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A股明天会大跌?股民紧张,变盘时刻马上到
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 16:39
傍晚的交易大厅灯光没变,却有人在看屏幕时垂手站着,周围人群像潮水一样推过又退回,空气里弥散着一种等待的紧张感,交易员的语气低到像被压过的 铁锤声 当天指数再创年度高点,具体数据是4030点左右,这是上交所与深交所全天成交数据的合计表现,来源为交易所当日收盘统计,许多人把目光投向了手机里 那一行绿色与红色交替的数字 我站在一位老股民旁边,他手里攥着一张旧纸质交易凭证,凭证上写着几年前买入的价位,他的手指因为岁月与紧张而有细微颤动,他说这是他的退休金, 声音里没有请求也没有抱怨 我拜访了一位中等规模私募经理,他在办公室里翻看当日的订单簿,他说主力在收盘前有一次明显的拉抬行为,意图制造强势成交与情绪预期,他指向一张 屏幕上的分时图作说明,图上拉升施压和随后缩量的迹象一目了然 当天大盘的技术面在60分钟周期显示超买钝化迹象,这是技术分析软件给出的量化读数,软件基于成交量与价格变化计算得出,技术面提示短线回调的概率 提升,但日线级别仍未构成明显顶背离 回到社区,一个被套的中年人按耐不住情绪,他的手机里显示着亏损幅度,他说他等了十年才攒下这笔钱,准备给孩子交学费,言语间没有责怪,只是把眼 神放到窗外的街道,他讲述时断时续 ...
10月份国民经济运行总体平稳—— 转型升级扎实推进 发展新动能继续壮大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 12:34
国家统计局11月14日发布的数据显示,10月份,各地区各部门纵深推进全国统一大市场建设,积极畅通 国内国际双循环,生产供给基本平稳,就业总体稳定,物价有所改善。 "总的来看,10月份国民经济运行总体平稳,转型升级扎实推进,发展新动能继续壮大。"在11月14日举 行的国新办新闻发布会上,国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖说。 多个领域出现积极变化 数据显示,10月份工业生产总体稳定,规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9%,继续保持总体稳定增长。 其中,装备制造业增加值增长8%,明显快于规模以上工业增长,对规模以上工业增长支撑作用明显。 高技术制造业增势良好,10月份规模以上高技术制造业增加值同比增长7.2%,继续快于规模以上工业 增长,转型升级态势持续。数实融合稳步推进,10月份规模以上数字产品制造业增加值同比增长 6.7%,1至10月份,实物商品网上零售额增长6.3%。绿色转型成效显现,10月份新能源汽车、汽车用锂 离子电池等绿色产品产量分别增长19.3%和30.4%。 "10月份,国民经济延续稳中有进的发展态势。但也要看到,国际环境依然复杂严峻,不稳定不确定因 素较多,国内周期性结构性 ...
10月份国民经济运行总体平稳——转型升级扎实推进 发展新动能继续壮大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 12:34
【来自国新办新闻发布会的报道】 市场需求焕新提升,新需求不断扩大。从消费看,消费新业态、新模式、新场景不断拓展,数字、绿 色、智能产品消费快速壮大。1至10月份,实物商品网上零售额占整个社会消费品零售总额的比重达 25.2%,比1至9月份提高0.2个百分点。从投资看,高技术领域投资较快增长,新能源、新材料、人工智 能等领域投资不断扩大,投资质效不断提升。1至10月份,航空、航天器及设备制造业投资同比增长 19.7%,信息服务业投资增长32.7%。从出口看,1至10月份,我国机电产品出口额占全部出口额的比重 达60.7%,对外贸的支撑作用明显。 国家统计局11月14日发布的数据显示,10月份,各地区各部门纵深推进全国统一大市场建设,积极畅通 国内国际双循环,生产供给基本平稳,就业总体稳定,物价有所改善。 "总的来看,10月份国民经济运行总体平稳,转型升级扎实推进,发展新动能继续壮大。"在11月14日举 行的国新办新闻发布会上,国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖说。 多个领域出现积极变化 数据显示,10月份工业生产总体稳定,规模以上工业增加值同比增长4.9%,继续保持总体稳定增长。 其中 ...
