Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a decrease of over 50% compared to the same period last year [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - The estimated net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 is expected to be between 190 million to 230 million yuan, representing a decrease of 242 million to 282 million yuan, or a decline of 51.27% to 59.75% year-on-year [1][2]. - The estimated net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 183 million to 225 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 245 million to 287 million yuan, or a decline of 52.13% to 61.06% year-on-year [2]. Previous Year Comparison - In the same period last year, the total profit was 625.60 million yuan, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 471.62 million yuan and a net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 470.02 million yuan [2]. - The earnings per share for the previous year were 0.65 yuan [2]. Reasons for Profit Decline - The significant year-on-year decline in operating performance is primarily attributed to a decrease in the average selling price of premium coal by 414.32 yuan per ton, a drop of 30.42%. Additionally, the implementation of disaster management projects at the Xu Zhuang coal mine, which resulted in no coal production in the first quarter, has also impacted the company's performance [2][3]. Strategic Response - In response to the challenging operational environment, the company is implementing a multi-faceted approach to stabilize production capacity, including scientific planning in production, targeted marketing strategies, and efforts to enhance quality and reduce costs [3].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight increase today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.01% to 3510.18 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.61% and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.80% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.71 trillion yuan, an increase of 218 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The market sentiment appears to be strong in the short term, with over 2900 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - Leading sectors today included securities, non-ferrous metals, pharmaceuticals, and steel, while financials, telecommunications, photovoltaics, and dividends lagged [1] - The market showed a preference for small-cap stocks over large-cap stocks, with growth stocks outperforming value stocks [1] Policy Insights - The "anti-involution" theme is identified as a potential main line for the second half of the year, with a focus on upstream sectors leading the way [3][4] - Recent meetings emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and promote the exit of backward production capacity, reminiscent of the supply-side reforms of 2015 [3][4] - The ongoing decline in PPI has drawn policy attention, suggesting potential supply-side adjustments in sectors like steel, coal, and cement [3] Demand and Supply Dynamics - The supply-demand mismatch in upstream resource products is significant, leading to price declines as firms engage in price competition [4][6] - Current demand conditions are similar to those in July of the previous year, but prices have adjusted downward, aligning better with supply-demand dynamics [6] - The performance of consumer goods differs, with companies increasingly adopting price reductions to boost sales volumes [6][7] Historical Context - Historical cases of supply-side contraction have shown that market reactions often lag behind policy announcements, with stock prices typically responding after initial skepticism [7][9] - Past supply-side reforms have led to significant price increases in commodities, although demand-side pressures remain a concern [9][12] International Factors - The U.S. labor market remains resilient, with recent non-farm payroll data exceeding expectations, which has tempered interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve [12][13] - The ongoing trade negotiations and tariff strategies under the Trump administration are expected to create uncertainty in the market [15][16]

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月11日 金融工程日报 沪指放量微涨，银行冲高回落，稀土、券商爆发 市场表现：今日(20250711) 大部分指数处于上涨状态，规模指数中中证 1000 指数表现较好，板块指数中科创 50 指数表现较好，风格指数中中证 500 成 长指数表现较好。非银、计算机、有色金属、钢铁、综合金融行业表现较好， 银行、建材、煤炭、纺织服装、交通运输行业表现较差。稀土、炒股软件、 稀土永磁、CRO、中国国际进口博览会等概念表现较好，玻璃纤维、覆铜板、 银行精选、电路板、央企银行等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：今日收盘时有 68 只股票涨停，有 14 只股票跌停。昨日涨停股票 今日收盘收益为 2.42%，昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为-2.29%。今日封板率 66%，较前日下降 7%，连板率 29%，较前日下降 6%。 市场资金流向：截至 20250710 两融余额为 18737 亿元，其中融资余额 18605 亿元，融券余额 132 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.2%，两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 9.4%。 折溢价：20250710 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是 A50 增强 ETF，ETF ...

