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医药行业周报:国产GLP-1出海值得期待-2025-03-16
Huaxin Securities· 2025-03-16 09:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1]. Core Insights - The global new drug business development (BD) remains robust, with approximately 31% of innovative drug candidates introduced by multinational pharmaceutical companies in 2024 coming from China. In the first two months of 2025, there have already been 16 Chinese innovative drug BD projects, expanding from oncology to autoimmune diseases [3]. - The weight loss market is seeing multiple BD agreements, with significant sales figures reported by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly. Novo Nordisk's core products generated sales of approximately $27.94 billion in 2024, while Eli Lilly's Mounjaro saw a 124% year-on-year increase in sales to $11.54 billion [5]. - CAR-T cell therapy continues to progress, with global sales expected to reach approximately $4.53 billion in 2024. Chinese companies are also participating in the global CAR-T sales, indicating their technological capabilities [6]. - The gene sequencing industry is accelerating its domestic production capabilities following export restrictions on Illumina's sequencing instruments. Domestic alternatives are rapidly emerging, with several companies receiving regulatory approvals for their sequencing devices [7]. - AI in healthcare is advancing, with various AI models being developed for specific medical fields. Collaborations between tech companies and healthcare providers are enhancing the integration of AI into traditional medical practices [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The pharmaceutical industry outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.18 percentage points in the past week, with a weekly increase of 1.77% [23]. - Over the past month, the pharmaceutical sector also outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.22 percentage points, with a monthly increase of 1.94% [27]. Subsector Performance - The pharmaceutical commercial sector saw the highest weekly increase of 6.44%, while the medical device sector had the lowest at 1.09% [30]. - Over the past year, the chemical pharmaceutical sector had the highest increase of 6.49%, while the biological products sector experienced a decline of 17.62% [37]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in weight loss and NASH, such as Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, and highlights the potential of companies like Geli Pharmaceutical and Lianbang Pharmaceutical [12]. - Companies engaged in CAR-T technology, such as Kexin Pharmaceutical, are also recommended as they approach market entry [12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI integration in medical devices, recommending companies like Anbiping and RunDa Medical for their competitive advantages [12]. Recent Developments - The report notes significant recent financing and regulatory approvals for various companies, indicating a dynamic and evolving market landscape [54][55].