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宏观量化经济指数周报:工业生产淡季不弱,“抢出口”有所放缓-20250615
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-15 10:33
Economic Indicators - The weekly ECI supply index is at 50.18%, down 0.01 percentage points from last week, while the demand index is at 49.93%, up 0.01 percentage points[6] - The monthly ECI supply index for June is 50.18%, down 0.05 percentage points from May, and the demand index remains flat at 49.93%[7] - The ELI index is at -1.06%, down 0.15 percentage points from last week, indicating a slight decrease in liquidity[11] Industrial Production - Major industries' operating rates in June show a seasonal decline, but overall performance is better than the same period last year[7] - The operating rate for PTA is recorded at 83.25%, up 4.62 percentage points from the previous week, and the steel furnace operating rate is at 83.39%, down 0.15 percentage points[15] Exports - June exports are expected to show a slight decline, with key port cargo throughput down 7.95% week-on-week[32] - South Korea's export growth for the first ten days of June is at 5.4%, a significant improvement compared to May[32] Consumption - Weekly average sales of passenger cars are recorded at 42,835 units, a year-on-year increase of 6,825 units, but a month-on-month decrease of 12%[22] - The consumer price index for textiles shows a slight increase, with the Keqiao textile price index at 105.08 points, up 0.02 points from last week[22] Investment - The construction material prices continue to decline, with ordinary Portland cement priced at 302.20 yuan/ton, down 5.90 yuan from the previous week[26] - The land supply area in 100 major cities decreased by 20.84% week-on-week, while the transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities increased by 11.41%[26] Inflation - The average wholesale price of pork is at 20.33 yuan/kg, down 0.30 yuan from last week, while Brent crude oil prices increased to $69.45 per barrel, up $4.07[38]
中非产业链合作共筑发展之路
Xin Hua She· 2025-06-15 06:09
Group 1: Trade and Economic Cooperation - In 2024, China-Africa trade is expected to exceed 295.56 billion USD, marking a 4.8% increase and setting a new historical record, with China maintaining its position as Africa's largest trading partner for 16 consecutive years [1] - The "Ten Major Cooperation Actions" initiative is driving deep cooperation across the entire industrial chain between Chinese and African enterprises, contributing to sustainable economic development in Africa [1] Group 2: Agricultural Development and Local Production - A modern cocoa processing plant in Côte d'Ivoire, built by a Chinese company, has a processing capacity of 50,000 tons per year and a storage capacity of 140,000 tons, marking a significant step in the local cocoa industry's upgrade [2] - Chinese agricultural development experience is seen as a vital reference for African countries, with Chinese enterprises not only constructing factories but also providing solutions for industrial chain upgrades [2] Group 3: Talent Development and Training - The development of the industrial chain is heavily reliant on a skilled workforce, with Chinese companies emphasizing vocational education and technical training to cultivate local talent capable of independent production [3] - Over 20,000 textile professionals have been trained by a Chinese company in Madagascar, enhancing local skills and contributing to the textile industry's growth [3][4] Group 