彬县煤炭作为中国西部领先的大型能源化工企业，拥有雄厚的资本实力、丰富的煤炭及煤化工资源储 备、先进的生产技术及完善的产业链协同体系。藉由引进其高品质煤化工产品及供应链能力，集团可进 一步提升建设及配套服务的综合竞争力，确保项目原材料供应的稳定性与成本效益，并有助于开拓下游 市场及新业务增长点。 此外，双方在贸易、物流及产业升级等领域的合作，有助于集团优化业务结构、分散经营风险，增强抵 御市场波动的能力。未来，双方将积极探索更深层次的合作模式，包括共同参与大型项目、推动绿色建 设、智能供应链及新材料应用等，为集团带来长远增值，并提升股东回报。 经董事会审慎考虑后，认为本次合作事项可巩固集团在建设及消费者产品领域的竞争优势，进一步拓展 产业链协同效应，且合作协议的条款及条件乃按正常商业条款订立，属公平合理，符合公司及全体股东 的整体利益。 格隆汇7月11日丨旷逸国际(01683.HK)公告，于2025年7月11日，公司全资附属公司湖南中萨国际贸易发 展有限公司（中萨国贸）与彬县煤炭有限责任公司（彬县煤炭）订立战略合作框架协议，以共同拓展煤 化工产品贸易市场，提升产业链协同效率。 根据合作协议，彬县煤炭将向中萨国贸 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic, indicating a potential recovery in profitability and valuation levels for the steel industry due to the "anti-involution" policy [1][4]. Core Insights - The "anti-involution" policy aims to shift the steel industry from low-cost homogeneous competition to high-end differentiated competition, which is expected to lead to a reversal in industry profitability and valuation levels [1][4]. - The steel industry is currently facing weak demand, with prices and profit levels declining. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for black metal smelting and rolling industries has dropped to 89.8, the lowest among five sub-industries [2][4]. - The current state of the steel industry shows a divergence in profitability between upstream and midstream sectors, with upstream mining absorbing most of the industry's profits [2][4]. Summary by Sections Current Industry Status - The steel industry is experiencing weak demand, with PPI for black metal smelting and rolling industries at 89.8, indicating a decline in prices and profits [2]. - The gross profit margin for black metal smelting and rolling industries is only 5.48%, significantly lower than the 19.57% margin for black metal mining [2]. Comparison with 2015 Supply-Side Reform - The supply-demand situation in the steel industry has improved compared to 2015, with a reduction in the degree of supply surplus [3][4]. - The current "anti-involution" policy is less administratively forceful than the 2015 supply-side reforms, which were primarily focused on eliminating outdated production capacity [3]. Policy Impact and Guidance - The "anti-involution" policy aims to prevent homogeneous competition and emphasizes the need for market mechanisms and industry self-regulation to optimize and upgrade production capacity [4]. - The policy includes stricter standards for capacity elimination and encourages the adoption of green and intelligent production methods [5]. Inventory and Profitability Outlook - The steel inventory is expected to rise from the bottom, with significant reductions in social inventory levels for rebar and wire rod [6]. - The industry's return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA) have declined due to the real estate market downturn, but the "anti-involution" policy may help restore market sentiment and improve profitability [6]. Valuation Observations - The current median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the steel industry is 35.51X, indicating potential for valuation recovery as supply-demand structures improve [6].

证券代码：002128 证券简称：电投能源 内蒙古电投能源股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 | 投资者关系活动 □特定对象调研□分析师会议 | | | --- | --- | | 类别 | □媒体采访√业绩说明会 | | □新闻发布会□路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | | 参与单位名称及 投资者网上提问 | | | 人员姓名 | | | 时间 2025 年 7 月 | 11 日(周五)16：00~18:00 | | 地点 | 公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"（https://ir.p5w.net） | | 采用网络远程的方式召开业绩说明会 | | | 上市公司接待人 1、董事会秘书李冬 | | | 员姓名 2、资本部主任刘学民 | 投资者提出的问题及公司回复情况 | | | 公司就投资者在本次说明会中提出的问题进行了回复： 1、董秘你好，请问公司氧化铝来源是哪里？一般维持多长 | | 时间的库存？ | | | | 您好。氧化铝主要来源为山东和河北地区，库存一般 20 天 | | 左右。感谢您的关注。 | | | 投资者关系活动 | 2、作为央企都会表率 ...