事关京津冀新能源汽车产业链,专家建言:构建协同生态助产业升级
转自:北京日报客户端 11月14日,第二期"新能源·新动力·新资本—京津冀新能源汽车企业投融资创新沙龙"在北京举行。本次 活动以促进产融合作为目标,为区域新能源汽车产业的发展提供了实质性助力。 活动聚焦电池、芯片、域控制器、智能辅助驾驶等关键领域,汇聚了政府部门、零部件供应商、投资机 构等70余位代表,共同探讨产业与资本融合的有效路径。活动通过主题分享、企业路演和自由交流等环 节,为创新创业企业与金融资本搭建了务实对接的平台。 京津冀地区产业基础雄厚、创新资源集聚、市场潜力巨大,有基础、有能力,更有责任在汽车产业变革 中走在前列,携手共建具有全球影响力的新能源汽车产业集群。 北京经济技术开发区管理委员会高端汽车和新能源产业局副局长赵利锋表示,亦庄作为首都高精尖产业 发展的主阵地,期望通过打造高效务实的交流平台,助力更多优质创新项目获得展示,推动更多投资机 构发掘价值机遇,让金融"活水"精准浇灌产业"沃土",为新能源汽车产业的高质量发展注入更加关键 的"新资本"力量。 在主题发言环节,北京中关村资本基金管理有限公司投资总监刘兰丰分享了新能源汽车领域的投资策 略,小米集团产业投资部董事总经理李骜从产业投资角度阐述 ...
下一波市场杀跌的重灾区,可能是这五类股票!现在看还来得及
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 10:32
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights five categories of stocks that are at high risk of decline in the current market environment, driven by stricter delisting regulations, policy rollbacks, and valuation bubbles. Group 1: High Delisting Risk Stocks - The 2025 delisting rules are the strictest ever, with companies facing mandatory delisting if their market value falls below 500 million yuan for 20 consecutive trading days on the main board, or 300 million yuan on the ChiNext [2] - As of April 2025, 132 companies have issued delisting risk warnings, an increase of 45% from the previous year [2] - Companies like *ST Dongfang and *ST Xinhai have faced delisting due to financial fraud and continuous low stock prices, leading to significant losses for investors [2] Group 2: Stocks in Policy-Dependent Industries - The cancellation of subsidies for onshore wind power and the reduction of tax exemptions for electric vehicles will directly pressure the profits of related companies [4] - The onshore wind power sector will see a 0.5 percentage point decrease in capital IRR due to subsidy cuts, impacting already thin profit margins for small firms [4] - The automotive industry is facing overcapacity and reduced subsidies, with some second-tier car manufacturers reporting a 40% decline in net profits year-on-year [4] Group 3: Stocks with Severe Valuation Bubbles - Many popular sectors have inflated valuations, with the ChiNext 50 index at a P/E ratio of 159.31 and the semiconductor index at 126.46, indicating severe overvaluation [5] - The computer sector, driven by AI hype, has a P/E ratio of 91.55, while the average net profit growth in the industry is only 8% [5] - High valuation stocks have seen significant declines, with the ChiNext 50 index down 12% and the computer sector down 15% since October [5] Group 4: High Pledge and Debt Issues - Companies with high equity pledges (over 60%) and high debt ratios (over 80%) face significant risks, including potential stock price collapses [6] - As of April 2025, 89 companies have a pledge rate exceeding 60%, with 32 of them also having debt ratios above 80% [6] - Companies like Nanwei and ST Tiantian are struggling with financing difficulties due to high pledge rates and ongoing investigations [6] Group 5: Stocks with Outdated Production Capacity - The national industrial capacity utilization rate is only 74%, indicating significant overcapacity in traditional manufacturing sectors [7] - The steel industry continues to struggle with low-efficiency production, while the photovoltaic sector is eliminating 20% of low-efficiency capacity [7] - Traditional industries like chemicals and machinery are facing a 32% year-on-year decline in net profits, as they lack policy support and face shrinking market demand [7]
零跑官宣:2026年冲击100万辆!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-11-15 10:29
Core Insights - Leap Motor has announced a sales target of 1 million units for 2026, having completed its 2025 target of 500,000 units 45 days ahead of schedule [2][5] - The company has become the first new car manufacturer to achieve its 2025 sales target and is positioned to be the leader in the new car manufacturing sector for that year [5] - Leap Motor has consistently been the monthly sales leader among new car manufacturers since March 2025, with record monthly deliveries exceeding 60,000 units in September and 70,000 units in October 2025 [5] Sales Performance - Leap Motor's early achievement of the 2025 sales target was anticipated, with CEO Zhu Jiangming expressing optimism about the fourth quarter of 2025 and confirming that orders were meeting expectations [5][7] - The company aims to launch 2 to 3 new models from the D series and 2 models from the A series in 2026, indicating a strong product pipeline [7] Historical Context - Leap Motor was founded in 2015 and reached its 1 millionth vehicle production milestone on September 25, 2025, becoming the second new car manufacturer to join the "million club" after Li Auto [7] - The company took five years to produce its first 500,000 vehicles but achieved the next 500,000 in less than a year, showcasing rapid growth [7] Strategic Focus - Leap Motor's strategy for achieving its next 1 million vehicle production target is centered on "upgrading and sincerity," emphasizing the importance of superior products and positive user feedback [7]
零跑官宣:2026年冲击100万辆!