4: Market Expansion for African Products - Various platforms and mechanisms are facilitating the entry of African products into global markets, with the establishment of e-commerce platforms like Qili Mall in Kenya, which has become a leading platform in East Africa [5] - Chinese companies are increasingly investing in local production, with a significant portion of components for products being sourced locally, thus enhancing the local economy [5] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives and Trade Policies - China has implemented zero-tariff policies for 100% of products from 33 African countries, promoting trade and economic cooperation [5] - The China-Africa Economic and Trade Expo and other platforms are being utilized to help African enterprises access the Chinese market and connect with global resources [5][6]
数据显示今年5月我国经济多领域“热力”升腾 折射经济向好向“新”、活力强劲
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-06-15 03:23
Economic Indicators - In May, various leading indicators from the National Information Center indicate a strong economic recovery in multiple sectors, reflecting a positive trend towards "new" growth and robust vitality [1] - Government investment has been increasing, with project approvals accelerating [1] Investment Trends - The national excavator index in May was 47.34%, with 16 provinces showing rapid construction activity, particularly Anhui, Beijing, Zhejiang, Jilin, and Liaoning [3] - The Northeast region had the highest construction rate at 60.39%, with a year-on-year increase of 3.58% and a month-on-month increase of 17.01% in workload [3] - Project bidding amounts in May increased by 21.5% year-on-year, marking a new high for the year, with significant growth in healthcare, municipal facilities, energy, and transportation sectors [3] Industrial Production - The industrial economy is exhibiting dual vitality from "traditional momentum recovery" and "new productive forces emergence" [4] - The industrial park production heat index rose by 21.2% year-on-year, indicating sustained high production activity and enhanced industrial clustering effects [6] - Traditional industries are experiencing widespread increases in operational heat, with significant improvements in textiles, chemicals, steel, and plastics [6] - Innovation among startups and technology-driven enterprises has also surged, with growth rates exceeding 20% year-on-year [6] Consumer Trends - In May, multiple consumer sector indicators showed an upward trend, indicating a steady improvement in overall consumption [8] - The offline consumption heat index increased by 25.7% year-on-year, while the life service consumption heat index rose by 14.6%, with significant growth in leisure, accommodation, and dining sectors [9] - Consumer enthusiasm has been bolstered by effective promotional policies, with home appliance online retail sales increasing by 31.0% year-on-year [9]
中国经济面面观|稳就业·保民生:政策、平台与企业如何联动?
Xin Hua She· 2025-06-14 04:26
07:45 有哪些途径可以开拓、哪些举措应该强化? 6月6日,浙江工业大学莫干山校区应届毕业生在校园内留影。新华社发(谢尚国摄)今年以来,我国在人工智能、高端制造、量子科技等领域用工需求旺 盛,催生大量新岗位,就业市场凸显出"智能+"特点。 "随着经济结构转型升级,就业市场呈现明显的行业分化趋势。"Unity中国首席营销官梁璐表示,AI、新能源、低空经济、芯片等战略产业对人才需求旺 盛,但企业更青睐具备跨领域能力的复合型人才,而非单一技能者。"毕业申"招聘平台公共事务部总监汪俊美补充称,数字经济、绿色能源、高端装备制造 等领域岗位热度持续攀升,而传统行业如建筑、纺织、零售等需求有所下降。"这一变化反映出社会对高附加值、适应型人才的迫切需求。" 2025届全国普通高校毕业生规模预计达1222万人,同比增加43万人。 今年就业市场呈现哪些新趋势? 6月10日,在2025长春光博会光电领域尖端人才招聘会,应聘者查看招聘企业信息。当日,2025长春国际光电博览会·Light国际会议(简称2025长春光博会) 在长春东北亚国际博览中心开幕。新华社记者 张楠 摄面向新兴产业急需的知识和技能要求,教育部部署实施了高校学生就 ...
