluctuation limit will be set at 9%, with hedging margin at 10% and speculative margin at 11% [1] - Copper futures will have a fluctuation limit of 10%, with hedging margin at 11% and speculative margin at 12% [1] - Natural rubber futures will see a fluctuation limit of 11%, with hedging margin at 12% and speculative margin at 13% [1] - For fuel oil, asphalt, butadiene rubber, nickel, and tin futures, the fluctuation limit will be 12%, with hedging margin at 13% and speculative margin at 14% [1] - Silver futures will have a fluctuation limit of 13%, with hedging margin at 14% and speculative margin at 15% [1] - Gold futures will see a fluctuation limit of 14%, with hedging margin at 15% and speculative margin at 16% [1] Group 2: Future Adjustments - On May 6, after the first trading day without a one-sided market, the fluctuation limit for gold futures will be adjusted to 12%, with hedging margin at 13% and speculative margin at 14% [2] - Other futures contracts will revert to their original fluctuation limits and margin requirements after May 6 [2] - The fluctuation limit for international copper futures will be set at 10%, with hedging margin at 11% and speculative margin at 12% [2] - The fluctuation limit for 20 rubber futures will be 11%, with hedging margin at 12% and speculative margin at 13% [2] - For crude oil and low-sulfur fuel oil futures, the fluctuation limit will be 12%, with hedging margin at 13% and speculative margin at 14% [2] - The shipping index (European line) futures will have a fluctuation limit of 19%, with a margin requirement of 21% [2] - All futures contracts' fluctuation limits and margin requirements will return to their original levels after May 6 [2]
4月11日电,泰国期货交易所表示,因触及每日价格限制,暂时停止美元/日元期货交易。
news flash· 2025-04-11 08:53
Core Insights - The Thai Futures Exchange has temporarily halted trading of USD/JPY futures due to reaching the daily price limit [1] Group 1 - The halt in trading is a response to the market conditions affecting USD/JPY futures [1]
伦镍风波后续:LME被处以920万英镑罚款
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-03-24 10:37
伦镍风波后续:LME被处以920万英镑罚款 时隔三年,曾轰动一时的"伦镍风波"终于尘埃落定。 近日,英国金融行为监管局(FCA)宣布,对伦敦金属交易所(LME)处以920万英镑(约合人民 币8630万元)罚款,理由是该交易所在应对2022年镍市场大规模逼空事件时,缺乏足够完善的系统和控 制措施。 2022年3月7日至8日,LME上演了一场史诗级"伦镍逼空风波",镍价暴涨250%,一度涨至10万美 元/吨的历史高位。随后,为维护市场秩序,LME暂停了镍交易,并取消了8日0点后的所有交易,高达 数十亿美元的交易被追溯性地取消。此举引起了市场极大争议,并造成了市场对LME的信任危机。 针对"伦镍风波",近日FCA调查结果显示,LME的系统和控制措施不足以应对极端市场压力,尤其 是其自动波动性控制机制(即价格区间)的操作缺乏明确的政策和监管。主要问题有以下几点: 另外,FCA表示认可LME自2022年3月以来的整改措施,包括加强风险控制和人员培训。此次处罚 是FCA首次对英国认可的投资交易所(RIE)采取的执法行动,凸显了对大宗商品市场系统性风险的高 度关注。LME因配合调查并承认违规,罚款金额减免30%(原为132 ...