中国基金报· 2025-11-15 10:20
Core Insights - Leap Motor announced a sales target of 1 million vehicles for 2026, having completed its 2025 target of 500,000 vehicles 45 days ahead of schedule [2][8] - The company has been the top performer among new car manufacturers for eight consecutive months since March 2025, setting monthly delivery records [6] - Leap Motor's CEO expressed optimism about achieving the 2025 target, indicating strong order levels and expectations [6][9] Group 1 - Leap Motor achieved its 2025 sales target of 500,000 vehicles ahead of schedule, with September and October 2025 deliveries exceeding 60,000 and 70,000 vehicles respectively [6] - The company plans to launch 2 to 3 new models from the D series and 2 models from the A series in 2026, marking it as a significant product year [9] - Leap Motor became the second new car manufacturer to reach the milestone of 1 million vehicles produced, following Li Auto [9][11] Group 2 - The CEO highlighted that it took Leap Motor five years to produce its first 500,000 vehicles, but less than a year to reach the next 500,000 [11] - The key to achieving the next 1 million vehicles is believed to be "upgrading and sincerity," focusing on superior products and improved customer reputation [11]
宜宾精鸿新能源汽车科技有限公司成立 注册资本100万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 10:12
天眼查App显示,近日,宜宾精鸿新能源汽车科技有限公司成立,法定代表人为毛飛,注册资本100万 人民币,经营范围为一般项目:技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广;机 动车修理和维护;汽车销售;新能源汽车整车销售;汽车零配件零售;机械设备租赁;资源再生利用技 术研发;电池销售;电池零配件销售;新能源原动设备销售;电子元器件与机电组件设备制造;电子元 器件与机电组件设备销售;电子专用材料销售;工业互联网数据服务;智能仪器仪表销售;新能源汽车 废旧动力蓄电池回收及梯次利用(不含危险废物经营);货物进出口;技术进出口;电动自行车维修; 小微型客车租赁经营服务。(除依法须经批准的项目外,凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动)(涉及国 家规定实施准入特别管理措施的除外)。 ...
宏观经济专题研究:年度展望之二:“反内卷”的期许与路径
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-15 09:44
Group 1: Economic Overview - "反内卷" is a key focus for the "十五五" period, expected to drive China's economic narrative in the coming year[1] - China's PPI has experienced negative growth for 36 consecutive months since October 2022, with the GDP deflator remaining below zero for nine consecutive quarters starting mid-2023[14] - The low inflation environment mirrors the supply-demand mismatch seen during the late 1990s, indicating structural economic challenges[2] Group 2: Short-term Policy Measures - Short-term "反内卷" efforts will rely on policy interventions across industrial and macroeconomic dimensions, with a focus on administrative measures to address severe mismatches in certain sectors[3] - The fiscal deficit is projected to remain high at 3.8%-4.0% to support economic stability, with a total deficit expected to exceed 12 trillion yuan[52] - PPI is anticipated to recover from negative growth, with a target of achieving positive growth by mid-2026, supported by favorable base effects[67] Group 3: Long-term Reform Strategies - Long-term "反内卷" success hinges on structural reforms, including market-oriented reforms to eliminate local protectionism and enhance resource allocation efficiency[72] - The urbanization of approximately 250 million agricultural migrants is seen as a potential driver for increased domestic demand and income growth[74] - The government aims to transition from infrastructure-focused fiscal policies to those prioritizing social welfare and human capital investment[53]
阿维塔科技与工商银行重庆分行签订业务合作框架协议
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-15 09:04
11月14日,阿维塔科技与中国工商银行重庆分行在中国工商银行总行大厦签订业务合作框架协议。根据 框架协议,双方将围绕全生命周期综合金融服务、全产业链金融赋能新能源汽车生态、全方位助力品牌 销售推广、全场景员工服务等领域深化合作。 ...