上好合规经营“必修课” 民营企业发展行稳致远
Ren Min Wang· 2025-06-13 07:46
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the positive impact of tax incentives and compliance on the vitality of the private economy in China, highlighting a 3.6% year-on-year growth in sales revenue for the private sector in the first four months of the year [1] - The implementation of the "Tax Payment Credit Management Measures" aims to enhance credit construction in the tax field, promoting compliance among enterprises and supporting high-quality economic development [2] - The number of trustworthy taxpayers in China reached 41.27 million in 2024, an increase of 3.78 million from 2023, with nearly 3.35 million classified as A-level taxpayers, reflecting a steady growth in compliant enterprises [3] Group 2 - In Fujian, the local tax authority introduced 12 measures to promote compliance among private enterprises, enhancing their risk management and compliance awareness [1] - A company in Jiangxi reported that its A-level tax credit status allowed it to secure a low-interest loan of 3 million yuan in 2024, contributing to a total loan of over 40 million yuan since 2018, with financing costs reduced by 18% [2] - Over 83% of surveyed private enterprises have established compliance management systems, indicating a shift towards regulated and sustainable growth in the private sector [3]
新疆库车培育产业协同发展新动能
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-06-12 22:04
Group 1: Industry Development - Xinjiang Yuanfeng Textile Co., Ltd. is constructing its second phase project, expected to be operational by October, making it the first blended polyester enterprise in Xinjiang [1] - The region's GDP grew by 7% year-on-year in Q1, with fixed asset investment increasing by 20% and industrial added value rising by 6% [1] Group 2: Green Energy Initiatives - The Kuqa Green Hydrogen Demonstration Project, the largest of its kind in the country, has a photovoltaic capacity of 300 MW and an annual hydrogen production capacity of 20,000 tons, reducing CO2 emissions by 485,000 tons annually [2] - The integration of green hydrogen into traditional oil refining processes enhances the environmental sustainability of the industry [2][3] Group 3: Project Synergies - The oxygen produced during hydrogen production will be supplied to the 40,000-ton polyoxymethylene project, optimizing production costs and enhancing overall efficiency [3] - The region is focusing on developing a comprehensive hydrogen industry chain, including production, transportation, storage, and utilization [3] Group 4: Strategic Project Layout - The local government emphasizes the importance of introducing projects that enhance the quality of the industrial chain and drive upstream and downstream enterprises [4] - Xinjiang Yuanfeng Textile Co., Ltd. aims to create a production base for blended yarns, leveraging local cotton and energy resources [4][5] Group 5: Investment and Economic Growth - Kuqa plans to implement 219 fixed asset investment projects this year, with a total investment of 91.887 billion yuan, and an annual planned investment of 16.665 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.8% year-on-year increase [5]
关税博弈下首个618:外贸商降价内销,圣诞备货提前3个月抢跑
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 10:03
Core Viewpoint - In June, Chinese foreign trade merchants faced dual challenges from tariff policy adjustments and changes in global consumption patterns during the "618" shopping festival, prompting many companies to adopt flexible strategies to maintain their traditional foreign trade while exploring new growth opportunities in the domestic market [1][2]. Group 1: Domestic Market Strategies - Companies like Guangxi Bobai County Huangtu Craft Co., Ltd. are seeking new business opportunities through internal and external trade transformation, with sales during the promotion period increasing by 20% to 30% [2]. - Shantou's Xiaowangguo Trading Co., Ltd. is participating in the Tmall 618 promotion for the first time, focusing on products with strong export performance and highlighting international certifications to enhance domestic market appeal [6][8]. - The domestic market shows different demand characteristics compared to the international market, with products like household items and children's toys being popular domestically, while pet-related products perform well internationally [8][10]. Group 2: Supply Chain and Order Management - Companies are adjusting their supply chains to meet early overseas orders, with some like Wuxi Shuangzhen Textile accelerating production for Christmas orders that are expected to arrive in the U.S. three months earlier than usual [2][19]. - The recent tariff adjustments have created a 90-day window for increased export demand, transforming what was traditionally a slow season into a peak season for overseas orders [17][18]. - Data from Alibaba's international platform indicates a significant surge in orders for Christmas-related products, with a 120% year-on-year increase in orders for Christmas accessories and a sixfold increase in toy orders [19][20]. Group 3: Future Market Expansion - Companies are planning to expand into offline markets, recognizing a shift in consumer behavior post-pandemic, with increased interest in shopping and tourism [12][13]. - Huangtu Craft Co., Ltd. plans to leverage its factory space for a "non-heritage craft experience store + retail supermarket," aiming to attract tourists and enhance brand visibility [13]. - Zhang Peng from Douyin Super Brother Building Blocks is exploring opportunities in Southeast Asia, particularly in Indonesia, to establish a cross-border warehouse and improve international shipping solutions [24].