文/曹萌 7月11日，一则山西部分钢厂收到限产口头通知的信息再度点燃了钢铁行业期 现 投资板块。其中， 螺纹钢、 热卷等 钢材品种期价涨幅超1% ，包钢股份、 抚顺特钢 股价涨停。 近年来，政策端严控粗钢新增产能，实施更为严格的产能置换方案，加快推动钢铁行业转型升级。此 前，河北、山西等地均发布了退出1000立方米以下的高炉设备政策，如2024年，全国退出高炉42 座，对应总炼铁产能3471万吨，多为1000立方米以下小型高 炉。根据相关统计，目前我国1000立 方米以下的高炉仍有300余座，产能占比在13.7%左右。 近日，钢铁、多晶硅、煤炭等行业的期现投资品种轮番上涨，而其上涨的背景是本月初召开的中央财 经委第六次会议再次强调"依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争…推动落后产能有序退出"。 从过往来看，后续相关政策的落地基本均围绕中央财经委会议的主题， 如现代产业体系、人口问题 和以旧换新等。加之中央财经委会议本身级别较高，因此，也打开了市场对后续控制行业产能、提高 相关商品价格的想象空间。 但从不同商品品类的价格波动来看，多晶 硅主力 合约期价7月以来的涨幅已超过20%，而螺纹钢、 热卷等 钢材品种主力合约期价 ...

| | | | SDIC FUTURES | 操作评级 | 2025年07月11日 | | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹 | ★☆☆ | 曹颖 首席分析师 | | 热卷 | ★☆☆ | F3003925 Z0012043 | | 铁矿 | な女女 | 何建辉 高级分析师 | | 焦炭 | ★☆☆ | F0242190 Z0000586 | | 焦煤 | ★☆☆ | | | 證硅 | ★☆☆ | 韩惊 高级分析师 | | 硅铁 | ★☆☆ | F03086835 Z0016553 | | | | 李啸尘 高级分析师 | | | | F3054140 Z0016022 | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【钢材】 今日盘面震荡走高。 本周螺纹表需、产量均小幅回落，库存继续缓慢下降。 热卷需求继续下滑，产量也有所回落，库存继续小 幅累积。铁水产量有所回落，整体维持相对高位，低库存格局下，市场负反馈压力不大，关注淡季需求承接能力。从下游行业 看，基建回暖缺乏持续性，地产销售低位徘徊，投资、新开工等指标继续大幅下滑，制造 ...

| 600740 | 山西焦化 | 1.77 | 1.99 | -240.77 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600925 | 苏能股份 | -0.19 | 0.71 | -236.14 | | 603071 | 物产环能 | -0.08 | 0.37 | -168.79 | | 601011 | 宝泰隆 | 0.36 | 2.28 | 49.09 | | 600408 | 安泰集团 | 1.77 | 4.58 | 181.47 | | 600508 | 上海能源 | -0.33 | 0.70 | 194.67 | | 601015 | 陕西黑猫 | 1.42 | 2.62 | 235.41 | | 600758 | 辽宁能源 | -0.24 | 2.48 | 318.62 | | 600403 | 大有能源 | 0.24 | 3.12 | 409.78 | | 000552 | 甘肃能化 | 0.38 | 1.91 | 845.64 | | 601001 | 晋控煤业 | -0.08 | 1.03 | 1235.23 | | 600546 | 山煤国际 | 0.00 ...

●本次业绩预告具体适用情形：净利润为负值。 ●郑州煤电股份有限公司（以下简称公司）预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于 母公司所有者的净利润约为-21,600 万元；预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于母公 司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润约为-22,400 万元。 重要内容提示： 证券代码：600121 证券简称：郑州煤电 公告编号：临 2025-030 郑州煤电股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 （二）业绩预告情况 经财务部门初步测算，预计公司 2025 年半年度实现归属于母公 司所有者的净利润约为-21,600 万元，与上年同期 1,038 万元相比， 将出现亏损。 预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损 益后的净利润约为-22,400 万元。 二、上年同期经营业绩 （一）利润总额：11,226 万元。 归属于母公司所有者的净利润：1,038 万元。 归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润： （二）每股收益：0.0085 元 ...