绍兴法院的“洋娘舅”:我在纺织市场做涉外调解员
21世纪经济报道记者柳宁馨绍兴报道 6月11日,最高人民法院新闻局组织的"司法服务高质量发展·媒体一线观察(浙江站)"调研活动来到了绍 兴柯桥。 绍兴柯桥拥有一座巨大的纺织专业市场,全世界四分之一的纺织面料在此交易,交易涉及192个国家, 常驻外商有5000余人。在这里,设立着一座商事法庭——轻纺城法庭。紧贴专业市场,绍兴轻纺城法庭 提炼涉外商事审判经验,于2018年创新性提出以外调外、以外管外、以外拓外工作机制,打造了一支由 外籍商户组成"洋娘舅"涉外调解团队,至今已聘任2届,现有8人"洋娘舅"团队。 来自也门的安特尔是绍兴法院外籍调解员,他2000年博士毕业于华东理工大学,毕业后短暂回到也门发 展,后来又来到绍兴柯桥做生意,目前在轻纺城法庭担任涉外调解员。此前,也门、巴基斯坦、印度等 国家的商人与柯桥商人做生意有时会有一些商业纠纷,安特尔作为外籍调解员可以在其中扮演第三方调 解角色。 安特尔告诉21世纪经济报道记者,在柯桥,也门的商人及家庭成员共有400多人。在做生意过程中,文 化差异可能造成沟通障碍,但通过冷静沟通和第三方介入可有效解决。调解能够帮助双方化解纠纷,避 免产生更大的冲突。他表示,这一角色促 ...
广西博白:招商引资跑出“加速度”
在招商实践中,博白县多举措并行,成效显著。常态化开展外出招商,县领导发挥"头雁效应",带队赴 北京、广东等经济活跃地区开展招商活动10余次,各县直单位、各镇累计开展20余次,考察企业超100 家,成功引进华能新能源公司等一批优质企业。积极组织招商推介会,6月5日举办"锦线相连商机同 享"2025年广西博白县对接粤港澳大湾区纺织服装产业招商推介会,与4家商协会签订战略合作协议,与 8家纺织企业达成合作意向,计划总投资超10亿元。 在要素保障方面,博白县全力破解土地要素制约,盘活闲置教学点并实现企业入驻,总投资额超13亿 元。推动农用地转用报批,联动多部门开展助企招聘会,解决企业用工难题。同时,完善项目研判机 制,联动各方挖掘招商潜力,创新招商方式,对意向项目进行可行性研判,推动优质项目落地。此外, 巧用闲置资源打造玉商回归小微产业园,9个小微产业园已挂牌,入驻企业79家,年产值超4亿元,为县 域经济发展注入新活力。 今年以来,博白县紧扣自治区"一区两地一园一通道"建设部署及二季度经济发展调度会要求,全力推进 招商引资突破年行动,招商引资工作成果斐然,提前实现"年度过半任务过半"目标。 截至目前,博白县招商引资交 ...
晚间公告丨6月11日这些公告有看头
第一财经· 2025-06-11 13:56
2025.06. 11 6月11日晚间,沪深两市多家上市公司发布公告,以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总,供投资者 参考。 【品大事】 兴业证券澄清:未得到任何有关"与华福证券合并"的书面或口头的信息 兴业证券发布澄清公告,关注到有市场传闻称公司将与华福证券有限责任公司进行合并。截至本公告 披露日,公司未得到任何来自政府部门、监管机构或公司股东有关上述传闻的书面或口头的信息。 *ST亚振:多次触及股票交易异常波动 停牌核查 *ST亚振公告,公司股票于2025年5月6日至6月11日连续二十六个交易日内日收盘价格涨幅偏离值 累计达到107.83%,多次触及股票交易异常波动。公司股票短期涨幅与同期上证指数、家具制造业 存在严重偏离。为维护投资者利益,公司将就股票交易情况进行核查。经申请,公司股票自2025年 6月12日开市起停牌,自披露核查公告后复牌,预计停牌时间不超过3个交易日。 兴森科技:拟以3.2亿元参与购买子公司广州兴科24%股权 兴森科技公告,公司拟以挂牌底价3.2亿元进场参与购买子公司广州兴科半导体有限公司的少数股东 国家集成电路产业投资基金股份有限公司所持有的广州兴科24%股权。该交易已经中华人民共和 ...